It is FINALLY&nbsp;Super Bowl Sunday on the&nbsp;Top 5!

Every week I brought you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend and we&#39;ve reached the finish line.

The NFC Champion San Francisco 49ers will take on the AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs at the gorgeous Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV.&nbsp; Strap in for my BEST BETS in what is almost guaranteed to be an absolute classic!

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Playoff Record: 8-4 / Overall: 52-46-4 (53.1%)

Props: 2-3

Championship weekend was a tremendous 7 hours of entertainment that saw both games decided by three points.&nbsp; The Chiefs (+4) took Baltimore completely out of their game plan as newly crowned 2-time MVP Lamar Jackson abandoned his legs (as well as ALL the RBs) and threw the ball 37 times.&nbsp; Zay Flowers had crucial back-to-back miscues first with a taunting penalty after a huge reception and shortly after fumbling the ball into the endzone for a touchback.&nbsp; PS &ndash; Both of these rules STINK.&nbsp;

Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid and Travis Kelce will once again play for the Lombardi trophy as they try to be the first back-to-back champions since the 03-04 Patriots.

Over in Santa Clara, the Lions (+7) blew a 17-point lead in truly heartbreaking fashion.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s been talked to death by now about head coach Dan Campbell going for and missing two 4th down conversions in key spots.&nbsp; However, I&rsquo;d point to him running the ball down on the goal line under 2 minutes and burning a timeout sealed their fate.&nbsp; The Niners survived for the 2nd consecutive week, at home, as a touchdown favorite.&nbsp;

Here we are, Super Bowl 58 pitting the best overall team (49ers) vs. the best player on the planet (Patrick Mahomes) yet again.&nbsp; Feels VERY similar to last year when I had every active bet on the Eagles&hellip; Spoiler alert: I won&rsquo;t be making that same mistake again.

&nbsp;

SUPER BOWL 58

San Francisco 49ers VS. Kansas City Chiefs &ndash; 6:30 PM EST &ndash; CBS

Line: 49ers -2 (-105) O/U 47.5 (-110)

Offensive Rankings

49ers (Total: 2nd / Passing: 4th / Rushing: 3rd)

Chiefs (Total: 9th / Passing: 6th / Rushing: 19th)

&nbsp;

Defensive Rankings

49ers (Total: 8th/ Passing: 14th/ Rushing: 3rd)

Chiefs (Total: 2nd/ Passing: 4th / Rushing: 18th)

&nbsp;

I tipped my hand up above but let&rsquo;s be real. &nbsp;It was always the Chiefs, and it was ALWAYS Patrick Mahomes.&nbsp; 

There is a plethora of reasoning I can and will give you about why I&rsquo;m taking the defending champions in this game, but it can be broken down quite simply to this:

When I lay my head down Sunday night and tally up my 20+ prop bets, agonize over that missed extra point that &ldquo;would have won me my block pool&rdquo;, all while very much regretting that extra slice of pizza I had at the 2-minute warning&hellip; I can close my eyes and rest if I bet Patrick Mahomes and lost way easier than if I went the other way.

He&rsquo;s just tremendous.&nbsp; Competitive and clutch gene locked on 100.&nbsp; Patrick Mahomes is simply inevitable.

The Chiefs clearly had a lackluster regular season and if the division we all thought would be great was even average, they may not be where they are today.&nbsp; However, while the other team donned in red on the opposite sideline has been the best overall unit all season long, I&rsquo;d argue KC is easily playing the best recently.

A dominant win against the Dolphins, a thrilling win IN Buffalo, and finally a defensive masterclass by Coach Spags and the boys against the best team in the AFC and League MVP in their building 2 weeks ago.&nbsp; Quite frankly, the champs are cooking.

The Niners, as I said earlier, ARE the best team in football this season and in my opinion are the rightful owners of a 2-point spread favorite.&nbsp; They have the offensive player of the year who scored a Madden-like 21 TDs this season (and another 4 in the playoffs) in RB Christian McCaffrey.&nbsp; QB Brock Purdy has not just &ldquo;game managed&rdquo; his way to an NFC crown, he went out and took it from the conference with clutch comebacks and thrilling 4th quarter drives with both his arm and legs.&nbsp; All world athlete WR Deebo Samuel makes the Niners borderline unbeatable statistically.&nbsp; Finally let us not forget TE George Kittle and WR Brandon Aiyuk who can take the top off any defense in a blink of an eye.

For me though, yes of course its about #15 in red and white like it always is however in this matchup, I point to that Chiefs defense almost more.

This is easily the best defense Reid and Mahomes have had in their dynasty run.&nbsp; They are 2nd in the league overall and 4th against the pass.&nbsp; Earlier this year they had a lot of trouble up front in terms of closing the run lanes but have shown improvement in the playoffs, especially against two of the top five rush offenses in football.&nbsp; Miami ran for a paltry 76 yards in the Wildcard round and the top rush team in the league Ravens didn&rsquo;t do much better with 81 in the title game.&nbsp; They have clearly figured something out up front and although no player is better than CMC, I believe Spagnuolo and that front 7 will be up to the task. 

McCaffrey is going to get his no doubt, but if they keep his individual gains down and force Purdy to throw over the top against these blanket corners, mistakes will be made by the 2nd year passer.&nbsp; 

When I analyze individual games, I think mostly in terms of game script.&nbsp; How do I see the game playing out from Quarter 1 to the final horn.&nbsp; When I break down this matchup, I see KC owning the clock.&nbsp; No one is better at 3rd down conversions lifetime than Mahomes (and Kelce) and they like nothing better than providing you a slow and painful death down the field.&nbsp; Insert Isiah Pacheco here.&nbsp; Boy this kid is incredible.&nbsp; A touchdown scorer in seven straight games now, I expect him to be a huge reason they&rsquo;re on the podium at the end of the night.&nbsp; Making sure the Chiefs are in 3rd and shorts will be massive for Mahomes to work and Pacheco will have to be a big reason why.&nbsp; 

The SF defense has been leaky of late and plays a mostly zone scheme.&nbsp; You&rsquo;ll never guess what QB carves up a zone like it&rsquo;s a walk in the park&hellip; #15.&nbsp; The Niners are going to HAVE to contain and get home from their star studded down lineman because if Mahomes breaks any pocket with his eyes downfield, tongue out for the world to see, he WILL find the open guy.

I could go on and on, but I&rsquo;m sure you have some buffalo dip to make and a cold beer to crack.&nbsp; Enjoy the game.

The Pick: Chiefs +2 (-105)

Lean: Under 47.5

&nbsp;

PROP BETS!

I&rsquo;m going to give you a bunch of prop bets, 21 (TWENTY-ONE!) to be exact, that I have already placed on the game.&nbsp; For easy scrolling I&rsquo;ll break it down between favored bets to mid-size odds and conclude with all the high odd fun ones I&rsquo;m sprinkling some money on.&nbsp; Enjoy!

&nbsp;

Bets from (-135) to (-110)

<ul>
	<li>(-135) Fred Warner OVER 7.5 Total Tackles + Assists</li>
	<li>(-125) Deebo Samuel OVER 16.5 Rush Yds</li>
	<li>(-125) Longest Field Goal OVER 47.5</li>
	<li>(-120) Harrison Butker OVER 1.5 FGs</li>
	<li>(-120) Rashee Rice OVER 6.5 Receptions</li>
	<li>(-120) Marquez Valdes-Scantling OVER 19.5 Receiving Yds</li>
	<li>(-115) Deebo Samuel OVER 80.5 TOTAL Yds</li>
	<li>(-115) Christian McCaffrey OVER 3.5 Yds on his First Rush</li>
	<li>(-110) Christian McCaffrey Player with the first rush over 10 Yds or more</li>
	<li>(-110) Chiefs to have Most Time of Possession</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Bets from (+100) to (+250)

<ul>
	<li>(+100) Justin Watson OVER 1.5 Receptions</li>
	<li>(+125) Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD 1st Half</li>
	<li>(+135) Deebo Samuel Anytime TD</li>
	<li>(+164) Total Players to have a Pass Attempt OVER 2.5</li>
	<li>(+190) Fred Warner Most Tackles + Assists</li>
	<li>(+250) Isiah Pacheco Longest Rush</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Bets from (+300 and up)

<ul>
	<li>(+370) San Francisco to Score First and Lose</li>
	<li>(+650) Deebo Samuel Most Total Yds</li>
	<li>(+800) Either Team to Kick a Game-Winning Walk-Off Field Goal at End of Regulation - YES</li>
	<li>(+900) Deebo Samuel Longest Rush</li>
	<li>(+1000) Game to go to Overtime - YES</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Thank you again to everyone who read the&nbsp;Top 5&nbsp;this season.&nbsp; I hope you won some money and had as much fun following along as I did bringing it to you each week.&nbsp; 

&nbsp;

Enjoy the Super Bowl and as always, Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">davecostabile</a>

 It is FINALLY&nbsp;Super Bowl Sunday on the&nbsp;Top 5!Every week I brought you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend and we&#39;ve reached the finish line.The NFC Champion San Francisco 49ers will take on the AFC Champion Ka

Super Bowl Sunday - David's Best Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Playoff Record: 6-4 / Overall: 50-46-4 (52.1%)

<ul>
	<li>We start the recap with our nailbiter victory (OVER 43.5) in the Ravens/Texans game.&nbsp; Baltimore dominated the upstart Texans and thank goodness we got that Houston punt return TD which ended up looming large.&nbsp; (Also shout out to Harbaugh for kicking a field goal with under 2 minutes to go!)</li>
	<li>We weren&rsquo;t so lucky Saturday night, going 0-2 in the Niners/Packers game.&nbsp; Too many redzone trips with no points plus too many turnovers equals no (Over 50.5).&nbsp; The Niners (-9.5) also was a dead bet throughout.&nbsp; Bad, bad game for me.</li>
	<li>We got back that winning feeling in Detroit (-6) Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; Ford Field was indeed a madhouse and although Baker and the Bucs battled valiantly, the Lions talent prevailed.</li>
	<li>I vow to you here and now; I will never bet against Patrick Mahomes as a dog in the playoffs ever again.&nbsp; Josh Allen played borderline flawless, and the Bills (-2.5) had KC right where they wanted them late.&nbsp; However, on 3rd down as Allen&rsquo;s ball sailed over the wide-open Diggs on the cross and short of the wide-open Shafir on the post&hellip; we knew how this would end.&nbsp; Mahomes is inevitable (spoiler alert).</li>
</ul>

With only two games Sunday I&rsquo;m going to switch up the format of the Top 5.&nbsp; I will have each game listed with a few bets under each.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s get it!

&nbsp;

Championship Weekend

AFC Championship &ndash; Kansas City Chiefs AT Baltimore Ravens &ndash; 3 PM &ndash; CBS

Line: Ravens -4 (-110) O/U: 44.5 (-110)

You simply can&rsquo;t ask for a better matchup to decide who represents the AFC in the Super Bowl.

The defending champion Chiefs and all-time great Patrick Mahomes come into M&amp;T Bank Stadium to face the assumed MVP Lamar Jackson and a Baltimore team with arguably the best overall roster in football.

No matter how you slice this game, the Ravens have the advantage.&nbsp; The offense relies on the run topping the league with 156.5 yards per game and are 4th in scoring (28.4 ppg).&nbsp; The Chiefs offensive woes have been well documented, but they still ended up 6th in pass offense and 2nd in the league in sacks allowed.&nbsp; I&rsquo;d argue without the greatness of Mahomes, those numbers are wildly different with how the rest of the roster fills out.

On defense, whoa baby are the Ravens LOADED.&nbsp; They are #1 in scoring defense giving up a paltry 16.5 points per game, #1 in sacks and tied for first in takeaways.&nbsp; They have a mean, nasty and hard-hitting style led by their linebacking core which is the best in the league by far.&nbsp; The Chiefs defense has been carrying the load for much of the season coming in at #2 in points slightly behind Baltimore at 17.3 ppg and a tremendous pass defense ranking 4th in the league.

I see this game being an absolute classic.&nbsp; Baltimore could very well win the game but like I alluded to in the recap above, I will NOT be betting against Mahomes as a dog until he proves me otherwise.&nbsp; The backdoor cover will always be in play, and I can live with myself a lot better if I lose backing #15 in red.

The Pick: Chiefs (+4 -110)

&nbsp;

AFC Title Prop Bets

Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD (+125) &ndash; Pacheco has been one of the most consistent players in the KC offense.&nbsp; He has scored in six straight games and the Ravens only susceptible part of their defense is the run game.&nbsp; No one on Earth runs harder than Pacheco and I fully expect him to be dancing in the endzone Sunday. 

Lamar Jackson OVER 63.5 Rushing Yds (-130) &ndash; Jackson has been unstoppable on the ground throughout his career but even more so in the playoffs.&nbsp; In his five postseason games he&rsquo;s averaged an insane 93.4 rush yds per game and the Chiefs defense is an unimpressive 18th against the run giving up over 113 yards a game.&nbsp; For the Ravens to win like they want, they need to control the ball and keep Mahomes off the field.&nbsp; I expect Jackson to ensure that by procuring first downs with his legs throughout.

&nbsp;

NFC Championship &ndash; Detroit Lions AT San Francisco 49ers &ndash; 6:30 PM &ndash; FOX

Line: 49ers -7 (-115) O/U: 52 (-110)

As a sports handicapper, you are always looking for an edge praying Vegas got something wrong.&nbsp; This will be unpopular, but the books have this one perfect in my opinion.

I could absolutely see the Niners blowing out the beloved Lions, I could also see a back-and-forth affair where a Dan Campbell decision late leads to an outright win for the Motor City faithful.&nbsp; My point is this game is very hard to predict.

Detroit has been lethal offensively all year with a tremendous balance of run (5th in the league) and pass (2nd).&nbsp; One leads to the other as QB Jared Goff was, for my money, the best play-action QB in the league this season.&nbsp; RBs Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery continue to be an outstanding 1-2 punch and possession receivers Amon-Ra St. Brown, Josh Reynolds and TE Sam LaPorta all make it incredibly difficult to stop this offense in totality.

The Niners defense has had another great year, especially against the run, but they&rsquo;ve been leaky of late.&nbsp; I do believe Goff will be able to move the ball in between the hashes on this San Fran defense and put some points on the board.&nbsp; On offense, the 49ers obviously rely heavily on all world back Christian McCaffrey who I expect to have more than a few highlights in this one.&nbsp; But I&rsquo;d argue the most important player is WR Deebo Samuel who is OFF the injury report as of this moment.&nbsp; Crazy trend alert!

This season, when Samuel starts and finishes the game, the Niners are 12-1 straight up and 10-3 ATS.&nbsp; When he doesn&rsquo;t, they are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS.&nbsp; Another wild one for his career: when Samuel gets even just ONE target, the Niners are 44-13 SU and only 9-10 when he doesn&rsquo;t.

I&rsquo;d LOVE to take the over but it&rsquo;s just so damn high at 52 so I&rsquo;ll stay away.&nbsp; The Lions have scored first in each of their last six games and are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as underdogs.&nbsp; But I just can&rsquo;t get there totally with a side, but I do have three props I love in this one for you. 

Lean: Lions (+7 +105)

&nbsp;

NFC Title Prop Bets

Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 75 Rushing + Receiving Yds (-115) &ndash; Gibbs has been on an absolute tear of late and presents such an impossible matchup for LBs covering him out of the backfield.&nbsp; Offensive Coordinator Ben Johnson loves to scheme Gibbs into space and watch him sprint.&nbsp; Look for him to break a couple long runs on stretch plays as well as Goff dump offs that can turn into 20+ yarders at any point.

Christian McCaffrey OVER 85.5 Rush Yds (-130) &ndash; Sometimes its just &ldquo;Don&rsquo;t think, just shoot&rdquo; with guys like CMC.&nbsp; He is such a monster, especially at home, and the Niners feed him constantly.&nbsp; The Lions run defense, shocking to most, ranks 2nd in the league but McCaffrey is not of this world.&nbsp; He has 98+ rush yards in each of his last three home games and I think he soars past 100 in this one as well.

Jauan Jennings OVER 17.5 Receiving Yds (-120) &ndash; Jennings is an under the radar prop that I absolutely love.&nbsp; The Lions pass defense is atrocious (27th in the league) and they will have their hands full with the weapons SF has.&nbsp; I see the safeties putting a lot of emphasis on trailing Samuel, George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk giving Jennings a couple wide open targets for big gains.&nbsp; We&rsquo;re going to hit this one early with a 20-yard reception, I see it in the stars.&nbsp; Also of note: his teammates call him &ldquo;Third and Jauan&rdquo; and that is an ALL-TIME nickname.

Only 180 minutes left of football this season.&nbsp; Savor every second!

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabil</a>

 Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.The odds expressed in this

Championship Weekend - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Wildcard Weekend Record: 4-1 / Overall: 48-43-4 (52.8%)

<ul>
	<li>We kicked off the playoffs with a disgusting and downright loathsome Browns (-2) pick.&nbsp; The Texans did whatever they wanted as Joe Flacco&rsquo;s carriage turned into a pumpkin Saturday afternoon.</li>
	<li>It was all winning, all the time after that beginning under the lights at Arrowhead.&nbsp; The Chiefs/Dolphins (UNDER 43.5) was hard to watch but glorious all the same.&nbsp; KC&rsquo;s defense dominated and Tua proved he simply cannot play good football when the temperature reaches freezing.</li>
	<li>Sunday we were treated to the best-case scenario in my Packers/Cowboys double dip.&nbsp; Green Bay (+7) got off to an incredible 27-0 lead in Jerry&rsquo;s World and I started to think they would get our #1 Pick (OVER 50.5) by themselves.&nbsp; Easy peasy double winner.</li>
	<li>Monday Night Football saw the exclamation point put on a disastrous two months for the defending NFC champion Eagles.&nbsp; Philly quit on their city this year but thankfully for us their offense, and some crucial drops by the Bucs receivers, made sure this (UNDER 43.5) was another winner to cap off a delightful 4-1 start to the playoffs.</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Divisional Weekend

5. Kansas City Chiefs AT Buffalo Bills (-2.5 -120) &ndash; Sunday &ndash; 6:30 PM &ndash; CBS

We begin the Top 5 in the game of the weekend with the Bills Mafia in Orchard Park.

I know, I know&hellip; Mahomes under a 3-point dog is an auto bet.&nbsp; The trends all back KC and more importantly the Bills are beyond banged up in the defensive back 7, but this is a gut feel bet.

QB Josh Allen has had yet another fantastic season.&nbsp; Last week, against Pittsburgh, he simply couldn&rsquo;t be stopped both through the air and with his legs.&nbsp; Allen has this look to him that he will not be denied.&nbsp; Most jarring to me last week was how smart he was.&nbsp; Josh Allen is a lot of things, but smart with the football for the entirety of a 60-minute football game is not one of them.&nbsp; I feel like he knows the only way the Bills can win it all this year is if he doesn&rsquo;t turn it over.

The Chiefs looked amazing last week in the fridged confines of their own backyard.&nbsp; But this is going to be a totally different atmosphere at Highmark Stadium Sunday evening.&nbsp; Not only that but this is, remarkably so, Patrick Mahomes&rsquo; FIRST road playoff game of his career.&nbsp; And he is going into it with the worst collection of &ldquo;weapons&rdquo; he&rsquo;s ever had.&nbsp; If he finds a way to win this one, we are firmly in Tom Brady land in terms of his trajectory even more than we already were.

Give me Buffalo, and their opportunistic defense (30 takeaways &ndash; 2nd in the league) to turn Mahomes&rsquo; over twice in a tough nosed thriller to punch their ticket to the AFC Title game.

&nbsp;

4. Houston Texans AT Baltimore Ravens (OVER 43.5 -112) &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 4:30 PM &ndash; ESPN

This is a matchup where we&rsquo;re going to know exactly how it&rsquo;ll shake out by the midway point of the 1st quarter.

Baltimore has proven they&rsquo;re the best team in football this season with marquee wins over the following playoff teams: Browns, Rams, Lions, Dolphins, 49ers, AND these Houston Texans.&nbsp; Now that Texans game was Week 1, rookie sensation QB CJ Stroud&rsquo;s first ever NFL game.&nbsp; &ldquo;Welcome to the league kid!&nbsp; Here&rsquo;s the best defense in football!&rdquo;&nbsp; Since that time, all Stroud has done is light the world on fire with his efficiency, exquisite mechanics, and of course that rocket right arm.

I love watching the Texans play football and I think, if everything lines up perfectly, they could mirror what their rival Titans did back in 2020 the last time Baltimore was the #1 seed (Tennessee 16-point winners that night).&nbsp; But I&rsquo;m going to refrain from going down that path because this Ravens team feels more complete.

QB Lamar Jackon is the MVP just like he was back in 2020.&nbsp; But his game has matured, he takes everything that is given to him more now than ever while still being able to break down any defender in the open field.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s thrown for almost 1,000 more yards than four years ago, has 2 less INTs, been sacked 8 less times, and has a QB rating of 102.7 (up from 99.3 in 2020).&nbsp; My point is, he&rsquo;s calmer and more dangerous than ever.

I see this game going back and forth early as points come in bunches with the Ravens possibly pulling away late, but not until this over soars past the 43.5 we need.

&nbsp;

3. Green Bay Packers AT San Francisco 49ers (-9.5 -112) &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; FOX

We begin this week&rsquo;s &ldquo;double-dip&rdquo; with the odds-on favorite to win it all, the San Francisco 49ers.

The Niners have been resting for almost three weeks now wrapping up the 1 seed in Week 17.&nbsp; These boys are going to be entering the national stage Saturday night, foaming at the mouth to prove they are the very best in the game.&nbsp; San Fran is so immensely loaded as a roster and come into this one with no real significant injuries to navigate.&nbsp; 

Green Bay, meanwhile, looked unstoppable last week as they handed the best home team this season an embarrassing loss that looked somehow worse than the final box score.&nbsp; QB Jordan Love has been unstoppable and head coach Matt LaFleur is calling impeccable offensive football right now.&nbsp; 

With that said, the Packers defense is certainly no world beaters and unfortunately for them, the team in red has playmakers galore.&nbsp; I mean RB Christian McCaffery is an astounding -340 to score an anytime TD Saturday!&nbsp; That&rsquo;s absurd (still might bet it&hellip;).&nbsp; 

San Fran head coach Kyle Shanahan is highly regarded as one of, if not the best coach in the NFC, and he owns LaFleur and the Packers franchise.&nbsp; The Niners also dominate the divisional round, winning their past five home playoff games, including two of them against these Green Bay Packers.&nbsp; Four of those five wins coming by 14+ points as well.

We&rsquo;re in for a relative bloodbath Saturday night which will see Love and the Packers score some points but nowhere near enough to keep this game within two scores as the past repeats itself in Levi&rsquo;s Stadium.

&nbsp;

2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers AT Detroit Lions (-6 -112) &ndash; Sunday &ndash; 3 PM &ndash; NBC

For the first time since 1991 (!!!) the Detroit Lions are in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. 

The Lions have taken over the crown as America&rsquo;s favorite team this season and the chatter is at fever pitch after solidifying a home playoff win last week against LA.&nbsp; QB Jared Goff and the waves of skill players Detroit boasts made that game look like a blowout early only to have to make a huge stop late in the 4th to expunge former Lion great Matthew Stafford by 1 point.

Is it troublesome that the Lions couldn&rsquo;t put their foot on the throat of a lesser opponent last week?&nbsp; Sure.&nbsp; But this bet is almost more about the Bucs than anything.

Here&rsquo;s the thing, former #1 overall pick Baker Mayfield and blitzing genius Todd Bowles deserve a lot of credit for winning their hapless division and a playoff home game.&nbsp; However, and I can&rsquo;t stress this enough, the Eagles STINK!&nbsp; I honestly think they would have had trouble beating Carolina last week let alone a road playoff game against a veteran defense.&nbsp; The Lions ain&rsquo;t the Eagles and this game is at Ford Field.

I&rsquo;m not sure there is a playoff atmosphere I&rsquo;d love to take a portal too more than Detroit last Sunday.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s going to be even more raucous this week.&nbsp; 

I see Detroit mixing up their offense like they always do with a steady dose of the run game behind their &ldquo;Thunder and Lightning&rdquo; package of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs which will get Goff&rsquo;s lethal play-action game in motion.&nbsp; 

Baker is banged up but an all-time gamer.&nbsp; However, if the Lions are going to lose at home, it will have to be in a shootout type game and the Bucs won&rsquo;t be able to keep up in this spot.

&nbsp;

1. Green Bay Packers AT San Francisco 49ers (OVER 50.5 -112) &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; FOX

We&rsquo;re going back to the well this week with a total in the #1 spot.

I absolutely LOVE this over Saturday night.&nbsp; Like I mentioned in my Niners (-9.5) write-up, these offenses can light up the scoreboard.&nbsp; It will mirror the Seahawks/49ers game last year when Geno Smith was able to make some plays early only to watch San Fran pile on a young and leaky defense in their home stadium.

We know Shanahan is going to be in his play calling bag with so much time to prepare.&nbsp; I see them scoring on their first drive with scripted plays only &ldquo;Ask Madden&rdquo; on rookie mode could produce.&nbsp; No one is better at getting everyone to eat than Shanahan.&nbsp; McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle will all see the endzone Saturday night with Jordan Love sneaking in some backdoor garbage as we watch this game sail into the 60&rsquo;s.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

Divisional Weekend - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 18 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 44-42-4 (51.2%)

<ul>
	<li>We begin in Week 18&rsquo;s de facto Playoff Game in Indy.&nbsp; The Texans and Colts (OVER 47.5) played an extremely tense and more defensive orientated game than I thought.</li>
	<li>We got in the win column with the Lions (-3.5) who as expected didn&rsquo;t let off the gas at all and are entering the playoffs with the swagger needed to make a run.</li>
	<li>Over to snowy New England for a gross, never had a shot, Pats (-2) bet.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s fitting that Bill Belichick&rsquo;s last game was a loss against the team he dominated for decades.</li>
	<li>Jordan Love is playing lights out and would not let his Packers be denied a playoff spot.&nbsp; The Bears (+3) enter what will be a franchise altering off-season after some inspiring play late in the year.</li>
	<li>Thank God for the Sunday night chaser as the Bills (-2.5) won the AFC East after what appeared to be insurmountable odds just 6 weeks ago.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>

We made it!&nbsp; The regular season is over, and we finished JUST above .500 on the year.&nbsp; Hope everyone enjoyed the articles, but we don&rsquo;t stop here.&nbsp; The Top 5 will continue throughout the post-season and I don&rsquo;t know if I remember a playoff bracket more difficult to predict.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s get it!

&nbsp;

Wildcard Weekend

5. Cleveland Browns (-2 -112) AT Houston Texans &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 4:30 PM &ndash; NBC

This may be a principle bet in the first game of the weekend.

A few weeks ago, amid this amazing Flacco run, I told myself that I didn&rsquo;t care who it was against and what the line was&hellip; I was betting the Browns against the AFC South winner.&nbsp; Now, at the time, I thought it would be Jacksonville or maybe even Indy.&nbsp; But it&rsquo;s my beloved Texans and rookie sensation CJ Stroud!&nbsp; Ugh.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m still backing Cleveland.

Here&rsquo;s the thing, as you do your research this week, you&rsquo;ll see the Browns defense has struggled mightily on the road this year.&nbsp; You&rsquo;ll also see that the Browns smashing Houston in their building came without Stroud on the other sideline just three weeks ago.&nbsp; All of this is true.&nbsp; However, this is the playoffs and the very first playoff game (of many) for the young signal caller Stroud.&nbsp; Most times (more on this later) I&rsquo;m absolutely backing the veteran against the rookie in this spot.&nbsp; 

But it really does come down to the defense for me.&nbsp; Cleveland is LOADED with playmakers on that side of the ball and although Stroud has made so few mistakes this year at home, I keep envisioning a tough turnover late in this one to seal it for the road Brownies.&nbsp; Feed me Flacco AT Baltimore!

&nbsp;

4. Green Bay Packers (+7 -108) AT Dallas Cowboys &ndash; Sunday &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

And just like that, I&rsquo;m going against what I said above in pick #4 of the Top 5.

Yes, Packers QB Jordan Love is not a rookie, but this is his first full season.&nbsp; A full season that I must say, has shocked me beyond belief.&nbsp; This kid is the real deal.&nbsp; I feel for Packers fans that they had to wait all of ZERO seasons to go from future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers to another QB destined for pro bowls galore.&nbsp; 

Head coach Matt LaFleur has been tremendous during the Packers run to the 7 seed.&nbsp; They have gotten healthier by the week and offensively have lethal weapons at Love&rsquo;s disposal.&nbsp; WR Jayden Reed jumps off the tape immediately on pretty much every route under the sun.&nbsp; Romeo Doubs has been a dependable possession receiver all year and speedster Christian Watson is hopeful to return Sunday.&nbsp; In the backfield, RB Aaron Jones looks like he&rsquo;s 3 years younger the last month leading the league in rushing over that time.&nbsp; These boys are going to score.

The Cowboys admittedly are a dynamo at home this season and QB Dak Prescott will garner MVP votes in what has been a tremendous season for #4.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re going to score too (more on that later as well) but I&rsquo;ll never feel that we&rsquo;re ever dead getting a full 7 points here.&nbsp; 

Everyone is lauding the Lions/Rams as the game of the weekend, and it will be fantastic, but give me this one to arguably be the most fun with the Packers covering the spread.

&nbsp;

3. Philadelphia Eagles AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (UNDER 43.5 -110) &ndash; Monday &ndash; 8 PM &ndash; ESPN

With the fun playoff games, we also have the agonizing.

Make no mistake about it, Monday night we will all be treated to what will equate to watching paint dry.

The Eagles are in a tailspin, actually tailspin might not be strong enough a word for what is going on with the reigning NFC Champions.&nbsp; The defense stinks, the offense is inept, the QB and top WR are hurt, the running game gets abandoned, and on and on it goes.&nbsp; 

On the other side, the Bucs aren&rsquo;t exactly a world beater offense.&nbsp; QB Baker Mayfield has come crashing down to Earth of late and is nursing multiple injuries.&nbsp; The run game has improved but it&rsquo;s still middle to bottom of the league.&nbsp; I mean, they didn&rsquo;t score a TD last week in Carolina to win the division in what felt more like a mid-June blowout MLB game 9-0.&nbsp; Yuck.

Couple all of this with the weather forecast calling for thunderstorms and possible torrential rainfall.&nbsp; I wish we didn&rsquo;t have to watch this one but since we must, I&rsquo;m on the under as I can&rsquo;t see a scenario where both teams get to the 20&rsquo;s.

&nbsp;

2. Miami Dolphins AT Kansas City Chiefs (UNDER 43.5 -112) &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; Peacock

Another under?!?!&nbsp; What am I doing to you all??

If you live under a rock, that&rsquo;s the only way you don&rsquo;t know that it&rsquo;s supposed to be an all time freezing game in Arrowhead Saturday night.&nbsp; Right now, it&rsquo;s expected to be -2 degrees with a wind chill of -20.&nbsp; If you&rsquo;re attending this game, God Bless you&hellip;

I LOVED KC all week but apparently all the big money players did as well, and the line grew from -3 all the way to -4.5.&nbsp; Normally I wouldn&rsquo;t be spooked too badly but Mahomes over a field goal is not a long-term winning battle, so I&rsquo;ll abstain.&nbsp; With that said, I&rsquo;ve never wavered on this under.&nbsp; The Chiefs offensive woes are well documented.&nbsp; They have one WR in Rashee Rice who strikes any fear and DB Jalen Ramsey will blanket him.&nbsp; TE Travis Kelce has had his worst year since he was a rookie and will be bracketed all game long.&nbsp; Who is going to score all the points?&nbsp; Mahomes will find a way I&rsquo;m sure, but I don&rsquo;t see any chance they all of a sudden go off for the first time all year in this one.

Man, the Dolphins are so unlucky.&nbsp; I mean, you can&rsquo;t lose that Monday night game to Tennessee as a billion-point favorite and not expect it to bite you.&nbsp; Losing a division in which you were -400 to win just 6 weeks ago is painful and I feel for their fans.&nbsp; Their prize?&nbsp; A sub-zero tilt with the defending champs.&nbsp; QB Tua Tagovailoa has never played in a game less than 30 degrees and has horrendous splits and trends against winning teams as it is.&nbsp; Not only that, but no playoff team is more ravaged by injuries than the Phins.&nbsp; They absolutely NEED RB Raheem Mostert and WR Jaylen Waddle to suit up for this one to have a shot.&nbsp; 

This will be a tough watch seeing these teams navigate not being able to feel their limbs as we sit on our couches with a blanket over top.&nbsp; 16-13 somebody.&nbsp; Write it down.

&nbsp;

1. Green Bay Packers AT Dallas Cowboys (OVER 50.5 -112) &ndash; Sunday &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

Ok, ok, let&rsquo;s have some FUN at #1!

I said it all in my Packers +7 write-up, but I LOVE this over Sunday afternoon at Jerry&rsquo;s World.&nbsp; The Packers have scored 27 or more in four of their last seven games including 33+ in three of them.&nbsp; Jordan Love ranks 2nd in the league with 32 TD passes and the play calling has improved immensely as the season wore on.&nbsp; On the defensive side, they&rsquo;ve played well the past two weeks (vs Nick Mullins and Justin Fields) but they&rsquo;re not a very good unit altogether.&nbsp; They will absolutely give up points to the vaunted Dallas offense.

Speaking of the Cowboys, they lead the league in points per game (29.9) and are a total juggernaut at home averaging a whopping 37.4 ppg.&nbsp; When they get rolling on the field with the Star at midfield they seldom can be stopped.&nbsp; QB Dak Prescott led the league this season with 36 TD passes and WR Ceedee Lamb took home the receptions title with 135.&nbsp; Lamb also came in just behind Tyreek Hill with 1,749 yards on the year.&nbsp; Massive season for him.

In the run game, Packers RB Aaron Jones, as I mentioned above, has been on tear with 358 yards in the past three weeks.&nbsp; The Cowboys run game kinda stinks, but they haven&rsquo;t needed it with Dak spreading it around to his plethora of weapons.&nbsp; Lamb, Brandin Cooks, Jake Ferguson, and Tony Pollard all have over 50 catches on the year and the play calling has been exquisite for most of the season.

I don&rsquo;t see any scenario where this isn&rsquo;t a back-and-forth barnburner and I&rsquo;ll double down that this will be the game of the weekend.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabil</a>

Wildcard Weekend - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 17 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 42-39-4 (51.9%)

<ul>
	<li>Let&rsquo;s begin with another #1 pick hit in the Top 5.&nbsp; The Giants/Rams (OVER 43.5) was one of the most entertaining games of the weekend and Tyrod made sure we got the points we needed with plenty of time to spare.</li>
	<li>Unfortunately, our other O/U bet crashed and burned in Houston.&nbsp; The Texans/Colts (OVER 44) had no shot as the home team&rsquo;s defense showed their teeth all afternoon.</li>
	<li>No worse feeling than when you have the right side for 58 minutes only to see the dog backdoor you on 4th and goal.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s exactly what happened to the Colts (+4).&nbsp; Brutal stuff.</li>
	<li>The Bears (-2.5), more on them later, continued to prove Vegas wrong as they handled Atlanta at home.&nbsp; Chicago is absolutely the team you do NOT want to play right now.</li>
	<li>I want to apologize to all who followed and had to watch that dreadful Chargers (+4) vs. Broncos game.&nbsp; We had a shot late in the 4th but unlike the Raiders, LA decided to kick the field goal down 10 on 2nd down instead of providing us with a delightful cover.</li>
</ul>

Quick note about Week 18&hellip;. It&rsquo;s brutal.&nbsp; Ha!&nbsp;

There will be backups and 3rd stringers galore so make sure you research everything.&nbsp; Also of note, just because a team MUST win to make the playoffs/keep hopes alive, doesn&rsquo;t mean they will.&nbsp; In fact, trends tell you it&rsquo;s the other way around.&nbsp; Just something to keep in mind.

&nbsp;

Week 18

5. Minnesota Vikings AT Detroit Lions (-3.5 -108) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

What a tumultuous week it has been for the 2023-24 NFC North champs.

Coming off one of the most puzzling endings in league history last week in Dallas, the Lions finish off their tremendous season at home vs a desperate Vikings squad.&nbsp; All week I went back and forth on this game.&nbsp; But remember what I said above, just because a team needs to win and the other is indifferent, doesn&rsquo;t mean they will.

Can you imagine how incensed the Lions facility was the past 7 days?&nbsp; I picture Dan Campbell just pacing in his office, face as red as the sun, tossing and turning at night wondering how in the hell the refs took that win away from them last Saturday.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s not going to lay down in this game, especially with an outside chance at the two seed still available.

With the Vikings, I mean, they sure looked like they quit last Sunday night in a blowout loss to the Packers, at home, with the world watching.&nbsp; The quarterback situation is untenable at this point and the defense has been figured out.&nbsp;

TE Sam LaPorta is looking to join RB Jahmyr Gibbs as the only team in history to have two rookies with 10 touchdowns (add it to my card) and the Lions have a chance to get to 12 wins for only the 2nd time in franchise history.&nbsp; Give me Detroit.

&nbsp;

4. Houston Texans AT Indianapolis Colts (OVER 47.5 -110) &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; ABC

We have ourselves a playoff game one week early on Saturday night.

This is simple for these two AFC South rivals, win and you&rsquo;re in the playoffs.&nbsp; I expect fireworks in Indy.&nbsp; Texans QB CJ Stroud is looking to put a stamp on his &ldquo;Rookie of the Year&rdquo; season while Colts head coach Shane Steichen finishes up what has been a &lsquo;miracle worker&rsquo; type first year in Indy.&nbsp; 

These two teams played all the way back in Week 2, a Colts 31-20 win in Houston.&nbsp; Stroud has only improved since then and having played last game after a few weeks injured I see him lighting it up.&nbsp; The Colts defense has regressed mightily of late, and I don&rsquo;t think they&rsquo;ll be able to keep the Texans at bay.&nbsp; However, we know QB Gardner Minshew is the ultimate gamer and won&rsquo;t go down without a fight.&nbsp; The offense is fully healthy and although the Texans have a stiff run D, I see Jonathan Taylor dancing in the end zone Saturday night.

The over is 7-1 in Colts home games with an average of 52 points per game.&nbsp; We&rsquo;ll get to our number easily in this one.

&nbsp;

3. New York Jets AT New England Patriots (-2 -115) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

If this really is the last time we&rsquo;ll see the best head coach to ever do it don that cut-off Pats hoodie, there is no greater way to go out than ANOTHER win against the Jets in Gillette Stadium.

Two seasons to throw in the toilet and flush repeatedly will mercifully come to an end in Foxborough Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; This Jets year, full of one step forward 10 steps back, was doomed on the 5th play from scrimmage back in Week 1 when Aaron Rodgers&rsquo; Achilles snapped and curled up his leg.&nbsp; For New England, it&rsquo;s a complete wash of a season that I&rsquo;m sure many fans hope they finish with one more L to ensure a top 3 pick in the draft.&nbsp; 

I don&rsquo;t care if you&rsquo;ve heard this before, it&rsquo;s too insane to not emphasize. &nbsp;Bill Belichick has owned the Jets to such an extent it feels fake.&nbsp; How about 15 wins in a row vs. New York.&nbsp; Even more impressive would be 23-2 over the past 25 games and the only two losses for the Patriots were in overtime!&nbsp; If this is truly it&hellip;you just KNOW Bill wants to finish this the only way he knows how.&nbsp; By beating the New York Jets (by 3 or more).

&nbsp;

2. Chicago Bears (+3 -115) AT Green Bay Packers &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

Of course I&rsquo;m back on my Bears for the final time of the season!&nbsp; 

5-2 straight up the past couple of months, I&rsquo;m not sure there&rsquo;s been a team who has padded our wallets more than Chicago.&nbsp; They have that 2022-23 Detroit Lions feel to them.&nbsp; Started the season horrendously and came on like gangbusters at the end.&nbsp; This is absolutely a team you do NOT want to play right now, especially when you need to win to get in the playoffs like Green Bay does.

This is the Bears Super Bowl (as sad as that sounds).&nbsp; Not only that but the fans have been all aboard the &ldquo;Keep Fields&rdquo; train of late and he&rsquo;s been outstanding.&nbsp; The entire offense has.&nbsp; In fact, the past two weeks they&rsquo;ve ranked top 4 in points per game, 2nd in total yards and 1st in the NFL in rush yards.&nbsp; They have also had 24 &ldquo;Big Plays&rdquo; (rushes of 10+ yards and passes of 20+) during that span proving they can beat you in a number of ways right now.

Packers QB Jordan Love has had an incredible 1st year as a starter making other NFC North fans question what deal with the devil the Packers made to never have a QB issue in the past 30 years.&nbsp; But I see heartache in Week 18 for the young gunslinger.&nbsp; Remember what I said earlier, just because you have to win doesn&rsquo;t mean you will.&nbsp; In fact, teams that are in must win situations in the final week of the season cover only 39% of the time against teams who have no motivation.

Chicago has a reason however, and that is to ensure their hated rivals don&rsquo;t make the playoffs.&nbsp; JUST like Detroit did this time last year to the very same Packers team.

&nbsp;

1. Buffalo Bills (-2.5 -120) AT Miami Dolphins &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC 

Let me take you back to Week 4.&nbsp;

Dolphins AT Bills.&nbsp; Miami, undefeated and coming off their 50-point drubbing against the Broncos.&nbsp; You pulled up David&rsquo;s Top 5 and scoffed at my Bills pick at #1.&nbsp; Well, we won that day, by four touchdowns, and I&rsquo;m running back the same play in Week 18.

With this game being the very last of the league&rsquo;s season, we will be well aware of the stakes.&nbsp; The Bills can win the AFC East AND get the #2 seed with a win.&nbsp; They can also miss the playoffs altogether with a loss coupled with Steelers AND Jaguar wins.&nbsp; It is perfect that this topsy-turvy Buffalo season has outcomes on such wild ends of the spectrum. &nbsp;I believe in Josh Allen and the boys.

Miami has had a great season; however, they do show those &ldquo;fraud&rdquo; characteristics you see every year in the NFL.&nbsp; Outside of the Cowboys win/cover at home which they covered a closing line of -1.5 by the hook, the Dolphins are 0-4 ATS against teams with winning records this season.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m a proponent of you can only play who is on your schedule but that doesn&rsquo;t exactly spark confidence in this huge matchup if I&rsquo;m a Phins fan.&nbsp; More importantly, Miami&rsquo;s roster is being held together with duct tape right now with injuries to key players on both sides of the ball. &nbsp;

Buffalo has been essentially playing playoff games for over a month now, winning four in a row, and has the feel of a team who is about to make a deep run.&nbsp; Give me the Bills to finish their story going from 6-6 to division winners Sunday night.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 18 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 16 Record: 2-2-1 / Overall: 40-36-4 (52.8%)

<ul>
	<li>Let&rsquo;s start with the worst bet of the weekend in Houston (+3).&nbsp; I was dead wrong that Case Keenum could hang with this miraculous Joe Flacco story.</li>
	<li>Over to Nashville where Vrabel and the Titans (+3.5) kept being the dog we know and love hanging on for a 0.5-point cover against Seattle.</li>
	<li>In Minnesota, we got Mullins&rsquo;d.&nbsp; The Vikings (+3) threw it all over the Lions suspect defense but, in the end, the turnovers proved too much to overcome.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Down to South Beach where the Dolphins and Cowboys (+2) played in a playoff type atmosphere that saw a ton of big plays and even more killer mistakes.&nbsp; We&rsquo;ll take our push and move forward.</li>
	<li>Finally, in the #1 spot of the Top 5, the Bucs (+1) may have been our easiest win of the year as they wiped the floor with the Jags who are only a couple of weeks away from losing to the Browns in the wildcard round.</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Week 17

5. Tennessee Titans AT Houston Texans (OVER 44 -108) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

You know it&rsquo;s a tough spread week when I go with two overs in the Top 5, the first of which in the Oiler&rsquo;s jersey battle.

These two teams played each other just a couple of weeks ago to an overtime snoozer but I believe this will be opened up.&nbsp; The Texans&rsquo; defense hasn&rsquo;t played well of late while Tennessee knows this is likely the last run for RB Derrick Henry and possibly head coach Mike Vrabel.&nbsp; QB Will Levis is back for this one and will look to continue the momentum in his rookie season.

This game will also have the welcome return of rookie of the year CJ Stroud under center for the Texans. &nbsp;I expect him to be rearing to go for this one as Houston can still make the playoffs in his first season.&nbsp; Look for the home team to touch 30 in this one as this game cruises over the number.

&nbsp;

4. Las Vegas Raiders AT Indianapolis Colts (-4 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Up to Indy in what I feel is the PERFECT spot to fade the public.

Interim coach Antonio Pierce and the Raiders have been one of the better stories in the 2nd half of this NFL year and they&rsquo;re coming into this matchup off an incredible upset victory in Kansas City last week.&nbsp; But let&rsquo;s look closer at that win.

Vegas QB Aiden O&rsquo;Connell was atrocious and never completed a pass in the 2nd half of that game.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s truly insane!&nbsp; In fact, O&rsquo;Connell has been the worst road starting QB in the league this season completing just 56% of his passes for 190.3 yds a game, 1 TD to 4 INT and a 59.5 passer rating.&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t back that.

The Raiders defense has been thriving off of turnovers which are impossible to handicap, and as I&rsquo;ve said before, QB Gardner Minshew is a different player at home.&nbsp; Stud head coach Shane Steichen will have his boys ready for this one and I see the Colts winning by a couple scores.

&nbsp;

3. Los Angeles Chargers (+4 -120) AT Denver Broncos &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

What an incredibly awkward week it&rsquo;s been in the Rocky&rsquo;s.

You know the story by now, but QB Russell Wilson was benched due to contract issues&hellip;I mean because Sean Payton is trying to win games.&nbsp; He said that.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not going to sit here and tell you Russ has been amazing this season but that&rsquo;s a crock.&nbsp; Former Patriot Jarrett Stidham takes over for Denver and I don&rsquo;t expect much.

The Chargers have been a must fade pretty much the whole year, but they were impressive in spurts last week against Buffalo.&nbsp; Sure, the Bills were able to overcome a sloppy start and still won the game, but QB Easton Stick got it going with his legs a bit and saw things open up downfield.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m also a huge proponent in teams battling for their interim coach in the first couple of weeks.

Give me LA to hang around all game with Stidham in what will likely be an extremely unwatchable contest.

&nbsp;

2. Atlanta Falcons AT Chicago Bears (-2.5 -120) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

This one is a mix of anti-Falcons on the road and pro-Bears defense playing incredibly well of late.

Let&rsquo;s start with Atlanta.&nbsp; My only pause here is I believe Arthur Smith is coaching for his job.&nbsp; They simply can&rsquo;t run this back if they&rsquo;re not in the mix for the division until the bitter end.&nbsp; The issue is&hellip; they kind of stink.&nbsp; They just do.&nbsp; They may not have stunk had they played Taylor Heinicke all season, but they didn&rsquo;t and now I feel it&rsquo;s too late for the Dirty Birds.

Chicago has been one of my favorite teams to back the last month of the year and it&rsquo;s mainly because of their defense.&nbsp; Especially the run D.&nbsp; Guess what Atlanta wants to do?&nbsp; Run the ball.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t see them being able to do that on this Bears front 7.&nbsp; 

For Justin Fields, these last two games are everything.&nbsp; He is auditioning for his current front office as well as half of the league as well.&nbsp; The reality for him is that the Bears are likely to have the #1 pick (Nice trade Panthers!) and the thought as of now is they will stay there and draft former Heisman trophy winner Caleb Williams.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m fully convinced Fields can still start in this league and in what may be his last game at Soldier Field, he is going to ball out.

&nbsp;

1. Los Angeles Rams AT New York Giants (OVER 43.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

The hottest team in football travels to MetLife to take on the Giants in this week&rsquo;s #1 pick in the Top 5.

All week I stared at this Rams line.&nbsp; It jumped all over the place from as low as -4 to as high as -6.5.&nbsp; I just don&rsquo;t love all of the movement and I do worry about water finding its level a little for Los Angeles in this game.&nbsp; One thing I know for sure, however, is they&rsquo;re going to score a bunch of points.

The Eagles put up 35 points on New York with relative ease in their offensive &ldquo;get right&rdquo; game on Christmas and the Rams are playing much better than Philly.&nbsp; QB Matthew Stafford looks like he&rsquo;s found the &ldquo;Fountain of Youth&rdquo;, and his plethora of weapons are all healthy and unstoppable at the moment.

The reason I&rsquo;m going with the over instead of LA rests on one guy and that&rsquo;s QB Tyrod Taylor.&nbsp; Don&rsquo;t get me wrong, the &lsquo;Tommy Cutlets&rsquo; era was a ton of fun but there is no doubt that Taylor gives the G-Men a better chance at victory.&nbsp; With the Rams D possibly a little sleepy coming East for a 1 PM game, this may be a bit back and forth early.&nbsp;

Points!&nbsp; Points!&nbsp; Points!

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 17 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 15 Record: 4-0-1 / Overall: 38-34-3 (52.8%)

Happy Holidays to all our Bet Karma readers and contributors!&nbsp; We sadly only have three more weeks of regular season NFL action&hellip; Embrace it!

We enter the home stretch on an absolute tear.&nbsp; 11-3-1 the last three weeks and I have no plans on stopping now.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s get to the recap.

<ul>
	<li>We begin in the Motor City where the Lions (-4.5) beat the breaks off Denver as their luck finally ran out.</li>
	<li>Next, let&rsquo;s travel to Lambeau where Baker Mayfield and the Bucs (+3.5) played lights out in this one putting them in the driver&rsquo;s seat in the NFC South.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Over to Cleveland where we had a painful Bears (+3) push.&nbsp; Chicago dominated most of this game but in typical Bears fashion, they coughed up the lead late in the 4th and saw the easiest Hail Mary tip right into a Browns defender&rsquo;s hands from Darnell Mooney&rsquo;s lap.</li>
	<li>At #2 we saw our Bills (-2) out plan, out run, and out muscle the Cowboys with one of their most dominating performances of the season.&nbsp; Buffalo is coming&hellip;</li>
	<li>Finally, in the #1 spot of the Top 5, the Rams (+6.5) &ldquo;played with their food&rdquo; in the 4th quarter and took what was a comfy win to a bit of a scare.&nbsp; Thankfully for us, the coach on the other sideline was Ron Rivera who simply doesn&rsquo;t know how to lead a team in the year 2023.</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Week 16

5. Seattle Seahawks AT Tennessee Titans (+3.5 -112) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

If I&rsquo;m not betting Tomlin as a home dog, you had to know I was going to back Vrabel.&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t help myself.

But I love this spot for the Titans.&nbsp; Coming off a demoralizing overtime loss to Houston last week, Tennessee stays in Nashville to face the Seahawks.&nbsp; Seattle saved their season Monday night against the reeling Eagles and QB Geno Smith will be back for this one.&nbsp; The public is ALL OVER the Hawks as I&rsquo;m sure all of you saw coming from a mile away.

Of note, QB Will Levis is questionable for this one and it may be Tannehill.&nbsp; That doesn&rsquo;t scare me, Tannehill is a veteran who has been itching to get another start and if it is him, the Hawks defense is banged up and ranks in the bottom 8 in most statistical categories.&nbsp; He won&rsquo;t be a major drop-off.

The Titans are getting 3.5 against a West coast team coming East for 1 PM kickoff, on a short week, after an emotional upset win on Monday Night Football, AND the whole world is on the Hawks?&nbsp; Yeah, I LOVE Vrabel here.&nbsp; 

&nbsp;

4. Cleveland Browns AT Houston Texans (+3 -115) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

A bit of a principle bet here with the home dog.

Houston, especially head coach DeMeco Ryans, has had a tremendous season.&nbsp; They are firmly in the wild card hunt with a chance at a division crown.&nbsp; This was a team who was the dreck of the league the past few years.&nbsp; Not only that, but they&rsquo;ve had to deal with an incredible number of injuries to their skill guys.

Rookie of the year QB CJ Stroud remains out with a concussion as is stud WR Tank Dell who broke his leg a couple weeks back.&nbsp; WR Nico Collins is questionable but likely to return and the run game is healthy.&nbsp; Backup QB Case Keenum did just enough to win in overtime, on the road, against a division rival last week.&nbsp; Why not one more?

I&rsquo;m betting Houston can hang around with a Browns team who although their defense is their calling card this season, they&rsquo;ve been exponentially worse on the road.&nbsp; QB Joe Flacco is one of the stories of the season and it&rsquo;s been a blast to watch him launch that spiral again but the Texans are hungry.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re also beasts against winning squads going 4-1 this year vs teams with a winning record.&nbsp; I can easily see Houston winning this game outright.

&nbsp;

3. Dallas Cowboys (+2 -110) AT Miami Dolphins &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

This is the &ldquo;Who is a Fraud&rdquo; game of the weekend.

These two teams have mirrored each other all season long.&nbsp; Smash the bad teams, especially at home, lose to the great teams.&nbsp; Something has to give.

The Dolphins have everything at their fingertips in terms of the #1 seed in the AFC.&nbsp; With the Ravens 6-point dogs on the road in San Fran, this is their opportunity to get even with them as their matchup looms next week.&nbsp; I see them coming up small but for a very specific reason.

Obviously, we love good teams after getting embarrassed for the world to see.&nbsp; That was Dallas last week in Buffalo.&nbsp; They likely had a very tough week of self-reflection and will be geared up for this one.&nbsp; In fact, the Cowboys have covered 12 of their last 13 games coming off a loss.&nbsp; But specifically, the Cowboys are good at what the Dolphins can&rsquo;t defend and that is protecting Tua against an elite pass rush.

WR Tyreek Hill will be returning this game and Jalen Waddle had a great game last week, but Dallas doesn&rsquo;t let the wideouts beat them.&nbsp; They haven&rsquo;t let up 150 yards to one receiver since 2021 and have allowed the 4th fewest passing yards per game this year (ESPN).&nbsp; I see this game being a back-and-forth tilt where Tua is going to have to move through his progressions to win.&nbsp; The Dolphins offensive line has been trucking teams in the run game but if it gets into shootout territory, they are one of the bottom teams in pass blocking.

Look for Micah Parsons to total 2.5 sacks as this high total game is won with defense late and the Cowboys on top.

&nbsp;

2. Detroit Lions AT Minnesota Vikings (+3 -112) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

We&rsquo;ve been reading the Lions well all year and here is a spot where I love the other side.

Minnesota is firmly in the wildcard race with a few weeks to play and that is largely because of DC Brian Flores&rsquo; defense.&nbsp; These boys have been flying around for the majority of the season and very rarely give up explosive plays.&nbsp; When Detroit really gets rolling it&rsquo;s because they&rsquo;re taking the top off and I don&rsquo;t see that happening on Sunday.

QB Nick Mullens had himself a very strong game last week in Cincy.&nbsp; Unfortunately for Minnesota, redzone turnovers cost them dearly and they lost in overtime.&nbsp; My takeaway however was that Mullens is a tremendous upgrade from Josh Dobbs and with the Vikings offense healthy on the outside, the weapons can flourish.&nbsp; Also, RB Ty Chandler ran the ball extremely well last week and has taken charge of that job.&nbsp; The Lions are susceptible to a good run game.

I know, I know, we love Jared Goff in a dome.&nbsp; But this is going to be a very tight divisional battle between two teams who need to win.&nbsp; The Vikings come into this one as underdog masters going 5-1-1 ATS this season as a dog including five straight.&nbsp; I believe the Lions may be looking ahead a little at their big Cowboys matchup next week and slip up here on the road.

&nbsp;

1. Jacksonville Jaguars AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1 -110) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; CBS

I&rsquo;m BACK on Baker in Week 16. 

The Bucs are flying high right now, winners of three in a row and improving each game.&nbsp; Mayfield has been, dare I say, elite the past few games and I don&rsquo;t expect that to change at home in this matchup vs a reeling Jags team (losers of three in a row).

It looks like QB Trevor Lawrence will be cleared to play in this one but that doesn&rsquo;t give me pause.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s been hobbled a majority of the season and has toughed it out beautifully, but the Bucs defense is starting to smell themselves.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve always had the &lsquo;dudes&rsquo; and Todd Bowles has them on fire right now.

Tampa&rsquo;s run defense has been the catalyst where they rank 9th in the league.&nbsp; On the other side, the Jags simply can&rsquo;t get going on the ground the past month averaging a paltry 71.3 yards per game.&nbsp; Lawrence is going to have to make the plays through the air to hang with Mayfield, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Rachaad White.&nbsp; White in particular has been on a tear both rushing and receiving out of the backfield totaling over 100 yards from scrimmage in four straight games. 

The Bucs have the NFC South and a home playoff game right at their fingertips and jump to a 75% chance to take the division crown with a win Sunday at home.&nbsp; Give me Baker to keep the train rolling.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 16 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 14 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 34-34-2 (50%)

<ul>
	<li>We kick off in Cincy where the Jake Browning hype train is rolling, and the Bengals (-2) are smack dab in the middle of the playoff hunt.</li>
	<li>Down to NOLA where we saw our dreadful Panthers (+6) dominate this game for long stretches but alas, they are allergic to the endzone.</li>
	<li>One of the worst picks you ever did see comes in Baltimore where my UNDER 39.5 bet was dead in what felt like the first few minutes.&nbsp; I overrated the weather big time in what ended up being one of the most exciting games of the entire season.</li>
	<li>We took care of business in the top 2 picks of the week, first in Cleveland where Joe &ldquo;Elite&rdquo; Flacco is turning the clocks back for the now 8-5 Browns (-2.5).</li>
	<li>Finally, in the #1 spot of the Top 5, the Bears (+3.5) proved they didn&rsquo;t need those points en route to a dominant 15-point home victory vs. the reeling Lions.</li>
</ul>

We somehow, someway find ourselves dead even on the season through 70 picks.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s finish strong!

&nbsp;

Week 15

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5 -115) AT Green Bay Packers &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

At first, I wanted no part of this game but as I looked closer at the Week 15 slate, the Bucs kept jumping off the page.&nbsp; 

I should admit, I was a HUGE Baker Mayfield guy when he was at Oklahoma.&nbsp; Just a true gamer who guys clearly like to battle with.&nbsp; There&rsquo;s been more bad than good as a pro but there&rsquo;s a reason this guy has taken this second chance and put Tampa tied atop the porous NFC South.

On the other sideline, Packers QB Jordan Love came crashing down to Earth for the world to see Monday Night.&nbsp; In what felt like a showcase opportunity for Love as a TD favorite in New York, ended up being the day the country fell for Tommy DeVito and his directly out of The Sopranos family and agent.&nbsp; How will he respond?

I&rsquo;m not exactly sure to be honest which makes this game a bit dicey.&nbsp; But I want Baker, getting 3.5 points, in what I&rsquo;m envisioning as a game that goes down to the last seconds in Lambeau.

&nbsp;

4. Denver Broncos AT Detroit Lions (-4.5 -115) &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; NFL Network

Coming in at #4 we have our sole Saturday game as Denver travels into the Motor City.

The Lions have been in a bit of a tailspin the past few weeks.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve lost two of their last three games, both to divisional opponents, and desperately need to right the ship this week at home in primetime.&nbsp; This is the perfect spot to get right in my opinion.

Denver&rsquo;s incredible stretch of winning has been awesome to see.&nbsp; Starting a season 1-5 with a new coach, a beleaguered QB, and after a disastrous 2022 season could end a team before the midway point.&nbsp; However, to everyone wearing orange and blue&rsquo;s credit, they&rsquo;ve responded.&nbsp; Winners of six of the last seven, the Broncos somehow find themselves only a game behind the Chiefs for the AFC West crown.&nbsp; So why am I going against them?

It&#39;s another one of those &ldquo;water must find its level&rdquo; type games just like a couple weeks back when I had the Texans in the Top 5 against Denver.&nbsp; This is an extremely tough place to play where Lions QB Jared Goff not only thrives, but he&rsquo;s also the best dome QB ATS in the last 20 years.&nbsp; The Lions are 8-1 when they give up 20 or less points and Denver isn&rsquo;t going to light up any scoreboard.

Look for Detroit to get right Saturday night with a comfy TD+ victory at home.

&nbsp;

3. Chicago Bears (+3 -115) AT Cleveland Browns &ndash; 1 PM - FOX

I&rsquo;m BACK on the Bears in Week 15.

This team has gone from unwatchable, to injured and unsightly, to slightly entertaining, to &ldquo;is this team going to win out?&rdquo;&nbsp; 

Winners of three of their last four, Chicago has found something special.&nbsp; Especially on defense.&nbsp; I mentioned last week they&rsquo;ve skyed into the top 7 in all critical defensive categories the last month and this past week may have been their most impressive performance.&nbsp; Hell, the only game the Bears lost the last month was when they inexplicitly coughed up a 12-point lead with 4 minutes to go against Detroit.&nbsp; 

Cleveland hung on for dear life last week at home against the Jags and come into this game as the 5 seed in the AFC.&nbsp; It has been an incredible job by head coach Kevin Stefanski who has found a way to win individual games with four different starting quarterbacks.&nbsp; That has to be a record.&nbsp; This week they named almost 39-year-old, and Super Bowl champion, Joe Flacco their starting QB for the rest of the year.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s a hell of a story.

Unfortunately for Joe and the Browns faithful, I think the surprise factor is done and the Bears defense is going to wreak havoc over this banged up Cleveland offense.&nbsp; The Browns are down several starting offensive linemen, have two ailing running backs, and I can&rsquo;t help but imagine Flacco having defenders in his face every time he steps up into a pocket Sunday.&nbsp; 

Give me Chicago to hang in there all game, possibly winning this game outright. 

&nbsp;

2. Dallas Cowboys AT Buffalo Bills (-2 -115) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

Spot play time!

The most anticipated matchup of the weekend comes to us from Orchard Park, NY where the red-hot Cowboys come in against a desperate Bills squad.&nbsp; Buffalo is 7-6 but has had their playoff hopes revived over the past week.&nbsp; Stuck at the end of six team tie for the wildcard spots, Buffalo NEEDS to win with their lack of tiebreaking potential.&nbsp;

The Cowboys, rightfully so, are back in the good graces of the national landscape.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve had a great year and are coming off a truly dominating performance against the defending NFC Champion Eagles at home.&nbsp; At home...&nbsp; That&rsquo;s the key phrase.&nbsp; This team is lethal at home.&nbsp; But this game isn&rsquo;t at Jerry World.&nbsp; I think this is crucial.

The weather is calling for warm temperatures, 83% chance of rain and swirling winds up to 15 mph.&nbsp; I think this benefits the home team immensely. &nbsp;QB Dak Prescott is the clubhouse leader for MVP based on betting odds and he deserves to be so.&nbsp; But this game may be won more in the trenches.&nbsp; Give me RB James Cook (four straight games with 100+ scrimmage yards) and Josh Allen (631 rushing yds, 7.1 per carry) to muck it up in this one on the ground.

Speaking of Allen, you know we love him in this spot.&nbsp; As an underdog or favorite of 3 or less, Allen is 21-9-2 ATS and covering at an average of 5 points per game.&nbsp;

&ldquo;No one circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills!&rdquo;

&nbsp;

1. Washington Commanders AT Los Angeles Rams (-6.5 -112) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; FOX

In what may be one of the most public plays I&rsquo;ll make all year, give me the Rams at home to smash Washington.

LA suddenly has the look of a team the top seeds do NOT want to see in a playoff matchup.&nbsp; Coach Sean McVay has his boys healthy and rolling offensively the past three weeks (averaging 34.7 over that span).&nbsp; RB Kyren Williams has been a revelation this season and don&rsquo;t get me started on Puka Nacua.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s special.&nbsp; Couple those guys with Cooper Kupp and a healthy, and slingin&rsquo; it, Mattew Stafford, they could beat a lot of top teams.

The Commanders are terrible, but they&rsquo;re especially bad against what the Rams do great.&nbsp; Washington is the worst defense in preventing 20 yd plays downfield.&nbsp; The Rams can do that with their eyes closed and I fully expect them to on Sunday afternoon.

Washington is just about to quit on their coaching staff and this season.&nbsp; Sofi Stadium against the red-hot Rams is the perfect place to put the nail in the coffin.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabil</a>

NFL Week 15 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 13 Record: 4-1 / Overall: 31-32-2 (49.2%)

<ul>
	<li>We begin in Nashville where the Titans (+1) wouldn&rsquo;t stop tripping over themselves on special teams, coughed up a big lead, and ultimately lost to the Colts in overtime.&nbsp; No team in the league is luckier than Indy.</li>
	<li>It was all winning, all the time with the rest of the Top 5.&nbsp; Starting in New Orleans which saw our Lions (-4) jump out to a 21-0 lead and hanging on for dear life to cover the spread late.</li>
	<li>The Texans (-3) are so much fun to watch for many reasons.&nbsp; They probably should have won this game more handily but that&rsquo;s just not their way.&nbsp; Thanks to a clutch INT in the endzone, the home team hung on to keep their wildcard hopes alive.</li>
	<li>In our #1 bet of the weekend the Cardinals (+6.5) not only covered this ridiculous spread, but they also won the game outright.&nbsp; Pittsburgh appears to be dead after two atrocious home losses to basement dwelling teams.</li>
	<li>Sunday night we took the home team Packers (+6) who are now one of the scariest squads on the schedule as they beat the defending champs on national TV moving them into the 7 seed.</li>
</ul>

4-1 week with two big dogs winning outright!&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s keep the momentum rolling!

&nbsp;

Week 14

5. Los Angeles Rams AT Baltimore Ravens (UNDER 39.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Weather alert!&nbsp; We begin in Baltimore in what is forecasted to be a downpour Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; 

I thought long and hard about taking the Rams with the points all week but I&rsquo;m switching it up.&nbsp; The LA run game behind Kyren Williams has been lethal the past couple of games and McVay/Stafford get cooking when they can work the play-action.&nbsp; The problem here is obviously the weather.&nbsp; In this type of slop, I can see Lamar, Gus Edwards and the vaunted Ravens defense (league leading 15.6 ppg allowed) grounding this game to a halt for much of the afternoon.

The only drawback I have on taking the Ravens is the great possibility of a Rams backdoor cover so I&rsquo;m going under here.

&nbsp;

4. Indianapolis Colts AT Cincinnati Bengals (-2 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Who else had Jake Browning playing lights out en route to a road win on Monday Night Football as a 9.5-point dog on their bingo card?&nbsp; 

What a performance by the former Washington Huskie in Jacksonville.&nbsp; He was accurate and made quick, correct decisions all game.&nbsp; Yes, losing Joe Burrow was a killer to the Bengals playoff hopes but let us not forget that the Bengals are loaded with talent.&nbsp; 

Indy is scorching hot, there is no denying that.&nbsp; However, if you watch the games, you can see just how lucky they&rsquo;ve been during this stretch.&nbsp; They have needed every break to go their way.&nbsp; The comeback last week to beat a bad Titans team, almost blew a big lead against Tampa at home, won a snoozefest against the awful Patriots, and beat the 1-win Panthers.&nbsp; Not exactly murderer&rsquo;s row.&nbsp; 

It&rsquo;s going to be cold and windy in Cincy Sunday and I&rsquo;d rather back the team with more playmakers than Gardner Minshew on the road.

&nbsp;

3. Carolina Panthers (+6 -110) AT New Orleans Saints &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Principle bet time.&nbsp; 

The Saints (mainly Dennis Allen) stink and shouldn&rsquo;t be favored by a touchdown against anyone.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s just the truth.&nbsp; Dennis Allen is ranked in the 140&rsquo;s out of 150 coaches ATS of guys with 50 games or more.&nbsp; Hell, he is 20-45 straight up as a head coach in the NFL!&nbsp; And you can see why when you watch the Saints play.

Let&rsquo;s dive a little deeper into the Saints ATS this year.&nbsp; They are 2-9-1 ATS this season and 0-5 ATS at home.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s nuts.&nbsp; You&rsquo;d think they would at least luck into a couple home covers when you&rsquo;re 5-7.&nbsp; The redzone offense jumps out to me the most.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve shown they can get yards behind Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara and co. in between the 20&rsquo;s.&nbsp; But in the red area, they rank 26th in the league.&nbsp; 

Now, I&rsquo;ve gone this far without mentioning the immense number of Saints injuries.&nbsp; Stud WR Chris Olave has been sick all week but likely will play, playmaker Taysom Hill is a true game-time decision with zero practice time this week, and defensive captain Cam Heyward is questionable as well.&nbsp; But the big one, QB Derek Carr, is questionable with a plethora of ailments (Concussion/Shoulder/Ribs).&nbsp; This guy is a beaten man.&nbsp; If he doesn&rsquo;t go, it&rsquo;s Jameis time, and nothing is more entertaining than watching Winston sling it around without a care in the world.

Carolina has played the Saints tough for the past couple of seasons.&nbsp; They covered in their first matchup this year and won both games outright in 2022.&nbsp; Give me the Panthers to hang in there all game and possibly pull off the outright upset.

&nbsp;

2. Jacksonville Jaguars AT Cleveland Browns (-2.5&nbsp;-110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Poor Jags fans.

There they were, Monday night football, 10-point favorites, with the top seed in the AFC at their fingertips.&nbsp; On the first play of that Bengals game, leading WR Christian Kirk gets knocked out with a groin injury, and later the big one&hellip; QB Trevor Lawrence got rolled up on his ankle.&nbsp; As he threw his helmet to the ground, obscenities flying from his mouth, the Jags special season appeared to be going down in flames.

Ok that was a bit dramatic writing there.&nbsp; 

Lawrence appears to have dodged a massive injury and is still somehow questionable to play in this game.&nbsp; Which is wild after watching him barely put any weight on that ankle for what felt like an hour (Can someone get this man a cart please!?!).&nbsp; Even if he is cleared to play, this is a disaster matchup for Jacksonville.

The Browns defense at home has been all-time great.&nbsp; They rank #1 in Points allowed, yards allowed, yards per play, and 3rd down percentage while surrounded by their &ldquo;Dog Pound&rdquo;.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve proven that it doesn&rsquo;t matter who is at QB for them either.&nbsp; Couple all of this with a disgusting weather forecast (39 degrees/13-16 mph winds) and I just can&rsquo;t see the Florida team with all those injuries finding a way to win this game.

Give me Joe &ldquo;Elite&rdquo; Flacco and the Brownies. 

&nbsp;

1. Detroit Lions AT Chicago Bears (+3.5 -120) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

We head up to Chi-town for our #1 pick in this week&rsquo;s Top 5.

This game is a rematch from just three weeks ago when the Bears blew a 12-point lead with 4 minutes to go in Detroit.&nbsp; What felt, at the time, as a sleepy Lions team overlooking their crumbling division rival has actually turned into a showing of what these teams are today.&nbsp; Let me explain.

Chicago&rsquo;s defense has played well this season, especially of late.&nbsp; You&rsquo;d be shocked to know they have the #1 ranked rush defensive in the league giving up only 79 yds per game on the ground.&nbsp; This is going to loom large in what will be another cold and blustery game on the Week 14 slate.&nbsp;

Speaking of cold, let&rsquo;s take a peek at Lions QB Jared Goff&rsquo;s numbers when the thermometer drops.&nbsp; Goff is 34-34-2 ATS outdoors overall, not bad. &nbsp;However, that number dips to 9-14-1 ATS in December/January.&nbsp; Most troubling for Detroit fans though is that offenses led by Goff are averaging less than 14 points per game when it&rsquo;s below 50 degrees.&nbsp;

In the wind, you want to run the ball, but the Bears are stout there so it&rsquo;s going to have to be Goff making plays through the air to win this game.&nbsp; If the play-action becomes a non-factor, I simply don&rsquo;t think he&rsquo;ll be able to make those plays with the high gusts circling Soldier Field.

This all coupled with Chicago being the 4th best rush offense in the league and the Lions defense coming unraveled lately (over 30 PPG allowed the last month, 2nd worst scoring defense since Week 7) is why I&rsquo;m backing the Bears this Sunday.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 14 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 12 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 27-31-2 (46.6%)

<ul>
	<li>Let&rsquo;s get this out of the way first, the Texans (+1.5) were robbed by some of the worst officiating I&rsquo;ve ever seen.&nbsp; With that said, they still had the kick to tie it but unfortunately for us, the crossbar was in the way.</li>
	<li>The Bucs/Colts matchup was the entertaining back and forth game I had hoped for as we climbed above our OVER 45 bet in the 4th.</li>
	<li>The Giants (+4) and Pats played in the disgusting slop fest we expected which saw a New England field goal yanked left late to ensure our victory (and move them into the 3rd overall pick)</li>
	<li>The Broncos are cooking right now, there is no denying that.&nbsp; This Browns (+1.5) bet was a bad miss by me.</li>
	<li>Just when I want to fall for the Raiders (+9) in terms of the spread, they go and rip my heart out.&nbsp; How do you go up 14-0, as a 9-pt dog, at home and not cover??&nbsp; This one hurt.</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Week 13

5. Indianapolis Colts AT Tennessee Titans (+1 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Come on, you know what this is by now.&nbsp; This is a &ldquo;smash Vrabel as a home dog against a division opponent spot.&rdquo;

There isn&rsquo;t much other reasoning you&rsquo;ll find from me here.&nbsp; They keep letting this man be a dog at home and he keeps cashing tickets.&nbsp; Does QB Will Levis scare me?&nbsp; Sure does.&nbsp; But the Colts defense isn&rsquo;t any world beaters.&nbsp; I actually think he will play really well in this matchup.

RB Jonathan Taylor is out for a few weeks after having surgery (big time bummer as he was just starting to look amazing the past couple games) and Zack Moss steps back in.&nbsp; The wind will be swirling in this one so the run game will be paramount.&nbsp; I give Tennessee the edge there.

The Colts need this game and I get that but I&rsquo;m visualizing the Titans getting up for that moment to tear a rival down in their house.&nbsp; 

&nbsp;

4. Detroit Lions (-4 -112) AT New Orleans Saints &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I have gone through all the range of emotions on this game.

I bet it immediately at -3 early in the week, fully expecting it to spike towards the 5-6 area.&nbsp; But here it has landed on -4 and I just do not understand this one.&nbsp; 

The Lions got flat out embarrassed on Thanksgiving for the world to see.&nbsp; While you were spoiling your dinner on the charcuterie board yet again, waiting for that delicious turkey to simmer; Packers QB Jordan Love was tossing TDs with ease and Jared Goff couldn&rsquo;t hold onto the football if his life depended on it.&nbsp; 

Your prop parlays with the Lions ML evaporated, the Thanksgiving teasers went down in flames.&nbsp; You were angry!&nbsp; They were too&hellip;&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t even fathom what that building was like in these 10 days between games.&nbsp; Everyone in the Lions organization must be on edge and ready to run through a brick wall.&nbsp; 

Meanwhile, the Saints are impossible to watch, let alone root for.&nbsp; They come into this game 2-8-1 ATS and head coach Dennis Allen is ranked in the bottom 5 coaches ATS ALL TIME.&nbsp; This guy STINKS!&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve been a Derek Carr guy in the past but he&rsquo;s the king of the check down at this point in his career.&nbsp; The only thing that scares me in this one is if we get one of those wild Taysom Hill performances.&nbsp; But I&rsquo;ll take those chances.

Give me Detroit and their 4-1 ATS record on the road righting the ship in NOLA.

&nbsp;

3. Kansas City Chiefs AT Green Bay Packers (+6 -110) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

Patrick Mahomes&rsquo; first trip to iconic Lambeau Field, in primetime, and I&rsquo;m fading him.

I fully expected the Packers to be a very public dog this week.&nbsp; Extended rest, winners of two in a row (3 of their last 4), including a beatdown of the Lions on Turkey Day.&nbsp; But the line didn&rsquo;t really budge.&nbsp; Half point here or there but there is plenty of money on the Chiefs.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll take my chances on the other side.

The old adage of fading Mahomes over a 4-point favorite holds here.&nbsp; I know it burned me last week but the Raiders aren&rsquo;t in the same position Green Bay is.&nbsp; Hell, the Packers are firmly in the &ldquo;In the Hunt&rdquo; graphic we all know and love.&nbsp; Another sneaky trend on the former MVP, Mahomes is 5-12 ATS in primetime.&nbsp; I like that!

Jordan Love has been on fire the last month and ranks in the top 5 in a several QB categories.&nbsp; The young wideouts have been balling and the rapport is clearly growing within the tandems.&nbsp; The defense has been much better as well and keeping the Pack in games.

I just can&rsquo;t see the Chiefs pulling away Sunday night in this weather (&gt;30 degrees) and in this venue.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll take the Pack to hang around all night with the world champs.

&nbsp;

2. Denver Broncos AT Houston Texans (-3 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Hand up, I&rsquo;m chasing both of these teams right now&hellip;

I fade the Texans, they win, I bet on them, we get our hearts ripped out.&nbsp; The Broncos are the same thing!&nbsp; I bet them to win by 2, they win by 1.&nbsp; I bet against them; they smash the Browns last weekend.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t care, this game screams home team to me and here&rsquo;s why.

This is a pseudo elimination game for the AFC Wildcard.&nbsp; The loser falls to 6-6 and will need some help while the winner slides firmly into a dead heat for one of the final spots.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m betting a little with my heart here as my guy, CJ Stroud, has been one of the best stories of the year.&nbsp; WRs Tank Dell and Nico Collins have also lit it up all season.&nbsp; They absolutely will score on a Broncos defense that has improved but still possesses holes the Texans can expose.&nbsp; The key for Houston will be stopping the run, if they can limit the Russ scrambles and the Denver backs from getting going, they could win this game by double digits.

I know that Jags loss last week set the team back in narrative but I think this coaching staff/QB combo is different.&nbsp; This is the game they step to the plate and show the world they can play amongst the AFC&rsquo;s mediocrity and put their stamp on a playoff opportunity that sits at their fingertips.

&nbsp;

1. Arizona Cardinals (+6.5 -110) AT Pittsburgh Steelers &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

You know I couldn&rsquo;t go back-to-back weeks without including the Steelers in the Top 5!

Listen, you know the deal, load up on Tomlin as a dog when no one believes in him.&nbsp; Fade Tomlin as a massive favorite when the world is putting a sharpie marker to the Steelers in their survivor pools.

It&rsquo;s hard to jump for joy when you click submit on a Cardinals bet but I really do love this spot.&nbsp; The sharp money has rolled in on Arizona and I just can&rsquo;t see a scenario where they get their doors blown off by Kenny Pickett.&nbsp; Now that there is some tape on the new offense, I expect immediate regression from him.

On the other side of the ball, the Steelers are tremendous at getting to the QB but this isn&rsquo;t a normal guy they&rsquo;ll be dealing with Sunday.&nbsp; I keep seeing Kyler Murray and his short legs that move 10,000 miles a minute, breaking contain and getting first downs over and over against a defense whose biggest flaw is their lack of staying gap sound.&nbsp; 

Expect some flukey splash plays from the Cards as they take Pittsburgh to the buzzer in the Steel city.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 13 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 11 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 25-28-2 (47.2%)

<ul>
	<li>We start in Houston where Kyler and the very game Cardinals (+6) picked off CJ Stroud 3 times and although they didn&rsquo;t win (says a LOT about the Texans), they did cover beautifully.</li>
	<li>The refs made sure our Dolphins (-13.5) didn&rsquo;t cover in South Beach.&nbsp; I have never seen so many whistles blown when play was in progress before.&nbsp; This one hurt.</li>
	<li>The Bills (-7) read was perfect as they smashed New York with the new offensive coordinator and keep their playoff hopes alive and well.</li>
	<li>Rams/Hawks OVER 46.5 had entirely too many field goals and lack of redzone success to hit.&nbsp; Bad pick.</li>
	<li>Speaking of field goals, the Broncos (-2) are addicted to them.&nbsp; This loss sucked as they found a way to win the game but a missed 2 pt conversion late doomed us.</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Week 12

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers AT Indianapolis Colts (OVER 45 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

We&rsquo;ll begin this week&rsquo;s Top 5 with what I feel will be a very compelling matchup on the &ldquo;corner TV&rdquo; in Indy.

Don&rsquo;t look now but both teams have playoff dreams dancing in their heads.&nbsp; The Colts sit only one game out of the wildcard somehow mustering up a .500 record with Gardner Minshew for most the season.&nbsp; The Bucs meanwhile are one game back of the Saints in the gross NFC South division.&nbsp; The winner of this game will be on a solid trajectory to controlling their destiny while the loser may have lost the season.&nbsp; So, this is big.

Tampa&rsquo;s offense has shown some bright spots of brilliance this year behind still a stud Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and the emergence of RB Rachaad White.&nbsp; Last week in San Fran, they moved the ball well, just couldn&rsquo;t find a way into the end zone.&nbsp; The Colts D isn&rsquo;t the Niners D so I expect them to break through in this one.

Indy comes into this game fresh off their bye and winners of two in a row.&nbsp; RB Jonathan Taylor has his legs back under him and has had a solid few weeks. &nbsp;Give me a 28-23 back and forth battle at Lucas Oil Stadium.

&nbsp;

4. Kansas City Chiefs AT Las Vegas Raiders (+9 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

I bet this game early in the week at +10 and the pros bet it down hard the last day or so.&nbsp; I still like it at 9.

This is solely a trend play for me.&nbsp; Mahomes has proven to not be a coverer of 4 or more and he&rsquo;s especially bad as a touchdown favorite.&nbsp; Until this trend proves to be broken, I simply must keep riding it.

This all coupled with a Raiders team who is a division rival, at home, and 3-0 ATS under interim coach Antonio Pierce; I love this spot for them.&nbsp; All world DE Maxx Crosby likely being out for this game does give me some pause but I just don&rsquo;t see the Chiefs weapons being enough to run them out of the building Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; Give me Vegas to hang tough in this one throughout.

&nbsp;

3. New England Patriots AT New York Giants (+4 -112) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

What a gross, disgusting, no good game I&rsquo;m trying to sell you all on here.

The seasons are lost, and both franchises are already looking at the off-season.&nbsp; However, the Giants showed me something last week.&nbsp; Washington is also terrible, but QB Tommy DeVito played fantastic on the road last week to knock half of the country out of their survivor pools.&nbsp; RB Saquon Barkley has been playing his tail off as well and simply has no other gear other than full-on Barkley.&nbsp;

On the other sideline, the Patriots STILL haven&rsquo;t named a starting QB as of this publishing and I&rsquo;m not sure it will matter much.&nbsp; This game of slop is all about motivation and even coming off a bye and against a crappy Giants team, I just don&rsquo;t see how New England can be favored against anyone.&nbsp; Especially away from Gillette Stadium.

Give me the Giants to keep this close and cover the 4 points.

&nbsp;

2. Cleveland Browns (+1.5) AT Denver Broncos &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; FOX

The Broncos burned me last week and although this may feel like I&rsquo;m on tilt betting against them and their hot streak, this is way more about the Browns who come in scorching as well.

Cleveland has had a roller coaster season both on and off the field.&nbsp; They sit here 7-3, only a half game behind the Ravens, and own the #1 rated defense in the league.&nbsp; They also have lost their QB Deshaun Watson and star RB Nick Chubb, won games with three different QBs and seem to be counted out in terms of making a real run this season.&nbsp; But here&rsquo;s the thing, they&rsquo;ve proven in this 3-game winning streak (5 of the last 6) that they are going to be in EVERY game with that Defense.

I love the Browns in this spot, on the road against a team in Denver that has drawn a lot of public attention the past month.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve been hanging on by the skin of their teeth as three of their past four wins have been by 2 points or less.&nbsp; I say their luck runs out against DPOY Myles Garrett, tackling machine Grant Delpit and the best secondary in football.

&nbsp;

1. Jacksonville Jaguars AT Houston Texans (+1.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Alright, I&rsquo;m proud to announce I&rsquo;m finally betting on one of my favorite QBs in the Top 5.

Why are the Texans underdogs at home against the Jags?&nbsp; A team that they have OWNED for over 5 years (10-1 straight up, 8-3 ATS since 2018).&nbsp; A team in the Texans that have averaged over 485 yds of offense during their 3-game win streak.&nbsp; CJ Stroud has gone from 200-1 to 20-1 for MVP odds.&nbsp; The running game has been awoken with Devin Singletary turning the clocks back and breaking out of late.&nbsp; And on and on and on it goes.

Now, here is the spot in the article where I&rsquo;d tell you something like, &ldquo;Exactly, and that&rsquo;s why we&rsquo;re all over the Jags!&rdquo;&nbsp; But not today.

The Texans are for real and last week&rsquo;s struggle actually made me even more on board with their immediate future.&nbsp; They played like crap most of that game yet still found a way to hold the lead and not give it away.&nbsp; Good teams do that.&nbsp; Not every day is CJ going to throw for 300, 2 TDs and no INTs so if you can still win against a frisky team like Arizona when he is careless with the ball like that, it impresses me even more than a blow out in some ways.

I&rsquo;m all aboard the Texans hype train as they put their stamp atop the AFC South Sunday in H-Town.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 12 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 10 Record: 1-3-1 / Overall: 23-25-2 (47.9%)

<ul>
	<li>We begin in Pittsburgh (-3) where a Packers missed XP and another Steelers late 4th quarter stop ensured us a victory.</li>
	<li>Ok let&rsquo;s get this back-to-back worst bets of ALL time recap over with&hellip; Jags (+3) was just awful.&nbsp; Terrible, terrible read by me on the Niners.&nbsp; I thought they would still be banged up and not clicking.&nbsp; Turns out Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams make a BIG difference on their ability to blow teams out.</li>
	<li>In the other WOAT bet, the Ravens/Browns (Under 38) was dead on the very first play from scrimmage when the Ravens had a defensive TD.&nbsp; I put the red slash through this one in record time.</li>
	<li>The 4 PM slate wasn&rsquo;t that good to me either as the Seahawks (-6) played with their food all day, at home, and needed a game winning FG to knock off the frisky Commanders.</li>
	<li>It took every bit of strength to not sing Detroit (-3) from the rooftops when it opened at -1.&nbsp; I bet this at -1, -2, -2.5 and finally at -3 when the article was published.&nbsp; It settled back in at -2.5 so hope y&rsquo;all got the win like I did.&nbsp; As for the record books, it goes down as a push.</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Week 11

5. New York Jets AT Buffalo Bills (-7 -115) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

We begin in the AFC East in what is a must win for both teams.

The Bills are in complete and utter shambles.&nbsp; They have lost three of their last four games and find themselves at plus money to make the playoffs.&nbsp; Yes, they&rsquo;ve had a ton of injuries on the defensive side of the ball.&nbsp; However, in no way did I think a Josh Allen team would be 5-5 halfway through the season.&nbsp; 

So how in the world are the Bills giving 7 points to ANYONE right now, especially to a division rival, who has already beaten them, and has a tremendous defense?

Exactly.

Never forget that Vegas ALWAYS knows.&nbsp; This is the quintessential &ldquo;they&rsquo;re begging you to take&rdquo; the Jets situation.&nbsp; Also remember, when the Bills do cover (admittedly it&rsquo;s been a while), they absolutely smash teams.&nbsp; In spots where Josh Allen is a large favorite, he is still well over 20 games above .500 ATS.&nbsp; 

If the Bills were playing a more motivated team, I&rsquo;d fade this game completely.&nbsp; But it is high time the rest of this Jets team quit on Zach Wilson.&nbsp; He has been just dreadful, and the Jets are 30-32nd in every offensive metric.&nbsp; The fact this team didn&rsquo;t try and trade for Josh Dobbs at the deadline is bananas.

The smoke is turning into a forest fire in Buffalo and if they don&rsquo;t get this win, the playoffs are dead.&nbsp; McDermott needs this game to save his job and my expectation is Josh Allen will remind the world just who in the hell he is in a 10+ point win at home.

&nbsp;

4. Minnesota Vikings AT Denver Broncos (-2 -110) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

Don&rsquo;t look now but Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos have won three straight and find themselves only a game behind the wild card.

I don&rsquo;t want to get nuts here, but you kind of have to tip your cap to &lsquo;Bronco Nation, Let&rsquo;s Ride&rsquo; don&rsquo;t you?&nbsp; Three wins in a row, two of which were against the defending champion Chiefs and then in Buffalo on Monday Night Football.&nbsp; This is a Denver team who was (rightfully) the laughingstock of the league two months ago when they had SEVENTY hung on them in Miami.&nbsp; However, since Week 6, the Broncos rank 10th in total defense.&nbsp; 

Let&rsquo;s talk about Russ for a second.&nbsp; He has the 2nd most TDs (18) and the 2nd fewest INTs (4) of any starter in football!&nbsp; Not only is he being smart with when and where he throws the football, he has been giving us some vintage Russ scrambles to convert big first downs of late.&nbsp; Wilson has been making teams pay when they bring the heat too as he ranks 7th in PFF against the blitz.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s all the Vikings do on defense!&nbsp; Love this matchup.

Vikings QB Josh Dobbs may be a top 3 story of the entire 2023 NFL Season.&nbsp; What he has done has been a marvel to watch on now his NINTH team.&nbsp; He is playing a fun, gunslinger, backyard football style and it&rsquo;s translating to victories for a very live Minnesota team.&nbsp; I still think Denver is a tough place to play and his star will shine a lot less in this spot.&nbsp; At some point, stories like Dobbs come to a halt and it&rsquo;s going to happen Sunday night.

As good as Russ has shown to be, the real catalyst for this Broncos pick is their run game for me.&nbsp; RB Javonte Williams finally looks all the way back from his injury and is getting fed over and over.&nbsp; Sure, some of those carries go right into the center&rsquo;s backside for 1 yard, but they stick with it.&nbsp; I see Williams dancing in the endzone Sunday night as Denver celebrates their 4th win in a row.

&nbsp;

3. Arizona Cardinals (+6 -110) AT Houston Texans &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Kyler Murray is back and boy oh boy did I miss watching that guy run 50 yards left, right, backwards and end up with a 12-yard gain!

As much as I love CJ Stroud and the Texans, I do feel like I&rsquo;ve bet against them a few times in the Top 5 but I just hate this spot for them.&nbsp; Houston enters this home game as a touchdown favorite after beating Cincy on the road as a TD dog.&nbsp; The week before, they had an electric and otherworldly comeback at home vs Tampa Bay in the final minute.&nbsp; Stroud and co. are the talk of the league and there is even some MVP buzz for the young rookie.&nbsp; 

That&rsquo;s why you just must take Arizona in this game.

The Cardinals could have rolled over and let the league pat their belly as they plummet all the way to the top pick in the draft.&nbsp; Instead, they battled tooth and nail last week against Atlanta, ultimately walking off the Falcons with a game winning field goal.&nbsp; Like I mentioned above, Kyler is back under center, running for his life, and chucking it downfield.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re way more dangerous as a dog with Kyler.&nbsp; In fact, Murray as an underdog is an outstanding 64% ATS in his career.

The Texans&rsquo; defense is fine, but they aren&rsquo;t world beaters and I see Murray, James Conner, Hollywood Brown, and Trey McBride making enough plays to keep this thing tight till the end.

&nbsp;

2. Seattle Seahawks AT Los Angeles Rams (OVER 46.5 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

We bounce out west for a very interesting betting story.

A lot of people I respect in this business are pounding the Rams.&nbsp; So much so that this line has moved a staggering 3.5 points from opening Hawks -2.5 all the way to LA -1.&nbsp; As a Rams backer, this spooked me for the Top 5.&nbsp; However, this over screamed back out and there&rsquo;s a few reasons why.&nbsp; &nbsp;

First and foremost, the Rams are the healthiest they&rsquo;ve been all season long.&nbsp; Stafford is back under center and they have their full arsenal of wide outs.&nbsp; Meanwhile, Seattle has been mediocre at best the last several weeks on defense.&nbsp; In fact, they have fallen to 30th in the league getting off the field on 3rd down.&nbsp; I expect LA to sustain drives and put points on the board with relative ease.

The Rams may be healthy, but it doesn&rsquo;t mean that defense is miraculously good now.&nbsp; QB Geno Smith figured something out last week in getting the ball downfield and into the hands of his playmakers. &nbsp;I see this being a punch for punch divisional war, 28-24 one way or the other.

&nbsp;

1. Las Vegas Raiders AT Miami Dolphins (-13.5) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Death, taxes, the Dolphins at home against a bad team.

There is no organization I&rsquo;ve been more right on than Miami this year.&nbsp; It seems almost too easy but the formular remains the same.&nbsp; Load up on the Phins against bad teams at home, fade city against good teams whether they&rsquo;re giving or getting points.&nbsp; Simple enough.&nbsp;

Tua has been a monster as a favorite in Hard Rock Stadium.&nbsp; He is 8-0 straight up and 6-2 ATS as a favorite of 7 or more at home. &nbsp;Dolphins also come into this game off a bye after losing to the Chiefs in Germany.&nbsp; Down 21-0 in that game, they fought back and had a chance to win that game.&nbsp; Exciting rookie RB Devon Achane is back this Sunday and there are no injury designations for any of the track stars the Dolphins employ at the skill positions.

The Raiders can&rsquo;t score no matter who is at QB this season.&nbsp; Fourth round rookie Aiden O&rsquo;Connell is a nice story, but he&rsquo;s been atrocious on 3rd downs converting a paltry 27% on the money down.&nbsp; I just don&rsquo;t see any scenario (other than a handful of Miami turnovers) that keeps Vegas in this game.&nbsp; They famously never hit a team total until Josh McDaniels got fired and only reached 17+ once in the last four games.&nbsp; They absolutely are going to need to score points if they plan to cover this spread.

Only one interim head coach has ever won his first 3 games, I&rsquo;m betting Antonio Pierce joins the long list of streaks ending at 2.&nbsp; Miami is going to motion, misdirect and sprint past the black and silver all day long in South Beach.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 11 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 9 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 22-22-1 (50%)

At the halfway point of the season, we stand exactly at 50%.&nbsp; Kind of wild and certainly not where I wanted to be. &nbsp;However, I am obsessed with the board for Week 10 and found it extremely difficult to stick to only five games.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s get to the recap:

<ul>
	<li>We never had a doubt that our Raiders/Giants UNDER 37.5 was hitting! &nbsp;Kidding, kidding...&nbsp; Thank goodness for Tommy DeVito being on the G-Men roster because the Raiders came out for blood in this one running it up 30-6.</li>
	<li>The Eagles (-3) did just enough to hold off a stellar Dak Prescott performance (and a couple lucky breaks from the one-foot line) to cover at home.</li>
	<li>In one of the worst bets you ever did see, rookie QB Bryce Young threw not one but TWO pick 6&rsquo;s to Colts DB Kenny Moore en route to a comfy Indy win over our Panthers (+2.5) in Charlotte.</li>
	<li>We bounced back Sunday night as Joe Burrow and the Bengals (-2.5) locked down another #1 pick in the Top 5, beating Buffalo for their 4th win in a row.</li>
	<li>Finally, Monday night set football back 100 years when the Jets (+3.5) couldn&rsquo;t score, and the Chargers could barely move the ball.&nbsp; I feel so damn bad for the New York D&hellip; but a bad pick nonetheless.</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Week 10

5. Green Bay Packers AT Pittsburgh Steelers (-3 -118) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

I know, I know&hellip; Steelers at home, Tomlin&rsquo;s my guy on trends, blah blah blah.&nbsp; But I have other reasons this time!

The main reason is my God Jordan Love stinks at football.&nbsp; Trust me, I tried very hard to come around on him and he is still extremely young, but he misses so many easy throws it&rsquo;s hard to look past.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s not as if the Packers are flooded with weapons too, I get that.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s just a very hard offense to watch.&nbsp; 

The Steelers offense is equally painful to put your eyes on but at least they come through in the 4th quarter.&nbsp; In fact, QB Kenny Pickett is shockingly one of the most efficient 4th quarter passers in the league.&nbsp; It just takes them 45 minutes to remember they&rsquo;re in a football game where the goal is first downs and points.&nbsp; With stud CB Jaire Alexander out for the Pack and Steelers WR Dionte Johnson finding a rhythm last week with Pickett, I see Pitt building themselves a lead for once.

This game will be a tough watch early no matter how you slice it as these teams combine for a shocking -88 in point differential in first halves.&nbsp; RB Aaron Jones looked more like himself last week but with the return of Cam Heyward in the middle, the run game for the Steelers is much improved.&nbsp; Without the running backs doing something special, I don&rsquo;t see how the Packers can cover the 3 on the road.

JJ Watt eats Love alive and the Steelers win a &ldquo;Shield Your Eyes&rdquo; matchup in Pittsburgh.

&nbsp;

4. San Francisco 49ers AT Jacksonville Jaguars (+3 -102) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

This game jumped right off the page to me when I did my preliminary look at the lines Monday night.&nbsp; 

Correct me if I&rsquo;m wrong.&nbsp; Aren&rsquo;t the Jags 6-2, at home, off a bye and winners of five games in a row?&nbsp; And the Niners, yeah, those Niners that everyone crowned 5 weeks into the season.&nbsp; Aren&rsquo;t they losers of three straight with a QB everyone is souring on and their best player OT Trent Williams doubtful for this game? 

Oh, and before you tell me they&rsquo;re off a bye too, lets look at San Fran&rsquo;s numbers after a week off.&nbsp; How about 2-9 ATS in their past 11 games off a bye (2-4 under Shanahan).&nbsp; 

I mean, what are we doing here?&nbsp; 

QB Trevor Lawrence has been lights out his last 17 games.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s 13-4 with a 70% completion percentage, and over 100 QB Rating while throwing only 6 INTs.&nbsp; Meanwhile, Brock Purdy has 6 INTs in his last 3 games as we watch the bloom fall off that rose.

I get the public loves San Francisco and I&rsquo;m sure the books are banking on them pounding Niners -3 into submission but not me, not us.&nbsp; Jacksonville is 4-0 against teams who enter the game with a winning record this season.&nbsp; Give me the 3 points at home with what I feel is a stronger team who is playing better.

(Note &ndash; the +3 is sitting at -102 so look for this to climb up to 3.5 come kickoff.)

&nbsp;

3. Cleveland Browns AT Baltimore Ravens (UNDER 38 -108) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Next, we have the rock fight in Baltimore.

I&rsquo;m one of those sick individuals who enjoys great defenses flexing.&nbsp; Don&rsquo;t get me wrong, that doesn&rsquo;t mean I have fun seeing Zach Wilson get thrown for 11-yard sacks (ricochet shot on Wilson), but I love wonderfully schemed defenses loaded with superstars getting the better of opposing QBs.&nbsp; This game is filled with those types of players.

The AFC North is the most competitive division in football and the Ravens have risen to the top of it.&nbsp; They are playing out of their minds right now, especially in two BLOWOUT home wins vs NFC division leaders (Seattle and Detroit).&nbsp; But this is the Browns.&nbsp; A team that knows Baltimore inside and out.&nbsp; A team who won&rsquo;t be in awe of Lamar Jackson bouncing around between the hashes.&nbsp; They know exactly what to prepare for and how to stop it.&nbsp; Most importantly, they have the dudes to hang in this game.&nbsp; Myles Garrett in particular is truly a man amongst boys and the clear favorite for defensive player of the year.

Browns QB Deshaun Watson hasn&rsquo;t played well, and I think a lot of that has to do with Amari Cooper being the only guy on the team who can garner any separation downfield.&nbsp; RBs Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt have been good to very good running the ball to keep them competitive on that side of the ball.&nbsp; 

Normally, I&rsquo;d jump on the 6.5 the books are giving Cleveland in this divisional matchup, especially because the Ravens are overinflated due to their recent smackdowns, but I just have this fear the Ravens may sneak a 7-point win.&nbsp; So, I&rsquo;m going with the under 38.&nbsp; I see this game as a 16-13 or 17-10 slugfest at M&amp;T Bank Stadium.

&nbsp;

2. Washington Commanders AT Seattle Seahawks (-6 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

This is the quintessential &lsquo;playoff team that goes on the road, gets smoked by a billion points against a top tier squad, and comes back home to return the favor against a team people seem to like.&rsquo;

I&rsquo;ve seen it a million times.

Seattle has its warts, don&rsquo;t get me wrong.&nbsp; But they are good at everything the Commanders can&rsquo;t stop.&nbsp; They run the ball, Washington just traded two of their best defensive linemen and give up 116.2 yards per game on the ground.&nbsp; QB Geno Smith picks apart zones with his three headed monsters at WR, coordinator Jack Del Rio runs almost exclusively matchup zones. &nbsp;The Hawks feed off big plays with their skill players, Washington has given up an astounding 22 plays of 25 yards or more (2nd most in the NFL).

Those reasons are well and good, but I want to focus on the perspective of these clubs coming in.&nbsp; The Commanders are coming off a road win in New England and QB Sam Howell has been very good the last two weeks throwing for over 300 yards and even putting up 31 on Philadelphia at home.&nbsp; But he&rsquo;s still the most sacked QB by an alarming 14 more than the 2nd most.&nbsp; I mean, this team lost to the hapless Giants 14-7 just 3 weeks ago let us not forget.

Listen, the Seahawks got smashed last week, there is no sugar coating that performance in Baltimore.&nbsp; But this is going to be an angry flock at home in a classic bounce back blowout against an inferior opponent.

&nbsp;

1. Detroit Lions (-3 -105) AT Los Angeles Chargers &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; CBS

The Lions return from the bye and back into #1 in the Top 5.

I LOVED this bet when the Lions opened as -1 and pounded away at that number and although the movement is scary, I still love them at -3.&nbsp; The Chargers aren&rsquo;t good at football.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re not!&nbsp; They&rsquo;re coached poorly, the QB has a wrap the size of a sock ball on his finger, the WRs outside of Keenan Allen can&rsquo;t run routes or go up and get it, and the defense is solely reliant on pass rush.

As much as I don&rsquo;t want to, let&rsquo;s look at this past Monday night&rsquo;s Los Angeles Chargers offensive stats:

<ul>
	<li>56 total plays, 14 first downs</li>
	<li>107 Net passing yards</li>
	<li>84 rushing yds</li>
	<li>191 (ONE NINETY-ONE!) TOTAL yds</li>
	<li>Herbert &ndash; 16/30 for 160 yds, 0 TDs, sacked 5 times.</li>
	<li>Outside of Keenan Allen, Chargers pass catchers (8 rec, 59 yds)</li>
</ul>

It&rsquo;s hard to look at for goodness&rsquo; sake!

They won the game by 21 because of a punt return TD and a truly awful QB, Redzone, and 3rd down offense on the other side.&nbsp; So, tell me, how am I supposed to believe they can hang with one of the most complete teams in football on Sunday afternoon?

The Lions are recharged and refreshed after their off week.&nbsp; The offense has left a lot on the table the couple weeks before and I see them coming out guns blazing in this one.&nbsp; RB David Montgomery is BACK and brings his red zone prowess to a team in dire need of his stature.&nbsp; Rookie Jaymyr Gibbs had his best game as a pro against the Raiders in Week 8 and that one-two punch is going to hum the rest of the season.

I see Jard Goff picking apart this vaunted Chargers pass rush with play-action and quick throws to his plethora of weapons.&nbsp; There is no doubt in my mind the Detroit fans are going to get themselves to sunny SoCal for this game as well as LA has 0.0% home field advantage each week.&nbsp; Give me the Lions in a rout.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 10 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 8 Record: 2-2-1 / Overall: 19-20-1 (48.7%)

<ul>
	<li>I went to the well on Tomlin and the Steelers (+2) one too many times.&nbsp; The Jags are legit, and they were able to slug through a comfy win in the Steel City.</li>
	<li>The Packers (+1) stink.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s the recap, they&rsquo;re very bad.&nbsp; Awful pick.</li>
	<li>The Cowboys (-6) was one of the easiest bets of the season and there&rsquo;s nothing better than hitting your #1 pick of the week without breaking a sweat.&nbsp; The Rams are crumbling and as injuries continue to build, they may totally fold.</li>
	<li>I&rsquo;m not sure Giants (+3) fans can ever forgive Brian Daboll for coaching this season like a neutered dog.&nbsp; To not go for a 4th and 1 to win in a truly disgusting football game with a billion punts and no points was sad.&nbsp; Graham Gano too, he can take a walk.&nbsp; PAINFUL push here.</li>
	<li>We hit our #2 pick of the week in what was a sloppy but good game in Seattle (-3.5).&nbsp; Don&rsquo;t look now but the Hawks are 5-2 and atop the NFC West.</li>
</ul>

&nbsp;

Week 9

5. New York Giants AT Las Vegas Raiders (UNDER 37.5 -108) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

In our &ldquo;Dave, I really don&rsquo;t want to watch this&rdquo; Game of the Week, we travel to Sin City for Giants/Raiders.

Vegas finally fired that bloat face Josh McDaniels this past week.&nbsp; He gets to boast many things: Super Bowl rings as a coordinator, a two-time failed head coach, and the only team in history to not hit their team total over in 8 straight weeks to open a season.&nbsp; How do you have Josh Jacobs, Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers and never score 3 touchdowns in a game?&nbsp; McDaniels found a way.

Ok, enough about Josh (hopefully forever).&nbsp; Enter new head coach and former Giant great, Antonio Pierce.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve always been a fan of Pierce as a player and listening to some sound bytes this week, there is no doubt the boys are going to play hard for this guy.&nbsp; Unfortunately, the Raiders have burned me too many times to get to the point of betting their side.&nbsp;

But then I saw this under.&nbsp; This truly grotesque, morbid, filthy under&hellip; 37.5.&nbsp;

Listen, is it fun?&nbsp; NO!&nbsp; ZERO FUN!&nbsp; But the Giants may be the only offense that can compete with Vegas in &ldquo;Shield your eyes&rdquo; status.&nbsp; QB Daniel Jones is likely to return but that certainly won&rsquo;t light up the scoreboard.&nbsp; Darren Waller is out, Saquon is limping again and the WRS stink.&nbsp;

Stat time &ndash; Giants games are 7-1 to the under this season including seven straight.&nbsp; All three Raiders home games have also gone under the total this year.&nbsp;

The Raiders will play hard like I said, but there will undoubtedly be some miscues and confusion with the new staff settling in and a first-time head coach.&nbsp; I fully expect a 13-10 &ldquo;barnburner&rdquo;.

&nbsp;

4. Indianapolis Colts AT Carolina Panthers (+2.5 -110) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; CBS

Sorry everyone, the slop continues at #4 as we travel over to Charlotte for a tantalizing Colts/Panthers matchup.

Carolina isn&rsquo;t very good; we know that hell they know that.&nbsp; But gosh darn it are they giving it their all.&nbsp; Coach Frank Reich has relinquished the play calling to young upstart OC Thomas Brown.&nbsp; This move proved fruitful last week in a win against the Texans.&nbsp; Brown put QB Bryce Young in shotgun for 96% of the game and operated solely out of 11 personnel.&nbsp; The beauty of this move is that it kept things simple for Young with no substitutions and confusion allowing him to just play ball. &nbsp;This strategy earned Carolina their first win and Coach Brown got the game ball.

Now, obviously there&rsquo;s tape on this now for the Colts to analyze but I&rsquo;m betting that won&rsquo;t matter.&nbsp; Indy was a fun story for a couple weeks behind Gardner Minshew and his &ldquo;Magic&rdquo; but that well has run dry to the tune of NINE giveaways, under 60% completion percentage and an 0-3 record since becoming a full-time starter.&nbsp; The plucky underdog of Indy is over in my opinion.

Speaking of underdogs, here&rsquo;s our fun stat for this one: Teams that have gone from underdogs to favorites throughout the week are 43-88 ATS since 2019.&nbsp; Essentially if you open as a dog and get bet up all week long, you ain&rsquo;t covering.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s the Colts. (Action Network)

I see Bryce continuing to thrive in this new offense, make enough plays to keep this thing tight and maybe win it outright.

&nbsp;

3. Dallas Cowboys AT Philadelphia Eagles (-3 -108) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

Alright, we bounce back entertainment wise with what I feel is the game of the week in South Philadelphia.

These teams don&rsquo;t like each other, and their fan bases have true hatred.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s all well and good but this isn&rsquo;t about that.&nbsp; This is about being the best team in the NFC East and more so the entire conference.&nbsp; The winner of this game will be in the driver seat for both.

Dallas has had a very &ldquo;Cowboys&rdquo; like season.&nbsp; They have absolutely smashed bad teams at home, lost by 100 in their biggest test at San Fran, and had a complete brainfart in Arizona.&nbsp; This is what they do, every year.&nbsp; So here we are again in a massive spot with the world&rsquo;s eyes on FOX against the defending NFC champion Eagles.&nbsp;

I&rsquo;m sure you&rsquo;ve seen the Dak Prescott stats in division this week and they are impressive.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s smashed the NFC East throughout his career.&nbsp; However, this is shockingly the first matchup in the last 2 seasons where both teams come in with the star QBs healthy and scorching hot.&nbsp; &nbsp;When Dak was hurt, Philly won at home and when Jalen was hurt the &lsquo;Boys won on Christmas Eve 2022.&nbsp; There is no excuses Sunday, and this game will rule.

Philadelphia is top 10 in every overall metric on both sides of the ball except pass defense.&nbsp; The secondary has been shaky to say the least, especially last week when they made Sam Howell look like Joe Montana.&nbsp; However, they have another week of former All Pro safety Kevin Byard getting comfortable and I expect them to play much better in this game.

This always comes back to the trenches for me in these big games and the Birds have the best offensive and defensive line tandem in football.&nbsp; Want more?&nbsp; They also have the best 3rd and 4th down offense in the league.&nbsp; Oh, and they&rsquo;re top 5 in time of possession as well.&nbsp; They just dominate up front.&nbsp; They also dominate at home and enter this game 3-0 on the season and 12-2 over the past two including the playoffs.

The Cowboys shockingly have the fewest big plays (plays of 25 or more) in the league and the run game has been nonexistent since moving to Tony Pollard full time.&nbsp;

I expect the Eagles to punch Dallas in the face for 60 minutes and Dak to be &ldquo;Dak against good teams&rdquo; as Philly puts their stamp on the conference Sunday afternoon.

&nbsp;

2. Los Angeles Chargers AT New York Jets (+3.5 -110) &ndash; MONDAY &nbsp;8:15 PM &ndash; ESPN

I don&rsquo;t usually put the Monday night game in the Top 5 but I love this bet so much I had to make an exception.

The Chargers are a public darling.&nbsp; The Chargers just beat the Bears by a million on national TV.&nbsp; The Chargers have Justin Herbert who looks healthier by the minute.&nbsp; But let us not forget, the Chargers are also perennial teases, and this team is exactly like the many before it that fail when the world is ready to jump aboard.

The Jets are quite possibly the luckiest team to ever exist.&nbsp; You can point to key moments in all their wins that could have gone the other way easily.&nbsp; But sometimes, you make your own luck and maybe this team is destined to do something special.&nbsp; Ok, let&rsquo;s not go that far, but clearly things happen for the green team in MetLife Stadium.&nbsp; Especially under the lights.&nbsp;

Don&rsquo;t look now but QB Zach Wilson has played better of late with no INTs in 4 of the last 5 games.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve won 3 in a row and have been in every game this season except the beating they took in Dallas the week after Rodgers went down.&nbsp;

LA is 0-3 straight up and against the spread against winning teams this season.&nbsp; The defense is atrocious when they&rsquo;re not getting to the quarterback.&nbsp; They give up 6 yards a play for God sake including 8 (EIGHT!) plays of 40 or more.&nbsp; They are always a play away from letting an opposing team pop the crowd and I expect Jets Nation to be LOUD in this one.

I just don&rsquo;t see any scenario where this game isn&rsquo;t tight late in the 4th quarter, and I want the home team who is on a roll AND getting the 3.5 points in that scenario.

&nbsp;

1. Buffalo Bills AT Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5 -110) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

We finish up the Top 5 back in Cincy for one of the most intriguing matchups of the season.

Right off the top, you will be reminded about Damar Hamlin all day and what he went through in this game, in this building just 10 months ago.&nbsp; <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1418/nfl-week-18-top-5-game-bets" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">I wrote about Hamlin last year and I just want to say I&#39;m so happy that he continues to live his dream.</a> &nbsp;

.

Some may tell you that this matchup has lost its luster since both teams have three losses just 8 weeks into the season.&nbsp; All that does is make me MORE excited.&nbsp; This is a massive game for these teams and fan bases.&nbsp; The winner will use this victory as a springboard to being the team we all thought they would be.&nbsp; The loser has a true hole to dig out of with teams like the Dolphins and Ravens above them respectively in division.&nbsp;

Cincy is back baby.&nbsp; They have forced eight turnovers in the last three games.&nbsp; Joe Burrow is on FIRE completing 78% of his passes since Week 5.&nbsp; They come into this tilt after handling the 49ers in their house by two TDs.&nbsp; I took that game as a true statement to the rest of the league that the Bengals have indeed, returned.

Buffalo has serious issues on both sides of the ball.&nbsp; Mainly on defense where injuries have piled up as high as a skyscraper and getting a stop in key spots has been a chore.&nbsp; Offensively hasn&rsquo;t been the Bills we know and love either.&nbsp; QB Josh Allen is clearly banged up and has 8 INTs to his name so far.&nbsp; The run game goes in and out and they make a lot of mistakes.&nbsp;

Stat of the game = The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s their longest ATS losing streak in the past 40 (Forty!) seasons (courtesy of ESPN).&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;

I love this spot for Cincy to peel themselves away from the middle of the AFC pack and start their ascension towards the top of the division as that Ravens matchup looms large 11 days from now in Baltimore.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 9 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

 
Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 7 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 17-18 (48.6%)

<ul>
	<li>We start with a scorching Lamar Jackson and the Ravens (-3) humbling Detroit repeatedly at M&amp;T Bank Stadium.&nbsp; Don&rsquo;t look now, but Baltimore is a top 4 team in the league.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>I will never forgive myself for that square Bills (-7.5) bet.&nbsp; All the bye weeks shortened the card, and I forced this in at #5.&nbsp; I even said it in my summary &ldquo;This goes against everything I believe in&rdquo;.&nbsp; Never again.</li>
	<li>The Packers/Broncos (Over 45) was indeed&hellip; gross.&nbsp; Both offenses killed this bet as they combined for 3-7 in the redzone.&nbsp; You&rsquo;re rarely going to hit an over when SIX field goals are attempted, four of which were under an extra point distance. &nbsp;Ugh.</li>
	<li>The Chargers (+5.5) are such losers.&nbsp; KC begged and pleaded for them to stay in this game but Justin Herbert refused to pounce throwing two awful INTs in huge moments.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s amazing to me that Herbert gets such a pass nationally.&nbsp; If he was in a bigger pro football market like KC, Dallas, Philly, Baltimore, etc., he would be crucified for most of his play this season.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Finally, in easily the biggest bet I&rsquo;ve placed all season, the Eagles (-3) donned that stunning Kelly Green and waxed the Dolphins.&nbsp; The game finished as a 14-point win but felt like 40.&nbsp; To lose the turnover battle, give up a fluky pick 6, all while playing an historically great offense through 6 games and STILL win handily was impressive.&nbsp; The Eagles reminded the world they&rsquo;re a top 2 team in this league.</li>
</ul>

Week 8 has a TON of home dogs that are incredibly enticing.&nbsp; Prepare yourself because some of these may make you sick.

&nbsp;

Week 8

5. Jacksonville Jaguars AT Pittsburgh Steelers (+2 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Come on, you knew I was going to do this&hellip;

Tomlin as a dog at home = Auto Bet.&nbsp; Listen, the wheels are going to come off this trend at some point in our lifetimes.&nbsp; But it&rsquo;s just impossible to overlook!

<ul>
	<li>Tomlin 18-5-3 as a home dog ATS.&nbsp; 16 wins straight up.</li>
	<li>Tomlin 57-31-4 as an underdog overall.</li>
	<li>When the Steelers are home dogs and the opponent is winning at 60% clip (aka good teams), Pittsburgh is 14-3-1 ATS.</li>
</ul>

And on and on it goes.&nbsp; Can a streaking Jags team come in and buck all these statistics?&nbsp; Sure, they can.&nbsp; But I refuse to bet against them until they cost me.&nbsp; So far this year, Tomlin in these spots has delivered.&nbsp; Not to mention, the team has been playing very good of late.&nbsp; RB Jaylen Warren is extremely talented, and the brass finally notice that as his touches have gone up each week.&nbsp; WR Dionte Johnson returned last Sunday to get some attention off stud WR George Pickens giving Kenny Pickett more weapons at his disposal.

Let&rsquo;s talk about the Jaguars a little bit.&nbsp; They are playing well since losing to the Texans by 20 in Week 3.&nbsp; Winners of four straight (including two in London) over the past 19 days is incredibly impressive.&nbsp; However, I think it has got to have taken its toll on the players and that sweet, sweet bye week is just two days away.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m betting that human nature takes over for Jacksonville this week as they look forward to their well-deserved rest and slip up here in Pitt.

&nbsp;

4. Minnesota Vikings AT Green Bay Packers (+1 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Come on and join me in the slop bucket as we have a disgusting one coming in at #4.

The Packers are 2-4 and losers of three straight.&nbsp; QB Jordan Love hasn&rsquo;t lit the world on fire but when you watch the tape, he hasn&rsquo;t been THAT bad.&nbsp; The reality is, the Packers drop the ball a ton and the coaching has left a lot to be desired.&nbsp; That coupled with a run game who has missed Aaron Jones for half of the season, it&rsquo;s been a recipe for a bad football team.

On the other side we have a Vikings team coming off one of the most impressive wins of the season last week at home against the Niners.&nbsp; All the talk about how Kirk Cousins can&rsquo;t perform in primetime can be laid to rest (for now) as he absolutely LIT UP the SF defense to the tune of 378 yards on 35 completions.

So why are we backing GB?&nbsp; The almighty &ldquo;Spot Play&rdquo; is back and beautiful with this pick.&nbsp;

Minnesota off its best win of the season when everyone had buried them prior against a dead and buried Packers team some people think may be one of the worst teams in the conference?&nbsp; Yes, yes, yes.&nbsp; Always remember, the books are worlds smarter than the public.&nbsp; They know damn well the people will be on Minnesota.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re banking on that.&nbsp; We&rsquo;re not going to fall for it.&nbsp;

The Packers and coach Matt LaFleur know the Vikings extremely well.&nbsp; I believe these young WR&rsquo;s, who have been plagued by drops and lack of separation this season, find their stride in this division matchup for some big plays.&nbsp; Also of note, Love has been exponentially better against the blitz with man coverage behind than he is reading zones.&nbsp; The Vikings blitz more than any team in the league.&nbsp;

Fun Cousins trend for you: Kirk is 29-42-2 ATS off a win.&nbsp;

Trust the spot.

&nbsp;

3. New York Jets AT New York Giants (+3 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

We remain amongst the unwatchables with the &ldquo;Battle of New York (East Rutherford, NJ)&rdquo;.&nbsp; Whoa baby is this game going to set football back 100 years.&nbsp; But I LOVE it!

Veteran QB Tyrod Taylor is back under center for the Giants for the 3rd straight week.&nbsp; He took Buffalo to the buzzer in their building and then beat division rival Washington at home last week.&nbsp; He hasn&rsquo;t set the world on fire, but he hasn&rsquo;t messed anything up either.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s the key.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve also opened up the offense with Taylor at the helm with 11 plays of 20 yards or more in his two starts.

The Jets defense is known as one of the best in the league.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve more or less shut down Patrick Mahomes and have wins against Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen.&nbsp; With that said, I looked a little closer into the numbers.&nbsp; They are 4th in the league with 13 takeaways, which is great.&nbsp; However, they are 23rd in total defense, 26th in rush defense and middle of the pack in Points per game and pass defense.&nbsp; In my opinion, turnovers and star names have carried them in the public eye.&nbsp; Guess how many turnovers Tyrod Taylor has in his two starts?&nbsp; Zippo.

A good rule of thumb, low Over/Under&rsquo;s like this one (35.5) almost always lean toward to the dog.&nbsp;

<ul>
	<li>When the O/U is 42 or lower, underdogs are 23-8-1 ATS and 160-102 since 2018.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>

I think the Giants found something last week, especially defensively.&nbsp; They appear to have established their footing and I&rsquo;ll gladly take the 3 points when Zach Wilson and his 73.4 QB Rating is on the other side.

&nbsp;

2. Cleveland Browns AT Seattle Seahawks (-3.5 -110) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; FOX

Don&rsquo;t look now but the Seahawks are quietly 4-2 and tied at the top of the NFC West division in the loss column.

After opening the season with a loss to a bad Rams team (more on them next), they&rsquo;ve won 4 of 5 and had every opportunity to take one from the Bengals in Cincy a few weeks ago.&nbsp; They do so much well.&nbsp; They run the ball, they tackle, they make big plays, and they have three wide receivers who I would put up against any in the NFL.&nbsp; QB Geno Smith has also continued his resurgence after winning Comeback Player of the Year last season.&nbsp; My point is this is a team to be reckoned with.

Cleveland meanwhile &ldquo;won&rdquo; last week when the refs handed them the comeback in Indianapolis.&nbsp; In that game they came screaming back down to Earth defensively letting Gardner Minshew put up 37 points on them after almost blanking SF the previous week.&nbsp; They are banged up all over the place including QB Deshaun Watson who won&rsquo;t play in this game.&nbsp; Quite frankly, I don&rsquo;t think that guy wants to play football at all but that&rsquo;s just my opinion.

I bet this game earlier in the week at -3 but I&rsquo;m not afraid of the hook.&nbsp; I see Lumen Field buzzin&rsquo; Sunday afternoon and the &lsquo;Hawks riding that momentum to a comfy 10-point win.

&nbsp;

1. Los Angeles Rams AT Dallas Cowboys (-6 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I&rsquo;m back in the NFC East for my #1 pick in this week&rsquo;s Top 5.

The Cowboys are an anomaly seven weeks into the season.&nbsp; They haven&rsquo;t played all that great in totality, but they still possess immense talent.&nbsp; They come into this game off their bye week and in desperate need of a dominating win as they try to stay close to the Eagles for the division crown.

Let&rsquo;s look at the matchup.&nbsp; The Rams offensive line is arguably the worst in football.&nbsp; Pittsburgh lived in LA&rsquo;s backfield all game last week and although Stafford does a great job of getting rid of the ball, his completion percentage has come crashing under 60% and he&rsquo;s tossed 6 INTs.&nbsp; Dallas, meanwhile, leads the league in pressure rate and mostly with just their front four.&nbsp; Led by the mighty Micah Parsons, I can&rsquo;t see a scenario where Matty Stafford is not running for his life for 60 minutes.

The Rams are 3-4 which isn&rsquo;t terrible on paper, but I feel they&rsquo;ve been exposed against good teams since that aberration Week 1 in Seattle.&nbsp; The Eagles, 49ers, Bengals, and Steelers have all handled LA in the 2nd half of those games.&nbsp; They have a tough time getting off the field on defense and I see the Cowboys doing the exact same thing those teams did.

QB Dak Prescott is not without warts.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve never been a fan but his numbers as a big favorite jarred me.&nbsp;

<ul>
	<li>Dak is 31-7 Straight up as a favorite of 6 or more.&nbsp; 26-11-1 ATS.</li>
	<li>He is 16-8-2 ATS at home in total.</li>
	<li>The Cowboys have won 10 straight home games averaging 33 points per game and is +16 in turnover differential during that streak.</li>
</ul>

Couple all of this with that old tried and true west coast team playing at 1 PM EST and I LOVE the Cowboys in this game.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 8 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

 
Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 6 Record: 0-5 / Overall: 15-15 (50%)

Whoa baby, did we have one &lsquo;humbler&rsquo; of a Sunday.&nbsp; Woof.

I always talk about water finding its level in my game summaries and I had an all time tidal wave drop on top of me in Week 6.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s get to it:

<ul>
	<li>Justin Fields dislocated his finger and that was that.&nbsp; The Bears (+3) had nothing in this game and lost all competitive willpower once their QB went down.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>The Saints (-1.5) have the worst offense and kicker to watch with your own two eyes in the league.&nbsp; Carr is not the answer, that much is clear.</li>
	<li>The Bengals/Seahawks OVER 45 looked amazing early as 21 points had come across the goal line 2 minutes into the 2nd quarter.&nbsp; Unfortunately for us, both teams hit the breaks and only mustered 9 more points the rest of the game.&nbsp; Ugh.</li>
	<li>The Colts (+4.5) and &ldquo;Minshew Magic&rdquo; died a hard and fast death as his ball kept floating over receivers&rsquo; heads and into the waiting arms of Jags defenders.&nbsp; It was ugly in Florida.</li>
	<li>Finally, Baker Mayfield and the Bucs (+3) played awful.&nbsp; There were some very key drops and penalties early when the game was in the balance but you are not going to win and cover scoring six measly points at home.</li>
</ul>

Ugly!&nbsp; We move forward into Week 7.

&nbsp;

Week 7

5. Buffalo Bills (-7.5 -110) AT New England Patriots &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

We begin this week in the sad and frustrated confines of Gilette Stadium.

The Patriots have had a dreadful season and there is no real end in sight.&nbsp; The offense is anemic and the defense has lost every defender that strikes any fear into opposing teams.&nbsp; And the Quarterback&hellip; sheesh, I don&rsquo;t even know what to say that hasn&rsquo;t been beaten into our brains by talking heads around the country.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s bad, I&rsquo;ll leave it there.

Normally, I would NEVER bet a road favorite of over a TD in a divisional game but sometimes you must go with your gut and more obvious, your eyeballs.&nbsp; This is a complete fade of where the Patriots are organizationally in the year 2023.

QB Josh Allen has played extremely well against the Pats of late winning five of the last six games while throwing 13 TDs to only 2 INTs.&nbsp; Buffalo looked bad Sunday night hanging on by a thread (of Darren Waller&rsquo;s jersey) against the Giants.&nbsp; That performance was so gross that it makes me like them that much more in this matchup. &nbsp;This is simple, if the Bills want to be recognized as one of the league&rsquo;s best teams, they go into Foxboro and smash New England.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

4. Green Bay Packers AT Denver Broncos (OVER 45 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

One of the time-honored traditions of a gambler is betting on games there is no way you would watch otherwise.&nbsp; Packers/Broncos certainly falls into that category.

I love this over Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; These teams have defenses who have been exposed in numerous games yet both have intriguing offensive weaponry to put points on the board.&nbsp; Both teams have offensive minded head coaches.&nbsp; Both are healthy entering the game.&nbsp; Finally, both QBs have a LOT to prove.&nbsp;

The Packers are coming into this game fresh off their bye week highly motivated after two tough losses in a row.&nbsp; RB Aaron Jones is back healthy and they have the full slate of WR&rsquo;s and TE&rsquo;s they envisioned entering the season.&nbsp; Denver is also off a mini bye playing the Chiefs tough last Thursday night.&nbsp; The offense sputtered in that game but they scored 21 against a very strong Jets team the week before and have put up over 30 in two other games this season.

Oh, and the defenses?&nbsp; They allow a combined 55.9 PPG.

Points Points Points!

&nbsp;

3. Detroit Lions AT Baltimore Ravens (-3 -108) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I&rsquo;m crawling back in the hole with a Lions fade again this Sunday.

This is more than &ldquo;the Bucs are bad, the Ravens are good&rdquo;.&nbsp; This is all about the spot.&nbsp; Baltimore comes home after a successful London trip beating the Titans last week.&nbsp; They played an almost perfect first half before letting Tennessee hang around in the 2nd.&nbsp; They ultimately won and covered like good teams do.&nbsp; QB Lamar Jackson hasn&rsquo;t been himself sure, but he also has had terrible luck.&nbsp; Turn on a Ravens game and you&rsquo;ll see them trudging up and down the field with ease only to see a dropped pass or penalty stall the drive.&nbsp; I think they turned a corner last Sunday.

Detroit is awesome.&nbsp; Yes, I know, they&rsquo;re AWESOME!&nbsp; It&rsquo;s been a magical season so far for Dan Campbell&rsquo;s boys of the North.&nbsp; QB Jared Goff continues to amaze many and is a legitimate MVP candidate.&nbsp; He is, I&rsquo;ll say again, the most profitable QB ATS in the past 5 seasons.&nbsp; However, I just can&rsquo;t see them winning outdoors in back-to-back weeks, this one being against such a veteran laden team like Baltimore with sights on a division title.

The Lions come in scorching but they&rsquo;re certainly banged up.&nbsp; RB David Montgomery is out, as is WR Marvin Jones. &nbsp;They will be getting back rookie Jahmyr Gibbs who is not 100% or an ideal 3 down back.&nbsp; 3rd string running back Craig Reynolds is holding a questionable tag for the game as well.&nbsp; This may be solely on Goff to generate consistent first downs and put points on the board to stay with the favored Ravens.&nbsp;

Coach John Harbaugh is an astounding 82-26 straight up as a home favorite in his coaching career.&nbsp; Give me the Purple and Black to win by a TD.

&nbsp;

2. Los Angeles Chargers (+5.5 -110) AT Kansas City Chiefs &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

Death, Taxes, and bet against Mahomes when favored by 3.5 or more.

Ok, it isn&rsquo;t that black and white, but I do think this is an ideal opportunity for the Chargers to turn some heads.&nbsp; LA did not perform well on Monday night vs the Cowboys.&nbsp; QB Justin Herbert was clearly not seeing that defense well and may be hampered by a hand injury.&nbsp; The Chiefs defense has been very strong and I do lean towards the under here as well.&nbsp; With that said, KC hasn&rsquo;t been themselves offensively yet.

This game is always close.&nbsp; Hell, all the Chargers games are.&nbsp; This shocked me: 19 of the last 24 Chargers games have been decided by 7 points or less dating back to the end of the 2021 season including the last eight losses.&nbsp; Herbert has never NOT covered a 6-point spread against the Chiefs (one was a push because a walk-off TD in Overtime).&nbsp;

Back to Mahomes.&nbsp; So far through six weeks he has career lows in passing yards, TD:INT ratio, and passer rating.&nbsp; He hasn&rsquo;t played awful by any means but he clearly hasn&rsquo;t synced up with the new skill players they&rsquo;ve employed this season.&nbsp; In fact, the Chiefs lead the league in dropped passes.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve also struggled to score in the redzone ranking 17th.&nbsp; The Chargers meanwhile rank 5th in redzone scoring.

Like I said in the open, Mahomes when favored by more than 3.5 points is well under .500 ATS in his career.&nbsp; They may win the game (like they always seem to) but this will undoubtedly be right down to the wire.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll gladly take the 5.5 points.

&nbsp;

1. Miami Dolphins AT Philadelphia Eagles (-3 -105) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

The Game of the Year is under the lights in South Philadelphia.

Donning the GORGEOUS Kelly Green alternate uniforms, Philly comes into this game off their first loss of the season in New York.&nbsp; The Jets smothered QB Jalen Hurts in the 2nd half, forcing 3 INTs and 4 turnovers overall.&nbsp; Yet somehow the Eagles only lost by one score.&nbsp; Let us not forget, the Eagles are still one of the most dynamic teams in football.&nbsp; And now they&rsquo;re at home, with the world&rsquo;s eyes on them, and pissed off.

Miami&rsquo;s offense is the talk of the league and rightfully so.&nbsp; They truly look like when you&rsquo;re playing Madden on Rookie mode.&nbsp; WR Tyreek Hill is on pace for 2300 yards and 17 touchdowns.&nbsp; What in the hell?&nbsp; That&rsquo;s insane.&nbsp; These 60 minutes will be a massive undertaking for the Birds&rsquo; secondary who is very banged up.&nbsp; Slot corner Avonte Maddox is out for the year, Bradley Roby is out for this game and safety Reed Blankenship will also be in street clothes.&nbsp; This is problematic, yes.&nbsp; But I expect Philly to have something for this motion heavy offense putting all the emphasis on keeping things in front of them while the D Line eats.&nbsp;

Speaking of that D line, they will be getting rookie sensation Jalen Carter back in the middle after missing a game.&nbsp; He and the rest of that pass rush is looking to be only the 2nd team to get to Tua in the pocket this season.&nbsp; That other team was the Bills who smashed Miami by 4 touchdowns earlier this season (and were my #1 pick as well that week).&nbsp; The reality is, the Dolphins are 5-1, four of those five wins vs the dregs of the league.&nbsp; Carolina, New York Giants, Denver and New England are a combined 3-21.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m giving them credit for beating the Chargers (2-3) but that was Week 1 in a &ldquo;whomever has the ball last wins&rdquo; barnburner.&nbsp;

The Dolphins have the 26th ranked scoring defense this season and I expect the Eagles (2nd in the league in total offense) to essentially do whatever they want on that side of the ball.&nbsp; Hurts&rsquo; last 13 home games are coupled with incredible numbers:&nbsp; 12-1, 32:6 TD:INT ratio, and 102.8 passer rating.&nbsp; The Eagles are ranked 3rd in time of possession this season holding onto the ball for over 34 minutes a game while converting a league leading 50.6% on 3rd down.&nbsp; They wear you down physically and mentally when they&rsquo;re at their best.&nbsp; I expect their best on NBC Sunday night.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 7 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

 
Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 5 Record: 4-1 / Overall: 15-10 (60%)

We are COOKING now ladies and gentlemen!

60% on the year and 9-1 over the last two weeks.&nbsp; The board is shining like a light beam to me right now and I LOVE my Top 5 again this week!

<ul>
	<li>We begin in Atlanta (-1.5) where QB Desmond Ritter had his best game as a pro squeaking out the 0.5-point victory against the Texans at home.</li>
	<li>The Steelers (+4.5) and Ravens played the same exact same game they play every season.&nbsp; Gross, unwatchable slop that saw Pittsburgh come from behind late to win the game outright.</li>
	<li>The Bengals/Cardinals Over 44.5 was the easiest bet of the daytime games.&nbsp; Burrow and Chase connected 3 times in the game that saw our over hit by the 3rd quarter.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>The only blemish on the day were those sorry Vikings (+3.5) who were provided with every opportunity to cover and win this game against the champs and blew it.</li>
	<li>In the night game, you could comfortably go to sleep at halftime as the 49ers (-3.5) smashed, dismantled, and embarrassed &ldquo;America&rsquo;s Team&rdquo; for all the world to see.</li>
</ul>

REMINDER!&nbsp; The weather around the country is volatile this Sunday with the forecasts changing quickly the past few days.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll mention the current forecast for the applicable games in my summaries (up to the time of this posting).

&nbsp;

Week 6

5. Minnesota Vikings AT Chicago Bears (+3 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Forecast: 54 degrees.&nbsp; Showers in the morning and mostly cloudy.&nbsp; 20-25 MPH winds.

I&rsquo;m going against a lot of my beliefs here at #5 but hear me out.

Normally, a team who didn&rsquo;t cover the week before going against a team who just won big on primetime is an auto bet, but I truly believe these teams are going in opposite directions.&nbsp;

Now, I&rsquo;m not going to tell you the Bears are making the playoffs, they&rsquo;re still a pretty bad team.&nbsp; But they have something cooking the last two weeks with their offense.&nbsp; QB Justin Fields is playing free, running calculated RPO&rsquo;s, and getting their #1 WR DJ Moore the ball in space.&nbsp; The Vikings meanwhile are a trainwreck.&nbsp; They lead the league with 12 giveaways, are down arguably the best WR in the league in Justin Jefferson and are one loss away from fully blowing up the roster according to reports.

With wind in the forecast, I see the Bears getting their ground game going early and often.&nbsp; Minnesota on the other hand, can&rsquo;t run the ball ranking 29th in the league at a paltry 80.8 yards per game.&nbsp; With Jefferson out and Jordan Addison hurting as well, the Vikings are going to have a lot of trouble sustaining drives.

This game has &ldquo;White Flag waving&rdquo; written all over it in the Vikings locker room and I suspect we won&rsquo;t be seeing much more of Kirk Cousins in the purple and gold.

&nbsp;

4. New Orleans Saints (-1.5 -110) AT Houston Texans &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I MAY be flying too close to the sun betting against my guy CJ Stroud again on a short line, but I really hate this spot for the Texans.

We know what the Saints are now five weeks into the season.&nbsp; They play elite defense (4th in Total Defense and 4th in Scoring Defense) and QB Derek Carr is being smart with the football (100 passer rating the past 3 weeks and zero INT&rsquo;s).&nbsp; They are firmly in the mix for an NFC South crown, and this is a game they need to have to get where they want to go.

Houston has an incredible future.&nbsp; I simply love how they play with their young guys and DeMeco Ryans is a fantastic coach in the making.&nbsp; However, this will be far and away the best defense that Stroud has faced.&nbsp; New Orleans ranks 1st in opponent Passer Rating (66.1) and make it incredibly difficult for teams to convert 3rd downs (31.5% - 3rd in the league).&nbsp;

The reality is that Stroud is due for a bad performance.&nbsp; Beyond due.&nbsp; The kid has set records for not throwing a pick this far into his rookie season.&nbsp; However, there is five weeks of film on him now and Dennis Allen will have something he hasn&rsquo;t seen before for sure.

This will be a nervous one all the way to the end and I see the Saints squeaking out of Texas with the W.

&nbsp;

3. Detroit Lions AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

Forecast: 76 degrees and Sunny

The Darlings of the NFL are the Detroit Lions.&nbsp; What a world!

They&rsquo;ve been fantastic and are not a fluke.&nbsp; Jared Goff, who shockingly is the best Against the Spread QB the past 5 seasons, has legitimate MVP buzz and RB David Montgomery has been a revelation on all 3 downs.&nbsp; They should coast to an NFC North Title and host a playoff game.

So why the Bucs?&nbsp; Is it the Creamsicle Jerseys that they&rsquo;re going to wear in this game?&nbsp; No, no its not.&nbsp; Although I can not WAIT to see them.&nbsp; This is a full-on SPOT play.

The Lions are one of the most publicly bet teams in the league and the public has been EATING so far this season.&nbsp; In fact, I believe this is the most profitable first 5 weeks for the public in recorded history.&nbsp; Water always finds it level and I believe this game in Tampa is a perfect opportunity to get on the other side.

Of note: Although Goff has been a covering machine, he&rsquo;s only .500 outdoors.&nbsp;

The Bucs are coming off a bye and are healthy.&nbsp; QB Baker Mayfield has excelled with the improved weapons around him and has shown he can stay in games against top opponents.&nbsp; They are 3-1 and if there weren&rsquo;t a few key drops against the Eagles in Week 3, that game would have been much closer.

I&rsquo;m selling high on the Lions and taking the 3 points with those sweet, sweet Creamsicles.

&nbsp;

2. Seattle Seahawks AT Cincinnati Bengals (OVER 45 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Forecast: 55 degrees and cloudy.&nbsp; 10 MPH winds

I am back on the Bengals over this Sunday, and I absolutely love this bet.

Cincy clearly figured something out last week in Arizona.&nbsp; Burrow was moving around the pocket much better, Chase was literally &ldquo;always open&rdquo;, and the run game was effective.&nbsp; They looked like, well&hellip; the Bengals again.&nbsp; Keep in mind, Joe Burrow is the 2nd best QB in the league the last two years from Week 5 on.&nbsp; (Week 5 and beyond: 11-2, 70.6 completion percentage, 284.1 YPG, 30 TD-9 INT, 104.5 Passer Rating).

I fully expect that trend to continue as we move forward.

The Seahawks are coming into this game off the bye after beating the Giants in a genuinely unwatchable game 2 weeks ago.&nbsp; (I can&rsquo;t believe we have to watch the Giants AGAIN in primetime this week, but I digress&hellip;)&nbsp; QB Geno Smith has been playing very well so far this year completing over 68% of his passes with 5 TD to only 1 INT (97.8 QB Rating).&nbsp; RB Kenneth Walker has picked up where he left off last season as well getting into the endzone 5 times already in their first 4 games.

The weather has flipped in Cincy this week and after what appeared to be a wash out, is now sitting at a calm and perfect 55-degree Autumn Day.&nbsp; I see this being one of the best games of the slate as both teams counter each other all game long.

&nbsp;

1. Indianapolis Colts (+4 -115) AT Jacksonville Jaguars &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Forecast: Showers in the morning, mostly cloudy, 54 degrees, 20-25 mph winds

We rudely welcome home the Jacksonville Jaguars from their 2-week London vacation with our #1 pick of the week.&nbsp; I love Indy in this game and moving forward this season.

I want to start by acknowledging that yes, the Colts are a very public dog this Sunday, but I remain unafraid.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re a GOOD team with a GREAT coach.&nbsp; Shane Steichen has parlayed his fantastic tenure in Philadelphia to a very sound Indianapolis team.&nbsp; They block well, they tackle well, and they don&rsquo;t hurt themselves.&nbsp; Also, QB Gardner Minshew is not that much of a downgrade from Anthony Richardson.&nbsp; He is the perfect backup QB who will win you a few games before the wheels start to loosen.&nbsp; They won&rsquo;t roll over for any team, let alone a division rival coming home from two weeks across the pond.&nbsp;

You probably have seen this stat floating around this week but it&rsquo;s a beauty:

<ul>
	<li>Eleven times a team has returned from Europe without a bye week.&nbsp; Every team was either been tied OR trailing in the 4th quarter of the next week.</li>
</ul>

There is no doubt in my mind that this will be a one possession game late in the 4th.&nbsp; In that scenario, I will gladly take the 4 points and I could see the Colts winning this game outright.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 6 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

 
Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 4 Record: 5-0 (!!!) / Overall: 11-9 (55%)

It happened ladies and gentlemen...&nbsp; We swept the board!

There is no greater feeling than sniffing out winners, betting them one by one, adding in that beauty of a 0.5 unit on a +2300 parlay with all your researched picks with confidence, and counting your money by 8 PM EST.&nbsp;

<ul>
	<li>Our Jaguars (-3) were up 17-0 before you finished your morning coffee, ultimately winning by 16 at Wembley Stadium.</li>
	<li>The Bills (-2.5) waxed the Dolphins, humbling America&rsquo;s love affair that is Miami&rsquo;s offense to the tune of 48-20.</li>
	<li>Minnesota (-4.5) scraped by the hapless Panthers in Charlotte on the back of a delightful defensive lineman rumble/stumble TD.</li>
	<li>The Titans (+3) embarrassed a sad and distraught Bengals team at home as Mike Vrabel continues to be the King of the Home Dog.</li>
	<li>Finally in Dallas (-6), there was never a doubt as Mac Jones and co. gift wrapped two defensive TDs as the Cowboys dismantled New England 38-3.</li>
</ul>

Easy Money!

As great as last Sunday was, the pressure is greater than ever now to keep the train traveling into the green light.&nbsp; Hop aboard because I couldn&rsquo;t be reading this league more clearly than I am right now.

&nbsp;

Week 5

5. Houston Texans AT Atlanta Falcons (-1.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I want to be very clear; I love the Texans.&nbsp; Not sure any team so far this season has cashed more tickets for me than Houston.&nbsp; This is purely a spot fade.

I&rsquo;d argue the Texans fan base should be the happiest in the entire league.&nbsp; FINALLY hitting on a QB in the draft is one of the best feelings a franchise can have.&nbsp; CJ Stroud is the real deal people.&nbsp; He has been nothing short of fantastic during his first month as a pro.&nbsp; Not only that, but the team is cruising after back-to-back upset wins over the Jaguars and Steelers.&nbsp; They have the young QB, the two-stud young wide receivers, the young bell cow running back and a defense that is showing life under DeMeco Ryans.

With all of that said, that is precisely why you must take the Falcons at home this week on this short 1.5-point line. &nbsp;Water always finds its level with teams like the Texans.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s a classic let down spot for them. &nbsp;I know it doesn&rsquo;t feel good and it shouldn&rsquo;t!&nbsp; Gambling is hard and forces you into plays you don&rsquo;t really want to root for but cash just the same.

There is nothing appealing about Atlanta other than RB Bijan Robinson who is electric.&nbsp; The QB stinks.&nbsp; They can&rsquo;t throw the ball downfield.&nbsp; They defend pretty well, and they can run the ball to the right side of the line.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s about it.&nbsp; However, I must note that Desmond Ritter dating back to the University of Cincinnati is 1,000,000-0 at home (slightly exaggerated but he has never lost a home game).

I&rsquo;m taking the Falcons at #5 this week to win a gutty one in Mercedes-Benz Stadium against a not quite ready Houston team riding high.

&nbsp;

4. Cincinnati Bengals AT Arizona Cardinals (OVER 44.5 -110) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; FOX

Each week I&rsquo;ll scour the board to find an O/U that is a bit off the beaten path, that you may not have much of a take on but screams out to me.&nbsp; This game of team&rsquo;s no one can figure out is the perfect one.

The Bengals are bad.&nbsp; It sucks to see a team with so much talent and promise disintegrate to the bottom of the league in almost every offensive category.&nbsp; QB Joe Burrow has been awful, but the poor guy is working on one good leg.&nbsp; The word out of the Cincy facility is that he is doing much better this week and is completely off the injury report.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s great news for Bengals fans.

The Cardinals meanwhile have been a spread darling most of the season and has showed a lot more pop on offense than we expected.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re running the ball at a fantastic clip ranking 6th in the league.&nbsp; QB Josh Dobbs has gone from not having his jersey printed for purchase to leading a genuinely frisky team to competitive games, even defeating the Cowboys as a 12-point dog two weeks ago.

The &lsquo;Zona defense however ranks in the bottom 6 in total yards and have given up 25.5 points per game.&nbsp; Cincy isn&rsquo;t much better at 23.5 a game.&nbsp; I expect the Bengals to look more like themselves Sunday afternoon in a back-and-forth tilt where I could see either team coming out on top.

&nbsp;

3. Kansas City Chiefs AT Minnesota Vikings (+3.5 -115) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

Another gross one that you&rsquo;re going to have to trust me on in the 4 PM slate.

The Chiefs are 3-1, their three wins include a snoozefest in Jacksonville, a torching of the Bears during their nonstop franchise turmoil, and last Sunday night&rsquo;s squeaker against Zach Wilson and the Jets.&nbsp; They haven&rsquo;t looked like, well&hellip; the Chiefs.&nbsp; Yet.

Kansas City does this every season.&nbsp; Win games that you never really feel are in doubt and not cover.&nbsp; They LOVE not covering.&nbsp; QB Patrick Mahomes loves NOT covering so much, he slid down at the 1-foot line last week (correct football play, I know) sending Chiefs bettors into orbit as they saw their -8.5 ticket turn red when the clock turned 0:00.

Minnesota may be bad, especially on the defense side of the ball.&nbsp; But one thing they are not in need of is offensive firepower.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re still the same loaded offense as they were last year capturing the NFC North crown.&nbsp; The difference this season is they&rsquo;ve lost three one possession games instead of winning them like they did in 2022.&nbsp; Kirk Cousins is exponentially better at home, in the dome, and he will be able to hang with KC on the scoreboard throughout this game.&nbsp; Plus, they finally got that victory taste in their mouth last week to turn their season around.

I&rsquo;m going to keep betting against Mahomes when the line is over a FG in the first half of the year.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s been an extremely lucrative strategy that we&rsquo;re going to cash in on again.

&nbsp;

2. Baltimore Ravens AT Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Oh boy, David is BACK on Mikey Tomlin in the Top 5.

I&rsquo;m sure you all know by now, I&rsquo;m a total sucker for trends. &nbsp;There is no matchup that shows more glaring trends than the iconic Steelers/Ravens rivalry.&nbsp; Prepare yourselves:

<ul>
	<li>During the Tomlin vs. Harbaugh era the underdog is 22-5-3 ATS.</li>
	<li>The Underdog has covered 11 (ELEVEN!) straight games.</li>
	<li>When the line is 3 or more, the dog is 21-3-3.</li>
	<li>8 of the last 9 Ravens/Steelers games have been decided by one score.</li>
	<li>Lamar Jackson&rsquo;s QB rating is 67.4 against Pittsburgh in his career, the worst against any team in the league.</li>
</ul>

The Steelers got absolutely pummeled last Sunday in Houston.&nbsp; Kenny Pickett is going to play but is far from 100% (and may be bad anyways).&nbsp; The once vaunted Steelers defense is leaky and that&rsquo;s generous.&nbsp; BUT this is Ravens vs. Steelers!&nbsp; This game is perpetually close every single season.&nbsp; You&rsquo;d be shocked at how many 16-14, 16-13 type snoozefests these two rivals have played for the world to (begrudgingly) see.

The trends I listed above are so jaw-dropping that I simply wouldn&rsquo;t forgive myself if I didn&rsquo;t play Steelers getting 4.5 points at home.

&nbsp;

1. Dallas Cowboys AT San Francisco 49ers (-3.5 -110) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

In our top spot we have the Game of the Season.

49ers/Cowboys is being tabbed as an NFC Title preview by most and rightfully so.&nbsp; The Niners are undefeated and have decimated every team they&rsquo;ve played behind an incredible run game, an efficient beyond belief QB, and a tremendous head coach and scheme.&nbsp; The Cowboys have a major slip up in Arizona on their resume sandwiched between blowout victories against teams from the Northeast.&nbsp;

Everyone truly will be &ldquo;Waiting All Day for Sunday Night&rdquo; (shout out Carrie Underwood) to get their eyes on these two storied franchises.&nbsp; So why San Fran?

Well, they&rsquo;re simply the better team in my opinion.&nbsp; Dallas leads the league in scoring defense, turnover margin, and ranks 2nd in total yards allowed per game. &nbsp;But who have they really played?&nbsp; Four 1-3 teams all looking at the draft a quarter through the season.&nbsp; Listen, I&rsquo;m firmly in the &ldquo;you can only play who is on your schedule&rdquo; camp but this is easily the biggest test they have had by a mile.&nbsp; And remember, they still have Dak Prescott who is a perennial &ldquo;come up small&rdquo; guy.

San Francisco ranks top 5 in total offense, defense, scoring, and points allowed.&nbsp; RB Christian McCaffrey is a legit MVP candidate so far this year with an astounding 6 TDs while averaging over 114 yards on the ground per game.&nbsp; Deebo Samuel and George Kittle are still doing their thing within the scheme and Brandon Aiyuk has emerged as incredible down field threat.&nbsp; Here&rsquo;s a fun stat, each of Aiyuk&rsquo;s 17 receptions this year have been for first downs or touchdowns, and he ranks 3rd in average yard per catch (18.8 yards) between wide outs who have 20 or more targets.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s insane.

I must mention the young QB Brock Purdy too.&nbsp; This guy is making the &ldquo;game manager&rdquo; look easy in Shanahan&rsquo;s system.&nbsp; He ranks 3rd in the league in completion percentage (72.3%) and has zero interceptions.&nbsp;

I could go on and on, but you get it, the Niners are loaded.

I expect San Fran to come out and show the world they are the best team in football while also proving why the Cowboys are always the Cowboys. &nbsp;&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 5 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>, please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

 
Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 3 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 6-9 (40%)

Gamblers always say whether you lose by a half point or by 50 (FIFTY!), they all count the same.&nbsp; As the Dolphins ran up, down and around my awful Broncos (+7) bet to the tune of 70 points, that&rsquo;s all I could mutter to myself.&nbsp;

Let&rsquo;s get the other awful loss out of the way quickly.&nbsp; The Falcons (OVER 46.5) and QB Desmond Ritter are going to struggle to score all year if the run game gets stuffed.&nbsp; I know this now.

As brutal as the Broncos loss was, the Texans (+8) were just as easy.&nbsp; They controlled the Jags throughout this divisional game and are a team I may ride all season.&nbsp;

We also hit my #1 bet in truly ugly fashion when the Patriots (-3) hung onto beat the Jets (yet again) in a game I wouldn&rsquo;t have my worst enemy watch start to finish.

Finally, the Raiders (-2.5) and specifically coach Josh McDaniels may not know how football scoring works as a few absurd decisions made sure Vegas had no chance of pulling out the night game.&nbsp; Noted.

&nbsp;

Week 4

5. Cincinnati Bengals AT Tennessee Titans (+3 -125) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

We start with an ol&rsquo; Top 5 faithful and that&rsquo;s the underdog at home master, Mike Vrabel.

When you&rsquo;re struggling with coin flip plays like the #5 pick is for me each week, sometimes you must go with what got you here.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t think there&rsquo;s a coach who has made me more money than Vrabel as a dog.&nbsp; With that said, the Titans may, umm&hellip; stink. &nbsp;Tennessee got embarrassed last Sunday but I&rsquo;m willing to bet they&rsquo;ll be ready to play at home in what is clearly a huge game for the franchise.&nbsp; There has been a lot of chatter that this season is going to be a wash for the once AFC South power.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t see them going calmly into the night just yet.

Vrabel stats alert! &nbsp;

<ul>
	<li>10-4-2 ATS coming off double digit losses.&nbsp; 7-1-1 as an underdog.</li>
	<li>Teams to score 3 points or less are 60% ATS the following week.&nbsp; When they&rsquo;re dogs it goes up to 65%.</li>
</ul>

The Bengals finally got their first win on Monday night at home vs the Rams but it&rsquo;s not like they looked great.&nbsp; In fact, I&rsquo;d argue that win was more because of LA turnovers and some very bad decision making.&nbsp; Cincy ranks in the bottom four in major offensive categories:&nbsp; Points per game, Total Yards, Yards per play, and has the most 3-and-out drives in the league.&nbsp; QB Joe Burrow is getting healthier but he&rsquo;s certainly not 100% and Cincy will be coming into a tough place to play on short rest.&nbsp; Look for this game to be grimy and ugly at times with the Titans covering the 3 points.

&nbsp;

4. New England Patriots AT Dallas Cowboys (-6 -112) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

I went back and forth on whether to play the Cowboys or the Under for this week&rsquo;s Top 5 but settled on backing an angry and embarrassed Dallas team at home against the porous New England offense.

As I mentioned above, no team got more shell-shocked than the &lsquo;Boys last weekend in Arizona.&nbsp; They lost outright as a 12.5-point favorite to a team most thought were tanking for Caleb Williams.&nbsp; When you watch the game, you see how tentative and unprepared QB Dak Prescott was throughout.&nbsp; For example, there were multiple opportunities for him to run for 1st downs that he didn&rsquo;t take but I expect him to play well against a very good Patriots defense this weekend.

New England got their first win last Sunday in New York but it&rsquo;s not like they looked particularly good.&nbsp; QB Mac Jones, although I&rsquo;m still a believer in his future, doesn&rsquo;t have the weapons offensively to move the ball on long drives which is what they will need to do against this Cowboys defense.&nbsp; I envision Micah Parsons and co. running roughshod in this game to the tune of 5+ sacks and a couple turnovers as the Cowboys get right at home.

&nbsp;

3. Atlanta Falcons VS. Jacksonville Jaguars (-3 -115) &ndash; 9:30 AM &ndash; ESPN+

We travel across the pond for our next pick taking the &ldquo;Home&rdquo; team in Jacksonville&rsquo;s second home country.

The Jags need this game badly after getting smacked around by Houston at home last weekend.&nbsp; If they want to get where they were projected to be, this MUST be a W.

Favorites are 29-9-1 straight up and 25-14 ATS in International matchups.&nbsp; Jacksonville is very comfortable overseas with games there each year since its inception.&nbsp; In fact, they will be staying in the UK for two straight weeks, and I believe this time together as a team away from any distractions will be great for them moving forward.

We know the Falcons want to run the ball, however the only thing the Jags have consistently done well so far this season is bottle up the ground game.&nbsp; Atlanta ranks bottom five in Yards per game, Passing yards, yards per play and 3rd down conversions.&nbsp; I expect Jacksonville to keep the Dirty Birds at bay en route to a comfortable touchdown victory.

&nbsp;

2. Minnesota Vikings (-4.5 -110) AT Carolina Panthers &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

My oh my things have changed this year for Minnesota.&nbsp; Last season, they were 11-1 in one score games.&nbsp; This season, 0-3.&nbsp;

Each one of Minnesota&rsquo;s losses can be directed towards turnovers, bad coaching decisions and all-around bonehead plays in crunch time making them one of the &ldquo;unluckiest&rdquo; teams in the league.&nbsp; They boast the league leading wide receiver in Justin Jefferson, a QB Kirk Cousins who completes 70% of his throws, and the #2 yards per play offense yet find themselves winless.&nbsp; That changes Sunday.

I can&rsquo;t believe I&rsquo;m saying this in the year 2023, but if Andy Dalton was playing QB for the Panthers I&rsquo;d fade this game entirely, but it appears rookie Bryce Young will be starting.&nbsp; I think he is going to be a good pro, but that time isn&rsquo;t now.&nbsp; He is completing a dreadful 24% of his throws downfield and outside of veteran Adam Thielan, he isn&rsquo;t finding any of his weapons with consistency.&nbsp;

I see the Vikings crowding their former wide out and making Bryce beat them with longer chunk plays which he will fail to do as Minnesota finally gets in the Win column by 5 or more.

&nbsp;

1. Miami Dolphins AT Buffalo Bills (-2.5 -120) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS 

I&rsquo;ll wait while you all have a good laugh as you scrolled down to see I&rsquo;m, once again, going against the mighty Dolphins in the Top 5.&nbsp; Get it out of your system because the Bills are smashing Miami Sunday!

Ok, maybe not &lsquo;smashing&rsquo;, but I love Josh Allen and Buffalo in this, the unquestioned Game of the Week in the NFL.&nbsp; I said in last week&rsquo;s article, &ldquo;If the Dolphins blow out Sean Payton, then I&rsquo;ll give them a hat tip and be on my way&hellip;&rdquo; and for those in my circle, I recorded that video and tipped my cap for all to see.&nbsp; However, as the score continued to get out of control, I kept placing my Bills bets as confidently as ever.&nbsp; Listen, 70 points is bananas in the NFL.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s so wild that in a league where water always finds its level, a team put up TEN touchdowns.&nbsp; The Broncos are a joke and should be treated as such.&nbsp; The Bills ain&rsquo;t the Broncos.

Buffalo&rsquo;s defense has been tremendous this season.&nbsp; They are 2nd in the league in sacks and are 3rd in fewest yards after the catch.&nbsp; What do the Dolphins excel in?&nbsp; When Tua has time, they find space and run track meets to the endzone.&nbsp; They average 8.4 yards per play which is the most ever since the St. Louis Rams &ldquo;Greatest Show on Turf&rdquo; offense of the late 90&rsquo;s/early 00&rsquo;s.&nbsp; The Bills will boast, by far, the best front 7 Tua has had to work around, and he will not have all day long to time the big plays.

Some other fun Dolphins/Bills stats and trends:

<ul>
	<li>Tua&rsquo;s QBR is just 59 lifetime vs Buffalo, 80+ against everyone else.</li>
	<li>Josh Allen is 6-0 against the Dolphins at home, 9-2 overall.</li>
	<li>The Bills lead the league in 3rd down conversion rate which will help keep the vaunted Miami offense off the field.</li>
	<li>This is a fun one &ndash; The Dolphins are the 12th team in history to be 3-0 straight up and ATS but an underdog in Week 4.&nbsp; Those teams are 2-9 straight up and 3-8 ATS.</li>
</ul>

I&rsquo;ll conclude the article with this question you need to ask yourself.&nbsp; If the Bills didn&rsquo;t lose to the Jets Week 1, on 9/11, in New York, behind four awful turnovers, and a walk off punt return and instead were coming into this game undefeated like Miami is, what would the line be?&nbsp; My guess is -5.5.&nbsp; We are getting a GIFT at this -2.5 number.&nbsp; Get your bets in before it climbs to -3!

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 4 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

 
Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 2 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 4-6 (40%)

We found our footing in Week 2, posting a respectable 3-2 record.&nbsp; The three wins were a piece of cake while the two losses easily could have swung in our direction.&nbsp; 

The Seahawks (+4.5) and over 47.5 went exactly as I predicted.&nbsp; A back-and-forth battle with offensive fireworks galore ending with a walk-off Hawks TD in OT to seal it.&nbsp; The Bills (-8.5) game was over by halftime as they put it on Vegas winning by 4 TD.&nbsp; 

Atlanta (-1.5) was heartbreak city as the Falcons settled for a chip shot field goal with a minute left to win by 1.&nbsp; Nothing worse than losing a bet by the hook.&nbsp; In the night game Sunday, the Dolphins gave our Patriots (+3) EVERY opportunity to cover and win outright.&nbsp; Unfortunately, a New England lateral play deep into the 4th quarter was reviewed and marked just short ensuring Miami&rsquo;s 7-point victory.&nbsp; 

Gambler&rsquo;s Note &ndash; There is bad weather ALL OVER the East coast this weekend.&nbsp; Remember this when you are betting these games on Sunday, especially the totals.

&nbsp;

Week 3

#5. Denver Broncos (+7 -120) AT Miami Dolphins &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

I&rsquo;m back against the Dolphins this week for one sole reason.&nbsp; 

I still feel the same way I did last week about Miami.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re very good, especially offensively.&nbsp; However, seven points is entirely too many to give a team that CAN score and has a great head coach who is desperate to not start off with a dreaded 0-3 record.

If the Dolphins blow out Sean Payton, then I&rsquo;ll give them a hat tip and be on my way, but I see the Broncos hanging around with them on Sunday.&nbsp; The Patriots provided a lot of information on how to blanket Miami&rsquo;s speed.&nbsp; Their &ldquo;umbrella&rdquo; like defensive backfield kept Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle in front of them and I expect Payton to engage in a similar style.

Speaking of Waddle, he is questionable for this game coming off a concussion Sunday night and his status bears a lot of consideration. &nbsp;Denver QB Russell Wilson showed flashes of his prime against Washington last week and I see them putting up around 20 points which will be enough to cover the TD spread.

&nbsp;

#4. Atlanta Falcons AT Detroit Lions (OVER 46.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM - FOX

Another week, another Lions over at Ford Field.

Nine out of the last ten Lions home matchups have gone over the total with an average of 59 (FIFTY-NINE!) points per game.&nbsp; When Detroit games kickoff, the defenses fall asleep, and I expect that trend to continue Sunday.

I can already tell that the Falcons are going to be a team I&rsquo;m on a lot and I certainly thought about putting them in the Top 5.&nbsp; Unfortunately, they opened at +5.5 and quickly got bet down to +3.5 before settling in at +3 as of this moment.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s a bit too tricky of a line for me to go with so I&rsquo;m taking the over.

The Lions have some injury concerns on the offensive line as well as their top WR Amon-Ra St. Brown.&nbsp; However, he practiced in full Friday, and I expect him to be out there.&nbsp; Meanwhile, Atlanta&rsquo;s run game is elite.&nbsp; RB Bijan Robinson looks like a Madden player in real life.&nbsp; His vision and elusive nature are a treat to watch and I think he goes off again in this game.

I expect a back-and-forth tilt that will soar past this over 46.5.

&nbsp;

#3. Houston Texans (+8 -110) AT Jacksonville Jaguars &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

There are two eight-point dogs this weekend (Colts +8 vs. Baltimore) and I will be betting on both.&nbsp; But, in an effort to not make you all sick, I picked my favorite for the Top 5.&nbsp; 

Let&rsquo;s start with the Jags.&nbsp; QB Trevor Lawrence has looked fine so far but certainly not as good as he finished last year.&nbsp; He comes into this divisional matchup 0-5 against the spread as a home favorite.&nbsp; He is also 1-3 straight up against the Texans in his career. &nbsp;Want one more?&nbsp; The Jags are 0-7 against the spread in their past seven games as home favorites as well.

Listen, I&rsquo;d be willing to overlook these trends if the Texans were dead dog losers.&nbsp; But, in my opinion, they aren&rsquo;t.&nbsp; Sure, they&rsquo;ve lost both games this year by double digits, but they have had sprinkles of positivity in each.&nbsp; 

Rookie QB CJ Stroud has now thrown a record 91 times without an INT and ranks 4th in the league with 626 yards through the air through two games.&nbsp; He has looked like the best rookie thrower so far.&nbsp; The defense is what has let Houston down this season.&nbsp; With that said, the Jaguars haven&rsquo;t exactly blown the doors off on the offensive side of the ball.&nbsp; They have been a disaster in the red zone, and I don&rsquo;t think they magically figure it all out this week against a familiar foe.&nbsp; Give me the 8 points and the Texans. 

&nbsp;

#2. Pittsburgh Steelers AT Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5 -115) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

This game is a perfect opportunity to remind you all that the NFL is a week-to-week league.

Why would you back the Raiders who got smoked last week against a team riding high after a Monday night divisional win?&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll explain.&nbsp; The Steelers beat the Browns last week and put up an impressive 26 points on one of the best defenses in the league.&nbsp; Right?&nbsp; Wrong.

If you watched the game or checked the scoring summary, they actually stunk.&nbsp; 14 points were defensive scores, and the lone offensive touchdown was a 71-yard break by the electric WR George Pickens.&nbsp; Throw in two 50+ yard bomb field goals and it shows that this Pittsburgh team simply can&rsquo;t move the football.

Let&rsquo;s look closer. &nbsp;How are they in the red zone?&nbsp; Well, it&rsquo;s hard to pinpoint because they&rsquo;ve only been IN the red zone TWO times this season!&nbsp; That&rsquo;s almost hard to envision if I didn&rsquo;t watch both of their games in full.&nbsp; QB Kenny Pickett has regressed mightily since his run to end last year.&nbsp; RB Najee Harris looks like he&rsquo;s running in snowshoes.&nbsp; WR Diontae Johnson is out.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s just all ugly all the time when they&rsquo;re on offense.&nbsp; 

The Raiders played like garbage last week however a lot of teams lose to Josh Allen&rsquo;s Bills by double digits as I outlined.&nbsp; This Sunday night, they&rsquo;re back at home with the world watching, and I see them pounding the rock on this porous Steelers run defense who is missing their leader Cam Heyward in the middle.&nbsp; Look for QB Jimmy Garoppolo to avoid the turnovers Deshaun Watson handed over to Pittsburgh and RB Josh Jacobs to have a day as the Raiders win this game by a touchdown.

&nbsp;

#1. New England Patriots (-2.5 -120) AT New York Jets &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

I&rsquo;m back on Belichick and the Patriots with my #1 play of the weekend.

There is domination and then there is complete ownership of a franchise.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s what New England is to the Jets.&nbsp; The Pats have won 14 straight games against New York, and I see that streak continuing Sunday as the rain pours down on MetLife Stadium.

QB Zach Wilson just simply isn&rsquo;t very good.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s 0-4 straight up and against the spread in his last four starts and just doesn&rsquo;t see the field well enough to beat this New England defense.&nbsp; Left tackle Duane Brown has been ruled out for this game which only puts Wilson in further jeopardy.&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t see a scenario where he doesn&rsquo;t turn the ball over multiple times Sunday, especially with the awful weather that&rsquo;s expected.

The Patriots have had a brutally tough schedule to start the year going against Super Bowl contenders Philly and Miami.&nbsp; This will be the welcome victory, in the division, that they need to get their season going back in the right direction.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 3 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

&nbsp;

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

 
Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 1 Record: 1-4 / Overall: 1-4 (20%)

Alright, let&rsquo;s get this out of the way quick.&nbsp; It was an awful opening weekend.

Week 1 is a traditionally brutal slate to handicap and that proved to be the case last week.&nbsp; It was a &ldquo;public better&rdquo; fiesta most of Sunday which made my stats and trends moot but the sun came up Monday morning and we begin the climb NOW!

&nbsp;

Week 2

5. Miami Dolphins AT New England Patriots (+3 -115) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

We start our Top 5 in Gillette Stadium under the lights.

Here we have the traditional &lsquo;bet the home dog in division&rsquo; play but there is more to it than that.&nbsp; The Pats enter this week off a tough, grinding loss to the defending NFC champions where they looked very good during most of that game.&nbsp; The Dolphins have made the world fall in love with them airing it out all over Los Angeles last week.&nbsp; So why New England?

We know what we&rsquo;re going to get from the Patriots and Bill Belichick.&nbsp; They know the opponent incredibly well and are playing at home in what may be a must win early in their season.&nbsp; Team&rsquo;s that start 0-2 reach the playoffs only 11% of the time and in this extremely tough division, they will be back on the right track with a win on Sunday night.

Mac Jones and that offense worked the Eagles for most of that game down the middle and seemed to have found something with their two tight end sets and possession receivers.&nbsp; I think Bill O&rsquo;Brien has made an immediate impact displaying them as a REAL offense after last season&rsquo;s debacle of a year on that side.

The Dolphins, man&hellip; Tua and Tyreek are unstoppable.&nbsp; Not just last week but all last year when Tua was at the helm.&nbsp; However, in this spot, coming back East from LA and then up the coast for another road game against a familiar foe, give me the points and the Patriots.

&nbsp;

4. Green Bay Packers AT Atlanta Falcons (-1.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

It&rsquo;s extremely early, but the Falcons may be my squad this season.

I expect them to continue to be undervalued because of the lack of star power at QB.&nbsp; I won&rsquo;t sit here and try and convince you that Desmond Ritter is a good NFL Quarterback.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s most likely the opposite but Arthur Smith is a very good coach in my opinion, and they can run the ball on ANYONE.

Grass is green, water is wet, and the Packers smashed the Bears last week at Soldier Field.&nbsp; They played well but I&rsquo;d argue it was more of the Bears ineptitude than anything.&nbsp; Justin Fields turned it over twice, the defense was a joke, and the Packers capitalized on literally every opportunity.&nbsp; I could see them coming into this tilt smelling themselves a little bit and expecting to win against an extremely tough nosed Atlanta team.

The Falcons bulldozed the Panthers Sunday (providing us our sole win of Week 1) and have a real shot to win the NFC South.&nbsp; Starting off 2-0 with two home victories will go a long way in meeting that goal.&nbsp; Of note as well, Packers all world running back Aaron Jones hasn&rsquo;t practiced all week and cornerback Quay Walker is trying to make it back from a concussion he sustained last Sunday.

This game opened with Green Bay as a 2-point favorite and has swung an insane 3.5 points.&nbsp; This is all pro better money cascading down on the Dirty Birds.&nbsp; I see Atlanta controlling the clock, scoring in the red zone on the backs of their stud running backs and winning this game by a touchdown.

&nbsp;

3. Seattle Seahawks (+4.5 -110) AT Detroit Lions&nbsp;&ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

We&rsquo;re fading the public darling again in the Motor City.

Seattle was AWFUL last week in a home drubbing to the Rams.&nbsp; Literally nothing went right for the Hawks, and it was truly shocking to watch.&nbsp; The Lions meanwhile come into this game off a &lsquo;mini bye&rsquo; after going into the defending champion&rsquo;s house and winning.&nbsp; Sometimes gambling makes you feel appalled all while licking your lips at the disgusting opportunity that lies before you.

Give me Seattle!

Listen, the Lions are no fluke.&nbsp; Outside of that great victory last week, they also finished the 2022 season on an absolute tear culminating with a beautiful upset against their hated rival Packers to knock them from the playoffs in Week 18.&nbsp; I love Coach Dan Campbell like everyone else in the country, but this is a full-on &lsquo;Spot Play&rsquo; on the other side.

The Seahawks made the playoffs last season, returned most of their skill players and defense while adding exciting young WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba.&nbsp; There is a LOT to like about their roster.&nbsp; I think they simply got caught in a divisional matchup against a highly motivated Rams team who everyone was counting out.&nbsp; Pete Carroll is too good a coach to have them lay down like dogs in back-to-back weeks.

If the Lions didn&rsquo;t have their heads the size of air balloons yet after off-season praise, last week&rsquo;s upset win has made that balloon about ready to blow.&nbsp; I think they&rsquo;re good and could win the NFC North for sure, but this game is not going to be as easy as the public betters are making it feel.&nbsp; Sharp money is on the Seahawks and so am I.

&nbsp;

2. Las Vegas Raiders AT Buffalo Bills (-8.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS 

Whoa baby was Josh Allen bad Monday night.

That was a tough game for the &ldquo;NFL isn&rsquo;t scripted&rdquo; fans to watch because it was straight out of a movie.&nbsp; But when you push the Rodgers injury, the punt return walk off and the Jets winning outright out of your mind, it really came down to one guy.&nbsp; Josh Allen was atrocious, however the best part for Bills fans is he absolutely knows it.

I expect Allen to be unleashed Sunday afternoon in Buffalo as they run it up on the 1-0 Raiders.&nbsp; Yes, it&rsquo;s the west coast team coming East checkmark, but this isn&rsquo;t even really about that.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s about Buffalo and what they need to do to be the team we all think that they are.

Here&rsquo;s some stats for you.&nbsp; Josh Allen is 16-1 straight up as a touchdown favorite.&nbsp; He simply doesn&rsquo;t squander these opportunities against lesser opponents.&nbsp; In addition to that, when the Bills win, they blow out teams.&nbsp; 37 of Josh Allen&rsquo;s 52 career wins are by a TD or more.

The Raiders had a very nice win in Denver last week squeaking out a 1-point victory in Coach Josh McDaniels&rsquo; first game in Las Vegas.&nbsp; However, it did come at a cost as the game&rsquo;s leading pass catcher Jakobi Meyers suffered a concussion and will not play this weekend.&nbsp; The depth has always been an issue for the Black and Silver and that will be a major deterrent to them covering this spread.

Run it up Josh!

&nbsp;

1. Seattle Seahawks AT Detroit Lions (OVER 47.5 -108) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

We are back in D-Town for my #1 play of the weekend.&nbsp; I LOVE this over so much; I&rsquo;ve bet it three separate times.&nbsp;

Let me first take you back to their matchup last season.&nbsp; The Seahawks won a 48-45 firework show in Detroit.&nbsp; How about the year before?&nbsp; The Hawks took that one too 51-29 in Seattle.&nbsp; That is 93 and 80 points total respectively.&nbsp; I have more!&nbsp; Eight of the nine Lions home games last year went over this total of 47.5 for an average of 58 points per game.&nbsp; These teams simply cannot stop one another, and I fully expect that to be the case Sunday on that fast Ford Field turf.

Detroit and Seattle are both sneaky loaded at the skill spots.&nbsp; Seattle boasts a wide receiver group that I&rsquo;d put up against any in the league and the Lions have a diesel offensive line, a great thunder/lightning running back tandem, and Amon-Ra St. Brown who I bet to lead the league in receptions this year.&nbsp; There are going to be chunk plays left and right and as long as they convert in the redzone I don&rsquo;t see a scenario where this doesn&rsquo;t fly over the total.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.&nbsp;Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite plays (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.The odds expressed i

NFL Week 2 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

We are ONE sleep away from the first Sunday of the 2023 NFL Season!

Tonight, I&rsquo;ll lay my head down to rest anticipating dreams of one-handed catches, touchdown celebrations, game winning field goals, and that sweet, sweet Red Zone Clock.&nbsp; Most importantly, I&rsquo;ll be envisioning sweeping the Top 5!

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; game bets series.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

 
Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

2022 Season Overall: 52-47-5 (53.1%)

Last year was a blast and I truly appreciate all of you that followed along and won (a little) money with me. 

I&rsquo;ve been in training camp for months getting ready for this season and I can not WAIT for our first full slate of NFL football tomorrow.

Last season I treaded water through the first several weeks of the year before going on a 2+ month winning spree to finish above .500.&nbsp; This year, we start on top and stay that way.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s get to my Top 5 game bets for Week 1!

&nbsp;

Week 1

5.&nbsp;Jacksonville Jaguars AT Indianapolis Colts (UNDER 46 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Always remember, boring bets cash the same as exciting ones.&nbsp; 

There is not one person in your life who hasn&rsquo;t at least muttered to you under their breath, &ldquo;Man, I love the Jags this year.&rdquo;&nbsp; I get it!&nbsp; They&rsquo;re very likeable, in an awful division, and have a young star QB with a Super Bowl winning coach.&nbsp; But we&rsquo;re talking a divisional matchup, on the road, against a complete unknown in Coach Shane Steichen and QB Anthony Richardson.

These AFC South games always go down to the wire but with the heavy line movement on the Colts (now +4.5 from +5.5) I decided to go with the under.

Jags stud offensive tackle Cam Robinson is out for the first four weeks while the Colts return former Pro Bowler Shaq Leonard to their defense.&nbsp; I expect Indy to play tough in their new system against a familiar foe and keep the Jaguars offense at bay.&nbsp; On the other side, I&rsquo;m frankly not an Anthony Richardson guy&hellip; YET.&nbsp; I think he is going to struggle mightily in the early going and figure it out as the season moves along.&nbsp; At his worst, he is woefully inaccurate, and I predict a brutally ugly box score from Richardson on Sunday.

I see Jacksonville being fully content going into Indy, slowing the game down, and keeping things in front of them en route to a low scoring win to get their season off right.

&nbsp;

4. Carolina Panthers AT Atlanta Falcons (-3.5 -112) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

This game can be broken down a million ways, but I want to start you off with a stat.

#1 overall pick QB&rsquo;s are 1-13 ATS in their first starts since 2003 (1 win being David Carr, remember that poor schlub?).&nbsp; Let that marinate&hellip;

I like Bryce Young a whole lot and I do think he will be an electric NFL QB, but it isn&rsquo;t now, and it isn&rsquo;t against a very intriguing Falcons team.&nbsp; 

The NFC South is wildly unpredictable as we enter the 2023 season.&nbsp; The Saints are the favorites with tickets coming in on the Falcons and Bucs (gross) too.&nbsp; The Panthers however, ain&rsquo;t it.&nbsp; Atlanta is going to run the ball.&nbsp; You know that I know that, and Carolina knows that.&nbsp; But I&rsquo;m betting it won&rsquo;t matter.&nbsp; Panthers star, and best player, linebacker Brian Burns is holding out and I highly doubt he boards a plane to the Peach state at this point. 

I envision Rookie RB Bijan Robinson running wild in his first game along with other exciting skill players like WR Drake London, TE Kyle Pitts. RB Tyler Allgeier and the never aging Cordarrelle Patterson.&nbsp; 2nd year QB Desmond Ritter will manage Atlanta to comfortable home victory propelling them forward to a possible division title.

&nbsp;

3. Miami Dolphins AT Los Angeles Chargers (-3 -115) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

This game rules.&nbsp; Two explosive offenses with unlimited speed and skill going toe to toe in the 4 PM slate.

You&rsquo;ll come to find out that I&rsquo;m a big &lsquo;one coast team going to the other coast and losing&rsquo; guy as we go along here.&nbsp; (I didn&rsquo;t put the Commanders on the Top 5 because I couldn&rsquo;t justify giving 7 points with Sam Howell until I can see it with my own two eyes, but I WILL be betting on Washington nonetheless).

The Chargers brought in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore from Dallas this off-season and he will unlock QB Justin Herbert even more than we&rsquo;ve already seen.&nbsp; Moore loves to air it out and Herbert has one of the most prolific right arms in recent memory.&nbsp; The Dolphins have a lot of stars on both sides, but All World CB Jalen Ramsey is out till the winter and the newly minted 75-million-dollar offensive tackle Terron Armstead won&rsquo;t play this week either.&nbsp; These injuries will absolutely matter in a razor thin matchup.

Give me the Chargers to outscore the Phins in Week 1 by 4 or more.

&nbsp;

2. Dallas Cowboys AT New York Giants (+3.5 -115) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

Oh baby do I love a home underdog, in division, of more than 3!

Let&rsquo;s start with some stats:

<ul>
	<li>Divisional home underdogs are 7-0 ATS in Week 1 over the past 5 years.</li>
	<li>The Giants were a league best 13-4 ATS last season.&nbsp; 10-2 as an underdog.</li>
	<li>QB Daniel Jones had a TD to INT ratio of 10:3 at home last year.</li>
	<li>The Cowboys are 0-3 in Week 1&rsquo;s under coach Mike McCarthy</li>
</ul>

The Giants were a surprise playoff team last season squeaking into the last seed and upsetting the Vikings in the Wild Card round.&nbsp; The front office is finally in order after years of head scratchers and they&rsquo;ve put together a solid team on paper.&nbsp; TE Darren Waller leads the list of newcomers and I see him being a huge contributor right away (pending health).&nbsp; RB Saquon Barkley enters 2023 after a strange off-season saw him get a raise but without a long-term deal so he will be especially motivated.&nbsp; 

The Cowboys are going to be very good.&nbsp; The defense, led by LB Micah Parsons, is elite and there are skill players galore.&nbsp; However, I&rsquo;d argue the strongest part of their team for years has been the offensive line and they are coming into this season banged up or off holdouts.&nbsp; I think it will take them a couple weeks to get back to being one of the tops in the league.

I&rsquo;m not going to ignore Dak Prescott&rsquo;s record against the Giants in totality, but I will say this isn&rsquo;t the same New York team he&rsquo;s beaten on for years.&nbsp; This game is going to go down to the very last second with a possibility the Giants win outright.

&nbsp;

1. San Francisco 49ers AT Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

For those of you who followed the Top 5 last season you know exactly where I was going with my top pick.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s the Steelers, it was always Mike Tomlin and the Steel City!

There is no better coach ATS than Tomlin.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s 64% in his career against the spread including, wait for it&hellip; 16-4-3 as a home underdog!&nbsp; That&rsquo;s truly insane.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s go even deeper.

I&rsquo;m not huge on the end of last year impacts the beginning of this one because players, coaches, schemes, etc all change exponentially but it must be mentioned.&nbsp; The Steelers got healthy to end last year and went on an absolute TEAR.&nbsp; After starting an abysmal 3-7, Pittsburgh won six of their last seven games.&nbsp; When QB Kenny Pickett was at the helm they won five in a row and when defensive superstar TJ Watt was in the lineup, they were 8-2.&nbsp; My point in all of this is they are healthy, sneaky loaded, and an exciting group I can&rsquo;t wait to bet on.

The Niners are a preseason favorite to win it all and it&rsquo;s understandable.&nbsp; They have 2 atrocious teams in their division and made it to within one game of the Super Bowl last season.&nbsp; However, they are not without their question marks.&nbsp; 

QB Brock Purdy is back, healthy, and was the darling of the league last year.&nbsp; He simply didn&rsquo;t lose until his elbow got crunched under Haason Reddick&rsquo;s arm in the NFC Title game.&nbsp; Defensively, they just signed the reigning defensive player of the year Nick Bosa to a record-breaking deal two days ago ending his hold out but with zero practice time, I can&rsquo;t see him playing more than 10-15 snaps.

Add in the ol&rsquo; faithful west coast coming east at 1 PM rule with my guy Tomlin and we have the perfect ingredients for the #1 Best Game Bet of Week 1.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on X (Twitter)!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 We are ONE sleep away from the first Sunday of the 2023 NFL Season!Tonight, I&rsquo;ll lay my head down to rest anticipating dreams of one-handed catches, touchdown celebrations, game winning field goals, and that sweet, sweet Red Zone Clock.&nbsp; 

NFL Week 1 - David's Top 5 Game Bets

It is FINALLY&nbsp;Super Bowl Sunday on the&nbsp;Top 5!

Every week I brought you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend and we&#39;ve reached the finish line.

The NFC Champion Philadelphia Eagles will take on the AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs in sunny Scotsdale, AZ in what is shaping up to be an absolute classic!

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Playoff Record: 7-6/ Overall: 52-46-5 (53.1%)

We have clinched at least an over 52% NFL Year 1 with Bet Karma.&nbsp; A mediocre season on the whole but rode a two plus month wave of winning to finish my rookie year.&nbsp; I have certainly grown as a handicapper as the season wore on and hope you all enjoyed the recent hot run!

&nbsp;

Super Bowl 57

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5 -110 O/U 51 -110) - 6:30 PM EST - FOX

Offensive Rankings

Eagles (Total: 3rd / Passing: 9th / Rushing: 5th)

Chiefs (Total: 1st / Passing: 1st / Rushing: 20th)&nbsp;

Defensive Rankings

Eagles (Total: 2nd/ Passing: 1st / Rushing&nbsp; 16th)

Chiefs (Total: 11th / Passing: 18th / Rushing: 8th)

We have the two #1 seeds facing off for the Lombardi and the real winner here is us, the fans.&nbsp; What a matchup!

Everyone enjoys a good upset from time to time but there is nothing better than the biggest game of the year being played between the two best teams.&nbsp; This game has a truly unlimited number of storylines, matchups, and handicapping angles.&nbsp; However, I would aim to guess every gambler alive had at least a strong feeling where they were going to go with this game 13 days ago.&nbsp;&nbsp;

For me, that&#39;s with the Birds and I&#39;ll explain why.

Over the past couple of weeks, you have likely heard your favorite analyst and social news feed lament about the Eagles both good and bad.&nbsp;

The good - the trenches (specifically the run game and pass rush), the drastic improvement with the QB, the staff littered with future head coaches, the health, and the talent from starter 1 to 22.&nbsp;

The bad - the ease and somewhat luckiness of the schedule, the injured shoulder and general lack of playoff stats for&nbsp;Jalen&nbsp;Hurts, and the brashness of the head coach.

The good is spot on, this team rules.&nbsp; They have put together one of the finest seasons these eyes have seen in a very long time.&nbsp; The bad, I mean, to me they are flat out reaches trying to hype a Super Bowl.

Seeing analysts who I respect try and say the Eagles haven&#39;t played anyone makes me laugh.&nbsp; Is it maybe because they exposed and essentially beat the hell out of whomever lined up across from them each week?&nbsp; I think so.&nbsp; The Vikings were good until they weren&#39;t.&nbsp; The Titans were tough until they softened.&nbsp; The Lions won 9 games.&nbsp; The Packers didn&#39;t get knocked out until Week 18.&nbsp; The Giants made the postseason, won a playoff game, had the Coach of the Year and the Eagles smashed them three times!&nbsp;&nbsp;

Listen, I get that in the year 2023, lauding a team for their achievements doesn&#39;t get the clicks that dissecting flaws does.&nbsp; &quot;Take&quot; shows live and die by the negative.&nbsp; How tantalizing would it be if Stephen A Smith sat up there and talked about how dominant the Eagles O and D lines were for 2 straight hours 5 days a week?&nbsp; Not very.&nbsp;&nbsp;

But this team is one of those true greats that pass every eye AND statistical test.&nbsp;&nbsp;

Offensively, Philly ranks 3rd overall.&nbsp; Yes, the Eagles love to run the ball, but they are incredibly balanced in totality.&nbsp; They&#39;ve won games each and every way this season.&nbsp; In Week 12&nbsp;vs the Packers, the Eagles ran for 363 yards and 3 TDs.&nbsp; The very next week vs the Titans, Jalen Hurts threw for 380 yards and 3 TDs.&nbsp; Both comfy wins (the Packers scored late with Jordan Love), both complete opposite paths to victory.&nbsp; The Eagles possess so many ways to beat you that it&#39;s going to take a Herculean coaching/QB performance to beat them.&nbsp;&nbsp;

Enter Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes.

Reid is a surefire Hall of Famer now entering his fourth Super Bowl appearance.&nbsp; He has been a head coach 24 years in this league, 10 with the Chiefs and the other 14 with yes, the very same Philadelphia Eagles.&nbsp; You obviously know that.&nbsp; You can&#39;t open your eyes in the morning without someone shouting it at you.&nbsp; &quot;ANDY REID VS. HIS OLD TEAM!&quot;&nbsp;&nbsp;

There is no question the Chiefs have the edge at Head Coach.&nbsp; Reid is going to have some tricks up his sleeve in this game and has the best player on the planet manning his offense.&nbsp; I find that a lot of gamblers are having trouble betting against Patrick Mahomes as an underdog.&nbsp; Trust me, this has entered and swam around in my head as well.&nbsp; Mahomes is the MVP (Of note&nbsp;- regular season MVPs are 0-9 in their last 9 Super Bowls) and the best QB in the league.&nbsp; What he did this year after losing Tyreek Hill is insane and he deserved to win the award.&nbsp; A lot of Eagles backers are pointing to Mahomes having a high ankle sprain that may flare up Sunday.&nbsp; I&#39;m not even going there.&nbsp; I actually think he will show little to no regression in terms of what he does unless, of course, someone rolls up on him again.

Mahomes is lethal in and around the pocket.&nbsp; He scrambles but not as much as you think.&nbsp; He wants to dissect defenses with his feet in place.&nbsp; Here&#39;s the problem, the Eagles feast on QB&#39;s and they don&#39;t discriminate on how.&nbsp; Philly led the league with 70 sacks.&nbsp; The Chiefs ironically had the 2nd most... with FIFTEEN less at 55.&nbsp; Haason Reddick, Brandon Graham, Josh Sweat and Javon Hargrave all eclipsed 10 on the year.&nbsp; That&#39;s the first time that has happened since the &quot;Sack&quot; began being tallied&nbsp;in 1984.&nbsp; Reddick enters this game with 19.5 sacks combined season/playoffs.&nbsp; There are a number of ways you can look at this and the haters will say it&#39;s because they didn&#39;t play top flight QBs or because they always had the lead and could pin their ears back.&nbsp; I mean, ok sure.&nbsp; 70 sacks is 70 sacks.

Speaking to that and shout out to my fellow nerds;&nbsp;the Eagles led the league with 11.5% sack rate on pass plays.&nbsp; That&#39;s the best number this century.&nbsp; In fact, the Eagles and the 2nd ranked defense were the same distance away from each other than 2nd was to 29th.&nbsp; They essentially lapped the field in sack rate.&nbsp; Sheesh.

KC meanwhile,&nbsp;has&nbsp;a middle of the road pass protection sitting at 16th ranked DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average).&nbsp; Their right tackle Andrew Wylie was a lowly 63rd in PFF (Pro Football Focus) rankings.&nbsp; Who is he going to face most of the game?&nbsp; That beast Haason Reddick.&nbsp; Good luck outrunning him on an ankle sprain Patrick.

Speaking of health, the Eagles come into the Super Bowl with each and every one of the 22 starters they opened the season with in September.&nbsp; That&#39;s UNHEARD of.&nbsp; The Chiefs meanwhile look like they&#39;ll get Smith-Schuster and Toney back, but both are dinged up.&nbsp; Not to mention all-world tight end Travis Kelce said he had to be shot up due to intense back spasms before the Bengals game.&nbsp; They also have injuries in the defensive secondary coupled with rookies on the outside.&nbsp;&nbsp;

The reality is Patrick Mahomes is going to have to be incredible to win this game and I&#39;m fully aware he is capable of that.&nbsp; The beauty with him is it doesn&#39;t matter whether they have a lead or are down by two scores, he is NEVER out of it.&nbsp; On the other side, Philly&nbsp;clearly plays better when they have a lead.&nbsp; They will ground and pound you until you beg them to stop... and then run right down your throat again.&nbsp;&nbsp;

I&#39;ll reiterate what I said earlier, you probably have known which side you&#39;re taking for at least a week and I don&#39;t expect someone betting Patty Mahomes to jump over to the Brotherly Love side now.&nbsp; But sometimes, you just have to back the more talented, healthier, and diverse team.&nbsp; The Eagles are likely going to lose a ton of these players in the off-season and although the Chiefs have been there more often recently, Philly has a great mix of &quot;been there before&quot; vets and humble young stars.&nbsp; They&nbsp;know this incredibly special team will look different come Monday.&nbsp;

They have to finish, and finish they will.

Pick: Eagles -1.5

Lean: Under 51

&nbsp;

This is the Top 5&nbsp;after all so let me hit you with 4 of my favorite props.

- Opening Kickoff to be a Touchback - NO: +140 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

I bet this every year because it provides that excitement on the first play of the game.&nbsp; I always feel like the returner is so juiced up to take the&nbsp;ball out, so I&#39;ll sprinkle a little on this plus money.&nbsp; Kickers Butker and Elliott produce touchbacks at only just over 60% each.

- Miles Sanders - Most Rush Yards: +150 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

I have a small ticket on Sanders to win the MVP as well.&nbsp; I love&nbsp;all&nbsp;the Sanders prop overs actually but this one the most.&nbsp; The Eagles have lessened the load on their pro bowl running back the past month because they could.&nbsp; This is the Super Bowl and quite possibly Miles&#39; last game in midnight green.&nbsp; I expect him to show out.

- AJ Brown - Player with Longest Reception: +225 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Each time I close my eyes I see #11 popping a huge play.&nbsp; It may be a slant and go, it may be a vertical bomb, but at some point,&nbsp;Brown will take the top off the Chiefs secondary.

- Eagles to Convert a 4th Down in their Own Territory: +300 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Sirianni and Shane Steichen are mad geniuses on 4th down and boast&nbsp;a&nbsp;historic 4th down conversion rate.&nbsp; They &quot;went for it&quot; in their own territory&nbsp;several&nbsp;times this season and won&#39;t be afraid to do it on the sport&#39;s biggest stage.

&nbsp;

Thank you again to everyone who read the&nbsp;Top 5&nbsp;this season and enjoy the Super Bowl!

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 It is FINALLY&nbsp;Super Bowl Sunday on the&nbsp;Top 5!Every week I brought you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend and we&#39;ve reached the finish line.The NFC Champion Philadelphia Eagles will take on the AFC Champion Ka

Super Bowl Sunday - Top 5 Game Bets

It&rsquo;s Championship Sunday on the Top 5!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Playoff Record: 5-5/ Overall: 50-45-5 (52.6%)

I can&rsquo;t believe there&rsquo;s only 3 NFL games left&hellip;

What a fun roller coaster it&rsquo;s been for my first NFL season with Bet Karma.&nbsp; I hope you all stuck with me and have been reaping all the benefits the last 2 months.

We have an incredible two games on Championship Sunday.&nbsp; Not only did we get the four hottest teams like normal, we have the four BEST teams in my opinion.&nbsp; The two #1 seeds (Eagles and Chiefs), the best defense on a 12-game win streak (49ers), and the best team against the spread (Bengals).&nbsp;

Because there is no true Top 5 with only four &ldquo;sides&rdquo; to bet on, I&rsquo;m going to give you my best bets (or leans) for both games individually.

&nbsp;

Championship Sunday

San Francisco 49ers AT Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5 -115 O/U 45.5 -110) &ndash; 3 PM &ndash; FOX

This matchup has been on a collision course for months and we finally get it in South Philly Sunday afternoon.

The best team all year vs the hottest team in years.&nbsp; The individual matchups, the superstar players, the young savant coaches, etc.&nbsp; This game has it all.

I&rsquo;m going with the home team and here&rsquo;s why.

The Eagles have had a fantastic season coming into the playoffs at 14-3 and are 15-1 in games QB Jalen Hurts plays.&nbsp; Hurts won&rsquo;t win the MVP but he should absolutely get some votes as he&rsquo;s been tremendous all year.&nbsp; 22 passing TDs and another 13 on the ground, there is no greater 11 on 11 threat than Hurts.&nbsp;

What I mean by 11 on 11 is Jalen isn&rsquo;t just a Quarterback, he&rsquo;s a football player that needs to be identified each and every play unlike other QBs.&nbsp; The Eagles have run roughshod all over the league because of this very fact. &nbsp;Sure, there are other dual threat QBs, but no other team boasts this good of an offensive line and playmakers to compliment them.&nbsp; The Eagles have that in spades.

The Run-Pass-Option offense coach Nick Sirianni and coordinator Shane Steichen run is taylor made to what Jalen provides.&nbsp; They read linebackers and defensive ends until those players want to rip their hair out.&nbsp; However, this isn&rsquo;t any ol&rsquo; LB and D end.&nbsp; This is DPOY Nick Bosa and Fred Warner&rsquo;s crew.

The Niners are a special defense, that is a fact.&nbsp; They thrive on physicality and tackle better than any defense that lines up right now.&nbsp; However, they haven&rsquo;t played anyone near as good as the Eagles and their 17 combined Pro Bowlers/Alternates.

On defense, Philly boasts an historic pass rush totaling 70 regular season sacks.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s just two off the NFL record and FIFTEEN better than the next best team.&nbsp; QB Brock Purdy has been fantastic and I truly believe he will have every opportunity to stamp himself as the Niners QB of the future.&nbsp; But let&rsquo;s look at that clean 7-0 record.

He has only played two road games.&nbsp; One in Seattle and the other in Las Vegas.&nbsp; Seattle is a tough place to play, even still.&nbsp; But the Niners completely overmatched them in all three games this season.&nbsp; Vegas was 70% Niners fans and took them to the brink.&nbsp;

This is Philadelphia.&nbsp; This is the Linc.&nbsp; This is the NFC Championship Game.

I can&rsquo;t see this young 7th round rookie going into that environment and winning this game.&nbsp; Something no rookie QB in history has ever done.&nbsp; Rookie QBs in the championship round are 0-4 straight up and 1-3 ATS (the one being a 14-point line).&nbsp; There&rsquo;s plenty of tape on the kid now too.&nbsp; The Eagles ferocious pass rush which has FOUR guys tallying 10+ sacks (first time in history) know he likes to backpedal and break to his left.&nbsp; If he has any trouble with the timing routes, Philly will eat him alive.

I think the Eagles have success reading Nick Bosa just like they did to Micah Parsons earlier this season which put him in a torture chamber.&nbsp; They have to make sure that the redzone opportunities equate to TDs and if they do that, they could even win comfortably.

Pick: Eagles -2.5

Lean: Over 45.5

&nbsp;

Cincinnati Bengals AT Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5 -110 O/U 48 -110) &ndash; 6:30 PM &ndash; CBS

Burrow/Mahomes 4 comes to you live at Burro&hellip;Arrowhead Stadium under the lights and I can&rsquo;t wait for this matchup.

It is beyond well documented what Joe Cool has done to the Chiefs in his young career.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s win, and every single time.&nbsp; Can it happen again?

I say yes.

If you&rsquo;re an avid reader of the Top 5 you know there has been many, many weeks I have predicted the Bengals ATS demise.&nbsp; And every single week, they stuff my foot directly in my throat.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not doing it again.&nbsp; This team is not only loaded with talent, they&rsquo;re confident as hell.&nbsp; No, they&rsquo;re cocky as hell.

Joe Burrow is quite simply the coolest dude doing it right now.&nbsp; He has zero fear or conscious and has been an absolute bear to get off the field in situational football.&nbsp; His accuracy is nearing historic levels on intermediate routes and he&rsquo;s the perfect mix of &ldquo;taking what&rsquo;s given to him&rdquo; and &ldquo;airing it out&rdquo;.

What I mean by that is he has absolutely no problem hitting one of his multitude of stud weapons for 8 yds or 38.&nbsp; I believe that the couple of years he has had to run for his life behind a lackluster or injured offensive line has only helped his timing.&nbsp; He is no longer holding the ball waiting; he&rsquo;s attacking and at an incredibly high level.

The Chiefs run the AFC in the regular season and this will be their FIFTH STRAIGHT AFC Title game in their building.&nbsp; QB Patrick Mahomes is the MVP but as we all know, he&rsquo;s on a bad wheel.&nbsp; We think!&nbsp; We don&rsquo;t really know how he&rsquo;s feeling other than holding microscopes to how he walks off a press conference podium and the fact he is completely off the injury report.&nbsp; He may just be Superman.

Even if he is say at 80% (which I believe to be generous), Mahomes greatness is predicated on his ability to create.&nbsp; Sure, he can sit in the pocket and sling it better than most, but where he kills you is his ingenuity.&nbsp;

The Bengals defense is severely underrated even though they&rsquo;ve proved it for two seasons.&nbsp; They fly around, have a great defensive line, and are sneaky the best statistical defense in 2nd halves of games over the past 20 contests.&nbsp; If the Chiefs can&rsquo;t hold their ground, it could be big time trouble for Mahomes.

I believe for KC to win this game, they HAVE to run the ball.&nbsp; They ran it great last week but that&rsquo;s not their M.O.&nbsp; They want to have motion, they want to move the pocket, they want down field opportunities.&nbsp; For that to happen they need time and mobility from their QB.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m incredibly interested to see how future HOF coach Andy Reid schemes this up.

I also love the under in this game similar to my reasoning for loving the unders last week.&nbsp; We&rsquo;re in the nitty gritty now and we have two teams that know each other well.&nbsp; I see this game being extremely tight with plays being made in front of the safeties, not behind them.&nbsp; Both teams will want to sustain drives and take what&rsquo;s there, especially with Mahomes possibly hobbling.&nbsp;

Joe Burrow is now 19-1 ATS in games their less than a 7-point underdog.&nbsp; My God.&nbsp; Give me Cincy to be the more physical and efficient team Sunday night as they book their 2nd consecutive trip to the Super Bowl.

Pick: Bengals +1.5

Pick: Under 48

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

&nbsp;

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 It&rsquo;s Championship Sunday on the Top 5!Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.&nbsp;The odds expressed in this article 

NFL Championship Sunday - Top 5 Game Bets

It&rsquo;s Divisional Weekend on the Top 5!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Playoff Record: 2-3/ Overall: 47-43-5 (52.2%)

This is by far my favorite weekend of the football season.&nbsp;

Every game has great and/or hot teams going head-to-head for the right to play in for a conference title.&nbsp; Order those wings, crack open a beer, and let&rsquo;s handicap these beauties.

Quick recap of the Wildcard round first.

Finally, after almost 2 months of winning weeks, I came up short going 2-3 on the weekend.

The Seahawks (+10) was the quintessential overthinker bet.&nbsp; Sure, they had the lead at halftime but sometimes you just have to discard the rhetoric and bet the best team.&nbsp; The Niners proved the Hawks didn&rsquo;t belong on the same field with them in that 2nd half en route to comfy win.

In the night game, we witnessed one of the greatest collapses in sports history.&nbsp; How Brandon Staley has a job today is beyond me.&nbsp; However, I appreciate his ineptitude because it led to us cashing the Over 47.5 EASY by the end of the 3rd quarter.

On Sunday, I was counting our money once the Bills (-13.5) got up 17-0 immediately.&nbsp; But, yet again, Buffalo &ldquo;played with their food&rdquo; all game long and let Skyler Thompson cover the line with ease and almost win the game!&nbsp; But remember, the Dolphins got every single break in that game from turnover TDs to ref calls and beyond.&nbsp; More on the Bills later&hellip;&nbsp;

In the night game, the Ravens (+9) played every bit like I projected and arguably should have won the game.&nbsp; Cincy truly has all the good luck charms stuffed inside their shoulder pads and took a 98 yd fumble return to the house, proving to be the difference.&nbsp; Off to Buffalo in what will be the game of the weekend Sunday afternoon.

Monday night&hellip;

Listen, I blew it.&nbsp; All year long I told anyone within a stone&rsquo;s throw that the Bucs (+2.5) stunk.&nbsp;

They stink!&nbsp;

As soon as Brady threw that INT in the back of the endzone down 6-0 I knew we were cooked.&nbsp; I let my GOAT blinders take over on that pick.&nbsp; My bad.

Only SEVEN games remaining in the NFL season people!&nbsp; Cherish them.

&nbsp;

Divisional Playoffs

5. New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles (UNDER 48 -110) &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; FOX

This was easily the hardest game to handicap this weekend as it possesses the most unknowns.

Is Jalen Hurts healthy?&nbsp; Are the Eagles going to be rusty after a bye and a shaky last few weeks of the regular season?&nbsp; Is Daniel Jones only a great QB against the Minnesota Vikings?&nbsp; IS IT HARD TO BEAT A TEAM THREE TIMES???

I capped that last one because every talking head you&rsquo;ll hear has exhausted that asinine question to which I give little to no stake in.&nbsp; But the other questions are vital.

I&rsquo;m going under in this game for a few reasons.

First of all, these teams know every little nook and cranny about one another.&nbsp; This will be their third matchup in the last 6 weeks.&nbsp;

The first one was an Eagles beatdown of the Giants in New York.&nbsp; That game can almost be thrown out because the G-Men were missing key components of their defense and appear to be a completely different team on that side.&nbsp; The 2nd game took place in Week 18 with the Giants playing me and you at the skill spots and the Eagles ran a preseason Week 3 vanilla offense to make sure they got the one seed.&nbsp; I could argue both of these games tell us nothing about this one.

Health is the most important factor come playoff time.&nbsp; The Giants are healthier than ever and the Eagles needed that bye week to get right.&nbsp; As of right now, the only starter missing this game will be Philly&rsquo;s nickel corner Avonte Maddox.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s a big loss but maybe not against this weaponry or lack thereof.

Giants QB Daniel Jones has been fantastic of late and had his best game as a pro last week in Minnesota.&nbsp; He has completely changed his narrative when it comes to turning the ball over and I feel like for the Giants to be in this game they&rsquo;ll be playing keep away as best they can.&nbsp; This process will help keep the points low.

The Eagles, yes, MAY be rusty in this game especially early on.&nbsp; Neither team turns the ball over and will sustain long drives.&nbsp; I see this game as a 24-17 slugfest comfortably covering our under while sending the Philly faithful home happy.

&nbsp;

4. Dallas Cowboys (+4 -110) AT San Francisco 49ers &ndash; Sunday &ndash; 6:30 PM &ndash; FOX

Never in a million years did I see myself taking Dallas when this game was set in stone but here we are.

I played &ldquo;Guess the Line&rdquo; as the time ticked down on the Bucs season (and maybe Tom Brady&rsquo;s career) and thought 49ers -5.5.&nbsp; It opened at 3.5.&nbsp; Huh?&nbsp; Haven&rsquo;t the Niners won 11 in a row?&nbsp; Doesn&rsquo;t Dak lead the league in INTs?&nbsp; Doesn&rsquo;t San Fran have the best defense this side of the Mississippi?

This got my ears perked up and I started to dig into the research.

My first question to you is, who have the Niners played this season?&nbsp; When you look at the schedule, they shockingly only played two teams with a positive point differential.&nbsp; The Seahawks (+9) who they waxed 3 times and the Chiefs (+126) who wiped the floor with SF back in Week 7.&nbsp; Which team are the Cowboys closer to?&nbsp; I&rsquo;d have to say KC.

Now I&rsquo;m not saying Dallas is as good as the Chiefs, no chance.&nbsp; But the offenses are similar in matchup styles.&nbsp; They both are predicated on stretch runs and getting the ball out quick.&nbsp; Dak was fantastic in the Wildcard round.&nbsp; Probably one of the best overall games he&rsquo;s had as a pro.&nbsp; He took everything that was given to him and had his way.&nbsp; The Niners ain&rsquo;t the Bucs I get that, but if McCarthy is smart he&rsquo;ll look hard at that Chiefs tape.

I see RB Tony Pollard having himself a day on the edges.&nbsp; The Niners linebackers are tackling machines inside the tackles but when they were forced to chase all day they got smoked.&nbsp; If Dallas can sustain drives, they&rsquo;ll score touchdowns.&nbsp; I say that because the Cowboys have the #1 redzone scoring offense in the NFL and since Week 7 they&rsquo;ve averaged 32 points a game and have the best 3rd down percentage in the league.

The glass slipper has to fall off Brock Purdy at some point, right?

He was awful in the first half last week vs a porous Seattle defense.&nbsp; The Cowboys&rsquo; defense is better in every phase of the game than the Hawks so this challenge could be daunting.&nbsp; When he&rsquo;s pressured by a freak athlete like Micah Parsons, will he still be able to break the pocket and hit his weapons.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not so sure.

The Niners may win by a field goal but forced to bet this in the Top 5, I&rsquo;ll take the points with Dallas.

&nbsp;

3. Jacksonville Jaguars (+9 -110) AT Kansas City Chiefs &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 4:30 PM &ndash; CBS

Oh baby we&rsquo;re on one now.&nbsp; Betting against both the favorite in the NFC and the top seed in the AFC.

A lot will be made of Andy Reid being 27-4 off a bye (how INSANE is that!?) and I get that.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s a genius in these spots and I certainly don&rsquo;t expect the Jags to pull of this upset in KC.

But 9 points?&nbsp; I mean how many times are the Chiefs going to be favored by more than a touchdown before the public stops pounding them?&nbsp; One seeds are 13-25-1 against the spread in the last 20 years during the divisional round.&nbsp; One seeds favored by under 10 points are an even worse 8-22-1 over that time.&nbsp; KC as a team is 7-9-1 ATS this year mainly because they&rsquo;re a public darling and get bet up to crazy numbers.

People simply don&rsquo;t realize that although still every bit as dynamic, they&rsquo;re a very different squad this season.

Without Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs have played a much more ball control offense.&nbsp; They have no problem sustaining drives and no longer chuck it up to #10 to go get it.&nbsp; Mahomes is brilliant in any offense and has thrived in this one throwing over 5,200 yards and 41 touchdowns.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s like playing a &ldquo;Madden franchise on rookie&rdquo; type numbers.&nbsp; But I see the Jags hanging around!

They played earlier this year with the same betting line and KC hung on to cover a 27-17 victory.&nbsp; Since that game, Jacksonville won seven of their last eight games and six in a row.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re smelling themselves and rightfully so.&nbsp; Coach Doug Pederson and QB Trevor Lawrence are locked in right now.&nbsp; Hell, they&rsquo;re probably finishing each other&rsquo;s sentences at this point.&nbsp;

Speaking of Quarterbacks, the Chiefs were worst in the league in QB Rating against (95) which I&rsquo;m sure is a shock to many of you.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re not an immovable object defensively at all.

Don&rsquo;t forget, Dougy P has been to the mountain top before and was molded by Andy Reid.&nbsp; This game rules and I believe it should be much tighter than a 9-point line suggests.&nbsp; The sharps agree.&nbsp; Give me the points.

&nbsp;

2. Cincinnati Bengals AT Buffalo Bills (-5.5 -110) &ndash; Sunday &ndash; 3 PM &ndash; CBS

Easily the best game of the weekend comes Sunday afternoon in Buffalo.

I truly can not wait to see these two teams finish what they started back in Week 17.&nbsp; Although that was only three short weeks ago, these teams come into this matchup a little different.

Cincy is banged up.&nbsp; I know, I&rsquo;ve been saying this for weeks but every week they lose another huge contributor.&nbsp; They are officially down THREE offensive linemen in this game.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s gotten to a point now when Burrow has more than 3 step drop, he&rsquo;s got 2 huge d lineman in his grill.&nbsp; Joe Cool is as good as anyone at the intermediate routes but eventually you&rsquo;ll have to score with the Bills by throwing it downfield and he simply doesn&rsquo;t have the time.&nbsp;

The Bills are top 10 in QB pressures and very rarely do they blitz.&nbsp; Losing Von Miller earlier this season hurt but they still boast one of the deepest rotations up front in the game.&nbsp; There is no doubt they will get theirs on Sunday.

QB Josh Allen is a damn roller coaster.&nbsp; There is no other way to put it.&nbsp; One drive he&rsquo;ll launch a 60-yard dime to Diggs for a TD, the next he&rsquo;ll throw in an impossibly tight window for a redzone pick.&nbsp; But he STILL is the historic total yardage king of the Playoffs and he can smell this glorious opportunity.&nbsp; I think Allen shows the world why he&rsquo;s one of the top 2 QBs in the world in this game.

Intangibles are real in the playoffs because everything is so razor thin between these teams.&nbsp; If Damar Hamlin is at this game and leads the team out of the tunnel, that roar will be heard down in New York City.&nbsp; I hope he&rsquo;s there.&nbsp; It would be an amazing chapter in what has been a miraculous story these past few weeks.

The Bills looked awful last week vs. Miami.&nbsp; Like I mentioned in the recap, they play around so much when their up its infuriating.&nbsp; They know that just as much as we do and they&rsquo;ll be ready to wash away that stink.&nbsp; I love great teams coming off a bad outing while still winning.

This line opened at 6 for a second and was bet down as low as 3.5.&nbsp; The pros came in and took this right back up to 5.5 so if I were you, I&rsquo;d get it in ASAP before it hits that gross 6 number again.

The Bengals injuries, the Bills firepower, the electric homefield advantage, etc.&nbsp; I LOVE the Bills Sunday.

&nbsp;

1. Jacksonville Jaguars AT Kansas City Chiefs (UNDER 53 -110) &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 4:30 PM &ndash; CBS

We&rsquo;re back at Arrowhead for my #1 pick in the Top 5.

I love this under so much and I&rsquo;ll point to what I already detailed above.&nbsp; The Chiefs aren&rsquo;t the Chiefs of old who can light up the scoreboard in a matter of seconds.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re perfectly fine hitting check downs, hitches and screens to score their points.&nbsp;

The Jaguars meanwhile have given up 16 points or less in 3 of their past 4 games and tightened up beautifully in last week&rsquo;s 2nd half completing their improbable comeback vs the Chargers.&nbsp; I think they have the athletes to keep the Chiefs in front of them.

You want a stat?&nbsp; Here&rsquo;s a fun one.&nbsp; When Reid&rsquo;s teams are favored by 7 or more, the unders cash at 70% clip. &nbsp;I see this game mirroring the first time they played.&nbsp; 27-20, 28-21, 24-23.&nbsp; Somewhere in there.&nbsp; 53 is simply not getting sniffed in this one.

&nbsp;

Pick Recap

Eagles/Giants UNDER 48

Cowboys +4

Jaguars +9

Bills -5.5

Chiefs/Jaguars UNDER 53

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 It&rsquo;s Divisional Weekend on the Top 5!Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.&nbsp;The odds expressed in this article c

NFL Divisional Weekend - Top 5 Game Bets

It&rsquo;s Playoff Time on the Top 5!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 18 Record: 4-2/ Overall: 45-40-5 (52.9%)

We are finally here!&nbsp;

Super Wildcard Weekend is some of the best few days of the sports year and although the betting lines project some blowout potential, there is plenty of action to be excited about.

The Top 5 is SCORCHING hot over the past six weeks as I&rsquo;ve gone 20-8-1 (71.4%) over that time.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m seeing the board clearer than ever and feel very good about this tough slate ahead.

Week 18 had two awful picks followed by four beauties.&nbsp;

We split Saturday&rsquo;s two game slate starting with the Chiefs smashing our Raiders (+9) in Vegas.&nbsp; KC <a href="https://twitter.com/ProFootballDoc/status/1611856664575238145" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">embarrassed</a> the black and silver all game long. &nbsp;All sadness subsided quickly for me personally as the &ldquo;middle the bet&rdquo; dream came true.&nbsp; The Titans (+6.5) covered but the Jags took a fumble back to the house to win the AFC South (and my division future).&nbsp;

On Sunday, I threw out a bonus bet on the Cowboys (-7).&nbsp; That was dumb.&nbsp; Dallas is officially limping into their playoff matchup Monday night against the GOAT in Tampa.

Thankfully it was all winning, all the time otherwise.

The Falcons (-4) were able to take and keep the lead vs. the Bucs backups in the 2nd half.&nbsp; The Rams (+6) battled the Hawks to overtime, almost pulling off the upset outright.&nbsp; Finally, those delightful Lions (+5) came to play Sunday night and knocked their hated rival Packers out of the playoffs.

&nbsp;

Wildcard Weekend

5. LA Chargers AT Jacksonville Jaguars (OVER 47.5 -110) - Saturday - 8:15 PM -NBC

We start with a very intriguing 4/5 matchup in northern Florida.

The Jags won five games in a row and took the division away from the Titans in Week 18.&nbsp; They have essentially been playing playoff games since the first week of December and have answered the bell each time.

The Chargers quietly put together a solid, if not forgettable, 10-7 campaign.&nbsp; They are the epitome of a Jekyll and Hyde football team and we&rsquo;ve been quite profitable with the rule &ldquo;Bet the Chargers as underdogs, fade them as favorites&rdquo;.&nbsp; I thought long and hard about taking the home dogs here but I&rsquo;m going to go with the over instead.

The Jags defense has played great in spurts but it&rsquo;s a fa&ccedil;ade to their overall game.&nbsp; The run defense is solid but the secondary can and will be picked apart.&nbsp; They ain&rsquo;t playing Josh Dobbs this week.&nbsp; Justin Herbert is one of the best arm talent QBs in the entire league and I expect him to make big plays.&nbsp; Yes, even without WR Mike Williams who is out.

Quick aside, coach Brandon Staley can&rsquo;t get out of his own way.&nbsp; In a completely meaningless Week 18 game in Denver, he played his starters into the 4th quarter and Williams fractured his back.&nbsp; Barring a run to the Super Bowl, his season is likely over.&nbsp; What a dope Staley can be.

The Chargers secondary has played really well, but their run defense is nonexistent.&nbsp; RB Travis Etienne should have gaping running holes at his disposal all night long.&nbsp; The Jags beat LA by 100 back in Week 3, in their building.&nbsp; Jacksonville is going to be able to score.

This could be one of the most exciting games of the weekend Saturday night.&nbsp; Strap in.

&nbsp;

4. Dallas Cowboys AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5 -105) &ndash; Monday &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; ABC

If you would have told me even a few weeks ago that I&rsquo;d be backing the Bucs against anyone, I&rsquo;d say you&rsquo;re crazy.

They&rsquo;ve had a truly, for lack of a better term, awful season.&nbsp; However, Tampa has shown life offensively the past couple weeks and may have unlocked something with their skill guys.&nbsp; Mike Evans shockingly put up three touchdowns against Carolina, Godwin looks healthy, and the run game&hellip; well the run game is still pretty bad.&nbsp; But they may not need it to be great in this one.

The Cowboys are a complete anomaly.

They have one of the most talented rosters in the entire league and boast the 2nd most pro bowlers behind only the Eagles.&nbsp; They can beat any team in football on any given Sunday.&nbsp; Unfortunately for &ldquo;America&rsquo;s Team&rdquo; they can lose to most of them too.&nbsp;

Dallas&rsquo; secondary has been awful of late and it won&rsquo;t get much better as injuries are mounting up.&nbsp; QB Dak Prescott is obviously good but my goodness does this guy throw a lot of picks.&nbsp; In fact, he&rsquo;s thrown an INT in 7 straight games and averaged 1.25 INTs per start this season.&nbsp; That isn&rsquo;t going to win playoff football, especially on the road.

The Bucs have played in some of the most unwatchable football games these eyes have ever seen in 2022.&nbsp; If it wasn&rsquo;t for two miracle Brady comebacks during the year, they wouldn&rsquo;t be playing anymore.&nbsp; But they are, and HE is.&nbsp; Tom Brady is undefeated vs the Cowboys lifetime.

Tampa&rsquo;s D still has some dudes on it that fly around.&nbsp; They get pressure with their front four and come into this game top 10 in Sacks, Passing yds allowed, and yds per attempt.&nbsp; When the two hoss defensive tackle Akeem Hicks and Vita Vea play, they are 6-1 and allowing 16 points per game.&nbsp; When they don&rsquo;t, they give up 25.&nbsp; Those big boys will be in uniform Monday night.

The Cowboys and their much-maligned head coach Mike McCarthy have ALL the pressure on them and I get the greatest ever AND 2.5 points on the other sideline?&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll take that.

&nbsp;

3. Miami Dolphins AT Buffalo Bills (-13.5 -115) &ndash; Sunday &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

I know what you&rsquo;re thinking, an almost two TD line in a playoff game and I&rsquo;m on the favorite?

I agree, it seems square as the day is long and normally, I&rsquo;d be salivating over an underdog this big.&nbsp; But I just couldn&rsquo;t get myself to back Skylar Thompson IN Buffalo with all that talent wearing blue and white and emotion running through that stadium.

The Bills have been through it to say the least.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s been all good news all the time with Damar Hamlin and I fully expect him to appear on the big screen Sunday afternoon to hype up the faithful.&nbsp; Not only is Buffalo a league favorite, they may have some destiny flowing behind their sails.

The Bills come into the playoffs winners of 7 straight and have beaten Miami in 8 of the last 9 matchups.&nbsp; That lone loss came earlier this year and Buffalo hasn&rsquo;t forgotten about that.&nbsp; QB Josh Allen has been outstanding in the playoffs during his young career.&nbsp; In fact, he has the best total yards per game average (348.2 yds), TD:INT ratio (14-1), and passer rating (106.6) in postseason history!&nbsp; Miami&rsquo;s defense has played well this season but they have no answer for #17.

In the new playoff format, 7 seeds have never won and favorites of 10 or more are 5-1 against the spread.&nbsp; One more note on the QBs; first time playoff QBs are 14-35 ATS vs veteran playoff QBs.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s alarming.

The Dolphins injuries have been well documented and they will have numerous starters watching this game in sweats.&nbsp; If Tua was playing, I had this game pegged at +10.&nbsp; I think Thompson&rsquo;s entry pushes that over two touchdowns.

There&rsquo;s too much logic and numbers backing me up to go the other way.&nbsp; Give me the Bills and lay the 13.5 points.

&nbsp;

2. Seattle Seahawks (+10 -120) AT San Francisco 49ers &ndash; Saturday &ndash; 4:35 PM &ndash; FOX

Oh baby do we have a gross one coming up in Santa Clara.

The forecast for Saturday calls for thunderstorms, 25 mph winds, and almost an inch of rain.&nbsp; You couldn&rsquo;t pay me to be in that stadium.&nbsp; Who does this help though?

I could hear arguments for both teams but I&rsquo;ll go with the dog getting 10 points.

Seattle has come back down to Earth after a tremendous first half of the year.&nbsp; The shine has worn off QB Geno Smith and the youth has shown over the past month+. &nbsp;This has been arguably coach Pete Carroll&rsquo;s most impressive season at the helm as many pundits had the Seahawks projected near the bottom of the league.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re certainly flawed but this is a prideful franchise and the Niners are a team they know very well.

San Fran has been a juggernaut all season going 13-4 and have won 10 games in a row.&nbsp; Five of those games have been managed by the arm of rookie QB Brock Purdy.&nbsp; &ldquo;Mr. Irrelevant&rdquo; has been fantastic coming in as the third string QB orchestrating coach Kyle Shanahan&rsquo;s system.&nbsp; Shanahan is a wizard and he has a multitude of weapons to disperse.&nbsp; The Niners are healthy, supremely talented, and geared up for a long playoff run.

But let me take you back to that forecast.&nbsp; Running the rock will be paramount in that weather and both teams have proven they can.&nbsp; The Hawks are 6-1 when stud rookie RB Kenneth Walker gets 15 or more carries and I fully expect him to get that.&nbsp; Passing will be tough but Geno completed the season tops in the league in competition percentage (69.8%).&nbsp; He continues to take what is given to him and if he doesn&rsquo;t make mistakes, Seattle will move the ball with some success.

They always say beating a team three times in one season is extremely difficult but I&rsquo;m not sure I&rsquo;m a believer in that.&nbsp; What I do believe in is the fact that rookie QBs like Purdy have lost five straight playoff games and are 1-8 in their last 9 opportunities.&nbsp;

I see San Fran taking what&rsquo;s in front of them, grinding this thing down and winning the game.&nbsp; But not by 10 points.

&nbsp;

1. Baltimore Ravens (+9 -115) AT Cincinnati Bengals - Sunday - 8:15 PM &ndash; NBC

I can&rsquo;t believe I&rsquo;m betting against the Bengals AGAIN!&nbsp;

The Ravens have been clouded with drama for months over the health of former MVP QB Lamar Jackson.&nbsp; He isn&rsquo;t playing.&nbsp; But I think if you asked coach John Harbaugh, he always knew he wasn&rsquo;t going to play.&nbsp; Baltimore is 3-3 without Lamar and made the playoffs yet again.&nbsp; Harbaugh is the king of the Wildcard round with a 5-0 straight up record AND ATS entering this matchup.

Backup QB Tyler Huntley has been labeled a game-time decision as of this moment but I fully expect him to play.&nbsp; He has been stretched out in practice this week and they&rsquo;re going to need him.&nbsp; Keep an eye on this though.

The Bengals have been tremendous and I hold a very nice ticket on them to win it all, but they aren&rsquo;t without their issues either.&nbsp; Left tackle La&rsquo;el Collins tore up his knee and they lost stud guard Alex Cappa last week to an ankle injury.&nbsp; For a team who historically can&rsquo;t protect the QB, this is going to be extremely hard to overcome.

Let&rsquo;s talk about the Ravens defense a little bit.

Since they traded for LB Roquan Smith during Week 9, they have been incredible.&nbsp; Baltimore has allowed 132 points since that time, good for 2nd in the league only behind the Niners.&nbsp; Smith&rsquo;s entry in the middle has slid LB Patrick Queen to the outside where he&rsquo;s thrived and the rush defense went from 20th to 3rd in the league.&nbsp; Since Week 9 they lead the league in total TD&rsquo;s allowed (11), 3rd in yards allowed (288.8), and 3rd in big plays (40).

My point is, they&rsquo;re primed and ready to eat defensively.

The Bengals will go as far as star QB Joe Burrow takes them and that&rsquo;s the way they like it.&nbsp; They haven&rsquo;t run the ball well at all this season and certainly will be pushing uphill against a run D like the Ravens have.&nbsp; &ldquo;Joe Cool&rdquo; will find his weapons and they should win this game but I believe 9 points is disrespectful.

I&rsquo;ll let all the public squares pounce while I sit back and bet a tried-and-true franchise like the Ravens in a low scoring grind of a playoff game.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

 It&rsquo;s Playoff Time on the Top 5!Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.&nbsp;The odds expressed in this article come fr

NFL Wildcard Weekend - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome in to the FINAL article of the 2022-2023 College Football Season!

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Bowl Season Record: 7-6&nbsp;/ Overall: 38-40-1 (48.1%)

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

We have finally made it to the end of the road.&nbsp;

This college football season was truly incredible and filled to the brim with storylines.&nbsp; We began this trek in Dublin, Ireland way back in August and culminate with a gatorade bath and&nbsp;trophy raising in SoFi Stadium tonight.&nbsp; There are 131 Division 1 FCS football programs but only two remain:

The TCU Horned Frogs and the Georgia Bulldogs.

One is a 200-1 preseason underdog while the other is the defending National Champions.&nbsp; A first year coach who brings a 7-1 record in one score games&nbsp;vs the new &quot;King of the Hill&quot; of college football.&nbsp; A plucky underdog completely overlooked by 5 star recruits and the national attention until they were 12-0 vs. an NFL hot-bed in a college sports crazed Georgia town.&nbsp;&nbsp;

Ok that&#39;s about enough cryptic hyberbole for our last article.

It&#39;s TIME!

&nbsp;

National Championship Game - #3 TCU vs. #1 Georgia - 7:30&nbsp;PM - ESPN

You&#39;d be hard pressed to find two more deserving teams to battle it out for the title.

TCU has had an incredible 2022 season.&nbsp; As I mentioned above, they were a complete afterthought entering this season behind coach Sonny Dykes and QB Max Duggan.&nbsp; I saw articles published before the season started that didn&#39;t have them finishing in the top 5 of the Big 12.&nbsp; To that, they say &quot;Good, we had bigger goals anyways.&quot;

Georgia meanwhile, is Goliath.&nbsp; Another undefeated season and another opportunity to put a stamp on the middle of a dynasty.&nbsp; Yet, unlike last season, questions swirl around the red and black Bulldogs from Athens.

&quot;They&#39;re not as good as last year.&quot;&nbsp;

&quot;Stetson Bennett can only game manage.&quot;&nbsp;

&quot;The SEC was weak.&quot;&nbsp;&nbsp;

Yet here they are again&nbsp;and this time, as a 13 point favorite.

Speaking of the betting line, lets get to what you&#39;re all here for.&nbsp; What is my pick for the National Championship game??

I said to our discord and anyone I came within a stone&#39;s throw last weekend... I will NEVER not bet the over in a playoff game again when I&#39;m already&nbsp;leaning that way.&nbsp; I made a gruesome mistake last week by not giving you both overs for the playoffs even though I loved them.&nbsp; I did this because I took O/U&#39;s in the first 3 bets of the weekend and didn&#39;t want to just provide totals.

Dumb, I know.&nbsp; But hey, this was Year 1 at Bet Karma with hopefully many more to come.&nbsp; I&#39;ll learn from these mistakes.&nbsp; Starting tonight.

You&#39;re going to hear a whole lot about how the pubic is on the over.&nbsp; Based on our incredible&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/live-trends">Live Trends Tab</a>, it shows 73% of the public pounding away at over 62.5&nbsp;in real time.&nbsp; I don&#39;t care.&nbsp; I&#39;ve watched entirely too much of both of these teams to sit here and convince you all there won&#39;t be 63+ points tonight.&nbsp; The offenses are too explosive, the defenes have too many question marks of late, the formula is written in the stars.

POINTS!

The Pick: OVER 62.5 -110

&nbsp;

I want to thank you all again so much for reading and following along this season.&nbsp; I had a blast bringing you my spin each week and improved immensely as a handicapper.&nbsp;

This is only just the beginning.

&nbsp;

PS - I hope you&#39;re also following my <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1418/nfl-week-18-top-5-game-bets">NFL picks</a> where I&#39;m scorching hot.&nbsp; SIX winning weeks in a row with a ridiculous 69% success rate as we storm into the Playoffs.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 Welcome in to the FINAL article of the 2022-2023 College Football Season!&nbsp;The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;DraftKings Sportsbook.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;where to bet&nbsp;ple

CFB National Championship Best Bet

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

I want to start today by talking about Bills safety Damar Hamlin.

What we all witnessed Monday night was an unprecedented moment.&nbsp; Not just for the league but for society.&nbsp; I know, for me, it rocked me as a fan and as a person.&nbsp; I find myself completely in awe of the first responders who saved Hamlin&rsquo;s life in real time, the doctors at the University of Cincinnati who ensured he would continue on, and the nation as a whole who seemed to come together in prayer for this young man to be saved above all else.&nbsp; Today, just five nights after incurring cardiac arrest, he physically spoke with his brothers on the Bills.&nbsp; I felt an overwhelming sense of gratitude and excitement for his future.&nbsp; Get well Damar, &ldquo;you won at life&rdquo;.

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 17 Record: 3-1 / Overall: 41-38-5 (48.8%)

We have made it to the finish line boys and girls.

Week 18 is NOT for the faint of heart for any gambler and we will try to navigate any and all land mines while fishing out some winners.&nbsp; The questions you need to ask yourself are plentiful:

<ul>
	<li>WHO&rsquo;S PLAYING?</li>
	<li>Who needs to win?</li>
	<li>Who is worried about seeding?</li>
	<li>Who would love to play spoiler?</li>
	<li>Who is worried about draft position</li>
</ul>

Having the answers to these questions isn&rsquo;t easy especially because coaches play everything so close to the vest.&nbsp; You need to take chances in Week 18 which is exactly what we&rsquo;re about to do in the Top 5.

We had a another winning slate in Week 17 and find ourselves +3 games wins over losses.&nbsp;

Let&rsquo;s finish strong.&nbsp;

Spoiler &ndash; Some of these are going to be gross.

&nbsp;

Week 18

Bonus Pick &ndash; Cowboys (-7 -110) AT Commanders

I&rsquo;m going to throw in sixth pick with only four games conveying last week.

Rookie QB Sam Howell is starting his first game as a pro against a Cowboys team who by all accounts will be playing their starters throughout this game.&nbsp; With the Eagles playing at the same time, the Cowboys still have a shot at the #1 overall seed in the NFC.&nbsp; This is a giant rivalry but the Commanders have been completely beaten into submission over the past few weeks.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s so bad in Washington that their head coach is completely oblivious to playoff scenarios.&nbsp; They even debuted a mascot at halftime of Week 17 and proceeded to score ZERO points in the 2nd half. &nbsp;They&rsquo;re a complete mess to say the least. &nbsp;I trust the Cowboys to come out and bury Washington hoping the Giants show fight a couple hours north in Philly.

&nbsp;

5. Kansas City Chiefs AT Las Vegas Raiders (+9 -110) &ndash; SATURDAY &ndash; 4:30 PM &ndash; ABC

This is strictly a &ldquo;bet against Mahomes as a touchdown favorite&rdquo; bet.

Listen, I love Patrick Mahomes and if you don&rsquo;t, you&rsquo;re probably not a very fun person.&nbsp; However, the numbers I&rsquo;m about to present to you are beyond staggering and not a small sample size.

Mahomes as a favorite of over three points is now 9-24 against the spread since November 2020 and 3-9 this season. &nbsp;The Chiefs are also 1-4 ATS in their last five.&nbsp; They simply don&rsquo;t cover massive lines and the sportsbooks keep raking in the cash on the public overvaluing them.&nbsp;

The Raiders may have had the wheels finally fall off this absurd season losing in overtime to the Niners last week. &nbsp;QB Jarrett Stidham was other worldly but blew a lead and lost to San Fran just like pretty much everyone else does.&nbsp; I think Stidham has one more performance in him.&nbsp; Not a winning performance, let&rsquo;s not get crazy&hellip; But he is going to cover 9 points.

&nbsp;

4.Tampa Bay Buccaneers AT Atlanta Falcons (-4 -110) &ndash; SUNDAY &ndash; 1 PM - FOX

We go back to our Week 18 rules above and highlight &ldquo;Who is playing?&rdquo;

Well, as far as we know today, the Bucs may have packed it in for the regular season.&nbsp; And rightfully so.&nbsp; As uneven as Tampa has been this year, they are locked into the 4th spot and will host a playoff game.&nbsp; They have older veterans and banged up guys along both lines.&nbsp; They are going to either rest, or have a very quick hook for whomever needs it to ensure they&rsquo;re prepared for next week.

The Falcons, who finally provided me my only win total loss of the season last week, are playing hard.&nbsp; They are rolling their rookie QB out there to middling success and are running the football at will.&nbsp; If the Bucs do sit or quickly yank some of their front 7, there is not much that will stop Atlanta from pounding away.

I just can&rsquo;t see a scenario where coach Todd Bowles would keep Brady in this game more than a 3rd preseason matchup.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s entirely too valuable to any postseason success and will have some backups in front protecting him.&nbsp; No thanks.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll take Atlanta.

&nbsp;

3. Los Angeles Rams (+6 -110) AT Seattle Seahawks &ndash; SUNDAY &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

I warned you it would be gross!

The Seahawks need a win and a Packers loss to make the playoffs.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s been a wild year for Seattle.&nbsp; A team not one pundit had in this position in Week 18 behind a coach and QB that were left for dead in many eyes.&nbsp;

Here&rsquo;s the issue, this is a completely inflated line for a rivalry game where the Rams have absolutely nothing to lose.&nbsp; Not only will they play loose as the day is long, they have a savvy coach, a QB who is fearless, and a true hatred for their opponent.&nbsp; If you don&rsquo;t think LA will be motivated to end Seattle&rsquo;s season you&rsquo;re nuts.

Cam Akers has reemerged and looks great and yes; I know the Rams got smoked last week but that just makes me like them more in this spot.&nbsp; Also of note, the Seahawks have some question marks entering this matchup.&nbsp; RB Kenneth Walker was sick all week and their likely going to be missing their top LB on defense.

The Hawks pounded a lifeless Jets team last week (my sole loss, sad) and this has directly affected the public&rsquo;s opinion of this game.&nbsp; The sharps and big tickets are all with us on LA.&nbsp; I promise you do not want to be holding a Seahawks ticket when the Rams take a 3-point lead into the 4th quarter Sunday afternoon.

&nbsp;

2. Detroit Lions (+5 -110) AT Green Bay Packers &ndash; SUNDAY &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

This is a risky pick because we won&rsquo;t know what happens earlier in the day that directly affects this game.&nbsp;

In fact, if you want to wait and see if the Seahawks win which will absolutely blow this line up to 6.5 or even 7, feel free to roll those dice.&nbsp; But on the Top 5 we take the lines for what they are come publish time.

Make no mistake about it, I love the Lions whether they can win and make the playoffs or if they can send their hated rival&rsquo;s home for the winter.&nbsp; Detroit is simply not going to lay down whatever the scenario is.&nbsp; They have had a very good season by most measures.&nbsp; From Hard Knocks in the preseason to both win and loss streaks, these boys play their hearts out for head coach Dan Campbell.

It&rsquo;s well documented, the Packers were 4-8 and now their 8-8 and somehow control their destiny for the 7 seed.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s so wild to even type out.&nbsp; But let&rsquo;s look at this win streak.

The Bears and Rams stink, the Dolphins had three inexplicable INTs by Tua late who was found out to be concussed in that game, and finally the massacre of those frauds up in Minnesota.&nbsp; You can only beat who is on your schedule next and they deserve all the credit but Sunday night they will be playing a highly motivated Lions team.

I&rsquo;ll take the 5 points which will show movement regardless of what happens earlier in the day.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t believe that even with a Hawks loss this will drop down below that coveted 4-point line so feel free to wait if you&rsquo;d like.

&nbsp;

1. Tennessee Titans (+6.5 -110) AT Jacksonville Jaguars &ndash; SATURDAY &ndash; 8 :15 PM &ndash; ABC

This one pains me because I&rsquo;ve loved Jacksonville all year and hold a ticket for them to win the division.

So, this is the quintessential &ldquo;try and middle&rdquo; bet for me personally.&nbsp; Titans cover the 6.5 points but lose, I win both.&nbsp; But even if I didn&rsquo;t have this option, I still love the Titans.

There are two things I know entering this game.&nbsp; The public LOVES the Jags and HATES the Titans and I get it!&nbsp; Tennessee has been awful the last couple months and Jacksonville has reaped all the benefits.&nbsp; This is easily the biggest game Jacksonville will host since the 2017 team who made a run to the AFC title game.&nbsp;

But who is on that other sideline?&nbsp; None other than Mike Vrabel and all he does is cover as an underdog when he&rsquo;s getting more than three points.

Stat time!&nbsp; The Titans under Vrabel are an astounding 21-9 ATS when getting over a field goal.&nbsp;

Tennessee lost to the Jags by 100 a few weeks ago at home but they beat Jacksonville five straight before that. &nbsp;Keep in mind as well, they rested their starters last week in a loss to Dallas so they&rsquo;re coming into this game as the fresher squad.&nbsp;

Sure, Josh Dobbs is the QB, but he looked serviceable last week and the Jags defense isn&rsquo;t world beaters.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s not forget what RB Derrick Henry has done to the Jags either.&nbsp; In his last 7 games vs Jacksonville he has averaged 141.6 yards per game and has a whopping 13 TDs.&nbsp; AND he&rsquo;s coming off a full week of rest after sitting last Thursday.

I believe the Jaguars will feel the most pressure with all eyes on ABC Saturday night against a team who has been there, done that for the last several years.&nbsp; Give me all those 6.5 points and Tennessee.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.&nbsp;The odds exp

NFL Week 18 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Happy New Year&#39;s to our Bet Karma family!&nbsp; 2023 is our year.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 16 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 38-37-5 (47.5%)

We&rsquo;ve done it.&nbsp; We&rsquo;ve creeped our way over .500 wins over losses.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s full steam ahead towards the playoffs with only two weeks remaining in the regular season.&nbsp; Sad.

We start our recap in Charlotte where the Panthers (+3) ran all over the Lions with an astounding 320 yards on the ground.&nbsp; Carolina has a huge matchup this weekend and after firing their coach mid-season, they may actually host a playoff game.

Up north in Foxboro, it was pain personified as the Patriots (+3.5) came all the way back down 22 early.&nbsp; Losing by 10 in the 4th quarter, New England scored a TD but the wind grabbed Nick Folk&rsquo;s extra point to keep the spread at 4.&nbsp; The Patriots got back inside the five-yard line with a chance to win the game late but RB Rhamondre Stevenson fumbled battling for extra yards and broke our heart losing the bet by a half point.

We got a better taste in our mouth in the night game on Christmas Eve as the Steelers (-2) came through with a beauty of a game winning drive in an otherwise atrocious football game.

On Christmas Day we opened our gifts, won $8 on our scratch offs, and watched as Tua threw two brutal late game interceptions.&nbsp; The Packers (+3.5) took full advantage and kept their playoff hopes alive with a six-point win in Miami.

Monday night was bad people.&nbsp; No way to sugar coat betting Nick Foles in 2022.&nbsp; The late money came in hard on the Chargers but it was too late for us as the Colts (+4.5) are a complete and utter dead dog.

&nbsp;

Week 17

5. Los Angeles Rams AT Los Angeles Chargers (UNDER 42 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

We start with a truly gross one.

The Rams put up 51 last week against the deader than dead Denver Broncos on Christmas Day.&nbsp; QB Baker Mayfield has been kind of amazing with what was expected of him when he joined LA a few weeks ago.&nbsp; But we can&rsquo;t forget, this team is a shell of the one who hoisted the Lombardi last February.&nbsp;

The Chargers have locked up a well-earned spot in the AFC playoffs.&nbsp; There is some movement that can be had in terms of seeding but I don&rsquo;t see them playing this game like it&rsquo;s the be all, end all.&nbsp; One thing is for sure, their defense has turned a corner.&nbsp; They are playing at a high level and welcome back their multi-time Pro Bowl defensive end Joey Bosa.&nbsp;

Look for this game to be a tough watch with very little big play potential.&nbsp; I love the under.

&nbsp;

4. Miami Dolphins (+2.5 -110) AT New England Patriots &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

The Patriots are hanging by a thread right now.

Yet even coming off two absolute heartbreaking losses, they do control a lot of their fate.&nbsp; If they win out, they&rsquo;ll likely make the playoffs.&nbsp; It sure doesn&rsquo;t feel like this team is playoff worthy however.&nbsp;

QB Mac Jones has had moments of &ldquo;he&rsquo;s the guy&rdquo; coupled with just as many &ldquo;this guy may stink&rdquo;.&nbsp; With that said, the Pats are so limited with weapons and offensive coaching that I feel he may deserve a pass.&nbsp; The fact that they entered a season with Matt Patricia calling the offense is lunacy.&nbsp; I&rsquo;d be picketing outside of Gillette if I was a season ticket holder.&nbsp; Of course, the 6 Super Bowls help, but I digress.

Miami is also sliding losers of four straight.&nbsp; Not only that but franchise QB Tua Tagovailoa unfortunately suffered his second concussion of the season.&nbsp; Certainly worried for his future but hoping for the best.&nbsp;

In comes backup Teddy Bridgewater who is the best QB against the spread in the last 20 years.&nbsp; No, that&rsquo;s not a typo.&nbsp; All this guy does is wear two gloves and cover spreads.&nbsp;

New England is in the bottom three offensively in a ton of major categories since Week 7.

- Total Yards &ndash; 29th

- Touchdowns &ndash; 31st

- 3rd Down Conversions &ndash; 29th

- RedZone TD &amp; - 32nd

Give me the Dolphins who have infinitely more weapons and much better offensive coaching getting 2.5 points on the road.

&nbsp;

3. Minnesota Vikings AT Green Bay Packers (-3 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

I can&rsquo;t stop, won&rsquo;t stop betting against Minnesota.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s a sickness at this point.

This one is different though.&nbsp;

The public is finally doing what I refuse to and backing the 12-3 Vikings at a rather alarming clip.&nbsp; Listen, we know this is going to be a one score game, that&rsquo;s all Minny plays in this season.&nbsp; However, this time, they&rsquo;re playing a team who NEEDS to win and is at home.&nbsp;

The Packers are in the midst of a rather incredible turnaround.&nbsp; Left for dead at 4-8, they have won three straight and find their playoff percentage rise with each final score around the league.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ll still need help from the Giants and Commanders but those two teams can&rsquo;t be trusted at all.&nbsp; Green Bay is going to come out highly motivated.

The injury to electric rookie WR Christian Watson is concerning.&nbsp; Looks like he is going to test it out in warmups and try to play with very little practice time.&nbsp; It would be great to have him because the Vikings secondary is atrocious of late.&nbsp; I still think they&rsquo;ll win the game if he doesn&rsquo;t go but the line may waver so keep an eye out.

&nbsp;

2. Buffalo Bills (-1 -110) AT Cincinnati Bengals &ndash; Monday &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; ESPN

How could I possibly be betting against the Bengals again!?&nbsp;

They&rsquo;ve covered what feels like 500 in a row at this point but they weren&rsquo;t playing Josh Allen in those games.&nbsp; Not only are they playing the Bills loaded offense, they are putting their front 7 together with duct tape right now.&nbsp; I finally think their injury woes defensively will catch up to them in this matchup.

The Bills are a great team.&nbsp; Not sure this can be debated.&nbsp; But man oh man do they love to &ldquo;play with their food&rdquo; against lesser opponents.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m more comfortable betting them against a great team at this point than covering a TD line against a bad one.&nbsp; And make no mistake about it, the Bengals are a great team.

QB Joe Burrow is absolutely rolling and Cincy has rattled off 7 wins in a row.&nbsp; The defending AFC champs are in position to have a shot at the bye with a win and the home fans will be heard all over the state of Ohio Monday night.&nbsp;

When I really dug into the research though, the sharps are all over Buffalo and I get why.&nbsp; I think a lot of the public looks at the Bengals ATS record and the fact that they&rsquo;re at home and are blindly betting Cincinnati.&nbsp; We have to be contrarian in this spot and at least we are backing a great team in return.

Let&rsquo;s be real though, I just really wanted a piece of this beauty of a matchup on Monday Night Football in front of the world.

&nbsp;

1. New York Jets (-2 -110) AT Seattle Seahawks &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; FOX

Mike White is BACK!

Certainly not a sentence I ever thought I would type in 2022, but it&rsquo;s 2023 now, and White is infinitely better than Zach Wilson. &nbsp;This game has a simple focus for me.&nbsp; Defense travels and say what you want about the Jets over the past month, they have a great defense.&nbsp;

Geno Smith&rsquo;s petals have fallen off the rose.&nbsp; He still may win the Comeback Player of the Year but I don&rsquo;t believe his season will end up in the playoffs.&nbsp; The Hawks were one of my favorite teams early in the season but their youth and lack of a defensive prowess has finally caught up to them.

I believe this line should be -4 but the public has been backing the Seahawks, possibly giving too much respect to the Lumen Field atmosphere.

This is a good New York roster that has just been accompanied by awful Quarterback play.&nbsp; I think the Jets save their season (for now) and find a way to win this game on the road behind their defense and QB who can actually make plays through the air.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!Happy New Year&#39;s to our Bet Karma family!&nbsp; 2023 is our year.Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;We&rsquo;l

NFL Week 17 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Bowl Season Record: 4-4&nbsp;/ Overall: 35-38-1 (47.3%)

Man, the bowls are tough to handicap&hellip;

We start with Florida St (-9.5) who played a wild one Thursday night with Oklahoma.&nbsp; The redzone offense early told the story for me as FSU struggled to get touchdowns while QB Dillon Gabriel played a fantastic game for the Sooners.&nbsp; Florida St won on a late field goal but were never really in position to cover our line.

Maryland took down NC State (-1) in a total snooze fest early Friday afternoon.&nbsp; State didn&rsquo;t end up playing freshman QB MJ Morris to my dismay and it cost them.&nbsp; QB Ben Finley, his 45% completion rate, and the Wolfpack offense were anemic at best.&nbsp; What was especially painful was how the Terps were begging them to steal this game all day long.&nbsp;

We finally had one go right for the good guys in the Barstool Arizona Bowl as Ohio (-1.5) came back to win a thriller in Tuscan.&nbsp; Down by 3 with two minutes to go, the Bobcats got themselves down the field to tie the game.&nbsp; In overtime, TE Tyler Foster made a gorgeous catch in the back of the endzone for the game winner.&nbsp; That was Foster&rsquo;s first catch of the game and likely the biggest catch of his life.

This is it ladies and gentlemen!&nbsp; The final Top 5 before the National Championship Game on January 9th.&nbsp; I appreciate everyone who read the articles and battled with me all season.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s end on a high note!

&nbsp;

Bowl Season: Dec. 31st &ndash; Jan. 2nd

5. ReliaQuest Bowl - #22 Mississippi St VS. Illinois (UNDER 46 -110) &ndash; Monday Jan. 2nd &ndash; 12 PM

I want to start with a following statement.&nbsp; Mike Leach is a legend and the sports world is going to sorely miss him.&nbsp; It can be argued that Leach is the single most influential figure in college football history.&nbsp; His brain brought on the famous &ldquo;Air Raid&rdquo; offense and through stops at Texas Tech, Washington St and finally Mississippi St; he provided more innovation than maybe any offensive mind ever.

With all that said, this game is extremely hard to pick.

There is a giant part of me that wants to bet the Bulldogs.&nbsp; A few players who had previously opted out are now going to play in the game to honor their coach.&nbsp; It is just truly impossible to place myself in that locker room and know how they feel regarding this bowl game.

On the other side, Illinois will be without their best offensive weapon by far, RB Chase Brown.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s opted out along with a few other key players.&nbsp; Their season started with so much promise but they sputtered toward the end and quite frankly wasted what could have been an all-time defense.

The Illini have been under machines all year as it is so 46 seems incredibly high for a game with so much in question.

&nbsp;

4. Rose Bowl - #11 Penn St VS. #8 Utah (OVER 52.5 -110) &ndash; Monday Jan. 2nd &ndash; 5 PM

I came into this article loving the Nittany Lions outright.&nbsp; I still do but that won&rsquo;t be my pick in the Top 5.

There has been a lot of chatter around Happy Valley that head coach James Franklin is feeling some heat from alumni.&nbsp; Not so much where he&rsquo;s he could be on the unemployment line but there is no doubt in my mind Penn St wants to win the Rose Bowl.

Utah has had a wild year.&nbsp; They are PAC 12 champions and have beaten USC twice, yet also have a loss to Florida on their schedule.&nbsp; But make no mistake about it, they&rsquo;ve earned this spot and are #8 in the country for a reason.&nbsp; The Utes are a veteran team who have been there before.&nbsp; The moment will certainly not be too big and their offense is going to score.

This is QB Sean Clifford last game in the blue and white.&nbsp; He absolutely wants to go out as a winner. &nbsp;Penn St on the whole is a very good team.&nbsp; In fact, they likely will have the most to gain when the playoffs jump from 4 to 12 teams.&nbsp; Their only losses are to Ohio St and Michigan who are playing for a chance at the title.&nbsp;

Utah&rsquo;s defense never travels well and has given up a ton of points this season.&nbsp; Penn St will be without star cornerback Joey Porter Jr which is going to be a tough spot to fill.&nbsp; Also, the Rose Bowl has been pure electricity in recent years with some of the greatest games you&rsquo;ll ever see.&nbsp; I see this one being another one in the long line.&nbsp; Give me the over.

&nbsp;

3. Cotton Bowl - #16 Tulane VS. #10 USC (OVER 63 -110) &ndash; Monday Jan. 2nd &ndash; 1 PM

Points!&nbsp; Points!&nbsp; Points!

I love this bet, and if I didn&rsquo;t want to finish this article with the Playoff games this would likely be my #1 pick.

We know USC by now.&nbsp; Incredible offensively.&nbsp; Historically bad defensively.&nbsp; There are no secrets to this Lincoln Reilly led team.&nbsp; Maybe one day he&rsquo;ll recruit a defensive stud but that won&rsquo;t be evident in this game.

On the other sideline, I&rsquo;m not sure there is a team motivated to play more than Tulane will be.&nbsp; Maybe Kansas St against Bama, but I avoided that game altogether.&nbsp;

The Green Wave have had a tremendous 2022.&nbsp; 11-2, a win against Big 12 champ Kansas St, and an AAC Title in their trophy case; yet they&rsquo;re still only ranked 16th and are feeling the national disrespect for sure.&nbsp; They are absolutely going to have an offensive gameplan that can put points up on this swiss cheese Trojan defense.&nbsp; Look for RB Tyjae Spears to be running free all day long.

Tulane is a sound defensive team but USC has shown they can score big on anyone.&nbsp; Obviously keep an eye out for if Heisman winner QB Caleb Williams sits out.&nbsp; Word is he is working through a hamstring injury but wants to play.&nbsp; Get this over bet in as soon as possible because the second he is labeled &ldquo;active&rdquo; this over will jump a few points.

&nbsp;

College Football Playoff

Crazy stat alert! &ndash; In the 16 semifinal games since the CFP has been announced, only three have been decided by one score.&nbsp; NINE of them have been decided by 20+.&nbsp; Favorites in the last 5 years are 7-3 ATS and 9-1 SU

&nbsp;

2. Fiesta Bowl - #3 TCU VS. #2 Michigan (-7.5 -110) &ndash; Saturday Dec. 31st &ndash; 4 PM

After dozens of bowl games, opt-outs, head coaching changes, and mayo baths, we have finally reached the Playoffs.

We start in the Fiesta Bowl with the undefeated Big 10 champion Michigan Wolverines vs. the 12-1 TCU Horned Frogs.

I tried very hard to figure out an angle where TCU can not only cover this game, but win.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s just not there for me&hellip;&nbsp; I love QB Max Duggan.&nbsp; I love coach Sonny Dykes.&nbsp; I love the season they had with five wins in one score games and countless 2nd half comebacks.&nbsp; I just feel the glass slipper is finally going to fall off, and BIG.

Michigan is just the much better team and carries greater big game experience into this semifinal.&nbsp; TCU thrives off big plays.&nbsp; Guess how many TDs Michigan&rsquo;s defense has given up outside the red zone?&nbsp; FOUR.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s insane.&nbsp; They simply don&rsquo;t let you get behind them and at worst their a fantastic &ldquo;bend but don&rsquo;t break&rdquo; unit.

To go into Columbus and embarrass Ohio St was a true eye opener for me.&nbsp; The Wolverines appear to be more steady than in year&rsquo;s past and are craving that title game.&nbsp; QB J.J. McCarthy has gotten better each and every week and although they&rsquo;ll miss future Pro RB Blake Corum, Donovan Edwards is no slouch and they&rsquo;ll still be able to grind it out on the ground.&nbsp; Likely with ease.

TCU&rsquo;s defense is young and energetic, but they don&rsquo;t possess the &ldquo;Dudes&rdquo; if you will.&nbsp; I see big gashes by the Michigan offense and Duggan&rsquo;s dream season falls short as Michigan pulls away late by two scores.

&nbsp;

1. Peach Bowl - #4 Ohio St VS #1 Georgia (-6 -110) &ndash; Saturday Dec. 31st &ndash; 8 PM

What a matchup we have in Atlanta on New Year&rsquo;s Eve.

The defending champion Georgia Bulldogs take on the 11-1 Ohio St Buckeyes.&nbsp; This was the betting odds favorite to be the title game before the season started but we get it one week early.&nbsp; There are elite athletes who will be playing on Sundays all over the field in this game and I can&rsquo;t wait until kickoff.

If I&rsquo;m so excited for the game, why am I taking the touchdown favorite?

First, let me point back up to the stat I provided above.&nbsp; The semis are blow out city and there&rsquo;s a reason for that.&nbsp; When you have a team like Georgia who are so loaded, have all the experience, employ a coach who has gotten better each year, and have a championship pedigree; it becomes impossible to pick against them.

People love to say last year&rsquo;s Bulldogs team was better than this one and it may have been, but that shouldn&rsquo;t devoid your attention from just how good this team is too.&nbsp; They certainly took some games off earlier this season and it almost cost them.&nbsp; But there is no team in the country I trust more to play up to the moment than Georgia.

In terms of X&rsquo;s and O&rsquo;s, Georgia&rsquo;s massive strength is the interior of their defensive line.&nbsp; Ohio St has two pros at right and left tackle but the inside of their offensive line has struggled mightily.&nbsp; QB CJ Stroud is a fantastic quarterback but he&rsquo;s all about timing and struggles under &ldquo;in face&rdquo; pressure. &nbsp;The Bulldogs don&rsquo;t normally blitz and if they can get home with their front four this could get ugly for the Buckeyes.

Speaking of blitzing, Ohio St. blitzed J.J. McCarthy from Michigan all day and he carved them up with down field throws.&nbsp; QB Stetson Bennett has round himself into a perfect college QB and if they try and do the same thing, he will get the ball out to their all-world tight ends with ease.&nbsp; Georgia is also as healthy as they&rsquo;ve been this season at wide receiver and these guys will be foaming at the mouth to make big plays.&nbsp;

Buckeye WR Marvin Harrison Jr is an amazing wide out.&nbsp; He has made more highlight reel, in traffic catches than any other player this season.&nbsp; However, I think Ohio St is going to really miss their other star WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba who was unable to get up for this game.&nbsp; Last year, a guy like Alabama&rsquo;s WR Jameson Williams produced big problems for the Georgia defense.&nbsp; Their susceptible to speed.&nbsp; Ohio St is unfortunately missing their best kryptonite in that facet.

I do think this will be a highly competitive game, especially in the first half.&nbsp; But I&rsquo;m going to lay the points with the champs as they march forward to defend their crown on the 9th.

&nbsp;

Again, I want to thank you all for reading this season and I&rsquo;ll be back next week with my pick for the Championship Game.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Bowl Week 12/31 - 1/2 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Bowl Season Record: 3-2 / Overall: 34-36-1 (47.9%)

Bowl season has been a wild ride per usual.&nbsp; It has had everything from stars opting out, to big underdogs winning, to triple overtime thrillers, to schools with big legacies not showing up, etc.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s what makes the Bowls so intoxicating yet incredibly hard to handicap.&nbsp;

I&rsquo;ve said it before and I&rsquo;ll say it again, the bowls are made for live betting because you can really get a feel for which team wants to be there in the first few series.

I provided a Top 5 for the first weekend of bowls and have provided some plays in our discord.&nbsp; Today I&rsquo;m going to give you a 3 picks for 12/29 and 12/30.&nbsp; On Friday, I&rsquo;ll release my picks for the Playoffs as well as the other New Year&rsquo;s 6 Bowls coming up Saturday and Monday in a traditional Top 5.

Hope everyone is surviving out there!

&nbsp;

Bowl Season: Dec. 29th &ndash; Dec. 30th

3. Arizona Bowl &ndash; Ohio (-1.5 -110) vs. Wyoming &ndash; Friday Dec. 30th &ndash; 4:30 PM

I don&rsquo;t have much to say about this game other than Wyoming is not a very good football team.

Not only that but they have a handful of skill players in the transfer portal.&nbsp; Meanwhile the MAC, as I predicted, has been showing out all bowl season!&nbsp; Got to love the MAC.

Ohio has been a covering machine this season as well and I&rsquo;m betting they handle the Cowboys with relative ease Saturday afternoon in the first ever Barstool Sports telecast.

&nbsp;

2. Duke&rsquo;s Mayo Bowl &ndash; Maryland VS. #23 NC State (-1 -110) &ndash; Friday Dec. 30th &ndash; 12 PM

This game is simple for me.&nbsp; Who is the tougher team?&nbsp; For me that&rsquo;s the Wolfpack.

Maryland has 3 Wide Receivers who have opted out.&nbsp; NC St lost their offensive coordinator to Coastal Carolina.&nbsp; Both offenses haven&rsquo;t lit the world on fire when their whole so this could be a really ugly watch Saturday early afternoon.

State&rsquo;s true freshman QB MJ Morris will be under center and he is the future.&nbsp; After a shaky start, he played pretty well in three consecutive games before stepping back on the sidelines.&nbsp;

The Terps have been a sloppy team to say the least this season and NC St usually pounces on dumb teams who get in their own way.&nbsp; Give me the &lsquo;Pack.

Fun fact &ndash; this is a former ACC rivalry and the historical record sits at 33-33-4.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s like a Top 5 record!

&nbsp;

1. Cheez-It Bowl &ndash; Oklahoma VS #13 Florida St (-9.5 -110) &ndash; Thursday Dec. 29th &ndash; 5:30 PM

Florida St has themselves a quasi-home game four hours south in Orlando.

With all the flight cancellations around the country, even the die-hard Oklahoma fans are going to have to dig real deep to want to watch their 6-6 Sooners as an almost double-digit underdog.

These are two schools going in complete opposite directions.

FSU has had a very good season.&nbsp; They appear to be &ldquo;back&rdquo; amongst the ACC&rsquo;s elite and have a lot of players excited to play in this game.&nbsp; Oklahoma on the other hand has had numerous opt outs and guys enter the transfer portal as we approach kick-off.

The Sooners will have QB Dillon Gabriel but mostly backups in front and behind him.&nbsp; The starting left tackle, right tackle, center, and running back will all be watching this game from the sidelines or on their couches.&nbsp; The FSU front four will be able to wreak havoc on Gabriel all night without blitzing.

None of these Seminoles have won a bowl game, nay, none of these Seminoles have even PLAYED in a bowl game in an FSU uniform.&nbsp; Oklahoma has absolutely no motivation while Florida St. will certainly be excited for the chance to get their team to a well deserved 10-win season.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Bowl Week 12/29 - 12/30 - Top 3 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Happy Holidays to you and yours as we here at Bet Karma hope you all have a wonderful weekend with family and friends!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 15 Record: 3-1-1 / Overall: 35-35-5 (46.7%)

What a slate of pro football we had in Week 15!

Because we ignore Thursday night football around here, we start with the greatest comeback in NFL history.&nbsp; The Colts (+3.5) were up 33-0 at halftime and I had already spent my winnings.&nbsp; Somehow, someway&hellip;Minnesota came storming back to win by 3 in overtime.&nbsp; If that Colts bet would have lost, I&rsquo;d have retired on the spot as there would be no greater &ldquo;beat&rdquo; ever.&nbsp; Survival.

In the night game Saturday, the Bills (-7) once again played with their food all game long.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re so frustrating yet incredibly entertaining.&nbsp; When Devin Singletary voluntarily took a knee at the one (because it screwed a team ONCE a decade ago *don&rsquo;t fact check me) I screamed violently as the push was ripped from our hands.

For our first game Sunday, our beloved Jaguars (+4) came all the way back down 17 to beat the Cowboys outright.&nbsp; Dallas may very well be frauds after the past two weeks and the Jags are going to the playoffs.&nbsp; Write it down.

In the afternoon slate, we had two miracles bestowed on us.&nbsp; First was a lucky push when the Titans (+3) did nothing all game but scratched and clawed their way to a 3-point loss in LA.&nbsp; Losers of four straight games and with Tannehill out for the year, they could be in big time trouble in the AFC South.

Then came the finish we will all never forget in the Sin City.&nbsp; On the last play of regulation, tied 24-24, RB Rhamondre Stevenson inexplicitly pitched the ball back to WR Jakobi Meyers.&nbsp; His brain then went numb causing him to toss it 20 yards behind him into the waiting arms of Raiders (-1.5) DE Chandler Jones.&nbsp; Jones proceeded to stiff arm QB Mac Jones into the center of the Earth and rumble for a game winning TD as time expired.&nbsp; Never in my life have I ever seen something so stupid AND be on the right side of it.

We&rsquo;ve found ourselves back to dead even on the season through 75 games.&nbsp; 35-35-5 is such a ridiculous record for year one that you just have to laugh.&nbsp; With three weeks left in the regular season, I&rsquo;m seeing the board better than ever.&nbsp; Get on the train!

&nbsp;

Week 16

5. Los Angeles Chargers AT Indianapolis Colts (+4.5 -115) &ndash; MONDAY &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; ESPN

I know what you&rsquo;re thinking&hellip; the Colts, AGAIN?!

It&rsquo;s a gross bet but it needs to be placed.&nbsp; The Colts are coming off a historic choke job.&nbsp; The Chargers are on fire and storming towards a playoff berth.&nbsp; But you have to remember, Vegas is not in the business of losing money.&nbsp; This is a spot on a short, but greater than 3 line that we have to be on.

Indy has benched the washed up beyond belief Matt Ryan for former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles.&nbsp; We are a far cry from Foles holding up the Lombardi almost five years ago but he simply can&rsquo;t be worse than Ryan has been.&nbsp;

The Chargers are a good team.&nbsp; Some would actually say very good and dangerous in any playoff matchup because of the electricity they possess in QB Justin Herbert.&nbsp; However, they are a perennially disappointing favored team.&nbsp; The public will be all over LA in this primetime matchup.&nbsp; They may win but it&rsquo;s going to be by less than 4.

&nbsp;

4. Detroit Lions AT Carolina Panthers (+3 -120) &ndash; SATURDAY &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

How could I possibly bet against the darling Lions?

It doesn&rsquo;t bring me joy to place this bet because I&rsquo;ve enjoyed every second of their ascent, but the spot is way too good to pass up on.&nbsp; Carolina was awful last week in a traditional &ldquo;come down&rdquo; game vs. the Steelers.&nbsp; They were gobbled up by a superior defense and got brought back down to Earth after two straight wins.

However, the Panthers also play in a historically bad division and have a real shot at playing a home playoff game in January.&nbsp; They are going to be desperate for a win this weekend.

The Lions meanwhile are as hot as can be winning six of their past seven games.&nbsp; The public has finally caught on and are pounding the road favorites yet the line hasn&rsquo;t moved at all. &nbsp;What comes up, must come down and Detroit is simply not good enough to win yet another road game against a decent defense.

I see this game being a brutal watch with Carolina being in it for the full 60 minutes, possibly pulling out an outright victory at home.

&nbsp;

3. Cincinnati Bengals AT New England Patriots (+3.5 -120) &ndash; SATURDAY &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Oh my is the Top 5 gross in Week 16.

The Patriots had to sit there and stew as every TV station ran back &ldquo;The Play&rdquo; from Las Vegas last week.&nbsp; Mac Jones is being questioned left and right.&nbsp; Hell, there are even fans that want Bill Belichick fired.&nbsp; There hasn&rsquo;t been this much turmoil in New England since Goodell suspended Brady for air pressure!

The Bengals have only won six in a row and are 11-1 against the spread in their last 12.&nbsp; So how is this line not AT LEAST a touchdown?&nbsp; Once again, the books are begging us to load up on Cincy and the public numbers are supporting that request.&nbsp; However, the sharp money is on the other side with me.

New England simply has no choice but to win this game, at home, to save their season.&nbsp; We&rsquo;ll know early what kind of motivation they possess.&nbsp; WR DaVante Parker should return for this one as well as RB Damien Harris.&nbsp;

On the other side, the Bengals&rsquo; injuries are starting to ramp up, especially on the defensive line.&nbsp; DE Sam Hubbard is out for another few weeks, TE Hayden Hurst won&rsquo;t suit up, and STUD D End Trey Hendrickson broke his wrist but will play with a cast.&nbsp;

I&rsquo;m willing to back the home team and see exactly what their made up with everything on the line.

&nbsp;

2. Las Vegas Raiders AT Pittsburgh Steelers (-2 -110) &ndash; SATURDAY &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; NFL NET

How in the world did the NFL not flex themselves out of this snooze fest Saturday night?

The Raiders and their fans have to still be in shock after stealing that win last week vs New England.&nbsp; For a team with so many L&rsquo;s in the standings, they have had a WILD season.&nbsp; So many close losses due to situational football and horrible play calling with a lead, yet somehow, they aren&rsquo;t dead yet.&nbsp; The Steelers are in an identical boat sitting at 6-8, two games back of a wild card berth.&nbsp;

This is essentially a &ldquo;loser leaves town&rdquo; game.

Pittsburgh&rsquo;s defense showed their teeth last week in Carolina and I think that effort will be here to stay for the rest of the season.&nbsp; This is a proud franchise with a great head coach who will also be getting their QB Kenny Pickett back for this stretch run.&nbsp;

I&rsquo;m not a huge off the field motivation guy normally, but the team will certainly honor recently deceased legend Franco Harris who 50 years ago today performed the &ldquo;Immaculate Reception&rdquo; against you guessed it, the Raiders.

You can&rsquo;t make this stuff up.

This will be another rough watch but I see the Steelers D flexing on the black and silver to the tune of a 21-10 home victory.

&nbsp;

1.&nbsp;Green Bay Packers (+3.5 -110) AT Miami Dolphins &ndash; SUNDAY &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Sometimes I feel like I&rsquo;m the only person I know who sees the Dolphins for what they are.

They&rsquo;re the quintessential &ldquo;One Year Away&rdquo; team, for me.

Finally returning home after a BRUTAL road trip where they dropped three straight, Miami is looking to get back in the win column vs what may very well be a dangerous Packers team.&nbsp;

Green Bay is getting healthier by the week especially in their skill group.&nbsp; WR Romeo Doubs returned Monday night and looked really good as a compliment to fellow rookie Christian Watson.&nbsp; Rodgers is getting healthier as well and had some vintage throws in their past two wins.&nbsp; RB Aaron Jones remains one of my absolute favorite players to watch.&nbsp; Any time he&rsquo;s on the field, he&rsquo;s the best player on that field.&nbsp;

Miami showed a lot of fight last weekend in Buffalo battling back numerous times, yet when they had a chance to win the game late, Tua couldn&rsquo;t get it done.&nbsp; Their late drive to win stalled leading to Josh Allen doing Josh Allen things as snowballs rained down in a raucous Highmark Stadium.

That had to be a very quiet and desolate plane ride home for Miami.

I haven&rsquo;t been a believer in this team&rsquo;s Super Bowl aspirations even when they were 8-3.&nbsp; Yes, they are one of the most talented teams in the whole league but again, they&rsquo;re simply one year away to me.

Take the Pack and the 3.5 points.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!Happy Holidays to you and yours as we here at Bet Karma hope you all have a wonderful weekend with family and friends!Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in

NFL Week 16 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 14 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 32-34-4 (45.7%)

We scratched and clawed to a plus Week 14.

Starting in the early slate, the Lions (-2) exposed the Vikings as the frauds they are, winning by 11 at home.&nbsp; It has to be incredibly fun to be Detroit fan right now which is not a statement I&rsquo;ve said in my 37 years on this planet.

Unfortunately, the rest of the 1 PM games brought heartache as both AFC North teams I backed played awful football.&nbsp; I will NOT be betting on the Browns (+5.5) again until Watson can prove he can complete a 3rd down pass.&nbsp; In Pittsburgh, the Ravens were BEGGING the Steelers (-1.5) to win this game but sadly, once Kenny Pickett got hurt, we were dead.

The late games provided us with two winners.&nbsp; One easy, the next one as improbable as it gets.

The Broncos (+9) were down 27-0 with 4 minutes left in the 2nd quarter and STORMED back to cover our spread like gentlemen.&nbsp; Sometimes you need a little luck.

Under the lights in LA, we were able to put our feet up and enjoy a nice and easy outright winner for our Chargers (+3.5).&nbsp; The Dolphins are in serious trouble moving forward as their schedule doesn&rsquo;t let up and coaching wiz Mike McDaniel may be figured out.

No more bye weeks people so sit back and enjoy a full slate the rest of the season and let&rsquo;s win some money!

&nbsp;

Week 15

5.&nbsp;Tennessee Titans (+3 -115) AT Los Angeles Chargers &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

This is one of those classic &ldquo;spot plays&rdquo; I&rsquo;ve talked about all year.

The Titans are down and they&#39;re down bad.&nbsp; They are losers of three straight and have the Jags nipping at their heels in the AFC South race.&nbsp; Tennessee hasn&rsquo;t just lost games either, they&rsquo;ve gotten SMOKED.&nbsp; Problematic.

So why am I backing them?

This is a simple Titans as a dog, Chargers as a favorite deal.&nbsp; Mike Vrabel has been an absolute killer as an underdog, especially on the road.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve always traveled well because of their physicality both defensively and in the running game.&nbsp;

The Chargers meanwhile may be coming into this game smelling themselves a bit after dismantling the Dolphins in primetime last Sunday.&nbsp; They are firmly in the AFC wildcard race and are getting healthier.&nbsp; However, let us not forget their run defense has been statistically awful all year.

You&rsquo;re telling me I&rsquo;m getting the much better coach, in desperate need of a win, who&rsquo;s strengths oppose the other team&rsquo;s weaknesses, AND three points.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m taking it.

&nbsp;

4. New England Patriots AT Las Vegas Raiders (-1.5 -105) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; FOX

After the Raiders (and Baker Mayfield) knocked me out of my survivor pool last week, it pained me beyond belief to bold their name above.&nbsp; But here we are.

Vegas had one of the most all time collapses these eyes have ever seen last week in LA.&nbsp; The red zone offense is disgusting, their killer instinct is nonexistent, and their coach is a laughing stock.&nbsp;

BUT, they&rsquo;re winning this game.

The Pats are coming in on a short week after burying the Cardinals Monday night.&nbsp; In that game, Kyler Murray tore up his knee on play #3, and the New England defense smothered Colt McCoy.&nbsp;

Also in that game, the Pats lost WR DeVante Parker to a concussion, stud RB Rhamondre Stevenson to an ankle and already have Damien Harris banged up.&nbsp; For a team who had very little skill players as it was, they&rsquo;re scraping the barrel this weekend.

I&rsquo;m taking the Raiders based solely on the &ldquo;dudes&rdquo; on both sides.&nbsp; WR Hunter Renfrow and TE Darren Waller are expected back this week, RB Josh Jacobs leads the league in rushing, and somehow Vegas still has the playoffs in their sights.&nbsp;

If Josh McDaniels was going to do anything special at all, it could be against his old coaching colleagues.&nbsp; Give me the Raiders in a tight one.

&nbsp;

3. Miami Dolphins AT Buffalo Bills (-7 -115) &ndash; SATURDAY &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; NFL NET

Everywhere you look this week, someone is talking about the weather Saturday night in Buffalo.

As of right now, the forecast is calling for a foot of snow and temps around 25. &nbsp;There is no chance Miami wants to play in this slop.&nbsp;

The Bills are well overdue for a comfy win after weeks of letting teams hang around and this looks like the perfect spot.&nbsp; Couple all of that with the revenge factor Buffalo will have coming in after a heartbreaking loss in Week 3 to these Dolphins.&nbsp;

There&rsquo;s been reports that the Phins have prepped for the weather by practicing indoors with the AC pumping to a balmy 55 degrees.&nbsp; Tua was even quoted as saying he wasn&rsquo;t worried because &ldquo;it snows in Alabama too&rdquo;.&nbsp; Come on man.

I don&rsquo;t normally take division favorites of 7 or more points but this feels like a 28-13 game for me Saturday night.

&nbsp;

2.&nbsp;Indianapolis Colts (+3.5 -110) AT Minnesota Vikings &ndash; SATURDAY &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; NFL NET

We&rsquo;re back against the Vikings in the Top 5.

Listen, I don&rsquo;t mean to be cruel but this team is showing its true colors right before our very eyes of late.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s take a look at some defensive team rankings.

Since Week 10, Minnesota ranks dead LAST in:

<ul>
	<li>Total Points Allowed</li>
	<li>Total Yards Allowed</li>
	<li>Passing Yards Allowed</li>
	<li>Yards Per Play Allowed</li>
</ul>

That is not what you want to see if you&rsquo;re a Vikings fan clinging to the defensive mechanism of saying, &ldquo;Well, we&rsquo;re 10-3 though!&rdquo;&nbsp; The writing is on the wall.

Indy meanwhile, stinks.&nbsp; This I know.&nbsp;

However, they are coming into this game off a bye week after giving up 50 to the Cowboys in Week 13.&nbsp; They have to foaming at the mouth to put new tape on the VHS.

I&rsquo;m backing the Colts this week simply because of the matchup.&nbsp; The Vikings may very well win this game but it won&rsquo;t be by more than 3 points as they are addicted to winning one score games.

&nbsp;

1. Dallas Cowboys AT Jacksonville Jaguars (+4 -115) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

My God do I love Jacksonville this week.

Here&rsquo;s a team that was completely left for dead after losing five straight one-score games earlier this season.&nbsp; Since then, they&rsquo;ve won 3 of their last 5 and find themselves only two games back of the Titans in the AFC South.&nbsp; A Titans team they just manhandled in their building last week.&nbsp;

Over the past 5 weeks, QB Trevor Lawrence has been one of the league&rsquo;s best quarterbacks ranking top 5 in all notable categories over that time.&nbsp; He and coach Doug Pederson appear to be back on the same track and utilizing Lawrence&rsquo;s athleticism to their benefit.

I have so much to say about the Cowboys in this spot.&nbsp;

They were the talk of the league entering last week.&nbsp; You couldn&rsquo;t flip through the channels without landing on someone exclaiming the Cowboys are winning the Super Bowl.&nbsp; Then they needed a 95+ yard drive to beat the lowly Texans at home as a 17-point favorite.&nbsp; How is that possible?

I&rsquo;d say they were looking ahead but THIS is the game for that excuse.&nbsp; The 12-1 Eagles loom large on Christmas Eve next week in Jerry&rsquo;s World.&nbsp; I see them being at the very least sleepy come 1 PM in northern Florida Sunday afternoon.&nbsp;

Dallas also has a ton of key injuries.&nbsp; As of this moment, TE Jake Ferguson is out with a concussion and DE Dorance Armstrong (2nd on the team in sacks) is doubtful to play.&nbsp; They also lost starting offensive tackle Terence Steele for the season last week and haven&rsquo;t activated Tyron Smith.&nbsp; My point is, they have a lot of question marks entering this game personnel wise.

I do believe the NFL wants next week&rsquo;s Eagles/Cowboys game to have everything on the line so if you&rsquo;re into conspiracies than I hear that argument.&nbsp; The &lsquo;Boys may very well win to keep the division in their sights, but not by more than 3.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 15 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Championship Week Record: 1-4 / Overall: 31-34-1 (47%)

Listen, championship week was a bust, I&rsquo;m not even going to recap it.&nbsp; However, please know&nbsp;that I am still in physical pain at not getting that TCU/K St over on the inch line.&nbsp; But I digress&hellip;

IT&rsquo;S BOWL SEASON!

That wonderful time of year where handicappers and fans alike have absolutely NO clue if their team is motivated to play.&nbsp; In 2022, its even harder because of the transfer portals and the immense number of player opt-outs or coaching changes.&nbsp; But we will trudge on!

I&rsquo;m going to give you guys my Top 5 like I normally would based on a myriad of factors and pray as the ball is kicked off.&nbsp; I will try and get articles to you all as much as possible but with games going on every day starting Friday, we will miss out on some.&nbsp; Look to see posts on random days with a game or two I like in the coming weeks.

Advice - I usually lean towards live betting during the early part of bowl season because you can tell who really wants to be there within the first few possessions.

&nbsp;

Bowl Season: 12/16 &ndash; 12/18

5. Bahamas Bowl &ndash; Miami Ohio (+10.5 -110) vs. UAB &ndash; Friday Dec. 16th &ndash; 11:30 AM

UAB has a brand new coach and his name is Trent Dilfer.

Yes, the same Trent Dilfer who led the 2000 Ravens to a Super Bowl title while I was in high school.&nbsp; He won&rsquo;t be coaching in this game but I&rsquo;m looking forward to what he will bring to what is always a fun team in the Blazers.

This bet is simple for me.&nbsp; Miami (OH) lives and breathes one score games.&nbsp; They also won their final two games to get bowl eligible and are playing with some confidence.&nbsp; 10.5 points is just entirely too much for a team who is looking towards their new regime.

I believe the MAC will be competitive all bowl season and it starts with the RedHawks.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

4. Frisco Bowl &ndash; North Texas vs. Boise St (-10 -115) &ndash; Saturday Dec. 17th &ndash; 9:15 PM

We have our first visit from a Mountain West school in the Top 5 this week.

Boise St had a very strong season ultimately losing to Fresno in the conference title game.&nbsp; North Texas meanwhile lost to every team they played with a pulse.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve proven they can score points but are also one of the worst defenses you&rsquo;ll see playing December.&nbsp;

Before the loss to the Bulldogs, Boise had rattled off seven wins in their final eight games.&nbsp; Most of which were dominating performances.&nbsp;

I normally pounce on a double-digit dog in bowl season (See &ndash; Miami OH above), but I just feel like the talent level discrepancy is so great in this matchup that I&rsquo;m willing to lay the points.

&nbsp;

3. Fenway Bowl &ndash; Cincinnati vs. Louisville (-1 -110) &ndash; Saturday Dec. 17th &ndash; 11 AM

40 degrees with a chance of snow in an iconic baseball stadium is exactly what I think of when I envision &ldquo;Bowl Season&rdquo;.

My God is this game going to suck.

Both teams will have new coaching staff&rsquo;s next season.&nbsp; The difference is, Louisville seems thrilled with their change at the top and Cincy is devasted.&nbsp; FORMER Bearcat coach Luke Fickell, one of the country&rsquo;s best, is moving onto Wisconsin next season.&nbsp;

My brain tells me there is little to no chance they&rsquo;ll be up for this game as the players have got to be gutted.&nbsp; Especially with a backup QB who has played essentially one game this year, and not well.&nbsp; On the other side, Louisville&rsquo;s star QB Malik Cunningham predictably opted out of the game.&nbsp; The difference is, new QB Brock Domann has played a ton this year while Cunningham was hurt and won some games.

Give me the Cardinals in a gross football game, just like the baseball team provided their fans in that stadium this past season.

&nbsp;

1. + 2. LA Bowl &ndash; Washington St vs. Fresno St (-3.5 -110) AND (OVER 53 -110) &ndash; Saturday Dec. 17th &ndash; 3:30 PM

Fresno St is on fire entering bowl season.&nbsp; And no, I&rsquo;m not just saying that because they&rsquo;re the only team to cover for us in Championship Week.

This should be the game of the weekend in my opinion and I&rsquo;m taking both Fresno AND the over.

Both QBs are very good starting with Bulldog QB Jake Haener.&nbsp; He has been put back together with duct tape all season, is finally healthy, and playing great football after leading Fresno to a Mountain West title.&nbsp; Washington St QB Cameron Ward was very good as well this year in a tough conference totaling over 3,000 yds and 23 TDs.&nbsp;

This will be one of the better offenses Fresno has faced this year and I definitely see points put up on the &ldquo;fast track&rdquo; inside SoFi Stadium.&nbsp; I just see the Bulldogs having 4 more points than the Cougars when the clock hits zeroes.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Bowl Week 12/16 - 12/18 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 13 Record: 4-1 / Overall: 29-32-4 (44.6%)

We were SO close to a clean sweep in the NFL Top 5 in Week 13.

If the Jets (+3) didn&rsquo;t puke on themselves on the goal line last week, we would have had it!&nbsp; Unfortunately for us, the Vikings are still the luckiest team to ever exist.&nbsp; We did hit our Minny <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1269/2022-nfl-futures-vikings-are-done-with-mediocrity" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Over Win Total</a> though!

The rest of the day was perfection.

The Giants (+2) battled tooth and nail for a tie (yes, a tie) at home vs Washington.&nbsp; Good teams tie, great teams cover.&nbsp; Thanks New York!

Meanwhile in Detroit, the Lions (-1) are certified scorching.&nbsp; They beat down the Jags and the offense is rolling.&nbsp; May see them again down below&hellip;

The winning continued in the 4 PM slate, first with the Raiders (-2.5). I&rsquo;ll never forgive Vegas for knocking me out of my survivor pool this past Thursday against the Rams, but last Sunday they took care of business in division vs the other LA team.&nbsp; The Chargers remain one of the world&rsquo;s greatest mysteries.

The Dolphins finally played a real defense and they finally got exposed.&nbsp; The 49ers (-4.5) lost Jimmy G early on but didn&rsquo;t relinquish the lead.&nbsp; Mr. Irrelevant QB Brock Purdy managed the rest of the game beautifully and coach Kyle Shanahan remains one of the league&rsquo;s best.

&nbsp;

Week 14

&nbsp;

5. Kansas City Chiefs AT Denver Broncos (+9 -110) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; CBS

Gross Bet Alert!!&nbsp; In fact, there&rsquo;s a few perceivable gross bets on this week&rsquo;s Top 5.

The Chiefs are one of the best teams in the league.&nbsp; On the other side, the Broncos have gone from borderline unwatchable to I&rsquo;d rather claw my eyes out than see another Russ incomplete pass.&nbsp; So why in God&rsquo;s green Earth am I backing Denver this week?

It&rsquo;s simple, the public LOVES the Chiefs and more obviously, LOVES Mahomes.&nbsp; I get it.&nbsp; No player is more fun to back.&nbsp; However, a lot is made about Mahomes&rsquo; 32-5 record straight up in November/December games as a pro.&nbsp; Guess what he is against the spread?&nbsp; 17-18-2.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s Dave Costabile Top 5 type numbers!&nbsp;

Credit to me for getting ahead of that one.

This is the quintessential close your eyes and hit submit on your Broncos bet and pray the Chiefs continue to mess around enough to win by 8 or less on the road.

&nbsp;

4. Baltimore Ravens AT Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

One of the best rivalries in all of sports is back this week in the AFC North.

This one is tricky because I don&rsquo;t know if the Ravens are that much different with Huntley at the helm than they were with Lamar.&nbsp; Sounds crazy to say that but Jackson hasn&rsquo;t been lighting the world on fire when healthy.

Huntley is a gamer and won&rsquo;t necessarily hurt the Ravens offense.&nbsp; I just don&rsquo;t believe they&rsquo;ll have enough firepower to outscore a Pittsburgh team who is playing much better since the bye.

QB Kenny Pickett is fun to watch.&nbsp; He&rsquo;ll make rookie mistakes but he&rsquo;s undoubtedly tough and can make plays both with his arm and legs.&nbsp; WR George Pickens has emerged as a go-to guy for Pickett and dinged up WR Diontae Johnson will be active for the Steelers.&nbsp;

This is going to be a tough watch, as most of these games are between the Steelers and Ravens.&nbsp; The under is so ungodly low that I couldn&rsquo;t go that route and wish ill will on everyone&rsquo;s eyeballs.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll give the point and a half with the home team and hope a returning Chris Boswell hits the game winner as the seconds tick off.

&nbsp;

3. Miami Dolphins AT Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5 -110) &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

I told you this week was gross&hellip;

The Chargers are the most frustrating team to watch in years but there is a stark difference between LA as a favorite and LA as a dog.&nbsp; The public is all over the visiting Dolphins who stayed on the west coast after losing to the Niners last week.&nbsp; Miami has all the flashy toys and the MUCH better coach that makes this appear easy.

That&rsquo;s why we&rsquo;re on the other side.&nbsp;

The Phins have me and you playing at offensive tackle this week as injuries have ravaged the trenches.&nbsp; The Chargers have a lot of issues but d line hasn&rsquo;t been one of them.&nbsp; Look for them to chase Tua all day like San Fran did last week.

This line being 3 and the hook made me clinch this bet for this week.&nbsp; Every scenario I dream up has this game finishing with a game winning kick.&nbsp; We win in either scenario.&nbsp; Take the points with the home team who finally have lost that public shine and is prime for an upset.

&nbsp;

2. Cleveland Browns (+5.5 -110) AT Cincinnati Bengals &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

I&rsquo;m betting against the red-hot Bengals too??&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve maybe gone too far.&nbsp; Hear me out!

Joe Burrow is 0-4 against the Browns in his young career.&nbsp; They simply have his number and when broken down its kind of easy to see why.&nbsp; Cleveland&rsquo;s front 7 is always their strength and studs like Myles Garrett always EAT against Cincy&rsquo;s capable but leaky offensive line.

QB Deshaun Watson was awful last week as the Browns scored a TD every which way but offensively.&nbsp; He can&rsquo;t play any worse yet still has felt victory as a starter with his new team.&nbsp; The Browns are going to do what they do, which is pound the rock and I see them having success on the ground Sunday.

The Bengals are coming off yet another impressive win against the heralded Chiefs last week and at some point, they&rsquo;re going to let the foot off the gas.&nbsp; I believe this number should be at least 1.5-2 points lower and the line beefing up to 5.5 shows public love inflation.&nbsp; Especially within division.

I&rsquo;ll take the 5.5 points and pray.

&nbsp;

1. Minnesota Vikings AT Detroit Lions (-2 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I must be a glutton for punishment because I&rsquo;m back against the Vikings yet again.

Listen, Minnesota is the fraud of all frauds.&nbsp; 10-2 with NINE wins by 1 score?&nbsp; How is that possible?&nbsp; They have the worst point differential (+10) than any 10-2 team since the pigskin football was created.&nbsp;

The Lions meanwhile are, as the kids say, &ldquo;on one&rdquo;.&nbsp; They are playing inspired football for over a month now, especially at home, and actually have a wildcard at their fingertips.&nbsp; The offense can score on anyone and now their playing a familiar team who just gave up nearly 500 yds to Mike White and the Jets?&nbsp; The Jets, who punted ONE time last week and lost?!&nbsp; How!?!&nbsp; Because they couldn&rsquo;t score a darn Touchdown.

Sorry, I&rsquo;m clearly not over it&hellip;

Vegas is begging us to take the Vikings on the line and on the money-line.&nbsp; Give me the other side playing behind a coach they clearly love to battle for and in front of their fans in what should be a raucous atmosphere at Ford Field.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 14 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 12 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 25-31-4 (41.7%)

Another whirlwind NFL week in the Top 5.

First, the good.&nbsp; The Jets (-6.5) was easy money with the Bears not disclosing their QB until kickoff and Mike White being a Joe Montana clone.&nbsp; Man, did that Chicago defense make him look great.&nbsp;

Sometimes you need some luck in this world and the Jags (+3.5) provided us a gift going for two at the buzzer to beat the Ravens outright.&nbsp; I thought we had this game covered a few times so it felt really good to be on the right side.

Another game I thought was in the bag was the Bucs (-3).&nbsp; Up 17-10 and more or less dominating the game, they kept striking out in the money downs.&nbsp; The Browns, to their credit, took those opportunities and capitalized in not only covering the game, but winning with a walk-off Nick Chubb TD in overtime.

Finishing up the 1 PM slate was my Titans (+1) who just couldn&rsquo;t find their way into the endzone, ultimately attempting 4 field goals and missing 1.&nbsp; Tennessee had plenty of opportunities to win but Cincy may just be their kryptonite.

The glass slipper fell off my Seahawks (-4) last week as they lost in OT to Vegas.&nbsp; Josh Jacobs couldn&rsquo;t be stopped and although we had a 7-point lead mid 4th quarter, this game was always the winner will be whomever has the ball last.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Week 13

&nbsp;

5. Washington Commanders AT New York Giants (+2 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Taylor Heinicke is such a baller.&nbsp; This is a confirmed, fact.

However, is he just going to win EVERY game?&nbsp; The Commanders are 5-1 in his starts and the loss was a gift by the refs on a field goal infraction leading to a Vikings TD late.&nbsp; This pick is simply a &ldquo;things have to level out&rdquo; type of bet.

The Giants are coming off long rest after losing (but covering!) on Thanksgiving in Dallas.&nbsp; Saquon is still finding the end zone and the defense is still playing extremely hard.&nbsp; They naturally will play better at home against a common foe.

The Giants and the Top 5 have not meshed well at all this season.&nbsp; I picked against them early during their hot start and picked with them during their recent swoon.&nbsp; However, I&rsquo;ll take the 2 points at home in a &ldquo;grind &lsquo;em out&rdquo; NFC East battle.

&nbsp;

4. Jacksonville Jaguars AT Detroit Lions (-1 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Many thanks to Doug Pederson for that ballsy 2-pt conversion to beat the Ravens last week.&nbsp; However, I&rsquo;m going against him this week.

The Lions are on extra rest and have won three of their past 4 games.&nbsp; They even had the mighty Bills on the ropes while the turkey was being carved last Thursday until Josh Allen&rsquo;s arm talent took over for a game winning FG.

Detroit&rsquo;s QB Jared Goff has shockingly been sacked the fewest number of times (17) amongst Quarterbacks with 10 starts.&nbsp; The run game has been excellent behind Jamal Williams 13 TDs on the ground and they play much better at home.

The Jags, as I mentioned a couple of times, are coming off a truly wild and emotional home win against a division leader.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re such a young and inexperienced team that isn&rsquo;t ready to put a streak together and the letdown is imminent.&nbsp; I want to be a part of it.

&nbsp;

3. New York Jets (+3 -115) AT Minnesota Vikings &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

As long as the Vikings are playing decent teams, I&rsquo;m going to bet against them.

Great defense travels and the Jets have a phenomenal one.&nbsp; They fly to the ball, have an exceptional defensive backfield and haven&rsquo;t let up 200 yards passing in four straight games.&nbsp; QB Mike White will undoubtedly come back down to Earth this week with more tape available but I think he&rsquo;ll be able to put some points on the board nonetheless.

The Vikings can&rsquo;t run the ball averaging around 70 yards of late.&nbsp; I like the Jets odds of holding Minny into another one score game.&nbsp; Speaking of, the Vikes have won by one possession in eight of their nine wins.&nbsp; They don&rsquo;t blow anyone out.&nbsp; Give me the 3 points in a game I think the Jets can steal outright.

&nbsp;

2. Los Angeles Chargers AT Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

The Chargers are the most consistently overvalued team these eyes have ever seen.

LA and coach Brandon Staley have no clue how to beat teams comfortably yet the public is obsessed with them.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t get it.&nbsp; The Raiders are pretty much the same except they have momentum on their side coming off two straight walk off overtime wins.

This pick is based on many factors.&nbsp; Vegas doesn&rsquo;t turn the ball over.&nbsp; They have only 9 giveaways which is the best in the league.&nbsp; They have the NFL&rsquo;s leading rusher in Josh Jacobs going against the worst rush defense over the past month+.&nbsp; In fact, the Chargers have given up an astounding 150+ rush yards in five straight games!

But here is the main factor, and it mirrors my top pick to come: The Money.

This line opened up as Chargers -2 and has moved ALL THE WAY to Raiders -2.5 with the sharps still 50/50 even on the line change.&nbsp;

The &ldquo;Black and Silver&rdquo; have figured out the winning formula after going through a depressing ringer in one score losses early this season.&nbsp; I see this game ending up just like Week 17 last year when the Raiders beat LA in a defacto play-in game for the playoffs.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

1. Miami Dolphins AT San Francisco 49ers (-4.5 -110) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; CBS 

I&rsquo;m on my cross-country trip game again!

This time its Miami traveling to the red-hot 49ers.&nbsp; A Niners team who simply don&rsquo;t let opponents score on them.&nbsp; In their four-game winning streak since acquiring RB Christian McCaffrey, they have let up; carry the two&hellip; ZERO points in the 2nd half in each game!&nbsp; That&rsquo;s insane.

The Dolphins have been one of the NFL&rsquo;s darlings and much has been said about their undefeated record when QB Tua Tagovailoa starts.&nbsp; However, let&rsquo;s look at their last five wins.&nbsp; Texans, Browns, Bears, Lions, and Steelers.&nbsp; Those teams are a combined 16-39-1.&nbsp; Listen, I&rsquo;m a big &ldquo;you can only play who&rsquo;s on your schedule&rdquo; type guy but that has to be mentioned.

San Fran is a massive step up in competition for the Phins to say the least.

Most importantly let&rsquo;s look at the money again.&nbsp; The public is pounding their beloved Dolphins yet somehow the line has moved up from -3.5 to -4.5.&nbsp; How do you explain that?

The sharps love the Niners and so do I.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 13 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 12 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 30-30-1 (49.2%)

There is something special about being dead even (less juice) at the end of my first College Football Regular Season for Bet Karma.&nbsp; Don&rsquo;t get me wrong, it&rsquo;s not near good enough for any of us, but it made me laugh.

We started with an easy win outright for underdog Missouri (+4).&nbsp; This game went exactly as I expected as Arkansas simply didn&rsquo;t want the win as bad as the Tigers.

Oregon St (+3) was one of the most improbable comeback win and covers you&rsquo;ll ever see.&nbsp; Down the entire game, the Beavers stormed back to upend rival Oregon in Corvallis.

I went to the Vandy (+14) well one too many times as they got waxed by Tennessee showing the Vols are still going to be tough to beat in a New Years 6 Bowl Game.&nbsp; More heartbreak loomed with Notre Dame (+5.5) in the night slate with the likely Heisman winner QB Caleb Williams stuffing SportsCenter with highlight after highlight.&nbsp; I stand by that ND would have covered this game had they not fumbled going in on the first drive of the 2nd half.&nbsp; Not meant to be.

We finished the weekend with an easy K St (-11.5) win over rival Kansas.&nbsp; I still haven&rsquo;t decided if I&rsquo;m going to bet the Big 12 title game but it will undoubtedly be an amazing matchup between the Wildcats and TCU this weekend.

&nbsp;

Championship Week

5. Sun Belt Title Game &ndash; Coastal Carolina AT Troy (Under 48 -110) &ndash; 3:30 PM &ndash; ESPN

This is a gross pick in what is going to be a gross football game.

As awesome as the &ldquo;Fun Belt&rdquo; has been this year, Troy has been the class of the conference.&nbsp; What does Troy do better than anyone else in the Sun Belt?&nbsp; Play great defense.

The Trojans rank in the top 50 in both yards allowed, pass yds allowed and rush yds allowed while giving up only 16.8 points per game.&nbsp; On the other side of the ball, they haven&rsquo;t lit up any scoreboards against able bodied opponents.

Coastal has developed themselves into a very good program and really survived most of this season through crucial injuries.&nbsp; None bigger than starting QB Grayson McCall who has been out the last month and is trending towards not playing in this game as well.

I see Troy imposing their will and watching the clock tick down with under 48 points on the scoreboard.

&nbsp;

4. MAC Title Game &ndash; Toledo VS Ohio (+3 -110) &ndash; 12 PM &ndash; ESPN

MACTION!

I LOVE the MAC and I thank them every year for providing us wild football on Tuesday and Wednesday nights.&nbsp; I had to have their title game in my Championship Week Top 5.

Ohio is 9-3 and have won 7 in a row.&nbsp; The Rockets of Toledo are crawling into this matchup losers of their last two as 10+ point favorites in both games.&nbsp; I didn&rsquo;t even have to look that up, because I bet them, and just shook my head all night long.&nbsp; Toledo has a ton of talent but sometimes you are what your record says you are and they&rsquo;re a disappointing 7-5.

Ohio is being disrespected with this line and I see them going into Detroit&rsquo;s Ford Field and winning the MAC title they so rightfully deserve.

&nbsp;

3. ACC Title Game &ndash; #23 North Carolina (+7.5) VS #9 Clemson &ndash; 8 PM &ndash; ABC

That Clemson loss to South Carolina last week felt like a turn of the program.

Actually, both Clemson&rsquo;s losses this year were incredibly uncharacteristic.&nbsp; They just don&rsquo;t seem to have the weapons they&rsquo;ve had for the last 8 years or so.&nbsp; It starts at the Quarterback position.&nbsp;

The Tigers have been trying to figure it out all season long and Dabo&rsquo;s hesitance to pull DJ Uiagalelei for good has proved to be the death knell.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve teased the change but haven&rsquo;t gone all in and to me, that&rsquo;s why this season will be remembered as a waste by their standards.

UNC comes into this title game after a heartbreaking loss to a rival as well.&nbsp; They were able to take NC St into overtime after being down most of the game but ultimately fell short.

Clemson most likely already knows they&rsquo;re out of the college football playoff by now but they definitely will know by 8 pm Saturday night.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t see any scenario where they&rsquo;ll be as motivated as the Tar Heels to show out on primetime TV.&nbsp; QB Drake Maye will keep UNC in this matchup throughout and may even steal an ACC Championship banner as well.

&nbsp;

2. Mountain West Title Game &ndash; Fresno St (+3 -110) AT Boise St &ndash; 4 PM &ndash; FOX

Fresno has been lights out the last several weeks.

Since QB Jake Haener returned from injury on October 29th, he has thrown 13 TDs to only 2 INTs leading the Bulldogs to six straight victories.&nbsp; If he didn&rsquo;t get hurt against USC back in September, this game would definitely be in California instead of the blue turf in Boise.

The Broncos have had another strong season under head coach Andy Avalos.&nbsp; They have beaten mostly everyone they were supposed to (except a random slip up to UTEP) including a 40-20 win against Fresno St back in early October.&nbsp;

Haener did not play in that game and the backup Logan Fife had one of the worst games you&rsquo;ll ever see a QB have.&nbsp; 14/25, 134 yds, 2 INTs.&nbsp; That won&rsquo;t get it done against my high school JV team, let alone Boise in their building.

I see Haener being the difference here and although I wish this title game was being played on a neutral field, I&rsquo;ll gladly take the 3 points with the Bulldogs.

&nbsp;

1. Big 12 Title Game &ndash; #10 Kansas St VS #3 TCU (Over 62 -110) &ndash; 12 PM &ndash; FOX

You thought I was actually going to fade the game of the weekend??&nbsp; No way.

What a whirlwind season it&rsquo;s been for the Big 12.&nbsp; For my money, this has been the most level conference top to bottom with tons of stories up and down the standings.&nbsp; Whether it was Kansas breaking their 14-year bowl season drought, or Oklahoma crumbling under their new coach, or OK St and Texas being the epitome of Jekyll &amp; Hyde, the Big 12 has been must see TV.&nbsp;

It all comes down to this.&nbsp;

#10 vs #3.&nbsp; A College Football Playoff berth on the line for TCU.&nbsp; A Wildcats team who had the Frogs beaten before they lost their top two QBs 6 weeks ago.&nbsp; K St&rsquo;s run game vs Max Duggan&rsquo;s air attack.&nbsp; The storylines are endless.

TCU has FINALLY won me over in recent weeks after months of being a non-believer.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m embarrassed by how many times I&rsquo;ve bet against them this season.&nbsp; All they do is win (and cover)!&nbsp; I believe Duggan should and will be invited to New York for the Heisman ceremony as he has been tremendous all season.

K St has been a darling of the Top 5 all year and I absolutely love watching them play.&nbsp; But I&rsquo;m finding myself hoping TCU finishes the job.&nbsp; They DESERVE to have a spot in the playoff.&nbsp; Period.&nbsp;

Picking a side in this game is a personal rock meets hard place so I&rsquo;m going with the over.&nbsp; I fully expect this game to be electric from start to finish and cannot WAIT to watch it.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Championship Week - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 11 Record: 1-3-1 / Overall: 23-28-4 (41.8%)

Welp, it wasn&rsquo;t a good week 10.

My Bears (+3) obsession is clinical at this point.&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t quit this team!&nbsp; Once again, they were up late.&nbsp; Once again, they lost on a game winning field goal.&nbsp; Justin Fields is the entire team and they don&rsquo;t have a lick of winning mentality yet.

The Cowboys (-1.5) proved to be the cakewalk I predicted showing yet again that the Vikings are frauds against great NFC teams.&nbsp;

Other than that, it was all sadness in the Top 5.

The Giants (-3) looked awful at home against Detroit possibly looking ahead at their turkey day matchup in Dallas.&nbsp; The Steelers (+3.5) couldn&rsquo;t stop Joe Burrow and went down in a shocking shootout in Pittsburgh.&nbsp; Finally, the Chiefs (-5.5) are allergic to covering football games as they came back to beat LA in a thriller while also showing the world that Patrick Mahomes is never dead.

We&rsquo;re onto Week 12.

&nbsp;

Week 12

&nbsp;

5. Baltimore Ravens AT Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5 -110) - 1 PM - CBS

This is the &ldquo;stink line&rdquo; game of the week.

The Ravens are on their way to another AFC North title and have favorable Super Bowl odds as well.&nbsp; The Jags have lost 6 of their past 7 games.&nbsp; So why on God&rsquo;s green Earth is this line only 3.5?

Baltimore looked like slop last week against the hapless Panthers.&nbsp; They really didn&rsquo;t start playing until the 4th quarter and are dealing with a bunch of injuries.&nbsp; Pro Bowl TE Mark Andrews is still working his way back from a few ailments, Bateman is out for the year and yet again, Lamar has questionable if not bad weapons at his disposal.&nbsp; Baltimore&rsquo;s defense has gotten better as the year has worn on and they&rsquo;ve needed to.

The public is all over the Ravens yet the line moved from -4 to -3.5.&nbsp; That raises my eyebrows.&nbsp; Jacksonville has been in close games all year long and I&rsquo;m betting that this is another one.

&nbsp;

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3 -120) AT Cleveland Browns - 1 PM - FOX

Tom Brady off a bye?&nbsp; I&rsquo;m auto betting it.

Brady has an 84% winning percentage and 67% covering percentage with 8 days off or more.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s insane for as long as he has played.&nbsp; Of course, every Brady record is insane, but I digress.

The Bucs seemed to have righted the ship after winning two straight and have found themselves on top of the porous NFC South.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t anticipate them relinquishing this lead, especially in this game vs the broken Cleveland Browns.

The Brownies want to run the ball and limit QB Jacoby Brissett&rsquo;s liability.&nbsp; The problem for them is the Bucs still have a bunch of dudes on the defensive side of the ball who will make everything difficult for Nick Chubb and that running game.&nbsp; Of note, this will likely be Brissett&rsquo;s last game as a starter with Deshaun Watson&rsquo;s suspension ending next week.&nbsp; I see him going out on his sword aka making a ton of ill-timed mistakes.

I expect this game to be a tough watch and would lean under in this one.&nbsp; But give me the Bucs to cover the 3, extending Brady&rsquo;s crazy numbers, and powering towards the last 5 games of their season.

&nbsp;

3. Cincinnati Bengals AT Tennessee Titans (+1 -110) - 1 PM - CBS

The Titans stay disrespected.

All this team does is win football games.&nbsp; Over the past 8 games they are 7-1 straight up and 8-0 against the spread.&nbsp; Their only loss is an overtime heartbreaker to Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in KC.&nbsp; They are also coming off a 10-day rest after handling the Packers in Lambeau last week.&nbsp; QB Ryan Tannehill played one of his best games as a Titan in that game and the run game is lethal.

There is also a major revenge factor in this game as Cincy upset Tennessee in last year&rsquo;s divisional round 19-16.&nbsp; The Titans have circled this game since May and they&rsquo;re going to be foaming at the mouth to avenge that loss.

The Bengals are also playing extremely well and I do anticipate this being one of the best games of the weekend.&nbsp; Burrow is rolling and star WR Ja&rsquo;Marr Chase may be back for this game.&nbsp; Unfortunately, he&rsquo;ll be tagging OUT RB Joe Mixon who is out with a concussion.&nbsp; I think they&rsquo;ll miss what he brings immensely.&nbsp; The o-line still stinks and the Titans front 7 is one of the best in the league.

I had this as a 3-point line in favor of Tennessee so you can imagine my surprise that I was getting a point with the home team.

&nbsp;

2. Chicago Bears AT New York Jets (-6.5 -125) - 1 PM - FOX

They bench their QB amongst incredible amounts of turmoil and I&rsquo;m betting the Jets?

Yes, yes I am.

The Bears, as you well know, have been my bugaboo over the past several weeks.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m finally quitting them this week for many reasons.&nbsp; First and foremost, QB Justin Fields is banged up and banged up bad.&nbsp; Rightfully so!&nbsp; He&rsquo;s been the ENTIRE Bears offense for a month now.&nbsp; As of this moment, he is highly questionable to play.&nbsp; They did activate a 3rd QB which tells me (and Vegas) that he is not going to suit up Sunday.

Without Fields, the Bears go from a frisky team that&rsquo;s in every game, to a very bad football team.&nbsp; Their defense is atrocious, their offensive line is invisible, and their weapons are play toys.

New York is down bad after a brutal loss on a punt return at the buzzer last week to New England.&nbsp; Not only that, they have benched 2nd overall pick Zach Wilson in favor of Mike White.&nbsp; What this told me is that head coach Robert Saleh felt he needed to make the change to galvanize his locker room.&nbsp; I think it will do just that.

The Jets boast a very good defense and I do lean under in this game as well but I&rsquo;m going to take the Jets -6.5 at higher juice to get a victory by a TD.

&nbsp;

1. Las Vegas Raiders AT Seattle Seahawks (-4 -110) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; CBS 

It was brutal last week not being able to bet on my &lsquo;Hawks!

I love Seattle and we&rsquo;ve cashed on them a bunch this year.&nbsp; I won on their under last game as well but that game was in Germany so their loss doesn&rsquo;t count&hellip; The Seahawks will be fresh as a daisy coming off their bye and the Raiders are the perfect lame duck for them to beat.

Las Vegas finally won a game last week against the even more disjointed Broncos in overtime.&nbsp; Their offense was able to flex in crunch time behind their superstars RB Josh Jacobs and WR Davante Adams.&nbsp; Jacobs was hit with a questionable tag midweek and will be battling some injuries if he plays in this game.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re going to need him.

I&rsquo;m a broken record on Seattle but I&rsquo;ll reiterate again, they are one of the most efficient teams in the league.&nbsp; QB Geno Smith is still close to an auto completion right now and RB Kenneth Walker is punishing defenders.&nbsp; The defense is no slouch either!&nbsp;

They play extremely hard, especially at home, and I&rsquo;ll gladly lay the 4 points with them this week.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 12 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Happy Thanksgiving to all the loyal Bet Karma readers and subscribers!&nbsp; We are incredibly thankful for you!&nbsp; Now let&rsquo;s get some winners.

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 12 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 27-28-1 (48.2%)

Its Thanksgiving night so I&rsquo;m going to keep the recap short and sweet.

Vanderbilt (+14) was the easiest win of the century as they beat a dead dog Florida team outright.&nbsp; Hope y&rsquo;all threw a couple bucks on the money line as well!

Kansas (+9) was the complete opposite as those boys didn&rsquo;t show up at all against Texas.&nbsp; Thankfully, Iowa (+3) was another outright winner for one of my dog picks.&nbsp; I regret the 3 hours I spent watching that 13-10 shootout.&nbsp; &nbsp;

Speaking of shootouts, the Ole Miss/Arkansas under 64.5 was exactly that.&nbsp; The line moved all the way up to 67.5 by kickoff and I knew we were in trouble.&nbsp;

Only more heartbreak in the night slate as OK St (+7.5) flat out didn&rsquo;t show up for their biggest rivalry game of the season.&nbsp; No team has been more head scratching than the Cowboys.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m OUT on them.

I hope you all enjoyed your holiday, are heating up those leftovers, and have those sweatpants on tight.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s win some money on what is a fantastic final weekend of the regular season.

I&rsquo;m going to ripping these picks from the gut with some sharp trends.&nbsp; I feel best when I&rsquo;m doing that and its going to help us get over the top of 50% for the season.

&nbsp;

Week 13

5. Oregon AT Oregon St (+3 -110) - SATURDAY - 3:30 PM - ABC

The Civil War is one of the more under the radar, yet extremely compelling rivalry games.

The Beavers have had a tremendous season and come into this game 8-3.&nbsp; Unfortunately for them, all of their losses came inside the PAC 12 so they can&rsquo;t make the title game.&nbsp; However, Oregon can.

If the Ducks win, they are into the PAC 12 championship game next week.&nbsp; My thing with them is, are they going to be able to match the intensity of their in-state rival, in their building, when the playoff was lost a couple weeks ago?&nbsp;

Corvallis is going to be rocking Saturday early afternoon local time and I see them grinding this game down to their pace, frustrating QB Bo Nix, and keeping the score razor close.&nbsp;

This line has moved a full point and the sharps are piling in on the Beavers.&nbsp; Get it in quick!

&nbsp;

4. Tennessee AT Vanderbilt (+14 -120) - SATURDAY - 7:30 PM - SEC Network

I&rsquo;m BACK on the Commodores this week!

Riding incredibly high after two straight SEC wins, Vandy has a lot of spunk.&nbsp; They are managing the clock, scoring TDs on offense, and not completely breaking down on the defensive side like years past.&nbsp;

Tennessee, I mean listen, I&rsquo;ve been a Vols supporter all year.&nbsp; I was extremely excited about seeing a new orange running wild in the Playoff.&nbsp; Unfortunately, football is a brutal game.&nbsp; When super star QB Hendon Hooker tore his ACL in South Carolina last week and the scoreboard read Gamecocks: 63 (SIXTY-THREE!!), I saw a team that had lost its spirit in a blink of an eye.

Backup QB Joe Milton is under center now and to say it&rsquo;s a STEEP drop-off in both awareness and arm talent is the understatement of the century. &nbsp;I would be shocked if Tennessee can pick themselves back up off the turf and blow out a frisky Commodores squad.

Give me Vandy in Nashville and the 14 points.

&nbsp;

3. Arkansas AT Missouri (+4 -110) - FRIDAY - 3:30 PM - CBS

We have ourselves a spot play!

Arkansas just destroyed Ole Miss 42-27 (and it wasn&rsquo;t even that close) last week at home in freezing cold Fayetteville.&nbsp; They have their QB KJ Jefferson back and have clinched their spot in Bowl Season.

Missouri, on the other hand, is sitting at 5-6 and need this game to advance their season.&nbsp; Not only that, they&rsquo;re a pretty damn good football team.&nbsp; Let us not forget they beat South Carolina on the road and played Georgia to their closest game of the season 26-22.&nbsp; They play sound, if not fantastic defense at times and will be highly motivated in this Friday afternoon tilt.

I think Missou wins this game outright and I&rsquo;ll gladly take the 4 points.

&nbsp;

2. Kansas AT Kansas St (-11.5 -110) - SATURDAY - 8 PM - FOX

K St has had a truly fantastic season.

They&rsquo;ve lost three games by 3 scores combined and don&rsquo;t get me started on that TCU game where they lost their 1st AND 2nd string QB up by 20.&nbsp; That one hurt as a Wildcat bettor&hellip; but I digress.

Kansas showed who they were last week when they got blown out by Texas at home as a member of the Top 5.&nbsp; They tore the field goal posts down when they became bowl eligible and they are simply waiting to see who they&rsquo;ll play in their first bowl game since 2008.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t see any scenario where they&rsquo;ll be motivated to win this game, on the road, against a supremely talented opponent.

My ONLY worry with this game is that if Texas loses earlier in the day to Baylor (they won&rsquo;t), K St will have clinched their rightful spot in the Big 12 title game.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m betting the Longhorns will take care of business earlier in the day and the Wildcats will be ready to clinch on their own terms in front of their fans under the lights.

I expect Kansas St to run wild over Kansas&rsquo; porous run defense and control this game from start to finish.

&nbsp;

1. Notre Dame (+5.5 -110) AT USC - SATURDAY - 7:30 PM - ABC

As soon as last week&rsquo;s USC/UCLA thriller ended I told myself, &ldquo;I&rsquo;m scared how much I love Notre Dame next week.&rdquo;

Guess what?&nbsp; I&rsquo;m still scared at how much I love ND this week!&nbsp; I love them!&nbsp; LOVE!!

Notre Dame has crawled themselves out of early season purgatory and now sit 8-3 and 15th in the country.&nbsp; They embarrassed the ACC going 4-0 against them including a beatdown of national power Clemson a few weeks back.&nbsp; They have flexed their defensive muscles at will and have squeezed the life out of their opponents.

Enter the Trojans of Southern Cal.&nbsp; Yes, this is the best offense ND will have seen all year.&nbsp; UNC has a tremendous offense as well but USC stands above them in my mind.&nbsp; QB Caleb Williams is cooking to say the very least.&nbsp; He has a real shot at winning the Heisman and honestly, if he even has a decent performance Saturday, I think he SHOULD win.&nbsp;

USC also has absolutely everything to lose in this game.&nbsp; They sit at #6 and are an impressive win and an LSU loss to Georgia next week from entering the college football playoff in my opinion.

Offense has never been an issue for Williams, head coach Lincoln Reilly, and the Trojans.&nbsp; Their glaring issue is their defense.&nbsp; If you can call it that.&nbsp; They rank 200th in total yards and 196th in points allowed.&nbsp; They don&rsquo;t even PRETEND to play defense.&nbsp;

I see this game being played on the Irish&rsquo;s terms.&nbsp; Smash mouth and suffocating with a few big plays sprinkled in.&nbsp; This will be the complete opposite of the shootout in LA last week and with the immense pressure on SC&rsquo;s shoulders, I see them crumbling.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!Happy Thanksgiving to all the loyal Bet Karma readers and subscribers!&nbsp; We are incredibly thankful for you!&nbsp; Now let&rsquo;s get some winners.Each week I&#39;ll be bringing

CFB Week 13 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 10 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 22-25-3 (44%)

Last Sunday should have been our day!

Nothing like waking up, grabbing your coffee, and realizing you have an under play overseas that is locked up by halftime.&nbsp; That was the case with our Bucs/Seahawks Under 45 in Munich, Germany.&nbsp;

I loaded up the 1 PM slate and was cruising to a 4-0 start.

The Titans (-2.5) took care of their business at home vs Russ and the lowly Broncos.&nbsp; The Steelers (+1) continued their dominating ways under coach Mike Tomlin after a bye and beat the Saints outright as a home dog.&nbsp;

Finally, there were the Bears (-3), sitting pretty up 14 points at home to the Lions.&nbsp; A Lions team who has never won a road game under Dan Campbell.&nbsp; Unfortunately for us, Cairo Santos missed an XP late which proved to be the difference in 31-30 loss in Chi-town.&nbsp; Kickers&hellip;

Still sad about the Bears beat, here came the Raiders (-4) to pound me deeper into submission.&nbsp; My God are they a badly coached football team.&nbsp; How you let a guy who was a TV analyst a week prior, come into your building and beat you is beyond me.&nbsp; Put Vegas in the gambling graveyard.

&nbsp;

Week 11

&nbsp;

5. Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5) AT Los Angeles Chargers &ndash; 8:20 PM &ndash; NBC

I know, I know.&nbsp; I said I wouldn&rsquo;t pick primetime games anymore.

I also told myself that I wouldn&rsquo;t bet the Chiefs, especially on the road, because it feels like they haven&rsquo;t covered in the history of football.&nbsp; But listen, it was a tough week to make the Top 5 and I have my reasons.

First and foremost, the Chargers have been decimated by injuries on the offensive and defensive lines.&nbsp; They haven&rsquo;t been able to plug their Joey Bosa sized hole on the strong side and they&rsquo;ve had to IR THREE defensive tackles in the past 10 days.&nbsp; You simply can&rsquo;t beat Patrick Mahomes with no d line.&nbsp; Mainly because if you blitz him, he&rsquo;ll kill you.

On the offensive side, the Chargers aren&rsquo;t much healthier.&nbsp; WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are expected to return but that won&rsquo;t help much when they have two offensive linemen playing as rookies.&nbsp; One of which is a 6th round pick getting only his 2nd career start in Left Tackle, Jamaree Salyer.&nbsp;

I know the Chargers keep these Chiefs games close most of the time, but that is the only reason this spread is under 7.&nbsp; What happened to the AFC West&hellip;?&nbsp; It was supposed to be a can&rsquo;t miss division in 2022.&nbsp; Those QBs they said!&nbsp;

I&rsquo;ll lay the points with the healthier and overall much better team in KC who is looking to wrap up another division title before December.

&nbsp;

4. Dallas Cowboys (-1.5 -110) AT Minnesota Vikings &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

This line stinks to high heaven!

The Vikings, coming off one of the greatest regular season games these eyes have ever seen, are in THEIR building and GETTING points against the Cowboys?!

How are the Vikings, who are tied for the best record in football, an underdog to a fledgling Dallas team who just choked away a victory against the hapless Packers?!

The Cowboys, who&rsquo;s QB is playing like garbage, are favored on the road against a team that simply refuse to lose!?

Sorry for saying three sentences in succession that are essentially all the same with different emphasis&rsquo; but I needed the point to be made&hellip; this isn&rsquo;t right.&nbsp;

Or is it?

The Vikings DID have one of the most incredible comeback victories last week at Buffalo.&nbsp; The Vikings ARE 8-1.&nbsp; The Vikings are playing at home in the nationally televised 4:25 PM matchup.&nbsp; The Cowboys did blow a great opportunity last week in Green Bay.&nbsp; Dak is playing questionable football at best.&nbsp;

And for all these reasons, THAT is why the Cowboys will win this game.

As a gambler, you get it&hellip;

&nbsp;

3. Chicago Bears (+3 -120) AT Atlanta Falcons &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I&rsquo;m back on the Bears this week.&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t help myself.

The Falcons glass slipper hasn&rsquo;t just fallen off, it&rsquo;s been ripped away and thrown into the ocean after that putrid performance in Carolina last week.&nbsp; I simply can&rsquo;t block out that meme of Marcus Mariota throwing the football while laying on the ground.&nbsp; I understand they are still in the thick of an NFC South race, but at what point do they see what rookie QB Desmond Ritter can do?

The Bears are SO close to getting over the top!&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve lost three in a row, the last two by a measly 4 points total.&nbsp; QB Justin Fields continues to be a human highlight reel and appears to be &ldquo;The Guy&rdquo; for Chicago.&nbsp; I know a lot of fans are probably fine with the losing while also sensing their QB is for real&hellip;&nbsp; But, at some point you want him to mix in a W to show he can win in the clutch.

This is the week.&nbsp;

I don&rsquo;t see any scenario where Atlanta will be able to stop the Bears offense and they won&rsquo;t score enough to go blow for blow with them either.&nbsp; Give me the 3 points but I&rsquo;ll be betting the Bears money-line as well.

&nbsp;

2. Cincinnati Bengals AT Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5 -110) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

Another week, another amazing Mike Tomlin betting stat, another Steelers bet in the Top 5.

Tomlin enters Sunday afternoon 5-0-2 against the AFC North as a home underdog.&nbsp; I know that sounds like a lot of incredibly specific details but to me, it says a whole lot.&nbsp;

Every year the division is the most important six games you play.&nbsp; The teams know each other better than anyone else, especially if you&rsquo;re a coach who has been there for a decade+ like Tomlin.&nbsp; The fact that year after year he&rsquo;s able to get his team up as an underdog, in front of their fans, and always cover is a side of history I want to be on.

Also, defensive player of the year TJ Watt was welcomed back last week. &nbsp;Joe Burrow still sees Watt and the rest of the Steelers D Line in his nightmares after they bludgeoned the young stud QB in Week 1.&nbsp; The Bengals are coming off some much-needed rest but there will still be no Ja&rsquo;Marr Chase on the outside to bail out Burrow.

This is going to be an old school AFC North rivalry rock fight and I want the home dog with the better coach and trends.

&nbsp;

1. Detroit Lions AT New York Giants (-3 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

It has taken me 11 weeks to finally say, &ldquo;The Giants may be a great covering football team.&rdquo;

Every week I think to myself that the Giants line makes no sense.&nbsp; They must be trying to trick me.&nbsp; So, I take the other side or stay away altogether.&nbsp; Not this time!

The Giants are 7-2 (7-2 ATS) and are at home against a dome Lions team who are trying to win their 3rd game in a row.&nbsp; That sentence alone has a few head scratchers.&nbsp; First of all, the Lions have an attempt at three wins in a row?&nbsp; Is Dan Campbell still the coach?&nbsp;

After not having a road win in his Lions tenure, Campbell went into Chicago and ended up the last team standing in a 31-30 shootout with the Bears.&nbsp; This was after a shocking win against the Packers the previous week.&nbsp; I just simply can&rsquo;t get my head around them winning again, this time on the road against a great defense with huge standings implications on the line.

RB Saquon Barkley is having a tremendous season for Big Blue and entered Week 11 leading the NFL in rushing yards.&nbsp; The Lions have won a couple in a row, but they STILL remain a historically bad defense.&nbsp; They rank dead last in yards per game allowed and its not even remotely close (16.7 yards worse than the 31st ranked team).&nbsp;

I expect the Giants to slow down the Lions above average offense, run the football, and grind this game down to a crawl en route to a 24-7 victory.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 11 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 11 Record: 4-1 / Overall: 25-25-1 (49%)

It was my birthday last weekend and my biggest gift was a 4-1 weekend for Bet Karma!

We start in the Noon slate where my two giant underdogs won easily, one of them outright.

Navy (+15.5) vs. Notre Dame was a tale of two halves and luckily for us, the Midshipmen don&rsquo;t know the word quit.&nbsp; Down by 20+, Navy stormed back only to fall by two.&nbsp; I salute you men.

At some point we&rsquo;ll need to stop calling UConn (+14) a plucky underdog and anoint them a solid football team.&nbsp; They went back and forth with an 8-1 Liberty squad coming off a win against the SEC&rsquo;s Arkansas, ultimately winning the game in front of their home fans (and money line bettors).

We split the 3:30 PM window with an easy Oklahoma St/Iowa St (Under 49) win coupled with a disgusting Georgia Tech (PK) loss.&nbsp; G Tech proved to be bigger quitters than a Miami team who desperately needed to show they had a pulse.

At night we followed an utter rock fight between Auburn (-1.5) and Texas A&amp;M.&nbsp; This was one of those games you wait to see if there&rsquo;s a personal foul coupled with a brawl after every whistle.&nbsp; Ultimately the Tigers hung on to secure interim coach Cadillac Williams his first collegiate victory.&nbsp; War Eagle indeed.

It is truly wild that I am exactly even after 50+ picks.&nbsp; This is the week we peak over the edge of mediocrity and finish strong!

&nbsp;

Week 12

&nbsp;

5. Florida AT Vanderbilt (+14 -110) - 12 PM &ndash; SECN

Vandy won an SEC game!&nbsp; Something they haven&rsquo;t done in the last 26 conference matchups.

Normally I&rsquo;d want to avoid betting a team coming off such a big win but when I saw they were getting two TDs at home vs Florida I spit my drink out.&nbsp; How does this make sense?

Don&rsquo;t get me wrong Vanderbilt is still a sorry football team but they&rsquo;ve only gotten truly blown out by Alabama and Georgia.&nbsp; As is tradition.&nbsp; I see them taking the swagger from last week&rsquo;s Kentucky victory into this game and keeping it close throughout.

Florida is coming into this game winners of two in a row and absolutely smashed South Carolina last week.&nbsp; However, they have shrunk to their competition before and 14 points is way too much in my opinion for a sleepy 11 AM local time kickoff in Nashville.

&nbsp;

4. Texas AT Kansas (+9 -110) - 3:30 PM - FS1

I&rsquo;m back on the darling Jayhawks of KU this week.

It has been a storybook season for Kansas and not without its hurdles.&nbsp; After losing star QB Jalon Daniels for the season mid-year, they could have gotten down and limped to the end.&nbsp; Instead, they have been next man up, and a couple weeks ago beat Oklahoma St to ensure their bid into Bowl Season for the first time since 2008.&nbsp;

Man, what can I say about Texas.&nbsp; The main word is &lsquo;disappointing&rsquo; for sure.&nbsp; Another year where analysts and fans alike shouted from the rooftops that &ldquo;Texas was BACK!&rdquo;&nbsp; Unfortunately, it&rsquo;s been more of the same for the Longhorns.&nbsp;

Last week, they shrunk in a huge moment at home against #4 TCU as a 7-point favorite.&nbsp; The game was a surprising snooze fest and highly acclaimed QB Quinn Ewers was atrocious.&nbsp; He completed just 17 of 39 passes for 171 yards while not recording an offensive TD for his team.&nbsp; In his last three games, he&rsquo;s completed just 45.4% of his passes.&nbsp;

I see the Jayhawks being up for this game in a big way and giving Texas all they can handle in a tight game in Lawrence, KS.

&nbsp;

3. Iowa (+3 -110) AT Minnesota - 4 PM - FOX

Iowa is an offensive juggernaut all a sudden!

I kid, but let&rsquo;s look at their last three games where they&rsquo;ve averaged 27 points per game.&nbsp; Not shockingly, all three were wins.&nbsp; The Hawkeyes have figured something out with both their pass and run game and is not an &lsquo;auto-three and out&rsquo; any longer.&nbsp; QB Spencer Petras has managed the game and not made any mistakes which has led to success on the offensive end.

Minnesota is also winners of three in a row against the lap dogs of the B10 West.&nbsp; They have done what they do, which is run the ball.&nbsp; All world RB Mohamed Ibrahim is healthy and carving opposing defenses up at will.&nbsp; But, will he have holes the size of an ocean against a stout Iowa defense?&nbsp; I say no.

This game is going to be like watching paint dry with an astounding O/U of 31.5, so you might as well have a rooting interest.&nbsp; I saw this game as a pick em&rsquo; so I&rsquo;ll gladly take the 3 points.

&nbsp;

2. #14 Ole Miss AT Arkansas (UNDER 64.5 -105) - 7:30 PM &ndash; SECN

How miserable is Lane Kiffin that he has to play in freezing cold Fayetteville Saturday night?

The boys from &lsquo;The Grove&rsquo; are coming into this game bummed after losing to Alabama last week at home and missing out on their opportunity to represent the SEC West in the title game.&nbsp; Not only that, they are such a fraud top 15 team.&nbsp;

As you know I&rsquo;ve bet against Ole Miss most of this year, to varying degrees of success.&nbsp; Normally, I&rsquo;d go over in the Rebels games but this one is incredibly clear to me that points will be at a premium.

I touched on it in the open but it is going to be cold tomorrow night in Arkansas.&nbsp; Not just cold, it&rsquo;s going to be freezing temps as low as 17 degrees.&nbsp; I fully expect both teams to grind out long drives and not go near 60 points.

Arkansas was once an over machine, but over the past couple of weeks they&rsquo;re game totals have averaged 31.5 points.&nbsp; Their defense has stepped up and balled of late and I feel like they&rsquo;ll have something for QB Jaxson Dart and the Rebels.&nbsp;

Their QB KJ Jefferson is slated to return in this game and I would slightly lean on the Razorbacks as an outright winner but I expect both teams to sustain drives and keep this game comfortably under the total.

&nbsp;

1. #22 Oklahoma St (+7.5 -120) AT Oklahoma - 7:30 PM &ndash; ABC

It is incredibly sad that this is what &ldquo;Bedlam&rdquo; has become.

What was once my absolute favorite game to bet on every year has turned into two fledgling powers just trying to get to the end of the season.&nbsp;

Somehow Oklahoma St is still ranked in the top 25, probably so they can provide TCU a stronger win. &nbsp;Regardless, their rival Sooners shouldn&rsquo;t be favored by a TD over anyone.

OK St QB Spencer Sanders said he will not miss this game for anything and I expect the Cowboys to come in gun&rsquo;s blazing (pun intended) and provide us the madness we&rsquo;ve come to love in this game.&nbsp;

The Sooners enter this game losers of two in a row and questions of if head coach Brent Venables is the guy are raining from the sky.&nbsp; To say it&rsquo;s been a forgotten season in Norman is putting it very lightly.&nbsp; When the expectations are College Football Playoff or bust, a 5-5 season will make rowdy boosters asking for heads to roll.&nbsp; It&rsquo;ll be interesting to see if the team plays for their coach in these remaining two games.&nbsp; It seems impossible to envision a bowl season without the Sooners but I wouldn&rsquo;t be shocked if they drop both.

Usually, the over is an auto bet for me, but both teams have had games where the offenses struggle so I&rsquo;m going to take Oklahoma St and the 7.5 points instead.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 12 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 9 Record: 2-2-1 / Overall: 19-23-3 (42.2%)

Let&rsquo;s get this out of the way early.&nbsp; The Packers STINK at football.

<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1253/2022-nfl-futures-is-this-finally-the-year-rodgers-gets-old" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">I called this</a> in my very first article I wrote for Bet Karma.&nbsp; However, I&rsquo;d be lying if I said I&rsquo;d hit my under 11-win total by mid-November.&nbsp; The Lions/Packers Over 49.5 pick was dead by the end of the first quarter when there had already been THREE redzone turnovers.&nbsp; Two of which by Aaron Rodgers who very much looks like he&rsquo;d rather be anywhere else than a football field.

We travel down to Atlanta where the covering king Falcons (+3) provided us a heartbreaking push.&nbsp; Tied up with a few minutes left, Atlanta picked up a fumble and rumbled the other way only to have the linebacker fumble the ball BACK to LA.&nbsp; The Chargers would then kick the winning field goal as the clock hit zeroes.&nbsp; Sad.

The 4 PM slate was very good to us starting with the scorching hot Seahawks (+2) who beat the lowly Cardinals outright in Arizona.&nbsp; Pete Carroll has done an incredible job with this team.&nbsp;

In a matchup from last year&rsquo;s divisional round the Bucs (-2.5) and Tom Brady orchestrated a vintage yet surreal comeback win.&nbsp; Down 4 in a complete snoozer, the Rams couldn&rsquo;t muster one first down after a goal line stand giving Brady the ball back with 40 seconds left.&nbsp; You know how that story ends.&nbsp; Huge win for the Bucs and cover for us.

I&rsquo;m ice cold on Monday night picks and the Saints (+2) made sure I stayed that way with a putrid effort in front of their fans.

We have hit the double-digit weeks and the season feels like its moving at warp speed!

&nbsp;

Week 10

&nbsp;

5. New Orleans Saints AT Pittsburgh Steelers (+1 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I can&rsquo;t believe I&rsquo;m betting the Steelers in 2022 but this is the spot to do it.

Pittsburgh is coming off a bye where future Hall of Fame coach Mike Tomlin is 11-4.&nbsp; He also has an insane record ATS as an underdog.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve seen conflicting numbers during my research but it&rsquo;s well over 65% as a dog.

The Saints are going nowhere fast after getting blown out at home on national TV last Monday to the Ravens.&nbsp; Their QB play is just nowhere near good enough to threaten defenses in the NFL.

Speaking of defenses, the Steelers are getting the reigning defensive player of they year back TJ Watt.&nbsp; He is a complete game changer in this league and for this team.&nbsp; I expect him and that d line to come early and often at Andy Dalton and force him into mistakes.

Speaking of mistakes, the Saints are tied for the league lead in giveaways with 17 and are last in the league in turnover differential.&nbsp; I see this one coming down the wire with the Steelers winning the game at home.

&nbsp;

4. Seattle Seahawks VS Tampa Bay Buccaneers (UNDER 45 -110) &ndash; 9:30 AM &ndash; NFL Net *Game played in Munich, Germany

No-one knows what to expect in this one, the first game ever in Munich, Germany.

Here&rsquo;s what I do know however, the Bucs can&rsquo;t score points.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s a miracle they even made it all the way up to 13 last week against the Rams.&nbsp; Here&rsquo;s what else I know; the Bucs defense still has stars who fly around.

As you all know, I LOVE the Seahawks.&nbsp; No team in the league has made me more money than Seattle.&nbsp; And I absolutely think they can win this game.&nbsp; Unfortunately, the line was +2.5 and that spooked me over to the under.

I think Seattle is going to be able to control the clock with their stellar run game and the efficiency of Geno Smith will provide sustaining drives.&nbsp; On the other side, Tom Brady is going to carve out first downs and produce the field goals he has all season long.&nbsp;

London games always go under so why not play that game in Germany as well.&nbsp; I just don&rsquo;t see any way this game reaches 45.

&nbsp;

3. Denver Broncos AT Tennessee Titans (-2.5 -115) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

I&rsquo;m back on my west coast team traveling east game again!

This one is a bit different with the Broncos coming off a bye but the fact remains, when mediocre to bad west coast teams travel for 1 PM games, they usually go down.&nbsp;

The Titans meanwhile are coming off a devastating loss in Kansas City last weekend.&nbsp; They had the Chiefs on the ropes as a two TD underdog and couldn&rsquo;t hold off Patrick Mahomes for the win.&nbsp; QB Ryan Tannehill is back this week and although he won&rsquo;t make you jump for joy, he at least can complete passes to WRs.&nbsp; Something rookie Malik Willis was unable to do in his two games at the helm.

The Broncos labored their way into their bye week with a disappointing 3-5 record.&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t see them covering a short 2.5-point line against an experienced and extremely well coached Titans team in their building.

&nbsp;

2. Indianapolis Colts AT Las Vegas Raiders (-4 -110) &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; CBS

The Colts are the epitome of a dumpster fire.

The season has been marred with injury, controversy and now firings.&nbsp; Former head coach Frank Reich was ousted mid-week and with one of the most head scratching decisions these eyes have ever seen, Colt legend Jeff Saturday was named head coach.

Saturday has, checks notes&hellip;

ZERO coaching experience at the NFL or collegiate level.&nbsp; He was sitting on ESPN last week arguing with Stephen A. Smith over Tom Brady&rsquo;s divorce.&nbsp; Now, he finds himself with the headset on leading men in the greatest league on the planet.

Even typing out that paragraph is wild to me.

The Raiders stink too but if there was ever a chance for them to turn their season around its this game, at home, with their much-maligned head coach going against the team he spurned just a few short years ago.

This is a principal, &ldquo;have to bet against the guy who was an ESPN analyst last week&rdquo; bet.

&nbsp;

1. Detroit Lions AT Chicago Bears (-3 +100) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

After years of futility, the Bears may have found themselves a Quarterback.

Justin Fields has found his groove of late and using his legs as lethal weapons.&nbsp; He ran for over 170 yds last week against Miami and was an absolute nightmare to contain.

That hasn&rsquo;t translated to wins&hellip; yet.

I believe this is the week the Bears do enough to beat a division foe in their building.&nbsp; The Lions are coming off an incredibly emotional and wacky win vs the hapless Packers.&nbsp; But credit to Coach Dan Campbell and his team.&nbsp; Unfortunately for them, they&rsquo;re just not very good.

Campbell is a crazy 0-11-1 on the road as head coach of the Lions and has lost six straight games coming off a win.&nbsp; The Bears boast the #1 rushing offense in the entire league.&nbsp; The Lions are the 2nd worst rush defense.&nbsp; This is clear strength on weakness and I&rsquo;m not going to overthink this.&nbsp; Take Da Bears.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 10 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 10 Record: 1-4 / Overall: 21-24-1 (45.7%)

It was a true bloodbath in Week 10 and it wasn&rsquo;t even close.

My sole win came early and easy with the Baylor/Oklahoma over 61.5.&nbsp; These two teams are allergic to defense and that shined through Saturday afternoon.

From there on out it was tragedy after disaster.&nbsp; Memphis (+3.5) was in the game all day against UCF.&nbsp; Unfortunately, it was a TD that broke a tie late, not the FG we needed, which iced it for the Knights.

Illinois (-16) laid a big ol&rsquo; egg with so much on the line at home against Michigan St.&nbsp; This was a true shocker as they not only didn&rsquo;t cover, they lost outright.&nbsp;

The night slate provided only more pain as Clemson (-3.5) got manhandled by the more physical Fighting Irish in South Bend.&nbsp; As soon as I published last week, I began to regret this play.&nbsp; Clemson is simply not very good this year and I wish I was ahead of that before kickoff Saturday night.

Finishing up my nightmare evening was Boise St (-8) who lost to a dead dog BYU team at home under the lights on the Blue Turf.&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t remember when Boise dropped such a big game at home like that this late in the season.&nbsp;

I chose to avoid the two big SEC games last week in the Top 5 which proved to be a giant mistake. &nbsp;I was all over Georgia and the under in the 1v2 matchup in Athens as well as LSU +13 at home vs Bama.&nbsp;

Make sure you sign up for Bet Karma&rsquo;s <a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Premium Service</a> and get in our Discord where all we do is provide winners for our members!

I&rsquo;m not messing around this week.&nbsp;

The games below may not seem marquee but we&rsquo;re in the business of winners, not ranked matchups, and I LOVE these five bets.

&nbsp;

Week 11

&nbsp;

5. Miami AT Georgia Tech (PK -120) - 3:30 PM - RSN 

There are more than a few schools in contention for most disappointing team of 2022.&nbsp; But my vote is the Miami Hurricanes.

&lsquo;The U&rsquo; opened the season ranked 16th in the nation and two months later they lost to in state rival Florida St. 45-3 AT HOME!&nbsp; Truly shocking how awful they&rsquo;ve become.

Miami has put together four straight weeks of putrid offense averaging 14.5 points per game over that span.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not sure what to make of them moving forward as the expectations were sky high under alumni and highly touted head coach Mario Cristobal.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not going to outright say they&rsquo;ve quit on him but things sure seem dire in South Beach.

Georgia Tech meanwhile is playing inspired football after winning by 1 on the road vs Virginia Tech last week.&nbsp; There&rsquo;s no worse team to play when you&rsquo;re reeling than a rushing centric offense who wants to grind you into submission.&nbsp; I fully expect Tech to ground this game to a halt making Miami quit again en route to a boring 21-10 victory.

&nbsp;

4. Liberty AT UConn (+14 -110) - 12 PM - CBSSN

UCONN!&nbsp; Clap Clap&hellip; HUSKIES!

The Big East basketball powerhouse has actually played some great football the last month and are winners of 4 of their past 5 games.&nbsp; Two of those wins came at home as a 7.5 (BC) and a 23.5 (Fresno St) point underdog!&nbsp; Head coach Jim Mora Jr. has these boys playing extremely hard and they can taste bowl eligibility with two games to go.

Liberty comes into Saturday at an impressive 8-1 and just beat an SEC Arkansas team on the road as a two-touchdown dog.&nbsp; They are prime for a letdown against a hungry Huskie squad at Rentschler Field in an early Noon kickoff.

It is telling to me that even at 8-1, Liberty remains unranked in all polls.&nbsp; The coaches, AP and playoff committee aren&rsquo;t believers and neither am I.

The sharp money is all over the Huskies and I think UConn could even win this game.&nbsp; &nbsp;At 5-5, they have their eyes set on the postseason for the first time since 2015.&nbsp; Give me the 14 points and a money-line sprinkle.

&nbsp;

3. Iowa St AT Oklahoma St (UNDER 49 -120) - 3:30 PM - ESPNU

The wheels have officially fallen off the Oklahoma St Cowboys.&nbsp;

What felt like an extremely promising season with sights of a Big 12 Title game dancing in their heads, has turned into a total nightmare losing 3 of their last 4 games.&nbsp; QB Spencer Sanders has been battling injuries for what feels like a month and the season has unraveled.

Iowa St meanwhile hasn&rsquo;t been lighting up any scoreboards this season averaging a paltry 16.3 points per game.&nbsp; They play sound, and at times elite, defense and like to control the clock.

OK St has only scored 16 TOTAL points in their past two games and just want the regular season to end at this point.

I see this game going comfortably under the total.

&nbsp;

2. #20 Notre Dame VS Navy (+15.5 -105) - 12 PM - ABC *Game Played in Baltimore, MD

It&rsquo;s let down week once again, this time in the great rivalry of ND/Navy.

This game is being played at the Baltimore Ravens M&amp;T Bank Stadium and there will be thousands of Midshipmen in attendance.&nbsp; Outside of the Armed Forces matchups, every Navy player circles the Fighting Irish.&nbsp;

The &lsquo;masters of the triple option&rsquo; have been playing much better as of late and gave everything AAC power Cincinnati could handle on the road last week.&nbsp;

Notre Dame just had their biggest win of head coach Marcus Freeman&rsquo;s young career knocking off #4 Clemson at home last week.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re defense and running game was dominant but when you look closer at the box score, you&rsquo;ll see QB Drew Pyne is completely inept at moving the ball down the field.&nbsp;

Navy, as everyone knows, loves to control the clock and limit possessions.&nbsp; If they get any type of lead or have it within one score late, Pyne and the Irish don&rsquo;t have the down field threats to blow them out.

&nbsp;

1. Texas A&amp;M AT Auburn (-1.5 -105) - 7:30 PM -&nbsp;SECN

For those that thought NIL deals would buy championships&hellip; let me present you the 2022 Texas A&amp;M Aggies.

Looking at the schedule before the season, you&rsquo;d think this game would feature a roaring A&amp;M team behind a top recruiting class vs an Auburn squad playing inspired ball for their head coach Brian Harsin.

Instead, we are getting two 3-6 teams with a former star RB at the helm on the Tigers sideline and an A&amp;M team filled with players who can&rsquo;t wait to enter the transfer portal.

Interim head coach Cadillac Williams (yes, THAT Cadillac Williams) has Auburn playing loose and free, finally getting to what they do best.&nbsp; Run the football.&nbsp; Now, the Tigers are still losing (five in a row), but they&rsquo;ve battled hard against the country&rsquo;s best.&nbsp; They lost by 4 to #7 LSU, scored 34 on #11 Ole Miss, and just last week put up 33 in an overtime thriller AT Mississippi St. &nbsp;Auburn is foaming at the mouth to get their new coach his first collegiate victory.

The Aggies have lost five in a row as well, two of which were to a supremely flawed Florida team at Kyle Field and at South Carolina who just lost to Missouri at home.&nbsp; They appear to have quit on their extremely overpaid head coach Jimbo Fisher and have absolutely no answer at QB.&nbsp;

I don&rsquo;t see this team going into Jordan Hare Stadium, at night, and beating a hungry Auburn team this week.&nbsp; Take the Tigers.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 11 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 8 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 17-21-2 (42.5%)

We just can&rsquo;t get over the top&hellip;

The day started off gangbusters in D-town as the Dolphins/Lions Over 51.5 hit with ease in a wild one.&nbsp; Equally wild was the NFC South shootout in Atlanta where the Falcons (-4) walked off in overtime but didn&rsquo;t cover our spread.

My #1 pick of the day was a dicey victory by the Patriots (-2.5) as they continue to own the Jets year after year no matter who the QB is.

In the afternoon slate I fell into the Texans (-1) trap and I was very angry at myself about it.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re the worst team in the league and the line moved all the way to +1.5 which told me I had a loser when I woke up on Sunday.

Monday night was a massacre.&nbsp; Poor Joe Burrow is lost without Ja&rsquo;Marr Chase and is running for his life every play.&nbsp; The Browns beat the breaks off my Bengals (-3) ensuring a losing week on the Top 5.

Really brutal slate ahead in Week 9 but we&rsquo;ll try to find some cash in the crumbs as we move into the second half of the NFL season.

&nbsp;

Week 9

&nbsp;

5. Baltimore Ravens AT New Orleans Saints (+2 -110) &ndash; 8:15 PM &ndash; ESPN

This matchup is more about the intangibles than the team records coming into the game.&nbsp;

Sure, the Saints had their first complete effort of the year last week shutting out the hapless Raiders at home 24-0.&nbsp; But they are still a traditionally flawed team.

I&rsquo;m taking the Saints because they are a bear to beat in the Superdome in primetime for as long as I can remember.&nbsp; That, coupled with their recent play now that they have committed to QB Andy Dalton under center has me backing them this week.&nbsp; The Saints lead the league with 14 offensive TDs over the past month.&nbsp; They are figuring it out on both sides of the ball.

The Ravens are having all kinds of injury issues and may be starting 15-year veteran speedster WR Desean Jackson due to ailing bodies on the roster.&nbsp; WR Rashod Bateman is out for the season, RB Gus Edwards is likely out as well.&nbsp; Baltimore has had trouble closing games all season as well.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t believe QB Lamar Jackson will have enough magic to win and cover this game.&nbsp;

I&rsquo;ll be sprinkling some money line as well but I&rsquo;ll take the +2 to protect from any one-point Justin Tucker walk-offs.

&nbsp;

4. Green Bay Packers AT Detroit Lions (OVER 49.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

I&rsquo;m taking Lions overs at Ford Field until it burns me.

Detroit has been a haven for points this season and mostly due to the home team having a historically bad defense.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m pretty sure my high school team could put up 20 on them and we stunk.&nbsp;

The Packers are down bad.&nbsp; Really bad.&nbsp; But there is no better &ldquo;get right&rdquo; game for QB Aaron Rodgers who has 11 TDs to zero INTs in his last four games against the division rival.&nbsp; Rodgers has to play better and I believe he will in this game.&nbsp;

I see the Packers getting an early lead causing Jared Goff to try and outduel Rodgers.&nbsp; This will cause some sudden change turnovers leading to even more points on short fields.&nbsp; I do think the Packers cover the 3.5 as well but the hook scared me away.

I&rsquo;m sticking with the over in what I feel will be a 34-24 type game Sunday afternoon.

&nbsp;

3. Seattle Seahawks (+2 -110) AT Arizona Cardinals &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; FOX

This one had me scratching my head for hours.

The Seahawks are clearly the better team and they&rsquo;re catching points.&nbsp; Yes, the game is in Arizona but the Cardinals have little to no home field advantage and I get that traditional thought would be division rivals would split the season series after the Hawks won 19-9 a few weeks ago.&nbsp;

Also under consideration is the fact that star WR DeAndre Hopkins will be playing in this game but is he that much of a catalyst to push Arizona over a scorching Seattle team?&nbsp; I say no.

The Cards are giving up over 30 points a game and the Seahawks are top five in a variety of categories.&nbsp; Offensively &lsquo;Zona is averaging just over 5 yards per play and has had a lot of trouble giving QB Kyler Murray time.&nbsp; Seattle&rsquo;s front seven has improved immensely each week and they brought down Murray 6 times in Week 6.&nbsp; I expect more of the same on Sunday.

Speaking of Murray, he comes into this NFC West tilt 5-14 straight up and 6-11-2 against the spread against the division.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s not going to get it done.

I love how the young guys the Hawks play are all getting better by the game and growing together.&nbsp; What head coach Pete Carroll has done would garner Coach of the Year honors if it weren&rsquo;t for Nick Sirianni and Brian Daboll.&nbsp;

Give me the better team, with the better stats, getting 2 points.

&nbsp;

2. Los Angeles Chargers AT Atlanta Falcons (+3 -115) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Here&rsquo;s another line that made absolutely no sense to me.

The Chargers are coming off a bye but they&rsquo;re still just as worse for the wear as when they went in. &nbsp;Both top WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are out for Sunday and QB Justin Herbert ranks 27th in the league in yards per attempt (6.5 yds).&nbsp;

This is also the tried-and-true west coast favored team comes east for 1 PM game.&nbsp;

I have to think this is solely Vegas knowing the public loves the Chargers and their wacky coach Brandon Staley who thinks he&rsquo;s coaching in his backyard.&nbsp;

The Falcons meanwhile are&hellip;cough&hellip; FIRST in the NFC South and have a QB in Marcus Mariota who is coming in with three straight games with passer rating over 100.&nbsp; Atlanta&rsquo;s rushing offense has been on fire as well ranking 5th in the league while the LA defense gives up 5.7 yards per carry.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s the worst in football.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s massive strength versus glaring weakness.&nbsp; AND I&rsquo;m getting points.&nbsp; AND I&rsquo;m at home.

Atlanta is 3-0 ATS this year as a home underdog.&nbsp; Give me the Falcons.

&nbsp;

1. Los Angeles Rams AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5&nbsp;-125) &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; CBS

This game is the ultimate rock meet hard place.

Two extremely disappointing teams meet in Tampa Sunday afternoon in what I feel is an eliminator matchup.&nbsp; If you would have told me that this game would boast a combined record of 6-11 before the season started, I&rsquo;d have said you&rsquo;re crazy!

QB and greatest to ever do it, Tom Brady, is 2 games under .500 since he was in pop warner (probably) and no one on this planet needs to have a good day more than him.&nbsp; As does coach Todd Bowles and coordinator Byron Leftwich who have looked bafflingly incoherent on both sides of the ball this season.&nbsp; There is simply way too much talent on this roster to fall to 3-6 at home, effectively ending their season.

LA is also coming into this matchup a bit banged up as they somehow, someway had WR Cooper Kupp running routes late in last week&rsquo;s loss against the Niners.&nbsp; He looks like he&rsquo;ll play but his ankle was tweaked late in that game.&nbsp; Neither team can run the ball at all and I don&rsquo;t expect that to miraculously change.&nbsp;

This is also a big-time revenge spot for the Bucs as they lost a heartbreaker last year in the Divisional Playoffs 30-27 to the eventual champion Rams.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m sure they&rsquo;ve had this matchup circled since May and this will finally be the game Tampa puts it together and comfortably covers the game.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 9 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 9 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 20-20-1 (48.8%)

We start with one of the worst beats you&rsquo;ll ever see.&nbsp; Let me paint the picture.

WVU (+7.5) was down 3 with 28 seconds left.&nbsp; TCU had the ball 4th and 2.&nbsp; First down and the game is over, TCU wins, we cover, its sunshine and rainbows.&nbsp; Mountaineers&rsquo; defensive end jumps offsides, the WR instinctively runs a vertical.&nbsp; QB Max Duggan throws it up&hellip; Touchdown.&nbsp; TCU wins by 10.&nbsp; We lose.

That was one of the worst beats I&rsquo;ve ever seen in 15+ years gambling on college football.&nbsp; The game was over&hellip; until it wasn&rsquo;t.

Thankfully, over in the Big 10, Penn St (+14.5) scored late to cover our bet even though they were inside the number the entire game.&nbsp; Gambling Gods giveth, and they taketh away.

My #1 Wake Forest (-3.5) pick was a dead loser the entire game and it certainly didn&rsquo;t help that they had EIGHT turnovers!&nbsp; How about this stat, every Wake possession in the 3rd quarter ended in a turnover.&nbsp; I mean that&rsquo;s insanity.&nbsp; Louisville went on to outscore Wake 35-0 in that quarter alone.&nbsp; Brutal.

The night slate had had some more yin and yang as Tennessee completely buried Kentucky (+12) and are now the #1 team in the College Football Playoff while UNC/Pitt (Over 65.5) was the track meet I expected.

The CFP rankings are out and it is getting very real for the top teams in the country.&nbsp; Week 10 is upon us and there are incredible matchups on this slate.&nbsp; Spoiler &ndash; I&rsquo;m staying away from the Tennessee/Georgia and LSU/Bama matchups because I can&rsquo;t wait to just put my feet up and watch those beauties.

&nbsp;

Week 10

&nbsp;

5. Baylor AT Oklahoma (OVER 61.5 -110) &ndash; 3 PM &ndash; ESPN+

My how the mighty have fallen in Oklahoma.

Let&rsquo;s take a peek at some of the defensive rankings for the Sooners.&nbsp; They are giving up 453.5 yds per game (224th) and 28.8 PPG (213th).&nbsp; Oklahoma has never been lauded for their defensive prowess but those numbers are downright gross.&nbsp;

Offensively Oklahoma has put up numbers when QB Dillon Gabriel is behind center and I expect them to score on Saturday.

Baylor meanwhile has had a down defensive season, but have lit up scoreboards all year long averaging 38.4 PPG.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t see any way the Sooners are able to keep Baylor under 35.&nbsp;

This will be an old fashioned Big 12 shootout in Norman.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m going to sprinkle some cash on the Baylor Money line as well but I&rsquo;m more comfortable with the Over 61.5 on my Top 5.

&nbsp;

4. #25 UCF AT Memphis (+3.5 -120) &ndash; 3:30 PM &ndash; ESPN2

This is an absolutely CLASSIC sandwich spot for UCF.&nbsp;

Emotional home win last week against perennial AAC darling Cincinnati and a look ahead spot at #19 Tulane with a lot on the line.&nbsp; Not sure they&rsquo;ll be up for this Memphis team who has lost three absolute heartbreakers in a row.

I&rsquo;m not going to sit here and say the Tigers are all that great because they&rsquo;re not.&nbsp; But sometimes in sports there are clear spot matchups that are a must bet.&nbsp; The sharps agree as heavy money has come in on Memphis moving this line from +5 to +3.5.

I loved it at 5 but I&rsquo;m not running from 3 and the hook.&nbsp;

UCF QB John Rhys Plumlee got hurt last week and is a true game time decision.&nbsp; I personally don&rsquo;t think he&rsquo;ll be able to go but even if he does, I don&rsquo;t envision he will be effective enough to cover this spread on the road.

Give me the Tigers with a little piece of the ML as well.

&nbsp;

3. BYU AT Boise St (-8 -110) &ndash; 7 PM - Fox Sports 2

These are two teams going in complete opposite directions.

BYU is a dead dog at this point in the season while Boise has rattled off four wins in a row.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve watched a ton of Boise and Vegas simply hasn&rsquo;t caught up to them in my opinion.&nbsp; They are a sound, well coached football team.

BYU was a darling early in the year but their defense is cooked.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve lost four straight giving up a whopping 37 PPG during that stretch.&nbsp;

Boise is going to blow the doors off the Cougars on the blue turf as the sun sets in Idaho.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

2. Michigan St AT #16 Illinois (-16 -110) &ndash; 3:30 PM &ndash; BIG Network

It is (well overdue) time to put some respect on the Illini.

Not only are they 7-1, they are ranked in the CFP rankings and on their way to a likely Big 10 Title game.

They have done it on the backs of their incredible defense which is allowing a paltry 8.9 PPG, good for #1 in the country.&nbsp; They absolutely smother bad offenses.

Speaking of bad offenses, in come the Spartans of Michigan St to Champaign, IL.&nbsp; What a horrendous year it&rsquo;s been for Sparty.&nbsp; They are 3-5 on the season, but 1-5 against Power 5 conference teams.&nbsp; Not only have they been bad on the field, they&rsquo;ve been disgusting off it.&nbsp; What happened last weekend in the Big House when what felt like 20 Spartan players jumped and beat down a Michigan player in the tunnel is inexcusable.&nbsp; There were suspensions levied and maybe even charges pressed.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re a mess.

I don&rsquo;t see any way they&rsquo;re up for this game as a team, let alone against the best defense in the country.&nbsp; Lay the points with Illinois.

&nbsp;

1. #4 Clemson (-4 -110) AT Notre Dame &ndash; 7:30 PM &ndash; NBC

You didn&rsquo;t think I&rsquo;d stay away from ALL the big matchups this week, did you?

Clemson was placed 4th in the first CFP rankings this week and it was scoffed at by many respected College Football analysts but here&rsquo;s what I&rsquo;ll say on that.&nbsp; Clemson is in this &ldquo;playoff&rdquo; because they can&rsquo;t climb up theoretically with their remaining schedule.&nbsp; The committee clearly valued the ACC over what TCU has done up until this point and I think that&rsquo;s fair.&nbsp; But as you know I&rsquo;m not a huge TCU guy.

Clemson has a major opportunity to put some respect back on their name Saturday night in South Bend.&nbsp; ND has played well lately, especially against ACC teams.&nbsp; Most recently, burying the overrated Syracuse Orange in their building.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re defense is very strong.&nbsp; However, I was shocked by this stat:

Notre Dame has given up 85% rushing TDs in the redzone this season.&nbsp; Clemson has one of the most bruising, &ldquo;nose for the endzone&rdquo; backs in RB Will Shipley who already has 10 TDs on the season.&nbsp; I fully expect him to eat all night long.

When the Irish have the ball, how are they going to score?&nbsp; QB Drew Pyne is simply not very good, averaging 170.4 yds per game.&nbsp; They simply can&rsquo;t push the ball down the field and I believe Clemson will stuff their running game as they only let up 85 yards per game on the ground.

The intangibles I believe favor the Tigers as well as it is 90% chance of rain Saturday night.&nbsp; This will only shrink the Clemson playbook more to make sure they pound away on the ground all night long and not ask beleaguered QB DJ Uiagalelei to do too much.&nbsp;

I like the under too but give me the Tigers and their experience on the road against an improving but still massively flawed Notre Dame squad.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 10 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 7 Record: 4-1 / Overall: 15-18-2 (42.9%)

What a week for the NFL Top 5!

Let&rsquo;s start with the only blemish and get that out of the way.&nbsp; My #1 pick Jaguars (-3) lost to the 6-1 New York football Giants and all the angels that are surrounding Big Blue.&nbsp; The Giants are for real and you won&rsquo;t see me betting against them for some time.

From there on it was all winners all the time.&nbsp;

The Titans (-2.5) won a gross, disgusting 19-10 teeth pull in Nashville cementing their ownership of the Colts and sending Matt Ryan possibly into retirement.&nbsp;

We travel up to Cincinnati (-6.5) next where the ATS slipper finally fell off the Falcons foot.&nbsp; Joe Burrow, Tyler Boyd and Ja&rsquo;Marr Chase lit up Atlanta&rsquo;s defense en route to an easy 35-17 victory.

Finishing up the 1 PM slate was the Commanders (+4.5) who thwarted all conventional wisdom taking down the Packers OUTRIGHT.&nbsp; Back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers and co. are in serious trouble and it doesn&rsquo;t get any easier this week at Buffalo.

We finished with another underdog becoming an outright winner.&nbsp; This time it was the Seahawks (+4.5) on the &ldquo;road&rdquo; to beat the Chargers who appear as fraudulent as it gets.

Let&rsquo;s ride this huge momentum as we move into the last weekend of October.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s a real tough slate this week so I had to dig deep to find my Top 5.

&nbsp;

Week 8

&nbsp;

5. Miami Dolphins AT Detroit Lions (OVER 51.5 -110) - 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Every time I think about the trajectory of this game, I see Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle running wild on that fast track in Ford Field.&nbsp; Tell me you don&rsquo;t see the same thing!

QB Tua Tagovailoa and his plethora of weapons are going to go off on the struggling Lions defense Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; Actually, saying the Lions defense is struggling isn&rsquo;t strong enough.&nbsp; They are ATROCIOUS and rank last in the league in both yards allowed (412.2 ypg) AND points allowed (32.3 ppg).&nbsp; Hill, Waddle, and RB Raheem Mostert will be running free into the endzone all day long.

Over on the Dolphins defense, well, it isn&rsquo;t much better.&nbsp; They rank 21st in yards allowed (358.4) ypg) and 23rd in points allowed (23.6 ppg).&nbsp; They also just lost their stud safety and leading tackler Brandon Jones to an ACL tear this past Monday against Pittsburgh.

The Lions had a lot of trouble last week finding the endzone against a stellar Dallas defense but they had a ton of opportunities to punch it in.&nbsp; This will be much easier for them at home against the Dolphins.&nbsp;

Take the over.

&nbsp;

4. Tennessee Titans AT Houston Texans (-1 -110) - 4:05 PM - CBS 

Yes, I&rsquo;m betting one of, if not the worst team in the league and I don&rsquo;t care who knows it!

This is the quintessential sandwich trap spot for the Titans.&nbsp; They are 4-2 and once again comfortably on top of the porous AFC South after beating Indy last week.&nbsp; On the horizon looms a Sunday Night Football matchup against the West leading Kansas City Chiefs.

A hard-fought win last week and a primetime battle next makes this snoozer of a Texans tilt on the road seem less than.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s human nature!&nbsp;

Then we get to the news from today that QB Ryan Tannehill is out for this game making it the first start in the career of rookie Malik Willis.&nbsp; The line has reflected this change moving from Titans -2.5 all the way to Texans -1.&nbsp;

Sure, the Texans seem like a fine team to start your career against but aside from last week their defense has been plucky.&nbsp; I see this as a prime spot to go against the grain and take the lowly Texans at home to surprise Tennessee.

&nbsp;

3. Cincinnati Bengals (-3 -115) AT Cleveland Browns - Monday: 8:30 PM &ndash; ESPN

These are two division rivals going in opposite directions.

The Browns season may be cooked after losing four straight games while on the other side of Ohio, the Bengals offense is clicking on all cylinders.&nbsp;

Superstar WR Ja&rsquo;Marr Chase being injured and out for this game is problematic for sure but the Bengals are still loaded.&nbsp; RB Joe Mixon, WRs Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd are better than any player the Browns will match up with them.&nbsp; QB Joe Burrow is on fire as the offense scored TDs on their first four possessions last week.

The Browns defense meanwhile has gotten worse by the week and at times appear to have given up (I.E. &ndash; Patriots 2nd half).&nbsp; QB Jacoby Brissett has regressed back to the mean and is not good enough to keep up on the scoreboard with Burrow.

This being a Monday Night Football game and Chase&rsquo;s injury kept this line at -3 and I&rsquo;m going to pounce all over that.

&nbsp;

2. Carolina Panthers AT Atlanta Falcons (-4 -110) - 1 PM &ndash; FOX

This line is a head scratcher for sure.&nbsp; It opened at Falcons -6.5 and immediately was bet down by the eager public after the Panthers smashed the Bucs last week and the Falcons lost in Cincy.

I get that thought process but we need to remember, the Panthers&hellip; stink!

QB PJ Walker didn&rsquo;t play great last week and the run game carried the day.&nbsp; Please note, the Bucs also&hellip; stink.&nbsp; Mike Evans dropped that easy TD on the first drive and the offense stalled many times in Carolina territory.&nbsp;

Atlanta&rsquo;s secondary is all banged up but Walker&rsquo;s skill set isn&rsquo;t meant to attack that flaw.&nbsp; The Falcons meanwhile still have an incredibly explosive run game and efficient passing attack behind QB Marcus Mariota&rsquo;s dual threat.&nbsp;

It&rsquo;s in Atlanta, first place is (shockingly) on the line.&nbsp; I just don&rsquo;t see any scenario that the Falcons don&rsquo;t take full advantage of this opportunity and win this game by a TD or more.

&nbsp;

1. New England Patriots (-2.5 -115) AT New York Jets - 1 PM - CBS

You&rsquo;re telling me that I get Bill Belichick under a field goal favorite against the New York Jets after an embarrassing primetime loss?&nbsp; That&rsquo;s a beautiful recipe for my #1 pick in the Top 5.

Vegas thinks they have pulled one over on us with this line.&nbsp; The Jets have had an awesome Cinderella type first 7 weeks.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re 5-2 and have rattled off four victories in a row.&nbsp; QB Zach Wilson has managed the games and the defense led by star rookie CB Sauce Gardner have ruled the day.&nbsp;

However, they just lost whom I feel is their best overall skill player in RB Breece Hall for the season.&nbsp; Trading for former Jaguar James Robinson was a great move by GM Joe Douglas but he won&rsquo;t have the playbook down by Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; Michael Carter is a great 3rd down option but not an every down back.&nbsp; My point is the Jets offense was revolving around the complete run game that has taken a huge dent.

Meanwhile, that Pats loss on Monday Night (and my survivor pick) to the lowly Chicago Bears was shocking.&nbsp; They started Mac Jones and then yanked him the second the fans chanted for Bailey Zappe.&nbsp; Now, Jones is back.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s worrisome as a gambler to back a team that appears in disarray at the most important position in sports.&nbsp; But I believe they&rsquo;re fully behind Jones now.

This matchup is huge for the Patriots if they think a wildcard berth is in their future which I personally do.&nbsp; I see them being extremely motivated to stick it to a division rival and shrink their heads back down to size.

Finally, this is what I know.&nbsp; Death, Taxes and the Patriots beat the Jets.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 8 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 8 Record: 3-3 / Overall: 18-17-1 (50%)

We&rsquo;ll start with my two-for-one UNDER play special.&nbsp; I went 1-1.&nbsp; I watched every snap of that Army/ULM (Under 55.5) game at noon and am a worse person today because of it.&nbsp; However, on the other side of the county, I nailed everything about the Arizona St/Stanford (Under 54.5) 1 PM local time snooze fest.

We had a loaded card for the midday games with two easy winners and one blowout loser.&nbsp; As the UCLA (+7) kickoff approached I had massive buyers&rsquo; remorse but couldn&rsquo;t turn back then.&nbsp; UCLA had only played 2 games on the road; Oregon had figured it out the last month and were tremendous at home.&nbsp; Most importantly everyone I spoke to was also on UCLA.&nbsp; Never a good thing.&nbsp; It was a square bet and I&rsquo;ll be better.

Thankfully, Liberty (+7) won by a million outright as a dog and my #1 pick of the weekend LSU (-2) dismantled a criminally overrated Ole Miss team in the Bayou.

My final bet of the day saw Kansas St (+3.5) go up 3 scores quick.&nbsp; They were completely dominating the undefeated Horned Frogs in their building as I predicted.&nbsp; I even went out to dinner to celebrate my 4-2 day!&nbsp;

Unfortunately, TCU hit the &ldquo;injure the starting QB&rdquo; button on the remote AGAIN (3rd time this season they&rsquo;ve knocked out a starting QB) and worked K St down to QB3 before they took control of the game and eventually won by 10.

I can&rsquo;t believe it&rsquo;s already Week 9&hellip;

It&rsquo;s TRAP WEEK!

&nbsp;

Week 9

&nbsp;

5. #2 Ohio State AT #13 Penn St (+14.5 -110) - 12 PM - FOX

After getting smashed in the face a couple weeks ago against Michigan as a dog, I&rsquo;m BACK on Penn State against a top 4 team.&nbsp; This time in their friendly confines against the mighty Buckeyes of Ohio St.

I tried desperately to avoid this game but it called to me over and over.&nbsp; Coach James Franklin has NEVER lost to Ohio St by more than 2 TDs and I don&rsquo;t expect him to now.&nbsp; Sure, it would have been better if this was an 8 PM &ldquo;White Out&rdquo; game at Beaver Stadium but a Noon game in front of 108,000 rabid fans will suffice.

Ohio State has smoked everyone in their path but they haven&rsquo;t really played anyone.&nbsp; In fact, Penn St will undoubtedly be the best team they&rsquo;ve played all year.&nbsp; Ohio St scored 54 points last week on Iowa, but if you watched the game, you saw a sloppy offense who was a bit out of sync against a good defense before putting it on them late.&nbsp; Penn St&rsquo;s defense is similar to Iowa&rsquo;s.

Also, regarding PSU, a lesser team would have lost to Michigan by 100 and followed that up with a sloppy performance the following week.&nbsp; Shocking to me, Penn St provided their fans the opposite, waxing a good Minnesota team 45-17 at home.

I see veteran QB Sean Clifford keeping the Nittany Lions within striking distance the entire game and although Ohio St will win the game, I can&rsquo;t imagine it will be by more than 2 touchdowns.

&nbsp;

4. #19 Kentucky (+12 -110) AT #3 Tennessee - 7 PM - ESPN 

Like I mentioned in my intro, this is Trap Week in college football.&nbsp; There is no bigger &ldquo;Trap&rdquo; scenario than the Volunteers hosting their hated rival Kentucky Wildcats Saturday night.

I&rsquo;ve been all over Tennessee the entire year and it&rsquo;s been a true joy to see them BACK in relevancy.&nbsp; However, this game is incredibly scary for the Vols with their massive matchup looming next week at the defending champion Georgia Bulldogs.

Kentucky has had a seesaw season but have always played tough.&nbsp; Their two losses were a sleepy one against South Carolina without future NFL starter QB Will Levis at the helm and against Ole Miss in their building where the refs and costly turnovers ripped victory from their grasp.&nbsp; Simply put, Kentucky makes you EARN everything.

Wildcats head coach Mark Stoops is also 5-0-1 against the spread in his last six games vs. ranked opponents and they are 11-2 ATS as a TD underdog or more.&nbsp; Kentucky is the #9 defense in points allowed and #14 in total defense.&nbsp; They have too much pride and too much hatred for their rivals to watch the Vols run all over them.&nbsp; They simply won&rsquo;t get blown out by 12+.

&nbsp;

3. Pittsburgh AT North Carolina (OVER 65.5 -110) - 8 PM - ACC Network

This game is going to rule.

UNC has everything in front of them in terms of a Coastal Division win and a berth into the ACC Title game later this season.&nbsp; This is a HUGE game for them and I do lean the Tar Heels -3 as well.

But we&rsquo;re going with the points.

These defenses leave a lot to be desired&hellip; especially UNC.&nbsp; I fully expect Pitt&rsquo;s star RB Israel Abanikanda to have his way with the UNC front.&nbsp; Every time I blink, I envision him busting 40+ yard sprints inside the tackles for scores.

On the other side, its all about QB Drake Maye who has been other worldly this season.&nbsp; Maye has 24 TDs to just 3 INTs this season and is completing throws at an over 70% clip.&nbsp; The Heels are coming off a bye week and will be chomping at the bit to light up the scoreboard.

The sharps are on this over at <a href="https://betkarma.com/live-trends" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">an absurd 96%</a> and I&rsquo;m right there with them.&nbsp;

I see a 38-31 barnburner in Chapel Hill Saturday night.&nbsp; Take the over.

&nbsp;

2. #7 TCU AT West Virginia (+7.5 -110) - 12 PM - ESPN

That Kansas St loss last week up 28-10 against TCU has been swimming around my brain all week long.&nbsp; I know this may seem like I&rsquo;m chasing the dragon a bit betting against the undefeated Frogs again but hear me out.

TCU is ripe for the pickin!

It&rsquo;s been a magical season to say the least in Fort Worth, TX.&nbsp; TCU is undefeated and in prime position for a real run at the College Football Playoff.&nbsp; But here&rsquo;s the problem, they&rsquo;re not THAT good.

QB Max Duggan has been tremendous but he is 0-3 against West Virginia in his career with only one TD to five INTs.&nbsp; The Mountaineers own this TCU offense.

With college I do feel its mostly year to year so I would be ok if you want to throw that stat out, especially because this WV team just lost by 38 to Texas Tech.&nbsp; But make no mistake about it, they will be up for this potential nation sweeping upset bid.&nbsp;

Defensively TCU gives up almost 400 yards a game and an astounding number for an undefeated team, 27 points per game.&nbsp; They have to outscore every opponent they line up against and so far, they&rsquo;ve been able to.

Morgantown will be rocking early and throughout as the scoreboard is lit up at an alarming rate in this matchup.&nbsp; Sing Country Road with me and take the 7 and a hook with the Mountaineers.

&nbsp;

1. #10 Wake Forest (-3.5 -110) AT Louisville &ndash; 3:30 PM &ndash; ACC Network

The disrespect for the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and star QB Sam Hartman is palpable!

All Wake has done is win 6 of their 7 games and cover damn near every week.&nbsp; Their only loss is an absolute thriller against undefeated and perennial powerhouse Clemson in double overtime.

Louisville meanwhile has won 3 out of their last 4 including an impressive low scoring affair last week against Pitt.&nbsp; However, I will never get over them losing to hapless Boston College a few weeks ago.&nbsp;

The only worry I have with Wake is when they play top QBs.&nbsp; Cardinals QB Malik Cunningham has been a unique dual threat but he doesn&rsquo;t scare anyone through the air.&nbsp; Meanwhile, Louisville has gotten handled every time they&rsquo;ve played an above average quarterback.&nbsp; If Cunningham is forced into a shootout with Hartman, I&rsquo;ll take Sam 100 times out of 100.

I admit, the line is incredible fishy but I&rsquo;ll direct back to my top line of this matchup.&nbsp; Wake is consistently disrespected and I truly feel Vegas is going to get their butts handed to them in this game.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 9 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 6 Record: 1-4 / Overall: 11-17-2 (36.7%)

Week 6 was a complete minefield for handicappers and gamblers alike.

So many people I keep an eye on got killed just like me last week.&nbsp; The NFL as a whole has put me in a personal blender but I&rsquo;m going to begin the climb back to the brim this week!

The Bucs (-9.5) stink.&nbsp; I mean they just stink right?&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not sure how else to characterize them.&nbsp; You&rsquo;re almost a double-digit favorite and you lose outright?&nbsp; Tampa chopped survivor pools worldwide in half.&nbsp; They are on the banned list until they show some semblance of positivity.

Next loss on the docket was the Saints (+3) at home against the Bengals.&nbsp; This one was yet another painstaking 4th quarter blunder for my side.&nbsp; In Week 5 it was the Saints coming back to put my Seahawks bet in the loss column, this week it was the Bengals storming ahead to cover by 1.&nbsp; Saints also stink.&nbsp; The whole NFC South stinks stinks stinks.

Thank goodness for New England who almost single handily got our Pats/Browns Over 43 in Cleveland.&nbsp; That running game is a PROBLEM for the rest of the league as they appear like they can&rsquo;t be stopped.

I had two other O/U bets in the Top 5. &nbsp;Both of which weren&rsquo;t even close.&nbsp;

Bills/Chiefs Over 54 in retrospect was exactly what the bookmakers wanted me to bet and Seahawks/Cardinals Over 50.5&hellip; Well, I&rsquo;d rather not discuss that altogether.

We&rsquo;re pushing forward into Week 7.&nbsp; A week where top teams: Eagles, Bills, Vikings and Rams are all on their bye.&nbsp; A league which has been bogged down by gross play for long stretches won&rsquo;t let off the gas this week.&nbsp;

But remember, even bad football is still better than any other day without football.

&nbsp;

Week 7

&nbsp;

5. Green Bay Packers AT Washington Commanders (+4.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Home underdogs have ruled the 2022 season.&nbsp; The league is so average, or to go in a more optimistic light, the league has so much parity that a home team getting over 4 points all need to be looked at long and hard.

Looking at this week&rsquo;s options, the Commanders make the most sense to me for a few reasons.

First on the Washington side, old starting QB is new again as Taylor Heinicke is back under center.&nbsp; This dude is the epitome of a gamer.&nbsp; I still remember him running for his life covering a playoff game against the eventual champion Tampa Bay Bucs a couple years ago.&nbsp; The Commanders have been really bad, but they did win last week on the road and they have had 10 days to prepare.

Secondly, the Packers are struggling mightily and in a number of ways.&nbsp; Back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers has been a shell of himself and his &ldquo;weapons&rdquo; haven&rsquo;t shined bright.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve been more shocked by how bad their defense has looked.&nbsp; The Giants and Jets both put 27 points up on a team who had a very good unit last year and added two first round picks to that side of the ball.&nbsp;

Give me Heinicke to keep this game close right up until the final seconds tick off the clock.

&nbsp;

4. Indianapolis Colts AT Tennessee Titans (-2.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Upon my first glance at this week&rsquo;s slate of games, this AFC South matchup was a clear pass for me.&nbsp; However, the research turned me into a Titans backer.

Sometimes, its simply all about the numbers.&nbsp; For Titans coach Mike Vrabel, the numbers are glaringly positive.

Vrabel is a staggering 8-0 straight up AND against the spread when the Titans have 10+ days to prepare.&nbsp; In those 8 games, their average margin of victory is 19 points!&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not great at math but it sure seems like 8-0 is pretty darn good.&nbsp; Tennessee is indeed coming off their bye and playing a team that they know very well.&nbsp; Over the past 6 matchups with Indy, the Titans are 5-1 straight up including a win just 3 weeks ago 24-17.

The Colts have been a total roller coaster this season but they are coming into Nashville on a two-game winning streak.&nbsp; One of those games was the field goal fest on Thursday Night Football in Denver that was cruel punishment for us viewers.

I can see bettors thinking the roulette ball can&rsquo;t come up red (or in this case red, navy and white) 9 times in a row for Vrabel, but I&rsquo;m sticking with the trends.

&nbsp;

3. Atlanta Falcons AT Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Yes, I know the Falcons are 6-0 ATS.&nbsp; Everyone is talking about it.&nbsp; Hell, my doctor mentioned it to me the other day.&nbsp;

But enough is enough, right?

This is the perfect spot for the glass slipper to fall off Atlanta&rsquo;s foot.&nbsp; The Bengals figured something out in that second half last week in New Orleans and after an extremely sleepy and some would say lackluster first 6 weeks, I expect Cincy to get it going.

The sharps are all over Cincy as well and I see why.&nbsp; The Falcons are coming off a masterful performance against a banged up and traveling for weeks Niners team.&nbsp; But I&rsquo;m not taking anything away from them.&nbsp; The offense has been way more entertaining than I ever thought they&rsquo;d be.

However, the Bengals thrive on what Atlanta struggles in.&nbsp; QB Joe Burrow and his elite wide receivers have been good for 9th overall in passing offense.&nbsp; Meanwhile, the visiting Falcons rank 31st in pass defense.&nbsp; I expect Joe cool to have his way as the Bengals get a comfortable and impressive win at home.

&nbsp;

2. Seattle Seahawks (+4.5 -110) AT Los Angeles Chargers &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

I&rsquo;m addicted to betting on Seahawks games.&nbsp; Mainly because other than last week&rsquo;s snooze fest where I gave the over, their games have been fireworks.

On the other side of the field are the Chargers who have had a head scratching early part to their season to say the least.&nbsp; Last week against the Broncos we saw all world QB Justin Herbert throw 57 times for an insanely low 6.4 yards per completion.&nbsp; He just dinked and dunked his way to field goals.&nbsp; The offense is so gross at the moment.

Seattle&rsquo;s offense meanwhile has lit up scoreboards all season long behind tremendous play from their much maligned QB Geno Smith.&nbsp;

For me this game is about the team&rsquo;s trends but also the intangible that SoFi Stadium will be half Seahawks fans Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; The worst home field advantage in all of football makes me feel like LA would almost rather be on the road.

I expect a huge day from rookie RB Kenneth Walker as the Chargers run defense has been atrocious of late.&nbsp; Take the Hawks on the road to keep it close and maybe even win the game outright.

&nbsp;

1. New York Giants AT Jacksonville Jaguars (-3 -115) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

This game stinks to high heaven!

The Giants, who are one of only four teams who have a record 5-1 or better, are three-point underdogs against a team who has lost three straight and are perennially at the top of the draft?

AND the smart money is flowing in like champagne on the Jags?&nbsp; Make it make sense!

The Giants have had a dream like first six weeks of Brian Daboll&rsquo;s head coaching career.&nbsp; They have come from out of nowhere to beat perennial playoff teams like the Ravens, Packers, and Titans.&nbsp; Their defense is opportunistic, their run game is elite and their QB is managing the game and not making mistakes.&nbsp;

But, I mean, this simply can&rsquo;t continue.&nbsp;

They have me and you playing WR for them right now for goodness sake.&nbsp; The world isn&rsquo;t ready for a 6-1 New York football Giants squad.

The Jags are so rarely a favorite but I&rsquo;m backing them this week.

&nbsp;

Good Luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

&nbsp;

NFL Week 7 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 7 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 15-14-1 (50%)

The early games started off with two no doubter wins with the Kansas/Oklahoma OVER 62 and Iowa St. (+15.5).&nbsp; Unfortunately, they were partnered with a Michigan pounding of Penn St (+7.5) 41-17.&nbsp; The Nittany Lions grabbed momentum and a 14-13 lead after a defensive TD.&nbsp; Sadly, that was followed by Michigan dominating every facet of the game from there on out.&nbsp; I think this game showed a lot about both teams in opposite ways.&nbsp;

KU/Okla was one of the easiest overs you&rsquo;ll ever get and Texas was clearly looking ahead to their matchup with Oklahoma St this week which I predicted.

Next up was those Cowboys of Oklahoma St. (+4) who lost an absolute thriller in TCU but covered our 4-point spread in double overtime.&nbsp; OK St may have some trouble moving forward as it appears veteran QB Spencer Sanders is banged up and may miss this week&rsquo;s huge Longhorns matchup.

It wouldn&rsquo;t be a Top 5 without a devastating loss and we got that with Utah -3.5.&nbsp; Actually, I shouldn&rsquo;t claim that as USC was covering, and winning, the entire game.&nbsp; But still, with overtime dead in our sights, the Utes went for two to win the game by one with under 30 seconds left.

Exhilarating finish, tough loss.

We&rsquo;re back at 50% on the year and I LOVE this week&rsquo;s slate!

&nbsp;

Week 8

&nbsp;

5A. ULM AT Army UNDER 55.5 -115 - 12 PM - CBSSN

5B. Arizona St AT Stanford UNDER 54.5 -110 - 4 PM - PAC 12 Network

We got ourselves a two for one special in my Top 5 this week!&nbsp; I couldn&rsquo;t decide between the two because I love both unders equally.

The ULM/Army game is going to be a grind out, gross, Noon EST game in West Point.&nbsp; Both teams have been underwhelming and I see this being a rock fight.&nbsp; It will mirror a traditional armed forces contest where the run game will be paramount.&nbsp; I see both defenses keeping things at bay.

In the Arizona St/Stanford game, it&rsquo;ll be similar.&nbsp; A sleepy, 1 PM local time game between two teams who haven&rsquo;t lit up any scoreboards.&nbsp; I predict there will be 11 people at this game outside of the bands and the families.&nbsp; Stanford is coming off a slug fest upset of Notre Dame in South Bend and there&rsquo;s no way they&rsquo;re going to be up for this game.&nbsp; And the Sun Devils can&rsquo;t wait for this putrid season to end.

&nbsp;

4. BYU AT Liberty (+7 -115) - 3:30 PM - ESPNU

The glass slipper has fallen off the BYU Cougars.&nbsp; One of my favorite early season teams has lost two straight and their defense can&rsquo;t stop a high school team right now.&nbsp; Giving up 52 to Arkansas at home is one thing, giving up 28 to an inefficient and sloppy Notre Dame team is another.&nbsp;

Liberty is one of the least remarkable 6-1 teams I&rsquo;ve ever seen and maybe that one point loss to Wake Forest a month ago is still burnt into my brain, but they&rsquo;re not 7 points worse than BYU at home.&nbsp; Hugh Freeze is a lot of things, but a very good college coach is one of them.

I think the Flames will be able to score on BYU like everyone else and keep this thing close.

&nbsp;

3. #17 Kansas St (+3.5 -115) AT #8 TCU - 8 PM - FS1

TCU has undoubtedly been one of the great stories in 2022.&nbsp; They are undefeated and just came back to beat Oklahoma St in a double overtime barnburner with College Gameday in attendance.

However, this is where they run into a brick wall.&nbsp; Kansas St does everything well and is a nuisance to play against.&nbsp; The Wildcats come into this weekend with the 8th best rushing offense in the country and all they do is grind the clock.&nbsp; I see this frustrating a red-hot TCU team who is beyond due for a come back to Earth moment.

Vegas is expecting us to look at this short line and ride the Horned Frogs to keep their dream season going.&nbsp; Instead, I&rsquo;ll be taking the 3.5 points AND sprinkling some K St money line as well.&nbsp; The TCU defense has been bending all year long giving up a whopping 409.7 yds per game (176th in the country).&nbsp; It&rsquo;s going to catch up to them Saturday against a very good 5-1 Wildcats team.

&nbsp;

2. #9 UCLA (+7 -115) AT #10 Oregon - 3:30 PM - FOX

All Chip Kelly and the UCLA Bruins have done this year is&hellip; win.

It&rsquo;s not just that they&rsquo;re winning though, it&rsquo;s how.&nbsp; Sure, Kelly offenses are known for incredible pace and speed and the Bruins have that.&nbsp; However, the difference this season to me has been their physicality.&nbsp; Two weeks ago, when they beat Utah handily, you could tell the Utes didn&rsquo;t expect to get met at the point of attack on every play but that&rsquo;s exactly what happened.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re more complete an offense than the national media is giving them credit for.

QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson has been tremendous with 15 TDs to just 2 INTs.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s thrown TDs to nine different pass catchers as the Bruins offense spreads the love.&nbsp; On the other side, the Ducks have Bo Nix.&nbsp; Nix has been good to exceptional at times this season but if you watched even a series of that Georgia game to start the year, you know this team doesn&rsquo;t want to bang in the trenches.

There are going to be a ton of points Saturday afternoon and I see UCLA hanging with Oregon tooth and nail in what I envision to be a classic college football game.

&nbsp;

1. #7 Ole Miss AT LSU (-2 -120)&nbsp;-&nbsp;3:30 PM -&nbsp;CBS

Man do I wish this game was at night!&nbsp; But I&rsquo;ll certainly settle for the 3:30 CBS game of the day.

LSU&rsquo;s offense is cooking right now coming off 45 points IN Florida last week.&nbsp; Coach Brian Kelly seems to have found his footing and outside of a beating at the hands of my #1 team in the country, Tennessee, LSU is dangerous.&nbsp;

In comes the Rebels of Ole Miss.&nbsp; Undefeated and simply cruising along but who have they played?

Kentucky is the only team that jumps off the page and if you remember that game a few weeks ago, the Rebels had no business winning it.&nbsp; Trust me, I know, because I gave you Ole Miss and they didn&rsquo;t cover.&nbsp; Kentucky gave away 3 fumbles at crucial points in that game and the Rebels simply hung on.

This is Ole Miss&rsquo;s first true road test of the season and Baton Rouge, day or night, isn&rsquo;t to be messed with.&nbsp; Voted the hardest place to play countless times in my lifetime, Tiger Stadium will be rowdy Saturday afternoon.&nbsp;

I simply don&rsquo;t think the Rebels are the 7th best team in the country and like TCU earlier, they are very due for a letdown.&nbsp; This line has moved from LSU +1 to -2 with the smart money still on the Tigers.&nbsp; That tells me all I need to know.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 8 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 5 Record: 1-3-1 / Overall: 10-13-2 (40%)

I&rsquo;m making a promise to you all right now.

I will NOT be giving you an under for the rest of the season.&nbsp; I won&rsquo;t do it!...

.

Ok, I might do it&hellip; But I don&rsquo;t have one on the card this week.

Dolphins/Jets under 45.5 ended up just like the last time I gave an under.&nbsp; An absolute blowout loss.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t think anyone in the world thought the Jets were capable of putting a 40 spot on the Phins defense.&nbsp; Bridgewater getting knocked out early made me love the bet more but Breece Hall and the Jets couldn&rsquo;t be stopped.

Elsewhere in the 1 PM games we had a snooze fest in my Bucs/Falcons over 46 game.&nbsp; However, late in the contest, the Falcons should have gotten the ball back with a chance to tie or win (the game AND our bet) but Brady got an egregious roughing the passer call to essentially end the game and put another L on the board.

We travel up to Cleveland (+2) where the line moved to +2.5 on Sunday where I bet it.&nbsp; The Browns missed a FG late to win, losing 30-28 to LA.&nbsp; For the sake of this series, it was a push, but I hope you all won with the 2.5 like I did.

Down in New Orleans we had an absolute shootout between the Seahawks (+5) and Saints.&nbsp; This was torture jumping for joy when the Seahawks scored yet knowing they can&rsquo;t stop a peewee team right now.&nbsp; The Saints unfortunately scored last and covered the spread winning 39-32.

We got on the board easily with the 49ers (-6.5) who completely dismantled a dying Panthers team.&nbsp; In fact, head coach Matt Rhule lost his job before he ordered dinner as Carolina fell to 1-4.

I have to be better and that starts this week with a solid slate of NFL games with some very intriguing matchups.

&nbsp;

Week 6

&nbsp;

5. Buffalo Bills AT Kansas City Chiefs OVER 54 - 4:25 PM - CBS 

How can you not bet the over in the game of the year?

I&rsquo;m not going to sit idly by and watch these two teams mirror what they did in last year&rsquo;s classic divisional round matchup.&nbsp; These are the top two scoring offenses in the entire league with the two best QBs living in my opinion.&nbsp;

The Bills have been an absolute machine essentially doing whatever they feel like.&nbsp; Their only loss is at Miami in brutal humidity when they still had 497 total yards of offense.&nbsp; They, in a vacuum, cannot be stopped.

The Chiefs meanwhile are still the Chiefs with a league leading 31.8 points per game.&nbsp; They do it in a number of ways and still have the greatest red zone threat in football in TE Travis Kelce.

Josh Allen leads the league in passing yards.&nbsp; Patrick Mahomes leads the league in TDs.

Points!&nbsp; Points!&nbsp; Points!

&nbsp;

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9.5 -110) AT Pittsburgh Steelers - 1 PM - FOX 

I tried very hard to convince myself on one of the big underdogs this weekend but during my research there is just no line that grabbed me enough.&nbsp; With this one, there was too many reasons to take the Bucs.

The Steelers stink.&nbsp; They don&rsquo;t just stink; they also have a ton of injuries and a rookie QB.&nbsp; The Bucs defense is an awful matchup for QB Kenny Pickett to navigate.&nbsp; I expect the athletes Tampa rolls out there to cause havoc on a weak offensive line and a QB with no experience.

Offensively the Bucs have left a lot to be desired on the scoreboard but I feel this is their breakthrough. &nbsp;Pittsburgh will be missing their top three cornerbacks and all world safety Minkah Fitzpatrick.&nbsp; The Bucs haven&rsquo;t scored a ton of points but Brady and co. have still produced a top 3 passing offense.&nbsp; The Steelers simply have no way of stopping them.

Look for Mike Evans to go OFF Sunday with 120+ yds and a couple TDs as the Bucs get right and roll.

&nbsp;

3. Cincinnati Bengals AT New Orleans Saints (+3 -115) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

The Saints have had a seesaw season thus far with patches of great defense but then they gave up a boatload of points to the visiting Seahawks last week.&nbsp; They have been an anomaly for certain.

QB/TE hybrid Taysom Hill broke out last week doing literally everything on the field and I look for him to be a huge weapon moving forward in the season.&nbsp;

On the Bengals side, I think they are still favored in toss up games like this due to the Super Bowl run last year.&nbsp; They just haven&rsquo;t been very good.&nbsp; The offensive line is still atrocious and star WR Tee Higgins is doubtful to play.&nbsp; The Saints aggressive defensive scheme will pose all kinds of problems for the Bengals offense.

I think the Saints could win this game outright but I&rsquo;ll absolutely take the 3 points.

&nbsp;

2. New England Patriots AT Cleveland Browns OVER 43 &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

The Browns have been a thorn in my side all year losing or pushing a few of my bets in the Top 5.&nbsp; 

Both teams aren&rsquo;t strong against the run and offensively they have incredibly physical power games.&nbsp; I see both RBs Nick Chubb and Rhamondre Stevenson running wild Sunday afternoon.&nbsp;

Patriots rookie backup QB Bailey Zappe will do enough in down field throws to keep things opened up but the Browns haven&rsquo;t stopped anyone. &nbsp;The Pats O line has been tremendous so far and the holes they open up will be large enough for an 18-wheeler to drive through.

The Browns meanwhile are 2nd to only the Chiefs in redzone appearances in the league.&nbsp; They provide us over bettors with a ton of opportunities to pile points.&nbsp;

I see this being a back and forth affair comfortably over the 43 number.

&nbsp;

1. Arizona Cardinals AT Seattle Seahawks OVER 50.5 &ndash; 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

Our third over in the Top 5?!?&nbsp;

I know, it seems a bit nuts but there is so much to love about my top pick this week.

The Seahawks have been a bit of a revelation offensively this season ranking 8th in total yards.&nbsp; They are averaging over 25 points per game and QB Geno Smith has been lights out.&nbsp; Not a sentence I ever thought I&rsquo;d publish&hellip;

Arizona has been sleeping out of the gate in each game this year being one of the worst first quarter teams in recent memory but they always crawl back.&nbsp; They seem to open up their offense when they get down.&nbsp; QB Kyler Murray has been his &ldquo;Madden-like&rdquo; self and he has been hooking up with his old college teammate WR Marquise Brown at will.&nbsp; RB James Conner is out this week but backup Eno Benjamin provides a great spark with his speed and elusiveness.&nbsp;

The Cardinals have been fabulous on the road.&nbsp; In fact, since the start of last season, Arizona is averaging 29.3 points a game away from home.&nbsp; Makes little to no sense but the numbers are the numbers.

More importantly, the Seahawks defense is horrendous giving up 30.8 points a game.&nbsp; They have been in shootout type games all year and I don&rsquo;t expect this divisional matchup to be any different.

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

&nbsp;

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 6 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 6 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 12-12-1 (48%)

We start off in Maryland (-3) where Purdue continues to kick me when I&rsquo;m down winning this game outright by 2.&nbsp; This was a painful.&nbsp; Down 8, Maryland scored with 35 seconds left and made the 2 PT!&nbsp; Yay!&nbsp; We have life&hellip;.&nbsp; Except we don&rsquo;t as the flag flew for ineligible man down field. &nbsp;Line it up again from the 7 yd line, knocked down pass, and we lose.&nbsp; Sad.

Thankfully over on ESPN, Tennessee (-3) was mopping the floor with a completely overmatched LSU team in their building.

The gambling Gods jumped back onto our side for the Oklahoma St (-9) game in the afternoon.&nbsp; Texas Tech went blow for blow with the Cowboys until State scored late to cover the 9.

The night games unfortunately produced two excruciating losses for my top two picks.&nbsp; First was Washington State (+13) who hung in there with mighty USC, but two 4th quarter field goals for the Trojans handed us a tough L by 3.&nbsp;

Finally, in a loss that makes you want to quit altogether, NC State (-3) played incredibly scared offensive football late (albeit with big time injuries) and milked the clock on their final few possessions kicking a field goal to win by 2.

The 3 losses were by a combined 9 points.&nbsp; We are right there.&nbsp; Onto Week 7.

&nbsp;

Week 7

&nbsp;

5. Iowa ST (+15.5 -105) AT #22 Texas - 12 PM &ndash; ABC

The Big 12 is awesome week in and week out.&nbsp; The conference top to bottom is filled with teams who match up well with each other but have absolutely no shot of winning the title.&nbsp;

It&rsquo;s a delight.

The one team who makes your eyes bleed a bit is Iowa St so I apologize for making you root for this team, but this is a classic sandwich spot for Texas.&nbsp; They just completely dismantled their biggest rival Oklahoma in the Red River shootout last weekend 49-0.&nbsp; Looking ahead to next week, they travel to the #8 team in the country Oklahoma St.&nbsp; It is human nature for the Longhorns to be sleeping a bit at noon this Saturday.

Iowa St has been a chore to watch offensively but their defense has a great scheme and really good players.&nbsp; I see the Cyclones hanging around in this game and covering the massive line.

&nbsp;

4. #10 Penn State (+7.5 -120) AT #5 Michigan - 12 PM - FOX 

When I started my research earlier this week, I told myself I was going to avoid this game altogether.&nbsp; However, the more I dug in, the more I loved the Nittany Lions.

Penn State is easily the best team Michigan has played.&nbsp; In fact, Michigan hasn&rsquo;t played anyone.&nbsp;

No disrespect to Iowa (who can&rsquo;t score) and Maryland (who can&rsquo;t defend), they have also played Indiana, UConn, Hawaii and Colorado St.&nbsp; Not exactly a murderer&rsquo;s row.&nbsp; In fact, those are some of the worst teams in the entire country.

Penn State&rsquo;s schedule isn&rsquo;t a list of world beaters but they did go into Auburn&rsquo;s building and smoke them and also beat what is clearly a very tough Purdue team.&nbsp; Does QB Sean Clifford scare me?&nbsp; Very much so.&nbsp; But he has been steady if not good this season and has made a ton of plays with 13 total TDs to only 2 INTs.&nbsp; For all the heat coach James Franklin gets, he is 11-4 ATS as an underdog in his last 15 road games.

Michigan has proven they can move the ball but Penn State has the 5th best rush defense in the country which is by far the best the Wolverines have seen this year.&nbsp; I think this will be an awesome game and I can&rsquo;t wait to watch what I expect will be a seesaw battle.

&nbsp;

3. Kansas AT Oklahoma (OVER 62 -110) - 12 PM - ESPN2

We&rsquo;re back in the Big 12 (spoiler alert &ndash; we&rsquo;ll return again shortly) for my favorite over of the week.

First look at this game floored me.&nbsp; Oklahoma a 9-point favorite after losing by a million last week vs Texas against the country&rsquo;s darling Kansas Jayhawks?&nbsp; How is that possible?

Well first of all, QB Dillon Gabriel is likely back in the lineup for the Sooners.&nbsp; It changes everything if he isn&rsquo;t so for the line to stay where its at, he must be playing.&nbsp; Gabriel makes Oklahoma&rsquo;s offense formidable if not electric.&nbsp; In 5 games he has 13 total TDs to zero INTs.&nbsp;

The problem for Oklahoma is their defense can&rsquo;t stop a nose bleed.&nbsp;

Kansas also has QB issues as star Jalon Daniels hurt his shoulder and won&rsquo;t play Saturday.&nbsp; What felt like a truly special season for Kansas appears it may come apart.&nbsp; The good news for us and this over bet is backup QB Jason Bean is capable.&nbsp; There is no doubt in my mind Kansas will score on this Sooner defense with Bean at the helm.

It&rsquo;s going to be fireworks in Norman.

&nbsp;

2. #8 Oklahoma St (+4 -115) AT #13 TCU - 3:30 PM &ndash; ABC

This game rules.

OK St and TCU are both ranked inside the top 13 and rightfully so.&nbsp; Both teams are 5-0 and have played similar type schedules.&nbsp; This is going to be a knock down drag out battle and I predict the winner will be a lock for the Big 12 title game.

I&rsquo;m back on the Cowboys this week after their beauty of a cover last weekend.&nbsp; I simply think they&rsquo;re the better team and if you&rsquo;re going to give me 4 points as well, I&rsquo;ll take it and run.

I feel like this line is a bit of an overreaction to TCU winning in Kansas last week with Gameday there and all eyes on them.&nbsp; They should absolutely be lauded for that performance.

However, for me this game comes down to OK St having the best 3rd down defense in the country and a veteran QB in Spencer Sanders who has been phenomenal.&nbsp; The Cowboys are on a different level than the opponents TCU have played thus far and that will show this weekend.

Also of note, OK St is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against ranked opponents and 7-1 straight up.&nbsp; That shows me coach Mike Gundy gets his kids up for big games and you may even want to sprinkle some on that money line as well.

&nbsp;

1. #7 USC AT #20 Utah (-3.5 -110) - 8 PM - FOX 

I&rsquo;m back up against USC in my #1 pick this week and I can&rsquo;t wait to watch this game.

Rice-Eccles Stadium and Salt Lake City, UT is one of the best under the lights venue in all of sports.&nbsp; This atmosphere is going to be incredible Saturday night.&nbsp; USC has played two road games this year at Stanford and at Oregon St.&nbsp; In both games, they struggled for long stretches against much lesser opponents than the Utes.

Utah is coming off a very tough loss against an upstart UCLA squad on the road.&nbsp; Their playoff hopes are likely dashed with two losses on their record but a PAC 12 title is certainly within reach.&nbsp; They will absolutely be up for this huge matchup.

I know Chip Kelly schemed the Utes into submission last week but before that game Utah was their usual stout self defensively.&nbsp; They rank 1st or 2nd in every PAC 12 defensive statistical category. &nbsp;USC hasn&rsquo;t played a defense with this many athletes yet this year.&nbsp; Trojan QB Caleb Williams has been tremendous but will he be able to manage the offense as well in this type of environment?&nbsp; I&rsquo;m betting that he won&rsquo;t.

USC hasn&rsquo;t played a ranked team yet.&nbsp; In fact, the Trojans have lost 6 straight games against ranked opponents.&nbsp; On the other side, Utah has won their last 11 home games.&nbsp; They are a juggernaut in Salt Lake.

The line is funky as well.&nbsp; Utah, coming off a 42-32 loss to UCLA, favored by 3.5 against the #7 team in the country?&nbsp; Vegas is begging us to take the other side.&nbsp;

I love the Utes Saturday night.

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 7 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 4 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 9-10-1 (45%)

It was a tough day last Sunday, especially early on.

My #1 play Browns (-1.5) stunk it up down in Atlanta yet still had many opportunities to win.&nbsp; I may have to crown the Falcons as they are now 4-0 ATS and 2-2 overall proving much peskier than I expected going in.

As Sunday came creeping closer, the weather forecast in the northeast became uglier and uglier.&nbsp; Sometimes publishing this article on Fridays for you all is a detriment and in the case of Bills/Ravens OVER 51, it was.&nbsp; I likely wouldn&rsquo;t have touched that game in retrospect.&nbsp; With that said, both offenses had trouble in the red zone and we still had a great shot to cash.

The Panthers (+1) were a dead loser the whole way at home against Arizona.&nbsp; Baker is getting entirely too many balls knocked down and the Carolina offense is a chore to watch.

We got back on track in the final two games of the day as the Raiders (-2.5) took care of business at home vs the &ldquo;watching paint dry&rdquo; Denver Broncos and the Chiefs (+1) offense went OFF against the Bucs in their building.

&nbsp;

Week 5

&nbsp;

5. Miami Dolphins AT New York Jets (UNDER 45.5 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

Gross pick alert I know.&nbsp; I haven&rsquo;t picked an under since that Ravens/Dolphins debacle in Week 2.&nbsp; But this divisional matchup surrounded by question marks feels too good to pass up.

The Dolphins have been in all the headlines since last Thursday after QB Tua Tagovailoa had a very scary concussion in Cincy.&nbsp; The NFL has been at odds with the NFLPA (and the viewing public) and the league has responded with bylaw changes to their concussion protocol.&nbsp;

The Dolphins coaches and trainers have come under fire publicly as well and this is not the type of attention any team is seeking in the midst of the football season.

Moving into a matchup with New York appears easy on paper but the Jets won a football game last week and have some momentum entering this game with QB Zach Wilson back under center.&nbsp;

I see the Dolphins still winning this game (although that 3.5-point line stinks to high heaven) but they won&rsquo;t ask veteran backup QB Teddy Bridgewater to do too much down the field.&nbsp; The Jets also sneaky have one of the better run defenses sitting 6th in the league which will limit the Dolphins options.&nbsp; This will be a knock down drag out tilt finishing comfortably under 45.5.

&nbsp;

4. Los Angeles Chargers AT Cleveland Browns (+2 -110) &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; CBS

We&rsquo;ve got ourselves a good ol&rsquo; fashioned &ldquo;Principle Bet&rdquo; here in Cleveland.

The Browns are coming off a tough loss in Atlanta while the Chargers took care of a feisty Texans team in Houston last week.&nbsp; LA will be traveling back across the country for a 1 PM EST start against a tough defense who will have their leader, Myles Garrett, back on the field.

I see this being an absolute war with the Browns having to make some plays getting hits on the banged up Justin Herbert.&nbsp; RB Austin Ekeler arrived last week as well carving up the Texans in numerous ways.&nbsp; The Browns will have to stay in their lanes and convert for TDs when they have the ball which was to their detriment in Atlanta.

The line is also awfully smelly&hellip; The Chargers are clearly the better overall team only giving 2 points.&nbsp; Vegas is begging us to take LA.&nbsp; Take the home team on principle and cash this bet with me.

&nbsp;

3. San Francisco 49ers (-6.5 -110) AT Carolina Panthers &ndash; 4:05 PM &ndash; FOX

I&rsquo;m pretty sure the Panthers stinks.

Matt Rhule is a dead duck coach for Carolina and it shows up in a myriad of ways.&nbsp;

Carolina is one of the better first half teams yet are giving up the 3rd most points in the 2nd half.&nbsp; That tells me so much about a coaching staff.&nbsp; The adjustments are just not there when the going gets tough.&nbsp; QB Baker Mayfield has not met a defensive line he can throw (and see) over and the coach is doing him no favors in the game plans.

San Fran meanwhile boasts one of my favorite coaches in sports, Kyle Shanahan, who flexed on national television last week against the reigning champion Rams.&nbsp; The Niners moved the ball in creative and succinct fashion, never in real trouble in that game.&nbsp;

The defense has been truly phenomenal.&nbsp; The 49ers rank 2nd in passing, rushing and total yards allowed.&nbsp; Most importantly, they lead the league in points allowed at an impressive 11.5 PPG.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s 3 whole points better than the next best defense.

If it&rsquo;s going to be a special year for San Francisco, they go into Charlotte and handle the Panthers by 10+ points.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

2. Atlanta Falcons AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (OVER 46 -110) &ndash; 1 PM - FOX

I love this over so much it scares me.

As I mentioned earlier, the Falcons have been one of the early head turners in the NFL.&nbsp; They have battled hard in every game and have covered every spread.&nbsp; The offense has been well rounded enough that when the running game is struggling, QB Marcus Mariota has made plays on the outside with rookie WR Drake London.&nbsp; When Mariota doesn&rsquo;t have it, the backs are incredibly efficient.&nbsp;

With Cordarrelle Patterson out at least the next few games, the Falcons will enlist upwards of 4 guys to shoulder the load on the ground including the quarterback.&nbsp; I think they have proven they can score on anyone.

Anyone this week is the vaunted Bucs defense who got ripped to shreds by Mahomes and the Chiefs last week. &nbsp;I see the Falcons finding a way to put up 20+ on Sunday.

On the other side, QB Tom Brady is in a terrible mood and the recipe will be the Atlanta D this weekend.&nbsp; I keep envisioning Brady throwing two first quarter TDs to Mike Evans as they cruise up and over the 30-point mark.&nbsp; The Bucs need to have a game that reminds the league they are who we thought they were, a true contender.

Also of note, the Falcons/Bucs matchups are always electric. &nbsp;Over the past 5 matchups the over has gone 4-1 totaling 59.8 points on average.

&nbsp;

1. Seattle Seahawks (+5 -110) AT New Orleans Saints &ndash; 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Don&rsquo;t look now but the Seahawks are one of the most exciting teams to watch in all of football.

Also, and prepare your jaw for dropping, QB Geno Smith LEADS the LEAGUE in completion percentage at 77.3%!&nbsp; Before you immediately assume its because he dumps it off to backs and tight ends as to avoid mistakes, Smith ranks 4th in yards per attempt (7.9) as well.&nbsp;

His stats are earned.&nbsp;

The Seahawks O-line has been better than advertised but Geno has also been excellent with his pocket presence ranking 5th in the league sacks allowed (6).

The Saints meanwhile are only the 6th team since the NFL started going to London each year to NOT have a bye after that trip.&nbsp; I can&rsquo;t imagine they&rsquo;ll be at their best, especially after a brutal loss last week against the Vikings &ldquo;across the pond&rdquo;.&nbsp; QB Jameis Winston is doubtful to play and even though RB Alvin Kamara should return after his shocking scratch at 8 AM last Sunday, I don&rsquo;t think New Orleans should be favored by 5+ against anyone right now.

The Saints defense has been much leakier than perceived entering the year and I really think the Hawks could win this game outright.

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

&nbsp;

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 5 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 5 Record: 1-4 / Overall: 10-9-1 (50%)

Well, last week was a minefield.

Vegas unleashed a myriad of bullets at us and unfortunately, I stumbled into four of them.&nbsp; Our once massive lead on the bookmakers careened down to 50% which I would be fine with if we weren&rsquo;t just 10 percentage points higher.

First was my gross pick of the Iowa Hawkeyes (+11) which I won&rsquo;t speak one more word of.&nbsp; Wait, I will&hellip; they stink.&nbsp; Next was Ole Miss (-7) who honestly should have lost to Kentucky six different ways but got in the win column without covering our number.

Our third loss hit much different.&nbsp; Minnesota (-12.5) had been cruising through their early season, running straight over opposing defenses and leaving waste to any offense who dared to challenge them.&nbsp; But, as soon as star back and the nation&rsquo;s 2nd leading rusher, Mohamed Ibrahim didn&rsquo;t run in between the hashes, we were dead and buried.&nbsp; The Gophers not letting perspective gamblers know about Ibrahim&rsquo;s outlook was a crime that we paid for.&nbsp; Ugh.

In the night slate, Texas did their part scoring almost 40 but WVU couldn&rsquo;t contribute enough blowing our OVER 63 bet.&nbsp;

What I am glad about however is that here on David&rsquo;s Top 5 we rank our picks.&nbsp; Therefore, hitting my #1 play proves most important.&nbsp; Clemson (-6.5) outlasted NC State making sure we did just that and now look destined for yet another slot in the College Football Playoff.

&nbsp;

Onwards and upwards we&rsquo;ll go with a pivotal Week 6 on the horizon.

&nbsp;

Week 6

&nbsp;

5. Purdue AT Maryland (-3 -110) -12 PM - BTN

This is possibly a case of chasing the dragon with how Purdue put me in a blender last week at Minnesota, but hear me out.

This is a CLASSIC let up game for the Boilermakers.

Maryland has been playing great, easily disposing Michigan St last weekend and hanging very tough at The Big House the week before.&nbsp; I think they&rsquo;re for real.

Maryland will be a great environment Saturday and I see them taking care of business against a Purdue team who just won outright as a 10+ point dog.

&nbsp;

4. Texas Tech AT #7 Oklahoma St (-9 -110) - 3:30 PM - FS1

It&rsquo;s time to give the Oklahoma St. Cowboys their flowers.&nbsp;

They have been on a tear this year and have proved themselves as a legitimate top 10 team with future playoff consideration.&nbsp;

The Cowboys got off to an early lead against Baylor last week in their building winning 36-25.&nbsp; I was thoroughly impressed with both sides of the ball and the mettle they showed when they let Baylor creep back in.

Texas Tech has had some fun games this season but they don&rsquo;t have the horses to hang with a superior all around team like Okla St.

&nbsp;

3. #8 Tennessee (-3 +100) AT #25 LSU &ndash; 12 PM &ndash; ESPN

This is THE first showcase for the Volunteers.&nbsp;

Worthy of being unbeaten and ranked 8th overall, Tennessee has that exciting look to them.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s been years (&ldquo;Feels like &rsquo;98!&rdquo;) since the Vols had a team who could play with the big boys but they appear to have all the tools.

Led by an electric offense and QB Hendon Hooker who doesn&rsquo;t turn the ball over, Tennessee is brimming with confidence. &nbsp;On the other side, LSU needs to force takeaways to win football games and they lack the overall veteran athletes they&rsquo;ve boasted in the past.&nbsp;

Louisiana has been a doldrum for the Vols in years past losing 5 in a row in Baton Rouge.&nbsp; This is a very important demon they&rsquo;ll need to exercise if they&rsquo;re going to do something special in 2022.

If this game was under the lights, I likely wouldn&rsquo;t touch it. &nbsp;However, at 11 AM local time, I see the better team on a roll keeping the momentum going and improving to 5-0.

&nbsp;

2. Washington St (+13 -115)&nbsp;AT&nbsp;#6 USC - 7:30 PM - FOX

There is not a team I&rsquo;ve read better than the Trojans of USC.&nbsp; They are one of the most exciting teams to watch this year and I absolutely believe they&rsquo;ll be in the PAC 12 title game.

However, I&rsquo;m going with the Cougars this week getting 13 points.

Washington St has been incredibly frisky this year as they have jumped out to an impressive 4-1 record.&nbsp; They have wins at Wisconsin as a massive underdog, a tight loss to Oregon and put a beating on Cal last week.&nbsp; Not the most impressive resume but if you watch them, you know they are absolutely capable of giving SC their toughest game.

USC has scored a ton of points this year, except against Oregon St.&nbsp; Oregon St has a solid defense but they don&rsquo;t have the athletes Washington St has.&nbsp; I believe State will be able to score more than Oregon St did and keep it within the number.

&nbsp;

1. Florida St AT #14 NC State (-3 -115) &ndash; 8 PM &ndash; ACC Network

Man, that NC State team is tough.

They battled Clemson in their building tooth and nail for 75% of that game last week.&nbsp; Clemson covered for us but I came away knowing NC State is not going to go away in any matchup.

Florida St on the other hand looked sloppy and not ready for the moment losing outright to Wake Forest at home.&nbsp; This game has a lot to do with how I see these teams settling into themselves for the rest of the season.

The Wolfpack return home this week and take care of business by a touchdown.

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 6 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 3 Record: 2-2-1 / Overall: 7-7-1 (50%)

Last Sunday had some comfortable wins and frustrating losses.

My #1 pick hit easily with the Bengals (-7) doing exactly what I said they would do, saving their season at MetLife Stadium.&nbsp; Staying in the 1 PM slate, the Texans (+3) went into Chicago and battled the Bears in what would turn out to be much more entertaining than expected.&nbsp; The Bears won with a walk off field goal pushing our bet.

I made the mistake in the Bills/Dolphins (Over 53) game to count my chickens before they hatched as the game saw 28 quick points.&nbsp; Unfortunately for us, the humidity became a factor and the defenses clamped down keeping the game comfortably under.

We bounced back in my sole afternoon game with the Rams (-3.5) taking care of the Cardinals at home even though they look a bit pedestrian early in the season.&nbsp;

Finally, in the Sunday night game, we had our hearts ripped out by Jimmy G and the 49ers (-1.5) in a game that the world would like to soon forget.&nbsp; I knew we were in trouble when Garoppolo ran out of the back of the endzone Orlovsky style for a safety in the 4th quarter.

We&rsquo;re onto Week 4.

&nbsp;

Week 4

&nbsp;

5. Arizona Cardinals AT Carolina Panthers (+1 -115) - 4:05 PM - FOX

This bet has some of my principals in it.&nbsp;

First and foremost, I love betting against west coast teams playing on the east coast.&nbsp; I admit, I wish this game was at 1 PM and not 4:05 but I&rsquo;m still going with Carolina.

The Cardinals just aren&rsquo;t very good.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve watched a ton of them so far this season and their offense has very little identity right now.&nbsp; RB James Conner is banged up and will play but he has been largely ineffective.&nbsp; Marquise Brown has been a target eater and played well.&nbsp; But all they seem to do is drop back a million times and hope Kyler pulls off a miracle.

Murray is 2nd in the league behind Joe Flacco in attempts and has 9 more passes than the next QB.&nbsp; That is not the formula the Cardinals and coach Kliff Kingsbury are trying to implement to win games.

The Panthers aren&rsquo;t all that great either, but they play inspired defense each week and Baker seems to be settling in with his new surroundings.&nbsp; RB Christian McCaffrey is questionable but that&rsquo;s not new.&nbsp; He&rsquo;ll play.&nbsp;

<a href="https://betkarma.com/live-trends" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">The sharp money</a> is on the Panthers and so are we.

&nbsp;

4. Denver Broncos AT Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5 -110)&nbsp;-&nbsp;4:35 PM - CBS 

Here&rsquo;s another spot where the sharps agree with me as well.&nbsp;

The Raiders are the last 0-3 team left in the NFL and no one expected that.&nbsp; I liken this Raiders pick to last week&rsquo;s Bengals &ldquo;Save their season&rdquo; bet we cashed.&nbsp; The Raiders are winless but let&rsquo;s look at their 3 losses.&nbsp;

Week 1 was a tight loss at the Chargers when they were still healthy.&nbsp; Week 2 was one of the most devastating choke jobs you&rsquo;ll ever see blowing a 20-0 lead against the visiting Cardinals.&nbsp; Finally, last week they missed a 2-pt. conversion at the end of the game to take the Titans to overtime in their stadium.

My point is, they are RIGHT there.&nbsp;

The Broncos have played lackluster football this season and unfortunately for the fans, their sloppy play has been on national TV two of the three weeks.&nbsp; They are historically bad in the red zone and although I do expect that stat to improve, I don&rsquo;t think they&rsquo;ll have the firepower to win this game against a desperate Raiders team in Vegas.

&nbsp;

3. Buffalo Bills AT Baltimore Ravens (OVER 51 -110) -&nbsp;1 PM - CBS

I know it may appear like I&rsquo;m chasing the Bills overs after last week, but I love this bet.&nbsp;

The Ravens are a wagon offensively.&nbsp; They stand #1 in scoring and #4 in total offense.&nbsp; My preseason MVP pick Lamar Jackson is truly unstoppable and the young WRs of Bateman and Duvernay have been fantastic.

Defense has been a whole other story for Baltimore.&nbsp; They sit dead last in total defense and are giving up a whopping 25.7 points a game.&nbsp; They can&rsquo;t stop anyone so far this season and they won&rsquo;t stop the bleeding this week.

On the other side, the Bills have an MVP frontrunner of their own in QB Josh Allen and place #2 in total offense.&nbsp; They went up and down the field last week in that Miami humidity but just couldn&rsquo;t get the ball in the endzone.

On defense, the Bills have just been bludgeoned with injuries.&nbsp; Their entire defensive backfield could be out for this game.&nbsp; Tre&rsquo;Davious White is still out, Micah Hyde is on IR, Jordan Poyer is questionable, as is Dane Jackson.&nbsp; We move to the front four and they&rsquo;re in trouble there too with stud defensive linemen Ed Oliver and Jordan Phillips also out this week.

I see both star QBs lighting up the defenses and the scoreboard.&nbsp; Take the over.

&nbsp;

2. Kansas City Chiefs (+1 -115) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -&nbsp;8:30 PM - NBC

This game was confirmed to stay in Tampa at the time of this article.&nbsp;

What a week it must have been for the Bucs getting displaced from their home confines and practices being scarce after a tough loss to the Packers last week.&nbsp; Hurricane Ian ran roughshod over Florida, and I have to think that affected their preparation for an angry and hungry Chiefs team.

Kansas City blew a great opportunity last week in Indy and took their first loss.&nbsp; They rarely lose two in a row under Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes will be highly motivated to respond.&nbsp;

This one is tricky because the Bucs defense will always keep them in the game. &nbsp;They are tremendous and have given up a paltry 9 points per contest.&nbsp; I do think this will be yet another primetime under but I&rsquo;m going with KC here getting the point.

&nbsp;

1. Cleveland Browns (-1 -115) AT Atlanta Falcons -&nbsp;1 PM -&nbsp;CBS 

Cleveland is one mind boggling loss to the Jets with a 13-point lead under 2 minutes away from being 3-0.&nbsp; They have simply &ldquo;done what they do&rdquo; so far this year by running the football behind their great offensive line with two stellar running backs, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. &nbsp;QB Jacoby Brissett hasn&rsquo;t lit the world on fire, but he won&rsquo;t make the killer mistakes either.&nbsp; The Browns only have one turnover in the first three games.

Atlanta, admittedly, has been much feistier than I imagined in the early going.&nbsp; QB Marcus Mariota has been serviceable, and Cordarrelle Patterson is timeless.&nbsp; However, it appears Patterson will be a true gametime decision which would certainly affect this line so I would get it in as soon as possible.

The Falcons are 3-0 ATS this year and my hat goes off to them but that changes this week when bully ball comes to town.&nbsp; I expect the Browns to pound Atlanta into submission and win this game by a touchdown.

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

&nbsp;

NFL Week 4 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 4 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 9-5-1 (60%)

We battled hard last week people.&nbsp;

My top pick, the Clemson/Wake Forest over 55.5, sailed by in the 3rd quarter and we were off to the races.&nbsp; Not too far behind was my 2nd best bet Kansas -7, who slammed the door down on Duke and improved to a shocking 4-0 start to the season.

The Noon slate was so close to perfect but unfortunately our Maryland/Michigan over 63.5 fell just short by less than a field goal.

The bad times appeared to be continuing as James Madison (+7) went down 28-3 immediately.&nbsp; As the Atlanta Falcons know, that is obviously the worst lead in sports.&nbsp; JMU stormed back to not only cover but win the game outright 32-28.

Sadly, our quest to post a second consecutive 4-1 Top 5 eluded us in the final game.&nbsp; Texas (-7) blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead eventually losing in overtime to their rivals in Lubbock, TX.

We will certainly take another winning week and watch as my overall record is up to 60% on the year.&nbsp; Let&rsquo;s get to Week 5.

&nbsp;

5. #4 Michigan AT Iowa (+11 -110) - 12 PM -&nbsp;FOX

Trust me, I am fully aware how gross this looks.

Iowa??&nbsp; The same Iowa who legitimately can&rsquo;t score an offensive TD?&nbsp; The same Iowa who has played in a 7-3 AND a 10-7 game this year?&nbsp; The same Iowa who lost by a billion to Michigan in the Big 10 title game last year?

Yes, those same Iowa Hawkeyes.

The same Iowa who is 6th in total defense like they are every year under head coach Kirk Ferentz.&nbsp; More importantly, they simply don&rsquo;t get blown out at the raucous Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City.&nbsp;

Michigan has looked fine and should be ranked 4th in the country.&nbsp; However, I saw a stat that since 2000, the Hawkeyes have only lost once by double digits to a top 10 team at home and have beaten four of the past five opponents ranked in the top 5.

It&rsquo;s just entirely too many points, especially because this is Michigan&rsquo;s first road game since last year and they haven&rsquo;t played anyone.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll give them the Maryland win last week as I do like them, but their defense isn&rsquo;t good at all.&nbsp; Iowa and that venue is going to test the Michigan offense like they haven&rsquo;t been yet, and I&rsquo;d rather be getting 11 points in that spot.

&nbsp;

4. West Virginia AT Texas (OVER 63 -110) - 7:30 PM - FS1

I thought West Virginia was going to be so much better this year.&nbsp; I was dead wrong.&nbsp; They can&rsquo;t stop anyone defensively, and JT Daniels has just been OK since transferring from Georgia.&nbsp;

Texas is coming off a heartbreaking overtime loss to rival Texas Tech and is expecting to get freshman phenom QB Quinn Ewers back for this game.&nbsp; He and that offense are going to absolutely light up the Mountaineers.&nbsp; Even if Ewers sits another game, I like this spot for the Texas offense to roll.

The Longhorns&rsquo; defense has also been underwhelming since holding Alabama to 20 points a few weeks ago.&nbsp; WVU is averaging 42.8 points per game, and I see Daniels putting together enough scoring to watch this over cruise past the number.

&nbsp;

3. #7 Kentucky AT #14 Ole Miss (-7 -105) - 12 PM - ESPN 

What&rsquo;s the first thing you think about when you see this line between two top 15 teams?

Probably this: Why in the world is the #7 team in the country getting a touchdown against a lesser ranked opponent?

Not only is Kentucky #7, but they are also getting their starting running back Chris Rodriguez back after he was suspended due to off field issues.&nbsp; Sure, the game is in the famous confines of The Grove, but a touchdown dog after how Kentucky has looked so far in 2022?&nbsp; This game opened at Ole Miss -4 and has skied up to -7 even though the <a href="https://betkarma.com/live-trends" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">sharp money</a> is on the Rebels.&nbsp;

Here&rsquo;s my point: Vegas is absolutely BEGGING us to back Kentucky here over Ole Miss.&nbsp;

Don&rsquo;t fall for it.&nbsp;

Also of note, Coach Lane Kiffin laid into the fanbase and students for a lackluster homefield environment of late.&nbsp; That place is going to be going wild for the home team come introductions and as the Rebels offense gets rolling like they always do at home, it will be lights out for the Wildcats.

&nbsp;

2. Purdue AT #21 Minnesota (-12 -115) - 12 PM - ESPN 

Opening the season 4-0 (4-0 ATS), the Minnesota Golden Gophers have been a delightful cash cow for us this year.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t expect that to stop now.&nbsp; Not against Purdue at home Saturday early afternoon.

Minnesota has shown to be as complete a team in the top heavy Big 10 so far this year.&nbsp; They have a tremendous rushing attack ranking 2nd just behind Air Force (who rarely passes).&nbsp; More impressive, the Gophers sport the #1 total defense in the country and it&rsquo;s not even remotely close stat wise.&nbsp;

Even after they bludgeoned Michigan State in their building last week, I still don&rsquo;t believe the national media is giving them enough credit.&nbsp; That is to our benefit.&nbsp; I see Minny taking down Purdue easily by 2 TDs or more and putting their official stamp on the Big Ten West.

&nbsp;

1. #10 NC State AT #5 Clemson (-6.5 -120)&nbsp;-&nbsp;7:30 PM - ABC

Clemson returns to the top spot in my Top 5 except this time on the side instead of the O/U.&nbsp;

I want to be clear; I really like NC State.&nbsp; In fact, I have a future on their win total which looks great.&nbsp; But this is a pure spot bet for me that I absolutely love.

Clemson won a shootout last week in Wake Forest.&nbsp; I normally like to avoid or even bet against teams coming off emotional barnburners (See: App St last week vs. JMU).&nbsp; However, this is Clemson.&nbsp; Dabo Swinney did not stop talking this past week about how bad the defense was against Wake.&nbsp; He&rsquo;s right, they were bad, but they were also banged up with guys playing together for the first time on the fly.

On the other side of the ball, Clemson erupted!&nbsp; Junior QB DJ Uiagalelei was fantastic throwing for a season high 371 yds and 5 TDs.&nbsp; He also chipped in 52 yds on the ground.&nbsp; DJ was confident and decisive throughout the game, especially in the clutch moments during the 2nd half and overtimes.

My main takeaway for this bet is experience in massive moments.&nbsp; Clemson has dozens of these games under their belt with Dabo at the helm.&nbsp; NC State is just inching into the party.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t think they&rsquo;re ready yet to contend with the big boys.&nbsp;

This is Clemson&rsquo;s opportunity on national television to show the world they are still here.

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 5 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 2 Record: 2-3 / Overall: 5-5 (50%)

We got through the always tumultuous first two weeks of the NFL season at 50%. &nbsp;

I&rsquo;ll take it.

As every gambler knows, it&rsquo;s mere survival early on as we see teams settle into the season through September.&nbsp; Entering Week 3 I feel extremely confident with my Top 5 and fully expect to get over the top Sunday.

To recap last week there&rsquo;s only one place to start.&nbsp; My egregiously bad Ravens/Dolphins under 44.5 pick.&nbsp; Yikes.&nbsp; When the very first play on NFL Redzone is an opening kick return for a TD in the game you picked the under in, you just have to laugh.&nbsp; And I laughed&hellip;a lot.&nbsp; This bet lost by 35.5 points.&nbsp; Whether you lose by 30+ or 0.5 points they all hurt the same.

The pain continued down in New Orleans where the Saints (+3) couldn&rsquo;t do a thing against that vaunted Bucs defense.&nbsp; We were in line to cover until Jameis does what he does best, throw an ill-advised pick-6 killing our bet.&nbsp;

Oh, and let&rsquo;s not even discuss the Colts (-3.5) &hellip;too painful.

Fortunately for us, the Lions (-1.5) were at home taking care of business against the Carson Wentz led Commanders to get us on the board and we finished with a walk in the park 49ers (-8.5) cover at home behind Jimmy G.

&nbsp;

Week 3

5. Houston Texans (+3 -115) AT Chicago Bears - 1 PM - CBS

I know&hellip; nobody wants to watch this game.&nbsp; Not even Texans and Bears fans want to watch this game.&nbsp; But entertaining games are not what gambling is all about is it?

The Bears are simply nowhere near good enough to be laying points to any NFL team.&nbsp; QB Justin Fields threw only 11 (ELEVEN!) times last Sunday night in Green Bay in front of the world.&nbsp; They have absolutely no trust in him and we shouldn&rsquo;t either.

On the other side, the Texans are an easy 2-0 ATS (we had them Week 1 vs Colts) to start the year and are tougher than you think on both sides of the ball.&nbsp;

I see this game as a snooze fest that comes down to the end.&nbsp; Give me the points with the road team at Soldier Field Sunday afternoon.

&nbsp;

4. Los Angeles Rams (-3.5 -110) AT Arizona Cardinals - 4:25 PM - FOX

Your eyes don&rsquo;t deceive you.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m breaking a rule (again) and taking a road in-division favorite, but hear me out.

The Rams flat out OWN the Cardinals.&nbsp; Since the beginning of the 2017 season, LA is 10-1 against Arizona.&nbsp; That includes the 34-11 drubbing in last year&rsquo;s Wildcard weekend kicking off the Rams Super Bowl run.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s just an awful matchup for Kyler and the Cardinals.

Let&rsquo;s talk this year though.&nbsp; The Cards shocked the world (and sad Raiders bettors alike) coming from down 20 to win on the road in Vegas last weekend.&nbsp; Murray was sensational after halftime running around like a video game character and Renfrow coughed up the game in OT.&nbsp; Literally.

After such an emotional win, I have Zona crashing down to Earth against a team clearly getting overlooked so far in 2022.&nbsp; The Rams haven&rsquo;t looked particularly good.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll throw the Bills game out as they appear to be on another level but the Falcons came all the way back to cover last week in LA.&nbsp;

This is where the Rams wake up and win by a touchdown or more.

&nbsp;

3. Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins OVER 53 (-110)

I want to be very clear.&nbsp; That Dolphins/Ravens under hurt my soul last week.&nbsp; And I know this may appear to be a desperation chase on Dolphins O/U&rsquo;s, but I feel great about it.

The Bills are incredible.&nbsp; It literally feels like they&rsquo;re playing another game so far in wins at the Rams and vs the Titans.&nbsp; Keep in mind, the Titans were AFC&rsquo;s #1 seed and the Rams won the whole damn thing last year.&nbsp; The Bills waxed them both to the tune of a combined 72-17 differential.&nbsp;

Seems unfair.

The Dolphins have the, wait for it, TOP passing QB in the league in Tua Tagovailoa and his 739 passing yards.&nbsp; The &ldquo;throw it up to Hill and Waddle&rdquo; strategy has worked like gangbusters in the early going and the Bills have a ton of injuries in their defensive backfield.&nbsp;

Josh Allen is the clear-cut MVP through Week 2 (+300 on DraftKings Sportsbook) and can hurt you in countless ways.&nbsp; He has been unstoppable whether he is dropping back and picking up easy first downs underneath, throwing bombs to Diggs, or scrambling for chunk yardage and walk-in TDs.

Buffalo is the #3 total offense and #1 scoring.&nbsp; Meanwhile, the Phins are #2 in total offense and #4 in scoring.&nbsp; That is a gourmet recipe for points and we&rsquo;ll need all of it to get up to 53.

&nbsp;

2. San Francisco 49ers (-1.5 -110) AT Denver Broncos &ndash; 8:20 PM - NBC

No matter how you slice it the 49ers just appear better, or should I say, more settled with Jimmy G at the helm.&nbsp; Garoppolo and coach Kyle Shanahan have been a tremendous combo for years and with Trey Lance breaking his ankle early in last Sunday&rsquo;s game, its Jimmy&rsquo;s show the rest of the way.

As I mentioned last week, I&rsquo;ve always been a huge Shanahan guy.&nbsp; One thing that I&rsquo;m not is impressed with Broncos new coach Nathanial Hackett.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not going to say anything new that the national media hasn&rsquo;t exhausted, but Hackett appears completely lost in clutch in-game scenarios.&nbsp; The fans even felt the need to countdown the play clock for the home team last week to make sure they got a play in on time!&nbsp; Hilarious.

The Broncos are also 0-6 in the red zone and may be without Jerry Jeudy this week.&nbsp; They barely hung on to beat the Texans late while the Niners Super Bowl odds jumped with their QB switch.&nbsp; It just feels like two teams going in opposite directions early on.

For me this bet is simple.&nbsp; The much better coach is getting points against a team who has underperformed.&nbsp; Take the Niners on the road.

&nbsp;

1. Cincinnati Bengals (-6 -110) AT New York Jets - 1 PM &ndash; CBS

The Bengals are down really bad right now.&nbsp;

They&rsquo;re not just 0-2.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re 0-2 as 6+ point favorites in both losses.&nbsp; Last week they closed as a 7.5-point favorite against Dallas backup Cooper Rush and lost outright.&nbsp; Yuck!

But, that&rsquo;s why I love them this week in my #1 play of the weekend.&nbsp; Cincy needs to save their season this Sunday in New York.&nbsp;

The Jets meanwhile are coming off a truly miraculous comeback win in Cleveland last week down 13 with 1:55 left in the game.&nbsp; Sure, it took a myriad of Browns blunders to get to that result but the Jets showed incredible fight and mettle to complete the job.

Here&rsquo;s the thing though, the Jets are not a good football team and the Bengals have this golden opportunity to prove to the world they still are.&nbsp;

I think this is the epitome of a &ldquo;get right&rdquo; game for Cincinnati as they stomp out New York by 2 TDs or more.

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David&nbsp;Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

NFL Week 3 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 3 Record: 4-1 / Overall: 6-3-1

We were breathing fire in Week 3 finishing with a 4-1 record on the day.

Minnesota (-27.5) started our slate out with one of the easiest wins you&rsquo;ll have all season.&nbsp; They absolutely demolished Colorado by 42 at home.

Next came the Wake Forest/Liberty over 63.5 where it looked grim for much of the game but the defenses died late as I expected and we cashed.

Washington (-3) was next and I was counting my money as the Huskies jumped out to a 22-0 lead over Michigan State.&nbsp; The Spartans didn&rsquo;t go away in the 2nd half but ultimately Washington hung on for a comfy 9-point victory in front of a raucous Husky Stadium.

My one blemish came at the hands of the Miami Hurricanes (+5) who went down 17-9 to Texas A&amp;M.&nbsp; It was such a frustrating game for us Miami backers as they attempted just 5 field goals, missing two crucial ones that would have at least gotten us a push we so rightly deserved.

Finishing a long, glorious day of gambling was my #1 best bet of the day, the Trojans of USC (-12.5).&nbsp; The offense simply could not be stopped all night and stomped Fresno 45-17.

Get on board now because I&rsquo;m seeing the board as clear as ever entering Week 4 of the College Football season.

&nbsp;

5. James Madison (+7 -110) AT Appalachian St - 3:30 PM - ESPN+

We start in the Sun Belt, or should I say the Fun Belt, with the James Madison Dukes catching 7 points at App St.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m attacking this one in a number of ways.&nbsp; First and foremost, App St has had some of the most exciting games you&rsquo;ll ever see in the past few weeks.&nbsp; First was the 63-61 video game like matchup against UNC and then last week they beat rival Troy on an absurd Hail Mary which will be a highlight we&rsquo;ll see forever.

But when is the other shoe going to drop for the Mountaineers?

They simply can&rsquo;t keep playing with all this fire.&nbsp;

JMU finally became a proud FBS member this past July after years of dominating the FCS division.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ve only played two games this year so far, and against nobodies, but I believe are the real deal.&nbsp; The Dukes&rsquo; defense is excellent, especially against the run.&nbsp;

Here&rsquo;s a stat for you, JMU hasn&rsquo;t even let an opponent ENTER the red zone this season.&nbsp; They&rsquo;ll absolutely be up for this game and I predict a bit of a let down for App St.&nbsp; Take the 7 points.

&nbsp;

4. Maryland vs. #4 Michigan (OVER 64.5 -110) - 12 PM - FOX

Michigan is flat out ROLLING to start 2022.&nbsp; However, they have played absolutely no-one.&nbsp; Colorado St, Hawaii and UConn all at home in non-conference games is the epitome of a cake walk for a power team.&nbsp; Maryland will be their first &ldquo;test&rdquo;.

I put test in quotes because the Terrapins have a ton of problems on the defensive side of the ball.&nbsp; Sure, they&rsquo;re 3-0 to start the year, but I don&rsquo;t see any scenario where they hold Michigan under 50+ points.&nbsp; However, offensively Maryland has proven they can put points on the board as well.&nbsp; Their tempo and production match a team who can score on anyone.

I see this game as a 51-21 type finish and would lean Michigan -17 if I had to.&nbsp; But I like the over better in case Maryland breaks a few big plays.

&nbsp;

3. #22 Texas (-7 -110) AT Texas Tech - 3:30 PM - ESPN

When are the Longhorns going to get some real respect?&nbsp;

After holding Alabama to what feels like a decade low 20 points in Week 2, Texas could have slipped up against a very dangerous and well coached UTSA team.&nbsp;

Instead, they took care of business 41-20 and dominated the second half 24-3.&nbsp; The defense has been incredibly suffocating and appears to only be improving.

Texas Tech hasn&rsquo;t impressed me in the least.&nbsp; They hung on to beat Houston at home after blowing a big lead in Week 2.&nbsp; Houston is clearly not what the world thought they&rsquo;d be sitting at 1-2 and NC State bullied the Red Raiders around last week to hand Tech their first loss.

I see the Longhorns winning this one by 2 TDs comfortably showing the country they are in fact, BACK.

&nbsp;

2. Duke AT Kansas (-7 -110) - 12 PM - FOX Sports 1

Listen, I&rsquo;m aware Kansas is the apple of every gambler&rsquo;s eye in 2022 so far.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve cashed my share on them as well.&nbsp; But they just simply are the real deal!&nbsp;

A matchup that would be must see during college basketball&rsquo;s March Madness, Kansas comes in riding unbelievably high and have already cashed their season win total over in mid-September!&nbsp; Head coach Lance Leipold has the entire country talking and he is sure to get scooped up by a major program if the Jayhawks keep this up.&nbsp;

The Kansas Jayhawk football team is an offensive powerhouse.&nbsp;

That&rsquo;s a sentence I never thought I would write in my lifetime&hellip;

They&rsquo;ve scored 56, 55 and 48 points in their 3 games this season.&nbsp; And they aren&rsquo;t playing Michigan&rsquo;s non-conference schedule&hellip;&nbsp; Game 1 was against lowly Tennessee Tech but then they traveled TO West Virginia and Houston.&nbsp;

They have been in the redzone a country leading TWENTY times already.&nbsp; Wild.

Lining up on the other side is the Blue Devils who also stand 3-0.&nbsp; However, unlike Kansas, they haven&rsquo;t beaten anyone of consequence and haven&rsquo;t looked particularly great either.&nbsp; Lay the 7 and ride this Jayhawk wave.

&nbsp;

1. #5 Clemson AT #21 Wake Forest (OVER 55.5 -110)&nbsp;- 12 PM - ABC

I&rsquo;m back on the Wake Forest over train this week after cashing last Saturday.

This one is simple; this is Wake&rsquo;s biggest game in years.&nbsp; Maybe ever.

Wake is a live dog at home getting 7 points and feels like they have the QB (Sam Hartman) and offense that can score with anyone.&nbsp; Yes, including the mighty Clemson Tigers.

Before this O/U line came out I honestly thought it would be in the high 50&rsquo;s or even low 60&rsquo;s.&nbsp; At 55.5 I LOVE this over.&nbsp;

Clemson and QB DJ Uiagalelei have gotten a ton of flack nationally that they aren&rsquo;t a plus offensive team.&nbsp;

I disagree.&nbsp;

They have proven so far this season they can move the ball whenever and however they like.&nbsp; The Wake defense isn&rsquo;t scaring a soul and Clemson will absolutely score this Saturday.

So will the Demon Deacons.

Their collective feet will be firmly on the gas pedal the entire game playing either from behind or smelling an upset in front of a crazed atmosphere in Winston-Salem.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Twitter:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

CFB Week 4 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 2 Record: 3-2 / Overall: 3-2

I was throwing a parade for myself starting early Sunday when the Texans (+7)&nbsp;jumped out to a 20-3 lead.&nbsp; As the Colts stormed back, I remained confident knowing I couldn&#39;t lose the bet in OT.&nbsp; Speaking of the Colts, they may make another appearance in this week&#39;s top 5.

At the same time, the Dolphins (-3.5) were handling the Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium, winning my #1 bet, and doing everything <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1309/nfl-week-1-top-5-game-bets" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">I said would happen.</a>&nbsp;

All good things must come to end as down in the ATL, I was kicking myself watching the Saints (-5.5)&nbsp;flounder&nbsp;as a division rival away favorite.&nbsp; I should have never fell for that.&nbsp; (*Spoiler - I&#39;m about to do it again...)

Coming into the 4 PM games I felt great about the Vikings (ML)&nbsp;as STUD WR Justin Jefferson ran roughshod all over the Packers &quot;vaunted&quot; defense.&nbsp; This game was also crucial for my&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1269/2022-nfl-futures-vikings-are-done-with-mediocrity" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Vikings over 9 wins</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1253/2022-nfl-futures-is-this-finally-the-year-rodgers-gets-old" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Packers under 11 win</a>&nbsp;total bets I shared preseason.&nbsp;

Unfortunately for us, the Titans (-5.5)&nbsp;are choke artists and let the Giants hang around all game long.&nbsp; Even up 13-0, I knew Tennessee was in trouble with their porous red zone offense.&nbsp; Credit to New York as they woke up and stole this game from the former AFC #1 seed, OUTRIGHT.

We will take a 3-2 Week 1 start and run as it&#39;s normally a complete bloodbath.

&nbsp;

Week 2

5. Washington Commanders AT Detroit Lions (-1.5 -110) - 1 PM - FOX

The Lions are favorites for the first time since November&nbsp;2020.&nbsp; Twenty-four (!!!) straight games&nbsp;of being a plucky underdog can drive a fan base insane.&nbsp;&nbsp;It&#39;s time for the Lions to cover that -1.5 spread in front of their faithful.&nbsp;

Ford Field was electric last week as they fell short to the Eagles by 3 points after&nbsp;coming back from down 38-21 in the 4th quarter.&nbsp; D&#39;Andre Swift showed how much of a monster he was with 175 total yards from scrimmage and a touchdown.&nbsp; QB Jared Goff didn&#39;t make my jaw drop with his efficiency and did throw a crucial pick 6, but he also had two nice TD passes to Amon-Ra St. Brown and newcomer DJ Chark.&nbsp;&nbsp;

Commanders QB Carson Wentz had himself a glorious Wentz-like day throwing for 4 TDs and 2 INTs ultimately leading Washington to a thrilling comeback win at home vs. the Jags.&nbsp;&nbsp;

I think had Washington lost that game I would just stay away here and root quietly for Coach Dan Campbell to bring home the W.&nbsp; But I really like this opportunity for the Lions.&nbsp; Lay the 1.5 and celebrate with D-Town as they even up their record at 1-1.

&nbsp;

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers AT New Orleans Saints (+3 -127) - 1 PM - FOX

The only issue I have with this Saints bet is that it feels like everyone is also on New Orleans.&nbsp; It&#39;s hard not to be.

The Saints have owned the Bucs.

Since December 2018, New Orleans have won 7 straight regular season games vs Tampa Bay.&nbsp; Some of them not even remotely close including a 38-3&nbsp;drubbing in 2020 and a 9-0 snooze fest last year.&nbsp; Both of those games were IN Tampa Bay too.

The Bucs scored one TD last week and their banged up offensive line struggled vs Dallas.&nbsp; Tampa&nbsp;benefited from great field position all game as the Cowboys couldn&#39;t move the ball at all, yet rarely took advantage.&nbsp; The Saints defense is just as good if not more highly touted than Dallas and their offense certainly appears much better.&nbsp;

Divisional home underdog, trends are with you, I&#39;m with you.&nbsp; Take the Saints.&nbsp;

I may even do a money line sprinkle as well.

&nbsp;

3. Indianapolis Colts (-3.5 -115) AT Jacksonville Jaguars - 1 PM - CBS

Unlike the Saints pick... and I warned you in my intro...

I&#39;m back on the side of a road divisional favorite just one pick later.&nbsp; But here me out!

The Colts tied the Houston Texans last week.&nbsp; Gross.&nbsp; But look inside the game further and you walk away feeling a little better if you&#39;re a Colts fan.&nbsp; They led the league with 517 total yards of offense and scored 17 straight points in the 4th quarter to force OT.&nbsp; Indy had 90 plays on offense which was 2nd in the league and 33 first downs which tied for 1st.&nbsp; If now released Kicker Rodrigo Blankenship would have made a 42 yard kick in OT, they&#39;d be 1-0 today.&nbsp;&nbsp;

My point is the Colts, and their new QB Matt Ryan,&nbsp;figured it out as the game wore on.&nbsp; The Jaguars meanwhile blew an 8-point, 4th quarter lead against Washington.&nbsp;&nbsp;

This game also matches up Jags coach Doug Pederson with his former Offensive Coordinator in Philly, Frank Reich.&nbsp; These guys know each other very well.&nbsp; What Pederson wasn&#39;t around for however was the Jags ripping the hearts (and a playoff berth)&nbsp;out of Indy in Week 18 last year.&nbsp; The Colts haven&#39;t forgotten and will right that wrong on Sunday at 1 PM.

&nbsp;

2. Seattle Seahawks AT San Francisco 49ers (-8.5 -110) - 4:05 PM - FOX

This is very simple for me.&nbsp;&nbsp;

It&#39;s a classic &quot;spot&quot; game as they call it.&nbsp; The Niners could not have looked worse last week (albeit in a Chicago monsoon) and the Seahawks won the most emotional game they&#39;ve played in years defeating former hero Russell Wilson at home on Monday Night Football.

The Seahawks and Geno Smith deserve all the credit for winning that game&nbsp;in front of the world as 6.5-point home underdogs.&nbsp; It was an awesome game, and they took it from Denver.&nbsp; However, people need to chill out on the effectiveness of Geno Smith.&nbsp; He had 195 yards for goodness&rsquo; sake.&nbsp; Star WR DK Metcalf averaged just over 5 yards per catch.&nbsp; RB Rashaad Penny had 26 yards on one carry and then 34 yards on the other 11 runs.&nbsp;&nbsp;

Reality will set in this week for both teams in Santa Clara, CA.&nbsp;

Kyle Shanahan is too good a coach, it&#39;s the home opener, and I don&#39;t think its necessarily fair to judge QB Trey Lance in&nbsp;torrential rain.&nbsp; With that said,&nbsp;you certainly can this week&nbsp;against a defense that just let up 433 yards to the Broncos.&nbsp; I&#39;m not sure Lance will play lights out, but San Fran won&#39;t need that as they handle their rival by 10+ points at home.&nbsp;&nbsp;

&nbsp;

1. Miami Dolphins AT Baltimore Ravens (UNDER 44.5 -110) - 1 PM - CBS

I can sense how disgusted you all are that my #1 pick is an Under.

Money doesn&#39;t discriminate and as un-enjoyable as rooting for an under is, I absolutely LOVE this bet.

These are two of my favorite defenses to watch.&nbsp; They both fly around, create confusion,&nbsp;and wreak havoc on opposing offenses.&nbsp; In fact, the Dolphins defense may be one of the most underrated units in the league.&nbsp;&nbsp;

I see this game as a pure&nbsp;slugfest with points coming at a premium for both offenses.&nbsp; I expect to see a lot of kickers Justin Tucker and Jason Sanders as a dejected offense jogs off the field on 4th down.

21-14, 24-17, 28-13.&nbsp; Those are all wins for us.&nbsp;&nbsp;

Shift up to the edge of your seat, grit those teeth and root on this under with me.

&nbsp;

Written by David&nbsp;Costabile

Twitter:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

NFL Week 2 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to &ldquo;David&rsquo;s Top 5&rdquo; Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp;

We&rsquo;ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

Previously on &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot;

Week 2 Record: 2-2-1 / Overall: 2-2-1

It was a rough start to say the least.

Bama/Texas over 65.5 was dead before I ordered lunch and Texas A&amp;M (-18.5) lost OUTRIGHT to Appalachian State at home likely dashing their playoff hopes.&nbsp;&nbsp;

However, we bounced back big time the rest of the day finishing on lines provided Wednesday 2-0-1.

Publishing this series to you all 3 days before gameday won&#39;t always hurt but it did this week when it comes to Houston (+3).&nbsp;&nbsp;The Cougars staged a thrilling comeback down 17-3 late to push this game to overtime.&nbsp; There were three extra sessions total before Texas Tech locked up the home victory by 3.&nbsp; Now, if you waited until Saturday to bet this game you would have had Houston at +3.5 or I even had it at +4 which was a delightful W.&nbsp; However, in terms of our series, this was a push.&nbsp; We&#39;ll take it.

In primetime, we rode with the Kentucky Wildcats (+6) who withstood an early deficit to upset Florida in Gainesville.&nbsp; Wish I had sprinkled some on the money line...&nbsp; Finally, finishing up a wild Saturday of nonstop football was a double overtime thriller in Provo, UT where BYU (-3.5) held off the defending Big 12 Champ Baylor Bears 26-20.&nbsp; This line came crumbling down to -2.5 before the weekend in most sportsbooks due to the top two BYU wide receivers being inactive.&nbsp; We ended up getting out of there unscathed at our Wednesday line of -3.5.

&nbsp;

Week 3

5. Liberty AT #19 Wake Forest&nbsp;(OVER 63.5 -110) - 5 PM - ACC Network

Last Week: Liberty def. UAB 21-14/ Wake Forest def. Vanderbilt 45-25

All hail Sam Hartman.

Wake&#39;s Junior QB had a very difficult last couple months having a blood clot removed in early August and missing Week 1.&nbsp; He put on a show in his return last week, finishing with 300 yards and 4 TDs against Vanderbilt.&nbsp; The Demon Decans are dangerous offensively again this year and will put up big numbers in the ACC.&nbsp; Liberty is certainly not as strong after losing QB Malik Willis to the NFL but despite his past controversies, Hugh Freeze is a great college football coach.

Wake is averaging 44.5 points in the early going, Liberty comes in at 25 per game.&nbsp;&nbsp;I contemplated laying the 16.5 points, and I do lean that way, but Liberty is 3-1 ATS against the SEC with a couple outright wins.&nbsp; This game will mirror last week&#39;s Wake/Vandy matchup with a score around 45-24 and comfortably glide over the total.&nbsp;&nbsp;

&nbsp;

4. #11 Michigan St AT Washington (-3 -110) - 7:30 PM - ABC

Last Week: Michigan St def. Akron&nbsp;52-0/ Washington def. Portland St 52-6

I thought long and hard about the ins and outs of this matchup.&nbsp; It really comes down to&nbsp;two major factors.

First, Husky Stadium is such a difficult place to play especially for non-conference opponents.&nbsp; I do wish this was a 10 PM EST game because there is always that eerie fog hovering over the 70,000 rabid Huskie fans at night.&nbsp; Washington was bad last season and the year before they only played in 4 games due to Covid, so it&#39;s been tough for them to get their footing the past couple of years.&nbsp; New head coach Kalen DeBoer led Fresno St to a 9-3 record last season and has Washington off to a 2-0 start.&nbsp; Indiana transfer Michael Penix Jr has been lights out to start the season and has played in some big games against Michigan St which will help.

Secondly, I just don&#39;t think Michigan St is all that great.&nbsp; They&nbsp;were a team I had predicted as an underperformer before the season started, and this is the first spot they slip up.&nbsp; RB Jalen Berger has picked up right where Kenneth Walker left off and he will certainly be a test for the Huskie defense to bring down.&nbsp; The Spartans will immediately enter&nbsp;a brutal 5 game Big 10 stretch following this game and may be looking ahead as well.

The venue and the spot have me hot on the Washington Huskie trail Saturday evening.

&nbsp;

3. #13&nbsp;Miami (+5 -105) AT #24 Texas A&amp;M - 9 PM - ESPN

Last Week: Miami def. Southern Miss 30-7/Texas A&amp;M lost to Appalachian St 17-14

Every part of me going into this week wanted to avoid this game.&nbsp; But I just can&#39;t seem to get past Miami getting 5 points against A&amp;M after what I watched last week.&nbsp; I fully understand college football, more than most other leagues, is week to week.&nbsp; It is very possible A&amp;M was looking ahead at this top 25 matchup last week when they embarrassed themselves in their own building vs. App St.&nbsp; Once a top game of the college year has certainly lost some of its luster.&nbsp; It&#39;ll be extremely interesting to see how these Aggie players and coaches&nbsp;respond.

Hurricanes QB Tyler Van Dyke has been a completion machine (73.3%)&nbsp;so far in 2022 whereas Aggie Sophomore QB Haynes King has been average at best throwing for 3 TDs and 2 INTs through 2 games.&nbsp; Miami&#39;s rush offense has been stellar in the early going as well.&nbsp; Head coach Mario Cristobal has had success everywhere he&#39;s been, and I&#39;ve always been a fan of his offensive schemes.

Dare I say... the U is Back?!?&nbsp; We&#39;ll find out&nbsp;late Saturday night in College Station.

&nbsp;

2. Colorado AT Minnesota (-27.5 -110) - 3:30 PM - ESPN2

Last Week: Colorado lost to Air Force&nbsp;41-10/Minnesota def. Western Illinois&nbsp;St 62-10

I&#39;ve watched about 6 full quarters of Colorado football this season.&nbsp; That&#39;s about 6 quarters longer than anyone should.&nbsp; They are so awful.&nbsp;

I&#39;ll never get that time back!&nbsp;&nbsp;

Oh well, might as well make some money off their futility in the meantime.&nbsp; Minnesota looks very good, albeit against poor competition.&nbsp; Their running game has been unstoppable with 12 TDs on the ground already and their defense has only let up 5 points per game.&nbsp; The Golden Gophers were my preseason pick for the Big Ten West and a berth in the title game in Indianapolis.&nbsp; Wisconsin, Iowa, Purdue, and Northwestern all have an early loss and Nebraska is dead and buried.&nbsp;&nbsp;

There is no aspect of the game where Colorado has an advantage and being a true road game in Minneapolis, I see Minny&nbsp;blowing the doors off the Buffaloes by 5 TDs.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

1. Fresno St AT #7 USC (-12.5 -110)&nbsp;- 10:30 PM - FOX

Last Week: Fresno St lost to Oregon St&nbsp;35-32/USC def. Stanford&nbsp;41-28

I tried hard to calm down my adoration for this bet upon first glance.&nbsp; However, every time I considered changing my pick or leaving it off &quot;David&#39;s Top 5&quot; altogether, I felt immediate regret.

Here&#39;s the reality people.&nbsp; USC and its trojan horse, amazing color scheme, and maniacal fight song are BACK.&nbsp; Coach Lincoln Reilly and QB Caleb Williams hopped a flight out to southern Cal from the Sooner state to return USC to the map of college football greatness.&nbsp;

I snuck a couple bets onto them last Saturday&nbsp;night vs Stanford with trepidation and watched the money pile up.&nbsp; Fresno St is coming off a blown 4th quarter lead at home against a frisky Oregon St team.&nbsp; That had to be gutting and it will be extremely&nbsp;tough for the Bulldogs to head down the California border and play a USC team&nbsp;who can&#39;t stop, won&#39;t stop scoring points.

As long as this line stays under two TDs, I&#39;ll continue to forecast a big W for us.

&nbsp;

Good luck!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Twitter:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

&nbsp;

CFB Week 3 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome to my weekly NFL&nbsp;Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my Top 5&nbsp;(in order) game bets for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp; I will be sticking to game lines and Over/Unders during this series.&nbsp;&nbsp;

After&nbsp;waiting 207 LONG days for the NFL to return to our lives, I&nbsp;know how tempting it is to &quot;bet the board&quot;.&nbsp; However, I&#39;m going to keep my plays small (at least at first) and&nbsp;provide my absolute favorite game bets.&nbsp; The beginning of the season can come at you real fast if you start off poorly both for the NFL teams and what&rsquo;s really important here...&nbsp;US the Gamblers!&nbsp;&nbsp;

&nbsp;

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true MUST HAVE for any gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

We truly have so many amazing features from our <a href="https://betkarma.com/live-trends" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Live Betting Trends</a>&nbsp;to our&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/spf-predictor" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">SPF Predictor</a>&nbsp;to help you pad your bankroll.&nbsp; <a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Don&#39;t wait another minute</a>!

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

&nbsp;

Some of the keys for me early in the season is to attack&nbsp;inexperienced QBs, lean on superior Line&nbsp;play, and target a home underdog who is getting undervalued.&nbsp;

Our road to the best betting season ever starts... NOW!

&nbsp;

5. Indianapolis Colts AT Houston Texans (+7 -110) - 1 PM &ndash; CBS

There are three games this weekend that will showcase a home underdog of 7 points.&nbsp; The Jets (vs. Ravens), the Bears (vs. 49ers) and the Texans.&nbsp; I must pick one based purely on principle, especially in week 1.&nbsp; For me, that choice is easily Houston.&nbsp;

The Colts come into 2022 with QB Matt Ryan entering his 16th season but first with Indy.&nbsp; Houston was atrocious last season finishing 4-13 as they were completely encompassed by the black cloud hovering over the city, Deshaun Watson. &nbsp;The feeling in the Texans building must be incredible as they have cleansed themselves of the drama and can finally go back to trying to be a decent football team.

They&rsquo;ll come out and try and make a statement in their home opener vs a division rival they know very well. &nbsp;Which is another factor I hold in high regard.&nbsp; Divisional game with a massive home dog makes my ears perk up like a pup hearing the word &ldquo;treat&rdquo;.

They have a few exciting weapons (WR Brandin Cooks, WR Nico Collins, RB Dameon Pierce) and seem to have a ton of faith in 2nd year QB Davis Mills.&nbsp; This is going to be a much closer game than the oddsmakers think.&nbsp; Take the Texans.

&nbsp;

4. New York Giants AT Tennessee Titans (-5.5 -110) - 4:25&nbsp;PM &ndash; FOX

The Giants were so bad last year finishing with a paltry record of 4-13.&nbsp; The Titans were 12-5 and the AFC&rsquo;s #1 seed.&nbsp; Why is this line only 5.5 IN Nashville?&nbsp;

Many pundits like the Giants&rsquo; internal adjustments from the end of last year till now.&nbsp; New coach Brian Daboll could prove to be a great hire, they have beefed up an always horrible offensive line, and do have some skill players who will strike measured fear into opposing defenses.

But this bet is simple for me.&nbsp; Don&rsquo;t overthink something that appears obvious at first glance.&nbsp; The Titans are a veteran team who have experienced great in season success.&nbsp; Coach Mike Vrabel is a top 5-7 coach in the league.&nbsp; Derrick Henry is going to toss Giants defenders around.&nbsp; A still underrated Titans defense will force QB Daniel Jones into a plethora of mistakes.

The Titans will win by a touchdown or more.

&nbsp;

3. New Orleans Saints (-5.5 -110) AT Atlanta Falcons - 1 PM &ndash; FOX

Here&rsquo;s a game I&rsquo;d normally avoid.&nbsp; Divisional game with two teams who truly hate each other with the underdog being at home.&nbsp; However, if you&rsquo;ve read my win total articles, you know I think the <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1254/2022-nfl-futures-falcons-may-have-the-worst-roster-in-the-nfl" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Falcons may have the worst roster in the NFL.</a>

The Saints defense could be special this season with playmakers at all three levels.&nbsp; There isn&rsquo;t an aspect to this game where the Falcons have the advantage other than being at home and we know all they care about in Georgia is the UGA Bulldogs.&nbsp;

QB Jameis Winston was playing borderline lights out when he got hurt last season and this is a great opportunity for him to pick up where he left off.&nbsp; Pro bowlers Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas are back, healthy, and shockingly not suspended in Kamara&rsquo;s case.&nbsp;

Look for Atlanta journeyman QB Marcus Mariota to be under duress all game and make crucial mistakes as the Saints take care of their rivals comfortably.

&nbsp;

2. Green Bay Packers AT Minnesota Vikings (ML +100) - 4:25 PM &ndash; FOX

<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1269/2022-nfl-futures-vikings-are-done-with-mediocrity" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">We&#39;re all in on the Vikings</a> and <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1253/2022-nfl-futures-is-this-finally-the-year-rodgers-gets-old" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">all OUT on the Packers</a> in 2022.

There has been very little movement on this line opening at GB -1 and settling in at -1.5 at the time of this article.&nbsp; The Packers are undoubtedly going to get the public love based on their regular season dominance the last several years.&nbsp;

**<a href="https://betkarma.com/live-trends" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Check out our Live Trends Tool!</a>**

The Vikings have the look of a team nudging themselves over the hump.&nbsp; QB Kirk Cousins has been a yardage machine and finished last season with an incredibly impressive 33 TD to only 7 INTs.&nbsp; The running game is lethal behind superstar Dalvin Cook.&nbsp; WR Justin Jefferson is arguably a top 3 wide receiver in the world.&nbsp; Adam Thielen, Irv Smith, KJ Osborn, etc.&nbsp; This team is loaded with talent.&nbsp;

The Packers reign of terror on the NFC is coming to an end and it starts Sunday afternoon.&nbsp; Take the Vikings money line at even money now before the sharps come in!

&nbsp;

1. New England Patriots AT Miami Dolphins (-3.5 -110) - 1:10 PM - CBS

Here&rsquo;s a stat that almost made me spit my coffee out today.

The Patriots have lost 7 of their last 8 games in Miami since the beginning of the 2013 season.&nbsp; Five of those losses with the greatest QB of all time at the helm!&nbsp; They&rsquo;re 0-2 since Brady departed.&nbsp; My point is, Hard Rock Stadium is a house of horrors for New England whether they&rsquo;re a top team in the league or in a borderline rebuild.

The Dolphins are looking playoffs after an off-season where they brought in innovative head coach Mike McDaniel, RB Chase Edmonds, RB Raheem Mostert, OT Terron Armstead, and WR Cedric Wilson Jr.&nbsp; But the ultimate coup was trading for three-time All Pro WR Tyreek Hill.&nbsp; There are absolutely zero excuses for the young QB Tua Tagovailoa with the weapons they have surrounded him with.

If the Dolphins want to put their stamp on a team that will challenge the Bills for the division and ultimately play in the post season, this is a game the Phins can&rsquo;t afford to lose.&nbsp;

The 3.5-point line is scary for some.&nbsp; The oddsmakers are begging us to take the Patriots at that number.&nbsp; Don&rsquo;t fall for it.&nbsp; Dolphins over Pats in Miami is as tradition as turkey on Thanksgiving.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Written by David&nbsp;Costabile

Twitter:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

&nbsp;

 Welcome to my weekly NFL&nbsp;Game Bets series!Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my Top 5&nbsp;(in order) game bets for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp; I will be sticking to game lines and Over/Unders during this series.&nbsp;&nbsp;After&nbsp;waiting 2

NFL Week 1 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome to my weekly College Football Game Bets series!

Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my Top 5 (in order) game bets for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp; I will be sticking to game lines and Over/Unders during this series.&nbsp;&nbsp;

I like to watch and stay away from&nbsp;Week 0 and 1 of College Football in order to grasp the country as best I can.&nbsp; It&#39;s worked for me in the past and now it&#39;ll hopefully help all our readers!

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

We start in Gainesville, FL.

5. #20&nbsp;Kentucky (+6 -110) AT #12 Florida - 7 PM - ESPN

Last Week: Kentucky def. Miami (OH) 37-13 / Florida def. Utah 29-26

Kentucky looked sluggish most of last week while Florida upset a potential Playoff team in Utah at home.&nbsp; So why do I like the Wildcats?&nbsp; It can be broken down a number of ways, but the overlaying thought process is its simply too many points to give up for Florida.&nbsp;&nbsp;

They have split the last four matchups in this rivalry and Florida is coming off an extremely taxing and emotional upset last week.&nbsp; I&#39;m a big believer in average teams coming down to Earth after huge wins.&nbsp; There is no doubt Florida had a great win last week but a jump from unranked to #12 is a bit outrageous and I don&#39;t see them as a top 20 team by season&#39;s end.

Utah players were&nbsp;seen throughout the game last week struggling mightily with the Florida humidity as a thin air team.&nbsp; Kentucky won&#39;t have that issue.&nbsp;

The Wildcats will likely be missing their starting running back Chris Rodriguez due to suspension (even though that decision has not been made at the time of this article) and will be relying heavily on Senior QB Will Levis to keep the offense on the field.&nbsp;

Florida may squeak out the victory Saturday but I&#39;m betting&nbsp;they won&#39;t cover the 6 points.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

4.&nbsp;#25&nbsp;Houston (+3 -115)&nbsp;AT Texas Tech - 4 PM - Fox Sports 1

Last Week: Houston def. UTSA&nbsp;37-35&nbsp;/ Texas Tech def. Murray St 63-10

People slept on UTSA last week and it cost them.&nbsp; They&#39;re going to win a ton of football games this year.&nbsp; Possibly looking ahead to Tech and down 21-7 on the road, Houston showed impressive resiliency to come back and secure the 2-point victory in a three overtime thriller.&nbsp; Texas Tech buried Murray St at home like they should.

I think the oddsmakers are expecting people to jump all over the Red Raiders at the -3 number and I see right through that.&nbsp; Tech&rsquo;s starting QB Tyler Shough is out for at least the&nbsp;next couple weeks and although backup Donovan Smith lit it up in his stead, Houston isn&#39;t Murray State.&nbsp;&nbsp;

The Cougars haven&#39;t won in Lubbock since 1990 and there is no greater moment than now.&nbsp; I may sprinkle a little on the money line but absolutely love getting the 3 points.

&nbsp;

3. #9 Baylor AT&nbsp;#21&nbsp;BYU (-3.5 +100)&nbsp;- 10:15 PM - ESPN

Last Week: Baylor def. Albany 69-10 / Texas Tech def. S. Florida 50-21

Here&#39;s another one I feel Vegas is begging us to take the more nationally covered Baylor Bears in a road spot getting 3.5 points.&nbsp; The almighty half point, or &quot;hook&quot; as they call it, is certainly enticing but I&#39;m going the other way.&nbsp; BYU smacked South Florida around&nbsp;in their building&nbsp;after waiting out an almost 3-hour weather delay.&nbsp; The Cougars&nbsp;scored the first 38 points of the contest&nbsp;and didn&#39;t look back.&nbsp; Baylor buried an overmatched Albany team at home.

The reigning Big 12 champions defeated&nbsp;BYU 38-24 in Waco, TX last season.&nbsp; This game will complete their home-in-home series before the Cougars make the jump to the conference in July 2023.&nbsp; BYU has certainly circled this game all off-season and will be fired up at home late Saturday night.&nbsp;&nbsp;This is also an enormous opportunity for them to impress national voters.

BYU likes to pound the running game with as many as five ball carriers,&nbsp;but QB Jaren Hall is very efficient and loves to spread the ball around to various weapons.&nbsp; I think BYU will come out on fire and hold off a late charge by an athletic Baylor team covering the 3.5-point spread.

UPDATE: Before I published this article, I looked at the odds one last time and the line had moved on Draftkings to BYU -3 (-110).&nbsp; Love it even more.

&nbsp;

2. Appalachian St AT #6&nbsp;Texas A&amp;M (-18.5 -110)&nbsp;- 3:30 PM - ESPN2

Last Week: Appalachian St lost to N. Carolina 63-61/ Texas A&amp;M def. Sam Houston&nbsp;31-0

My goodness did you people watch that App St/UNC game last week?&nbsp; The over hit just minutes into the 3rd quarter!&nbsp; It was like the teams were playing a video game on rookie mode offensively.&nbsp; UNC games do tend to get like that.&nbsp; Unfortunately for the Mountaineers, the big bad Texas A&amp;M Aggies are on the schedule this week.

18.5 points is admittedly, a lot of points, and the line has jumped from -17 at open.&nbsp; However, this could be 22+ and I&#39;d still hop on A&amp;M.&nbsp; I think the Aggies are real Playoff contenders this year and after the heartbreak App St endured last week, this game could get ugly in College Station.

&nbsp;

1. #1 Alabama AT&nbsp;Texas (OVER 65.5 -110) - NOON - FOX

Last Week: Alabama def. Utah St 55-0/ Texas&nbsp;def. UL Monroe&nbsp;52-10

I love everything about this game.

The school&#39;s prestige both real (Bama) and perceived (Texas).&nbsp; The colors.&nbsp; The uniforms.&nbsp; The 100,000 that will be in attendance in Austin.&nbsp;&nbsp;

I really tussled with if I like Bama -20 or the over more but I went with the points.&nbsp; I expect the scoreboard to get lit up like fireworks on the 4th of July Saturday afternoon.&nbsp; Texas Freshman QB Quinn Ewers (and his phenomenal mullet) will look to improve on what was an uneven performance against ULM and ride the home fans to a few scores.&nbsp; Alabama QB and Heisman frontrunner Bryce Young will undoubtedly put many highlights onto SportsCenter as well.

Texas may make some plays early as coach Steve Sarkisian knows his former employer very well and should have some breakout plays up his sleeve.&nbsp; Bama is not going to stop coming all season.&nbsp; I wouldn&#39;t be shocked if this game is in that 55-21 neighborhood and may even play an alternate over line over 70.

Order some wings, take the over, and watch the points bonanza ensue.

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Twitter: <a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

&nbsp;

 Welcome to my weekly College Football Game Bets series!Each week I&#39;ll be bringing you my Top 5 (in order) game bets for the upcoming weekend.&nbsp; I will be sticking to game lines and Over/Unders during this series.&nbsp;&nbsp;I like to watch a

CFB Week 2 - Top 5 Game Bets

Open your sportsbook apps and settle in as we continue with our amazing futures content here on Bet Karma!&nbsp;&nbsp;

Today we&rsquo;ll be looking at my favorite Quarterback&nbsp;season long props for 2022.&nbsp; I love all ten of these bets, but I&rsquo;ve ranked them from least to most confident for your viewing pleasure.

&nbsp;

<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1277/2022-nfl-futures-my-top-10-wr-season-props" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Check out my WR Season Long Props here!</a>

<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1284/2022-nfl-futures-my-top-7-rb-season-props" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Check out my RB Season Long Props here!</a>

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

10. Trey Lance (49ers) OVER 500.5 rushing yards (-150 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

We start off in San Francisco with exciting first year starter Trey Lance and his legs.&nbsp; I just don&rsquo;t see how in the world he falls under this rushing total number.&nbsp; I think the oddsmakers are going to move it up 25-50 yards before the season starts but I would like it there as well.&nbsp;

His game, the small sample size in college and the NFL, has been predicated on the danger he possesses on the ground.&nbsp; He has the speed to turn the corner and the build to get physical with linebackers if need be.&nbsp; The 49ers have one of my absolute favorites and one of the league&rsquo;s most creative offensive coaches in Kyle Shanahan who I&rsquo;m positive&nbsp;will maximize his strengths in the RPO sets.&nbsp; Look for Lance to have Lamar Jackson like 100-yard rushing games and cruise over this number by early December.&nbsp;&nbsp;

9./8. Jalen Hurts (Eagles) OVER 22.5 passing TDs (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook) and UNDER 725.5 rushing yards (-130)

These two props go hand in hand when it comes to Jalen Hurts in 2022.&nbsp; He was sensational on the ground last season, his first as a full-time starter in Philly.&nbsp; Hurts carried the ball 139 times to the tune of 784 rushing yards.&nbsp;

This was out of necessity.&nbsp; The Eagles started off terribly and were able to right the ship when they remembered they have the best offensive line and running game in football.&nbsp;

The team has had a tremendous offseason shaping their offense in a more complete way.&nbsp; The addition of AJ Brown, the growth of DeVonta Smith, and the &lsquo;prime to break out&rsquo; Dallas Goedert provides Hurts with weapons he hasn&rsquo;t had before.&nbsp; I believe Coach Nick Sirianni will run a much more balanced attack this season which should see Hurts&rsquo; passing TDs grow while his rushing numbers take a small dip.&nbsp;

7. Carson Wentz (Commanders) OVER 23.5 passing TDs (-105 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

As always, Wentz and Hurts are mentioned in subsequent breaths.&nbsp;

I have been through the gambit like most football fans with Carson Wentz.&nbsp; One game he appears elite, possessing&nbsp;arm skill not seen by many in the league.&nbsp; The next, he&rsquo;s flailing in the pocket turning the ball over in crucial game situations.&nbsp; One thing is for sure, he is certainly not boring.&nbsp;

He knows this is his last chance to be an entrenched starter in the NFL after stays in Philadelphia and Indianapolis came to abrupt ends.&nbsp; I believe he is going to answer the call this season and top his passing TDs number of 23.5.&nbsp; People seem to forget that he threw for 27 TDs last year with efficient numbers because the Colts blew their playoff spot late in the year.

The Commanders have some really nice weapons in Terry McLaurin, rookie Jahan Dotson, returning tight end staple Logan Thomas, and one of the better pass catching backs in Antonio Gibson.&nbsp; I think its safe to assume Carson can find a nice chunk of TDs with this group.

6. Jared Goff (Lions) OVER 3,700.5 passing yards (+105 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

When scaling the props for this article, I scrolled past Jared Goff twice before I really sat down and thought about it.&nbsp; In every season with the Rams, he posted over 3,800 yards.&nbsp; I get it, he isn&rsquo;t in LA anymore with one of the best offensive minds ever Sean McVay.&nbsp; However, there is a special feel about the Lions entering this season.

<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1277/2022-nfl-futures-my-top-10-wr-season-props">I&rsquo;ve already discussed how much I love Amon-Ra St. Brown</a> as a their #1 WR.&nbsp; They also added DJ Chark from Jacksonville, drafted Alabama star Jameson Williams (who will start the season on the PUP list), have a perennial top 7 receiving tight end in TJ Hockenson, and&nbsp;a healthy D&rsquo;Andre Swift who has shown how dangerous he can be in the passing game.&nbsp;

I believe there is just too many ways Goff can claw his way back towards his Rams&rsquo; numbers in his second season as a Lion.

5. Mac Jones (Patriots) UNDER 3,950.5 passing yards (-110 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

I like Mac Jones.&nbsp; I think he could easily end up as one of the more efficient QBs in the league in terms of accuracy.&nbsp; Jones played all 17 games last season and finished with just over 3,800 yards.&nbsp; So, in theory, he should improve in year two. &nbsp;I just don&rsquo;t know what to make of the Patriots offensively entering 2022.

They have been their typical cryptic selves in terms of who is going to call the plays now that longtime coordinator Josh McDaniels is in Las Vegas.&nbsp; It sounds like it will be a mix of Joe Judge, Matt Patricia and of course Bill Belichick.&nbsp; This is borderline unheard of in the NFL where there is normally one coach who does the play calling.&nbsp;

Personnel wise, they did improve on paper with the addition of DaVante Parker on the outside.&nbsp; However, all time scat back and receiving threat James White retired.&nbsp; I just don&rsquo;t see the Patriots striking much fear into opposing defensive backfields with Parker, Jakobi Meyers and Kendrick Bourne.&nbsp; I also am high on the Damien Harris/Rhamondre Stevenson running tandem and feel they may lean on the run game more than airing it out with Jones.&nbsp;

Only 10 QBs threw for 4,000 yards last year and even with a 17-game season, it remains a healthy amount to climb above.&nbsp; I think there is too many question marks in New England to think Jones will eclipse this prop number.&nbsp;

4. Kyler Murray (Cardinals) UNDER 4,050.5 passing yards (-110 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Kyler Murray was dominant over the first half of last season.&nbsp; The Cardinals started 7-0 and 10-2 before limping towards the finish and a first-round exit.&nbsp; During that start, Murray was the odds-on favorite to win the MVP.&nbsp; Unfortunately for him, after playing every game in his first two seasons, Murray got dinged up and missed all of November.

In terms of passing yardage, he was on pace for 4,598.5 yards.&nbsp; So why am I taking the under?&nbsp;

I think the Cardinals, head coach Kliff Kingsbury, and Murray were &ldquo;figured out&rdquo; at the end of last year.&nbsp; Murray only eclipsed 300+ yards once after September and the Cards struggled to move the ball through&nbsp;the air consistently.&nbsp; RB James Conner was fantastic in the pass game last year, but I believe he takes a step back this season.&nbsp; All Pro WR Deandre Hopkins is suspended for the first six games of the year.&nbsp; Murray&rsquo;s former college roommate Marquise Brown has been added and will be a welcome target, but I do believe he will struggle as the #1 until Hopkins returns.

I think the only way to look at season long props is to assume every player you&rsquo;re on will play a full season but that doesn&rsquo;t mean its not floating in the back of mind that Kyler may miss a game or two.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m on the under.

3. Derek Carr (Raiders) OVER 29.5 passing TDs (-120 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

I absolutely LOVE the final three bets here.&nbsp;

What&rsquo;s always shocked me with Derek Carr is that he&rsquo;s seen his yardage jump each of the last four seasons, but the TD numbers remain low.&nbsp; Why is that?&nbsp;

Other than Darren Waller, who have the Raiders had in terms of redzone threats?&nbsp; As is well documented, the Raiders organization has been obsessed with speed since they created the logo.&nbsp; Sure, Quarterbacks are going to hit on big TD&rsquo;s but to win props like over 29.5 we need some easy red zone conversions.&nbsp;

In comes one of the best WRs in the league and Carr&rsquo;s old buddy from Fresno St., Davante Adams (73 career TDs).&nbsp; I truly believe this is the biggest addition to any offense this off-season.&nbsp; I think Carr will fly past his previous career high of 32 passing TDs and sneak up towards 40 in what will be an all fireworks, all the time division.

2. Russell Wilson (Broncos) OVER 31.5 passing TDs (-110 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Russell Wilson&rsquo;s first year in Denver is one of the most intriguing storylines for me in the NFL.&nbsp; As strange as it will be to not see that angry looking hawk on his helmet, I think there may be no better fit for Russ.&nbsp;

The Broncos have a great rushing attack with Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon.&nbsp; Unfortunately, steady slot WR Tim Patrick was lost for the season in camp but they still have exciting young wide outs Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, and KJ Hamler on the roster.&nbsp; A QB of Wilson&rsquo;s caliber was the major missing ingredient and he is as motivated as ever to prove he&rsquo;s still one of the league&rsquo;s best signal callers.&nbsp;

Before last season&rsquo;s paltry 25 TDs over 14 games in Seattle, Wilson had four seasons in a row over 30.&nbsp; Also of note, he peaked just 2 short years ago in 2020 with a career high 40 TDs through the air.&nbsp; He is certainly still a weapon with his legs, but Russ has hung in the pocket more and more over recent years.&nbsp; His 100+ rush attempts seasons appear to be gone for good.&nbsp;

I think his passing numbers could be enormous in 2022.&nbsp; I also have a bet on him to win MVP so I&rsquo;m all in on DangeRUSS (man that&#39;s a&nbsp;bad nickname&hellip;)

1. Kirk Cousins (Vikings) OVER 4,200.5 passing yards (-110 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Kirk Cousins over yardage at #1!?&nbsp; If you would have told me when I started this season long prop series that I wouldn&rsquo;t be able to shake Kirk from my brain, I&rsquo;d have said you&rsquo;re crazy.

But I must admit, &ldquo;I LIKE THAT!&rdquo;

Cousins is quietly one of the most quantitative QBs in football each year.&nbsp; In his six full NFL seasons, the WORST yardage total he&rsquo;s posted was 4,093 in his final year in Washington.&nbsp; Now, entering year five in Minnesota, he has the best offensive firepower of his career.&nbsp;

Justin Jefferson is one of the very best wide receivers in the league in each category.&nbsp; Yardage wise, he was only behind Offensive Player of the Year Cooper Kupp totaling over 1,600 yards.&nbsp; He is capable of taking any play in space to the end zone which will only help our Cousins over.&nbsp; On the other side is dependable veteran Adam Thielen and in the slot is the exciting former Miami Hurricane KJ Osborn.&nbsp; Receiving centric tight end Irv Smith Jr. will finally be returning in 2022 and running backs Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison both can put up big receiving numbers as well.

<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1269/2022-nfl-futures-vikings-are-done-with-mediocrity" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Clearly, I&rsquo;m ALL IN on the Vikings this year</a>&nbsp;and a major reason why is the man behind center.&nbsp; Take Kirk Cousins in fantasy, take his over in yardage and watch the Vikings rip the division from Green Bay.

&nbsp;

Good luck everyone!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Twitter: <a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

 Open your sportsbook apps and settle in as we continue with our amazing futures content here on Bet Karma!&nbsp;&nbsp;Today we&rsquo;ll be looking at my favorite Quarterback&nbsp;season long props for 2022.&nbsp; I love all ten of these bets, but I&

2022 NFL Futures - My Top 10 QB Season Props

Open your sportsbook apps and settle in as we continue with our amazing futures content here on Bet Karma!&nbsp;&nbsp;

Today we&rsquo;ll be looking at my favorite Running Backs&nbsp;season long props for 2022.&nbsp; I love all seven of these bets, but I&rsquo;ve ranked them from least to most confident for your viewing pleasure.

&nbsp;

<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1277/2022-nfl-futures-my-top-10-wr-season-props" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Check out my WR Season Long Props here!</a>

<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1282/2022-nfl-futures-rb-totals">Also, my colleague Ryan Broyles has his favorite RB props which can be found here: </a>

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

7. Cam Akers (Rams) OVER 895.5 rushing yards (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Akers is a guy I like more than most.&nbsp; He showed incredible toughness to return for last year&rsquo;s Super Bowl run after a torn Achilles in July.&nbsp; He performed well and I expect him to hit the ground running both literally and figuratively this season.&nbsp; During his rookie year in 2020 he totaled a decent 625 yards on the ground while in a complete share of the backfield with Darrell Henderson and Malcolm Brown.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s clear he&rsquo;s the best running back on a loaded roster. &nbsp;I believe his talent will shine with a regular workload of 250 carries or more and he will be a 1,000-yard rusher in 2022.

6. Josh Jacobs (Raiders) UNDER 7.5 rushing TDs (-130 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

I&rsquo;ve been anti Josh Jacobs for a couple of years now and I think he struggles mightily this season.&nbsp; His yardage prop is right on the money at 750.5 and for a multi time 1,000-yard rusher I&rsquo;m not willing to bet that under.&nbsp; But 7.5 rushing TDs is something I don&rsquo;t think he sniffs.&nbsp; With red zone machine Davante Adams now wearing black and silver along with a healthy Darren Waller, I believe the Raiders are going to be throwing much more in goal to go situations.&nbsp; Hunter Renfrow has proved he is a short yardage master as well which will hurt Jacobs.

The Raiders just cut veteran Kenyan Drake while I was writing this but keep in mind, they drafted Georgia running back Zamir White in the 4th round and through the preseason its clear they love what he brings.&nbsp; Jacobs always seems to be dinged up, has never played a full season, and struggles against stacked boxes as it is.&nbsp; Love this under.

5. Ezekiel Elliott (Cowboys) UNDER 875.5 rushing yards (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

There is nobody in the league I&rsquo;m more down on than Zeke Elliott.&nbsp; No, it&rsquo;s not because I&rsquo;m a noted Cowboys hater, its because I have eyeballs.&nbsp; Over the past few seasons, he has shown true regression in all facets of his game.&nbsp; He once was a power back who had finesse, a nose for the end zone and receiving ability.&nbsp; Now, at age 27, he is on the downslope of his career seeing almost a full yard per carry decline since his amazing rookie season in 2016.&nbsp; Nobody subs himself off the field more than Zeke and you don&rsquo;t want to be on this over late in the season as he slowly jogs off because he can&rsquo;t catch his breath.

Another reason I am on this under is because I love Tony Pollard.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll get into that more in my next prop, but he clearly is becoming a better all around back before our very eyes.&nbsp; The Cowboys will always be a passing oriented offense as long as Dak Prescott is behind center so don&rsquo;t expect many 100-yard performances by Zeke, if any.

4. Tony Pollard (Cowboys) OVER 3.5 rushing TDs (-130 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Like I mentioned above, I believe Pollard is establishing himself as the best running back on the Cowboys roster.&nbsp; Predominantly only a 3rd down back entering the league, he has seen his carries jump by 25+ each of his three seasons.&nbsp; His yards per carry were a whopping 5.5 last season and the Cowboys absolutely have to get him on the field as much as possible.&nbsp; Last season you could tell they were giving Pollard full &ldquo;Series&rdquo; instead of just &ldquo;Plays&rdquo; here and there.&nbsp; He also has breakout potential on any given carry.&nbsp; I think he sores over the 3.5 rushing TDs prop easily and finishes with 7 or 8.

3. Devin Singletary (Bills) UNDER 5.5 rushing TDs (-130 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

My colleague Ryan Broyles likes Singletary and his rushing yards over and I could definitely see him topping that 750 number.&nbsp; What I can&rsquo;t see is him reaching 6 rushing touchdowns.&nbsp; There are many factors here starting with competition.&nbsp; Josh Allen is the best running QB in the league and is an absolute monster in the red zone.&nbsp; He&rsquo;ll be good for 6-8 TDs himself on the ground.&nbsp; Then comes rookie James Cook and beleaguered Zack&nbsp;Moss who are breathing down Singletary&rsquo;s neck for playing time.&nbsp; Cook is the most talented in my opinion and could overtake 1st down snaps by Week 7.&nbsp; Moss has a bit more power and could sneak some goal line carries if he&#39;s active.&nbsp; They also have veteran Duke Johnson which I completely forgot about until today.

My point is, the Bills are LOADED with talent and will undoubtedly spread the scoring around.&nbsp; Before scoring 7 rushing TDs last season, Singletary&#39;s previous high was two. &nbsp;I feel he will revert back to the median and fall comfortably short of this TD prop.

2. D&rsquo;Andre Swift (Lions) OVER 6.5 rushing TDs (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Watch one second of Duce Staley gushing over D&rsquo;Andre Swift in Hard Knocks and you know this kid is about to explode.&nbsp; Entering the always crucial 3rd year, Swift is positioned to breakout on an improving Lions offense.&nbsp; Not many in the league are better in open field than Swift and with 13 rushing TDs in his first two seasons, I don&rsquo;t see any way he&rsquo;s held under 9 this year.&nbsp; The only reason this prop isn&rsquo;t #1 on my list is because he will certainly score TDs while on the receiving end which won&rsquo;t convey on this bet.&nbsp; However, I believe with his elusiveness inside the tackles he will only improve in the red zone and break some long scores as well.

1. Joe Mixon (Bengals) OVER 1,050 rushing yds (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

I&rsquo;ve been captaining the Mixon train for years now and finally the Bengals are good enough where everyone knows what he&rsquo;s capable of.&nbsp; Not only did Cincy ride an incredible wave to the Super Bowl last season, Mixon also tallied up career highs in rush attempts, yardage, and touchdowns.&nbsp; Joe Burrow, Ja&rsquo;Marr Chase and Tee Higgins get a lot of the national love but Mixon is in many ways the heartbeat of their electric offense.&nbsp; He has totaled over 1,130 yards in 3 of his 4 full seasons and in those early years, the Bengals STUNK.&nbsp; Now with room to operate I truly believe he could lead the league in rushing and fly past this paltry 1,050 number the oddsmakers have levied on him.

&nbsp;

Good luck everyone and tune in next time when we go over my favorite Quarterback props for 2022!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Twitter: <a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

&nbsp;

 Open your sportsbook apps and settle in as we continue with our amazing futures content here on Bet Karma!&nbsp;&nbsp;Today we&rsquo;ll be looking at my favorite Running Backs&nbsp;season long props for 2022.&nbsp; I love all seven of these bets, bu

2022 NFL Futures - My Top 7 RB Season Props

Open your sportsbook apps and settle in as we continue with our amazing futures content here on Bet Karma. &nbsp;Today we&rsquo;ll be looking at my favorite Wide Receiver&nbsp;season long props for 2022.&nbsp; I love every single one of these 10+ bets and have already taken them, but I&rsquo;ve ranked the props from least to most confident for your viewing pleasure.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

&nbsp;

10. Michael Thomas (Saints) UNDER 5.5 TDs (-110 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

This is very simple, how in the world can you trust Michael Thomas this year? &nbsp;I get wanting to take him in fantasy leagues as your WR3 but to count on him scoring 6 TDs on an offense that no one truly knows what to expect is lunacy.&nbsp; After missing half of 2020 and all of 2021, Thomas absolutely could bounce back in 2022.&nbsp; In fact, I&rsquo;m sure I&rsquo;ll take a flier bet on him for Comeback Player of the Year.&nbsp;

However, keep in mind, his career high in TDs with the great Drew Brees was 9 and in the 7 games he played in 2020 he scored&hellip;zippo.&nbsp; Jameis is a picture of unpredictability and is likely to air out most of his scores than zip one in the red zone.&nbsp; Even at Thomas&rsquo; best, he was always more of a yardage and receptions monster that struggled to score.&nbsp;

9. Cooper Kupp (Rams) OVER 1300.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

This seems obvious after Kupp ran roughshod over the league in 2021 with 1,947 yds en route to Offensive Player of the Year honors.&nbsp; I don&rsquo;t think there is any way that number is duplicated&nbsp;this season, but you only need 1,301 to cash the ticket.&nbsp; You&rsquo;re telling me you win money if he drops off over 600 yds?&nbsp; I&rsquo;ll take that and not look back.&nbsp; The only reason it&rsquo;s not higher on this list is because any injury and you&rsquo;re likely dead.&nbsp; At least with some of the lower totals your guy can miss one or two games and you remain alive.&nbsp;

If you want to wait on this prop until we know more about Stafford&rsquo;s elbow I understand that.

8. Elijah Moore (Jets) OVER 800.5 Receiving Yards AND OVER 64.5 Receptions (Both -115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Every year there are guys who you can&rsquo;t get out of your brain.&nbsp; Last year, it was Cooper Kupp and I took all those winnings to the bank!&nbsp; This year it&rsquo;s Elijah Moore.&nbsp; Yes, the Zach Wilson injury complicates things but does it really?&nbsp; Whomever is at QB, Moore should pose a threat to defenses in both the screens, short routes and in space.&nbsp; The Jets aren&rsquo;t going to be good yet again and they did draft Garrett Wilson in the first round, but Moore passes the eye test for me.&nbsp;

I think he should see a mirror of what Jaylen Waddle did last year in Miami and catch a ton of balls.&nbsp; Last year he had 43 receptions in 11 games played.&nbsp; That number puts him on pace for 70.82 receptions on a full season.&nbsp; I say he gets 80+ and you&rsquo;re counting your money by mid December.&nbsp; I LOVE the receptions prop slightly more than the yards prop if you have to pick one but I took both.

7. Terry McLaurin (Commanders) OVER 1000.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Here&rsquo;s another guy I love for 2022.&nbsp; McLaurin can and should be a top 15 WR this year.&nbsp; He has shown&nbsp;a great mix of elite route running and speed while totaling over 1,000 yds in each of the last two seasons.&nbsp; Here were the QBs he was on&nbsp;the receiving end with:

- Taylor Heinicke (15 games)

- Alex Smith and Dwayne Haskins (6 games)

- Kyle Allen (4 games)

- Ryan Fitzpatrick and Garrett Gilbert (1 game)

Not exactly a murderer&rsquo;s row of elite talent.

Carson Wentz has his flaws, but the guy still threw for 3,500 yds last year in Indy and I expect him to feed his #1 WR early and often this season.&nbsp; I love McLaurin in fantasy this year and may be betting his over in TDs as well.

6. Courtland Sutton (Broncos)&nbsp;OVER 62.5 Receptions (-115) AND OVER 5.5 TDs (-120 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Here&rsquo;s another twofer for you!&nbsp; After tearing his ACL in 2020, Sutton returned last season and played in every game.&nbsp; His numbers...&nbsp;well they weren&rsquo;t exactly eye popping.&nbsp;

58 rec, 776 yds, 2 TDs

Those stats certainly aren&rsquo;t going to make you rush to hit submit in your sportsbooks.&nbsp; But hear me out. &nbsp;Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater ain&rsquo;t it.&nbsp; In fact, in terms of production the Broncos were a chore to watch. &nbsp;Enter future Hall of Famer Russell Wilson and all a sudden the juices start flowing.&nbsp; The addition of Wilson as well as it being Sutton&rsquo;s 2nd year off the injury makes me a big believer in the former SMU wideout.&nbsp;

I also love the Broncos this year and have them firmly in the playoffs.&nbsp; Sutton is going to be a big reason why they win games.&nbsp;

5. DJ Moore (Panthers) OVER 4.5 TDs (-140 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Is there any receiver more overlooked than DJ Moore.&nbsp; He is always a guy I don&rsquo;t have in my lineup but is killing me on Sundays.&nbsp; Not this year.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m all in on DJ Moore in 2022.

I almost spit out my drink when I saw 4.5 TDs on Draftkings but I get why.&nbsp; He has only scored 4 TDs in each of the last 3 seasons. &nbsp;I feel he has fallen victim to questionable quarterback play and lack of red zone opportunities.&nbsp; With Baker Mayfield at the helm, I think he&rsquo;ll lean heavily on the WR who had 163 targets last season and pepper him in all situations.&nbsp; I also think the Panthers could be sneaky in a weak division.&nbsp; Moore is going to have to be the leader not just in receptions but also dancing in the end zone for them to make noise.

4. Michael Pittman Jr (Colts) OVER 6.5 TDs (-120 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Pittman is entering his 3rd season and has become the Colts true #1 Wide Receiver.&nbsp; He saw his numbers double from year 1 to year 2 and the sky is truly the limit.&nbsp; The Colts have the best running back/offensive line combo in the league but that shouldn&rsquo;t deter you from the Pittman props.&nbsp; Matt Ryan is now taking the snaps and he has always had an elite play-action game.&nbsp; I see Pittman thriving in those spots and making another huge jump in 2022 establishing himself as a top 15 wide receiver in the league.

3. Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions) OVER 850.5 Receiving Yards (-115) AND OVER 78.5 Receptions (-120 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

For all of you Hard Knocks viewers, this is not because he and his Dad were so awesome in episode 2&hellip; Ok it has a LITTLE to do with that.&nbsp; Any guy who can sit there and list each WR that was picked ahead of him and what school they went to without blinking is a guy I want to get behind.&nbsp;

St. Brown had an incredible rookie season from the clouds last year totaling 90 rec/912 yds/5 TDs.&nbsp; He is a relentless worker, crisp route runner and has assumed the role of top wide receiver on a very interesting Lions team in 2022.&nbsp; I LOVE these props but if I had to pick one over the other it would be the receptions.&nbsp; I think the Lions show a balance attack this year and could see Jared Goff targeting St. Brown over 140 times (up from 119 last year).&nbsp;

2. Dallas Goedert (Eagles) OVER 4.5 TDS (-130 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

The Eagles are going to be very good this year and Goedert finally has the keys to the middle of the field by his lonesome.&nbsp; Playing next to Zach Ertz for his first 3.5 seasons only made him a better overall player but in 2022 I believe Goedert is going to catapult himself into the upper echelon of receiving tight ends.&nbsp;

QB Jalen Hurts only had 16 passing TDs in 2021 mainly because the Eagles were an elite rushing offense.&nbsp; I believe this year will be more balanced and with AJ Brown and Devonta Smith taking safety help over top, Goedert will EAT underneath and in the seam.&nbsp; Goedert has an opportunity to be a red zone crutch for Hurts this year and I could see him doubling this TD amount.&nbsp;

1. Ceedee Lamb (Cowboys) OVER 1,175 Receiving Yards (-120) AND OVER 7.5 TDs (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

There is no franchise in sports I hate more than the Dallas Cowboys.&nbsp; But I wasn&rsquo;t hired to tell you I root for; I was hired to provide winners.&nbsp; Ceedee Lamb is going to wreak havoc over the NFL this season.&nbsp;

Gone are Amari Cooper and Cedric Wilson and their 113 rec/1,467 yds/14 TDs.&nbsp; In comes rookie Jalen Tolbert and Michael Gallup who is coming off an ACL tear in Week 17 last year.&nbsp; Veteran James Washington was signed in the offseason but was already lost for the season.&nbsp; QB Dak Prescott is always near the top of the league in yardage and the Cowboys aren&rsquo;t going to change who they are.&nbsp; The beneficiary will be Lamb.&nbsp; I&rsquo;d be shocked if he doesn&rsquo;t cruise past both of these props.

&nbsp;

Good luck everyone and tune in next time when we go over my favorite Running Back props for 2022!

&nbsp;

Written by David Costabile

Twitter: <a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 Open your sportsbook apps and settle in as we continue with our amazing futures content here on Bet Karma. &nbsp;Today we&rsquo;ll be looking at my favorite Wide Receiver&nbsp;season long props for 2022.&nbsp; I love every single one of these 10+ be

2022 NFL Futures - My Top 10 WR Season Props

Welcome back to the final edition of NFL Win Totals with&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">Dave Costabile</a>.&nbsp; Next time you see me, we&rsquo;ll be looking closely at my favorite player props for this upcoming season.

Kick back and read how I think the Vikings will sail over their win total in 2022.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

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&nbsp;

Minnesota Vikings OVER 9&nbsp;wins (-125 DraftKings Sportsbook)

The Vikings are a win total I&rsquo;ve been closely examining for weeks now.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve seen it open in some places at 8.5, going up to 9.5 and finally settling in at 9.&nbsp; I LOVE this win total over <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1262/2022-nfl-futures-nfc-north-win-totals" style="color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">as does my colleague Ryan Broyles</a>.

&nbsp;

2021 Recap

Minnesota finished at 8-9 last year.&nbsp; I know...&nbsp;it feels like they always do.&nbsp;

They are one of the most &ldquo;blah&rdquo; teams in the league each year and I think there&rsquo;s a big, mean mugging reason why.

Coach Mike Zimmer.

Can you imagine Mike Zimmer as a&nbsp;prospective father-in-law?&nbsp; No thanks.&nbsp; That would be a relationship ender for me.

Zimmer was fired after 8 years with the Vikings.&nbsp; He finished his tenure with a good, but not great, 72-56-1 career record.&nbsp; His last season was his 5th where they finished with a .531 winning percentage or lower.&nbsp; Mediocrity at its best.

Let&rsquo;s look at their 2021 team rankings:

Offense

<ul>
	<li>12th in total offense</li>
	<li>11th in passing offense</li>
	<li>17th in rush offense</li>
	<li>14th in scoring offense</li>
</ul>

Defense

<ul>
	<li>30th in total defense</li>
	<li>28th in pass defense</li>
	<li>26th in rush defense</li>
	<li>24th in scoring defense</li>
</ul>

The offense was, if anything, fine.

The defense&hellip; woof.

They were a picture of inconsistency last season.&nbsp; Three different times they&rsquo;d lose two games in a row after a winning streak and this wild seesaw of a season ended up costing Zimmer his job.

&nbsp;

2022 Outlook

The Vikings did what many others have and immediately looked to the coaching tree of Super Bowl Champion Sean McVay.&nbsp; There are rarely &ldquo;locks&rdquo; in an NFL coaching hire.&nbsp; However, if you&rsquo;ve been an assistant coach for Washington at some point in your life, you&rsquo;re going to win a lot of football games OUTSIDE of Washington.&nbsp;

Fitting the bill was 37-year-old former Rams Offensive Coordinator (and Washington assistant), Kevin O&rsquo;Connell.

Side note: O&rsquo;Connell was born in 1985.&nbsp; I was born in 1985.&nbsp; Head coaches in the NFL being my age is incredibly deflating&nbsp;but I digress.

He takes over a team who was right on the cusp roster wise and has impactfully improved this offseason.&nbsp; Already on the team is superstar WR Justin Jefferson who was 2nd in the league in receiving yards last season.&nbsp; RB Dalvin Cook has been perpetually on the injured list but is a top 4 running back when healthy.&nbsp; QB Kirk Cousins&hellip; and hear me out because these numbers floored me:

4,221 YDs, 33 TDs, 7 INTs

Wow.

His yardage was good for 9th overall and only back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers can say they threw for over 30 TDs with single digit INT numbers with Cousins.&nbsp; That&rsquo;s incredibly impressive.&nbsp; Bringing the mind of Kevin O&rsquo;Connell in makes me believe these three players could explode to even greater heights in 2022.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

I know Vikings fans are excited about the hire of a young offensive focused coach after 8 years of grumpy Zim.&nbsp; But let&rsquo;s face it, the defense is the real issue here after looking at those putrid stat rankings&nbsp;above.

So, what did they add?

In free agency they shocked many by prying pro bowl OLB Za&rsquo;Darius Smith from rival Green Bay to the tune of 3 years/42 million dollars.&nbsp; Smith missed almost all last year with a back injury, but he is ready to go.&nbsp; They also bolstered their porous defense with the signings of inside LB Jordan Hicks and DT Harrison Phillips.&nbsp;

They were not done there.

After trading back in the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft, they selected two of my favorite players in college football: Georgia Safety Lewis Cine (32nd overall) and Clemson DB Andrew Booth (42nd overall).&nbsp; Both players could (and should) be starting by mid-season.

Lastly for a team in desperate need of more pass rush, the Vikings will get the welcome return of defensive leader Danielle Hunter and his 3 seasons of 12.5 or more sacks.&nbsp; Hunter has only played in 7 games since the end of 2019.

The overall improvement on the defensive side should do wonders for the Vikings this season.

&nbsp;

The schedule isn&rsquo;t &ldquo;easy&rdquo; at a glance,&nbsp;but let&rsquo;s look at some of the Quarterbacks they will line up against this year.

<ul>
	<li>Justin Fields twice</li>
	<li>Jared Goff twice</li>
	<li>Daniel Jones</li>
	<li>Zach Wilson (maybe)</li>
	<li>Tua Tagovailoa</li>
	<li>Jameis Winston</li>
	<li>Carson Wentz</li>
</ul>

Nine games against who many consider to be average to below average QBs is a dream for an over 9 wins bettor like myself.&nbsp; Another schedule note that could loom large is they have 9 home games, 7 true road games and one at a neutral site in London against the Saints.&nbsp;

Not only do I think the Vikings win 10+ games, but I also say they overtake the cheese-heads for the division and win a playoff game in O&rsquo;Connell&rsquo;s first year.

&nbsp;

Written by David&nbsp;Costabile

Twitter:&nbsp;<a href="http://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="box-sizing:border-box; outline:none; cursor:pointer; transition:color 0.3s ease 0s; touch-action:manipulation; color:#0563c1; text-decoration:underline">@davecostabile</a>

 Welcome back to the final edition of NFL Win Totals with&nbsp;Dave Costabile.&nbsp; Next time you see me, we&rsquo;ll be looking closely at my favorite player props for this upcoming season.Kick back and read how I think the Vikings will sail over t

2022 NFL Futures - Vikings Are Done With Mediocrity

Welcome back to another edition of Win Totals with&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Dave Costabile</a>.

Today we&#39;re going to closely examine the Baltimore Ravens and why I think they&rsquo;re primed to bounce back and flex on the AFC North.

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Baltimore Ravens OVER 9.5&nbsp;wins (-160 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Your eyes don&rsquo;t deceive you people.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m switching gears to talk about the wonderful world of OVERS.&nbsp; There is no win total over I love more than the Ravens in 2022.

As a staff, we are lockstep with Lamar Jackson and the Ravens.&nbsp; Make sure to check out Ryan Broyles&rsquo; articles on why we&rsquo;re in agreement on the <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1256/2022-nfl-futures-afc-north-win-totals" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Ravens Over</a> and how <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1249/2022-nfl-futures-why-lamar-jackson-is-the-best-bet-for-mvp" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Jackson will win MVP</a>.

2021 Recap

No team, in what feels like the history of the NFL, had more significant injuries than the 2021 Ravens.&nbsp; Before the calendar hit the wonderful month of September, the Ravens were already down several starters and many direct backups. &nbsp;Settle in and prepare for some bullet points:

<ul>
	<li>RB JK Dobbins torn ACL 8/29/21</li>
	<li>LB LJ Fort torn ACL 8/21/21</li>
	<li>CB Marcus Peters torn ACL 9/9/21</li>
	<li>RB Gus Edwards torn ACL 9/9/21</li>
	<li>OT Ronnie Stanley ankle 9/13/21</li>
	<li>CB Marlin Humphrey torn pec 12/6/21</li>
	<li>QB Lamar Jackson ankle 12/12/21</li>
</ul>

There&rsquo;s several more but those are the household names who ended up on golf carts instead of end zones last season.&nbsp; Somehow, someway, future Hall of Fame coach John Harbaugh got this team of no names to 8 wins.

2022 Outlook

Coming into this season the Ravens expect to be fully healthy by Week 1 and that&rsquo;s a giant breath of fresh air for the fans (and us as Ravens win total bettors).&nbsp; WR Marquise Brown was traded to the desert in Arizona which gives 2nd year stud Rashod Bateman the chance to man the outside as Jackson&rsquo;s #1 WR.&nbsp; Tight End Mark Andrews (107 rec, 1,361 yds, 9 TD) was unguardable in 2021 and his arrow is firmly planted UP.&nbsp;

The Ravens brought in one of the best free safeties in the league, Marcus Williams, who has been ranked in the top 7 in four of the last five seasons according to Pro Football Focus.&nbsp; They also drafted the electric strong safety from Notre Dame, Kyle Hamilton to partner with Williams.&nbsp; Baltimore should have one of the best defensive backfields in all the NFL.

Let&rsquo;s get to the Lamar Jackson of it all.

Just 25 years young and with an MVP trophy in his case already, Jackson is healthy and on a contract year.&nbsp; He is quite literally &ldquo;betting on himself&rdquo; in 2022 as his own representation.&nbsp; I respect that so much.&nbsp; He sees exactly what some of the other young QB&rsquo;s around the league are getting (I see you Kyler Murray) and knows if he turns in even 80% of what he did in 2019, the sky is the limit for his bank account.

The Ravens will be getting back to what they do best in 2022.&nbsp; Running the football down your throat, running the football around your contain, and mixing in an amazing play-action attack.&nbsp; Last year, Jackson was on pace to throw for a personal record in attempts.&nbsp; That was because of need and not at all how Baltimore wants to play.&nbsp; If Dobbins and Edwards return at full strength, they are going to be borderline unstoppable.

The division is clearly in flux with the Bengals coming off a Super Bowl run, the Browns in complete disarray, and the Steelers lining up a QB not named Big Ben for the first time since GW Bush was in the White House.&nbsp; Cincinnati is clearly a problem and I think they&rsquo;ll be at the top battling with Baltimore all season.&nbsp; However, I absolutely think the Ravens will handle the other 2.&nbsp;

The beauty of the Ravens down 2021 season is they came in last place in the division, which equates to an easier schedule in 2022.&nbsp; They have games AT Jets, AT Giants, VS Panthers, AT Jaguars, and VS Falcons.&nbsp; All of which they will be favored in.&nbsp; In fact, that should be five wins right there.&nbsp; Scratch across 5 more and we&rsquo;re all rich!

An all-time coach, a former MVP QB ready to cash in, a healthy offensive line and running game, a rockstar defense, and the best kicker to ever live.&nbsp; These are the catalysts to a win total victory.&nbsp;

Jump on board with us.

Written by David&nbsp;Costabile

Twitter:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 Welcome back to another edition of Win Totals with&nbsp;Dave Costabile.Today we&#39;re going to closely examine the Baltimore Ravens and why I think they&rsquo;re primed to bounce back and flex on the AFC North.&nbsp;The odds expressed in this artic

2022 NFL Futures - Ravens Are Healthy and Out for Blood

Welcome back to another edition of Win Totals with&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">Dave Costabile</a>.

Today we&#39;re going to deep dive&nbsp;into the Atlanta Falcons and why I think they have one of the worst rosters in the NFL.&nbsp;&nbsp;

&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>&nbsp; Our Premium services are incredible and a true must have for any daily gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Atlanta Falcons UNDER 5&nbsp;wins (-150 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Another under!?!&nbsp; Yes, another under.&nbsp; Open your minds and sportsbooks as I break down why the Falcons won&#39;t win five&nbsp;games in 2022.

Betting any under sends shivers down most gamblers&rsquo; spines.&nbsp; Betting an under of just five games only intensifies that feeling.&nbsp; Betting a line with -150 odds is usually not even contemplated.&nbsp;

What isn&#39;t considered enough is sometimes -150 is your friend.&nbsp; Vegas is trying to discourage you from laying that juice down.&nbsp; But we&#39;re not going to fall for it with the Falcons.

Let&#39;s start by looking back at last season.

2021 Recap

I want to start with head coach&nbsp;Arthur Smith.&nbsp;

Smith&nbsp;was a hot candidate during the summer of 2021.&nbsp; He was previously the offensive coordinator for the Tennessee Titans who were led by&nbsp;NFL Offensive Player of the Year Derrick Henry and his 2,027&nbsp;rushing yards.&nbsp; QB Ryan Tannehill saw his&nbsp;career reinvigorated by Smith&#39;s scheme as well winning Comeback Player of the Year honors after the 2019 season before seeing career highs in TDs (40 total - 7 on the ground) in 2020.&nbsp; Once their season came to an abrupt halt in the Wild Card round vs a seasoned Baltimore Ravens team, the Falcons swooped in (see what I did there?) and snagged Smith to be their 18th coach in franchise history.

In his first season with Atlanta, they finished 7-10, but there is no more deceiving record than this one.&nbsp; The Falcons were 7-2 in one score games in 2021.&nbsp; For the people in the back, that means EVERY win they scratched across was by the skin of their collective teeth.&nbsp;

I&#39;m more interested in the losses.&nbsp;

The Falcons posted an embarrassing -146 in point differential which was good (or I should say bad) for 5th worst in the league.&nbsp; What I&#39;m trying to say is Atlanta got blown out... a lot.&nbsp; Of their&nbsp;10 losses, eight&nbsp;of them were by 10 points or more, and four were by 23 or more.&nbsp; They were a team that would pack it in when things got away from them early.&nbsp; That&#39;s the kind of team I want for a win total under future.

Let me drown you in some team stats for a minute here.

Falcons Offense

<ul>
	<li>29th in Total Yards</li>
	<li>31st in Rush Yards</li>
	<li>26th in Points Per Game</li>
</ul>

Falcons Defense

<ul>
	<li>26th in Total Yards</li>
	<li>27th in Rush Yards</li>
	<li>29th in Points Allowed</li>
</ul>

Friendly reminder people, there are only 32 teams in the NFL.&nbsp; These rankings are putrid, and I truly don&#39;t see how this changes much with what they&#39;ve done this offseason.

2022 Outlook

For the first time 15 years, Matt Ryan is NOT the Falcons QB.&nbsp;

He was traded to the Indianapolis Colts back on March 21st for a 2022 3rd round pick.&nbsp; The Falcons without Matty Ice and Julio Jones (jettisoned last offseason after becoming franchise leader in both&nbsp;yards and receptions) is just strange but that&#39;s the business.&nbsp;

In comes QB Marcus Mariota.&nbsp; Mariota is familiar with Coach Smith during&nbsp;their time in Tennessee and this is his last chance to grab ahold of a starting job.&nbsp; Standing (im)patiently behind him is rookie QB Desmond Ritter who I personally don&#39;t think we&#39;ll see until things get out of hand for Atlanta record wise.&nbsp; Which they will.

The backfield is a mix of young and old.&nbsp; 31-year-old and lifetime playmaker, Cordarrelle Patterson is in line to start.&nbsp; Intriguing rookie from BYU Tyler Allgeier and former Chief Damien Williams will back him up.

The weapons on the outside will be led by 2022 8th overall pick WR Drake London from USC, former Raider Bryan Edwards, and slot WR Olamide Zaccheaus who I&#39;m sure you streamed once or twice in fantasy leagues last year crossing your fingers this was the week he&#39;d find the end zone.&nbsp; TE Kyle Pitts has true superstar potential and should provide some important spacing in the intermediate areas.&nbsp; This unit is at best, compelling but unproven.

The offensive line was one of the worst in the league last year even though they escaped major injury, and the front office barely did anything to improve that unit this offseason.&nbsp; Sure, Mariota&#39;s athleticism may help disguise this glaring hole at times but in the long run it will be an obvious issue again.

The NFC South seems top heavy, but the Falcons have a top 10 toughest schedule in 2022 and are favored in, let me count it up...carry the two... ZERO games at this moment.&nbsp;&nbsp;

For these and so many other reasons, the Falcons don&#39;t scare me one bit heading into this new season.

Click that UNDER next to the number 5 in your sportsbooks and don&#39;t look back.

Written by David&nbsp;Costabile

Twitter:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

&nbsp;

 Welcome back to another edition of Win Totals with&nbsp;Dave Costabile.Today we&#39;re going to deep dive&nbsp;into the Atlanta Falcons and why I think they have one of the worst rosters in the NFL.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;The odds expressed in this articl

2022 NFL Futures - Falcons May Have the Worst Roster in the NFL

It&rsquo;s that time of year where all our NFL bets are at +/- $0.&nbsp;

A wonderful time where training camp updates are what we live for while we pray a Schefter or Rap Sheet notification doesn&rsquo;t come over saying your favorite star player has been carted off the practice field.&nbsp;

For me, there is no greater opportunity to put some future money on some NFL win totals.&nbsp; Over the next several articles, I&rsquo;ll be breaking down my favorite Win Total Future Bets.

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of <a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a> please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<a href="http://www.BetKarma.com/pricing?afmc=27">Become a member of Bet Karma Premium today!</a>

Let&rsquo;s get started!

Green Bay Packers UNDER 11 wins (-110 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Oh man, the new guy is coming to us with an under to start!?&nbsp; That&rsquo;s no fun at all&hellip;&nbsp; Futures don&rsquo;t discriminate people!&nbsp; Cashing a win total under is just as thrilling as an over.&nbsp; There is no under I like more than the Packers coming in under 11 wins in 2022.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is entering year 18.&nbsp; A career that has been tremendous with one Super Bowl win and four League MVPs including the last two.&nbsp; Rodgers has been one of the most consistent QBs in the history of the league almost guaranteeing over 4,000 yds, 35+ TDs and single digit INT&rsquo;s.&nbsp; With that said, look at his supporting cast for this upcoming season.&nbsp; Davante Adams is betting slots in Las Vegas.&nbsp; Allen Lazard is his lead WR.&nbsp; Christian Watson is a rookie.&nbsp; Amari Rodgers is unproven.&nbsp; Sammy Watkins is on his 5th team in 9 years.&nbsp; Randall Cobb is a zombie.&nbsp; Robert Tonyan is coming off an ACL tear after underperforming in the first 8 games last season.

They do have one of the strongest backfields, but Aaron Jones is almost 28 and inching towards the RB gravesite.&nbsp; Backup and short yardage specialist AJ Dillon is calmly (and beastly) waiting in the wings.

On the offensive line, both tackles have huge question marks.&nbsp; Left tackle David Bahktiari will turn 31 this September and missed all but the last game of the season only to sit for the playoff loss to the 49ers.&nbsp; Right tackle Elgton Jenkins tore his ACL in Week 11, and is still working his way back to full health.&nbsp;

This is easily the most volatility&nbsp;the Packers have had offensively in what feels like decades.

The schedule has some serious bite to it this season as well.&nbsp; Games AT Tampa Bay, Buffalo, Philadelphia, and Miami should all be battles.&nbsp; The home schedule is less arduous but does have the AFC&rsquo;s reigning top seed Tennessee Titans (11/17) as well as the defending Super Bowl Champion LA Rams (12/19).&nbsp;

The NFC North is improving!&nbsp;&nbsp;

The Vikings are breathing down the Packers neck for the top spot and have an electric offense.&nbsp; The Lions can&rsquo;t get any worse and I personally think they&rsquo;ll be borderline .500 this season.&nbsp; The Bears have a new coach and will likely struggle, but may be frisky.&nbsp;

The Packers have won 13 games the past 3 seasons, and head coach Matt LaFleur boasts an extremely impressive career record of 37-9.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m not na&iuml;ve to this.&nbsp; However, at some point the rest of the division will catch up and Rodgers will start to age.&nbsp;

I think the carriage finally turns into a pumpkin as they finish 10-7 or worse.&nbsp;

Written by David&nbsp;Costabile

Twitter: <a href="http://twitter.com/davecostabile">@davecostabile</a>

 It&rsquo;s that time of year where all our NFL bets are at +/- $0.&nbsp;A wonderful time where training camp updates are what we live for while we pray a Schefter or Rap Sheet notification doesn&rsquo;t come over saying your favorite star player has

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